Too many things pointing to a tough year for the Vols starting with the QB fiasco trading to get Joey Aguilar .. I like Joey but you come in post spring to a real system that works great with the right QB and WR's and Hendon Hooker but up to and beyond Hook we've seen QB after QB not meet expectations .. Besides the actual switch you clearly had a divisive figure in the locker room with Nico sounds like nearly went on strike for the playoff game and whether its true they sure looked like they were vs the buckeyes .. then pulls that same schtick before the spring game .. glad he's gone but damage wasn't done as I count a number of other post spring departures, 3 safeties one very likely starter in Jakobe Thomas to Miami .. that left the unit with 1 returning starter and little else experience-wise.. and spring starting OL-T Larry Johnson going to Colorado .. True FR slated to start, a 5 star guy but he didn't win the job its been given to him .. and tons of eroding of the DUDES off the roster last year that went pro or graduated .. and they had some MAJOR ones, lotta units needing major step up across the map .. and we didn't see a major BOMB portal class either .. in the portal era you gotta pick your spots when to spend the money and this seems more like taking a year off like we saw with Michigan and some others last year ..
The BIG hits seem like RB losing ALL WORLD Dylan Sampson and you'll have Star Thomas in the door and Desean Bishop .. feels like if either was anything close to Sampson we'd know it by now Bishop could be a good replacement but can't be as good there ..
OL needs some guys to step up in a huuuuge way they have 3 guys and a TON of soph prospects after that .. depth a real likely problem this year .. don't get 5 star true FR tackle Sanders hurt or its trouble .. might be either way ..
Heavily relying on the BIG TE a major dude .. depth is another question there too ..
WR got throttled with all the big names out the door .. Chris Brazzle played alot solid contributor but 330 yds .. Mike Matthews HAS TO be a huge breakout year after former 5 star's 7 rec <100 yds last year over 11 games .. low production surprise because it was only 4 guys doing all the catching last year he didn't break in and hit the portal before coming back but now with a totally clear runway, I count only 4 247 rated players in the unit outside of some true freshman .. 5 guys xferred out and Donte Thornton went pro and Bru tried to .. major major depth issues in a crumbling unit ..
The D was so good last year and they'll be solid up front again but still lost MAJOR firepower with james pearce to the NFL and 3 more with Pro potential out the door .. still stacked and pretty deep up front with some major dudes at DT and DE very very good units there again must carry the team .. LB has 2 starters but outside of true FR they're just prospects deep .. Saf got throttled with 1 dude in the pros and 3 more leaving post spring .. just not protecting the roster .. 1 starter returns with iffy PFF grade and few prospects .. CB does look deep with lot of potential there maybe saves the secondary ..
0
SEASON WINS
TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100 (MGM)
Too many things pointing to a tough year for the Vols starting with the QB fiasco trading to get Joey Aguilar .. I like Joey but you come in post spring to a real system that works great with the right QB and WR's and Hendon Hooker but up to and beyond Hook we've seen QB after QB not meet expectations .. Besides the actual switch you clearly had a divisive figure in the locker room with Nico sounds like nearly went on strike for the playoff game and whether its true they sure looked like they were vs the buckeyes .. then pulls that same schtick before the spring game .. glad he's gone but damage wasn't done as I count a number of other post spring departures, 3 safeties one very likely starter in Jakobe Thomas to Miami .. that left the unit with 1 returning starter and little else experience-wise.. and spring starting OL-T Larry Johnson going to Colorado .. True FR slated to start, a 5 star guy but he didn't win the job its been given to him .. and tons of eroding of the DUDES off the roster last year that went pro or graduated .. and they had some MAJOR ones, lotta units needing major step up across the map .. and we didn't see a major BOMB portal class either .. in the portal era you gotta pick your spots when to spend the money and this seems more like taking a year off like we saw with Michigan and some others last year ..
The BIG hits seem like RB losing ALL WORLD Dylan Sampson and you'll have Star Thomas in the door and Desean Bishop .. feels like if either was anything close to Sampson we'd know it by now Bishop could be a good replacement but can't be as good there ..
OL needs some guys to step up in a huuuuge way they have 3 guys and a TON of soph prospects after that .. depth a real likely problem this year .. don't get 5 star true FR tackle Sanders hurt or its trouble .. might be either way ..
Heavily relying on the BIG TE a major dude .. depth is another question there too ..
WR got throttled with all the big names out the door .. Chris Brazzle played alot solid contributor but 330 yds .. Mike Matthews HAS TO be a huge breakout year after former 5 star's 7 rec <100 yds last year over 11 games .. low production surprise because it was only 4 guys doing all the catching last year he didn't break in and hit the portal before coming back but now with a totally clear runway, I count only 4 247 rated players in the unit outside of some true freshman .. 5 guys xferred out and Donte Thornton went pro and Bru tried to .. major major depth issues in a crumbling unit ..
The D was so good last year and they'll be solid up front again but still lost MAJOR firepower with james pearce to the NFL and 3 more with Pro potential out the door .. still stacked and pretty deep up front with some major dudes at DT and DE very very good units there again must carry the team .. LB has 2 starters but outside of true FR they're just prospects deep .. Saf got throttled with 1 dude in the pros and 3 more leaving post spring .. just not protecting the roster .. 1 starter returns with iffy PFF grade and few prospects .. CB does look deep with lot of potential there maybe saves the secondary ..
Big picture the team did not protect the roster with NIL money and got picked apart in various units .. the WR situation used to be chalk full of high rated prospects now has 4 non FR with a 247 rating .. plenty of guys but who the heck knows none played more than a couple rudy snaps last year .. lot of em kinda look like rudy .. the roster is just not the caliber of the teams in the top of the conf .. SP+ has Tenn bundled in a heavy traffic area in that 2nd tier of the SEC with LSU, Ole Miss, Fla, TAMY, OU and S.CAR maybe Mizzoo too .. I checked over some of those rosters and don't see the same glaring issues ..
The Schedule with SP+ layred in says Tenn should win exactly 9 this year .. and thumbing it down one might say yeah they could do that .. got 3 easy ones FCS ETSU, UAB, NMSU .. the tough stuff IMO is @Bama, @Florida, UGA and OU a bit of a wildcard but def in the 'tougher' slate .. Where Tenn needs to clean up is many 'must win' games in the mid section .... Must beat Cuse (n), @Miss State is the first true roadie late September not the easiest .. Arkansas at home should be easy enough .. but Go @Kentucky in a Bama / OU B2B roadie sandwich, very ugly spot I think its gunna be a loss .. and Dr. Pavia PhD MBA in the vols big home finale .. boy if the depth is wearing em thin in that one then Pavia will have em in the torture chamber rest assured .. Vols need to sweep the easy ones and the mid section .. and win one of the tough ones .. can't see it .. lotta ugly spots, tricky spots this team is too thin .. schedule has more trip up spots than it seems and can't see a team this hard up for sure thing dude players surviving the mid slate .. think if they lose any of those 5 then we got it in the bag .. even if they win em all still might just land at 8 .. think they lose to Kentucky and maybe Vandy finally gets em .. Vols aren't a sure thing in any of em is my read ..
The other thing we'll see this ssn is how the team handles all the turmoil of switching QB's and roster throttling and coaches clearly not 'ALL IN' rebuilding a winner this year .. Off a big playoff year I could see em showing up more than a little flat .. we saw FSU do that last year losing lotta guys but still projected very well pre-ssn by all the AI BRAIN 9000 Models .. the totally Human BRIDGE 9000 Model sniffed that one out didn't we .. not saying they'll crater that hard lol but I could see all 'the things' catch up to them maybe starting week 1 and making it all very tough this yr ..
Good luck!
1
TENN CONT'D ..
Big picture the team did not protect the roster with NIL money and got picked apart in various units .. the WR situation used to be chalk full of high rated prospects now has 4 non FR with a 247 rating .. plenty of guys but who the heck knows none played more than a couple rudy snaps last year .. lot of em kinda look like rudy .. the roster is just not the caliber of the teams in the top of the conf .. SP+ has Tenn bundled in a heavy traffic area in that 2nd tier of the SEC with LSU, Ole Miss, Fla, TAMY, OU and S.CAR maybe Mizzoo too .. I checked over some of those rosters and don't see the same glaring issues ..
The Schedule with SP+ layred in says Tenn should win exactly 9 this year .. and thumbing it down one might say yeah they could do that .. got 3 easy ones FCS ETSU, UAB, NMSU .. the tough stuff IMO is @Bama, @Florida, UGA and OU a bit of a wildcard but def in the 'tougher' slate .. Where Tenn needs to clean up is many 'must win' games in the mid section .... Must beat Cuse (n), @Miss State is the first true roadie late September not the easiest .. Arkansas at home should be easy enough .. but Go @Kentucky in a Bama / OU B2B roadie sandwich, very ugly spot I think its gunna be a loss .. and Dr. Pavia PhD MBA in the vols big home finale .. boy if the depth is wearing em thin in that one then Pavia will have em in the torture chamber rest assured .. Vols need to sweep the easy ones and the mid section .. and win one of the tough ones .. can't see it .. lotta ugly spots, tricky spots this team is too thin .. schedule has more trip up spots than it seems and can't see a team this hard up for sure thing dude players surviving the mid slate .. think if they lose any of those 5 then we got it in the bag .. even if they win em all still might just land at 8 .. think they lose to Kentucky and maybe Vandy finally gets em .. Vols aren't a sure thing in any of em is my read ..
The other thing we'll see this ssn is how the team handles all the turmoil of switching QB's and roster throttling and coaches clearly not 'ALL IN' rebuilding a winner this year .. Off a big playoff year I could see em showing up more than a little flat .. we saw FSU do that last year losing lotta guys but still projected very well pre-ssn by all the AI BRAIN 9000 Models .. the totally Human BRIDGE 9000 Model sniffed that one out didn't we .. not saying they'll crater that hard lol but I could see all 'the things' catch up to them maybe starting week 1 and making it all very tough this yr ..
Couple deep shots from the B12 .. recall last year we had a pretty good call on another B12 Heisman .. the thesis for T-HUNT was him going to WR we have an electric 2 way position player and elite at both spots, something CFB hasn't seen in a million years .. we had the cameras pre-queued up on the Buffs for the season and the media heisman hype going in .. we had a diff standard where Buffs didn't need to have 11 wins or run the table to get their T-HUNT the heisman considerations, in fact Buffs didn't need to make the playoffs or even make the champ game .. we had an ultimate media dynamo HC to promote his dude and call plays specifically for his heisman highlight reel which came in real handy down the stretch .. and we had media basically hand him the hardware 3 weeks before seasons end .. I wouldn't have disagreed with giving it to Jeanty which is why I bagged him early on at 100-1 and enjoyed the show.. if they eeked out a win vs Oregon think he woulda got it ..
Maybe most importantly is the portal / NIL / 12-team playoff era has erased the notion of a SUPERTEAM with positions layered 3 or 4 deep of very high rated 4/5 star talent, and only a few of those teams really have a shot to make the playoffs .. that was a very select club over the years and now top 50 teams have money, starting spots and a shot in the playoff and ponying up big on coaches very tough to retain the coaching talent that Saban and a few select others had over the years.. since 2015 St.Nick and Lincoln Reilly split 5 heismans and otherwise major dude QB's stepped up Lamar, Joey B and Jayden ..
The MAJOR elephant in the room this year is we have a MANNING who media far and wide are salivating to hand him some hardware and very possibly the best team this year that can run the table .. need him out of the way, either he's not that good .. possibly .. Quinn wasn't a heisman grade QB and if Manning was the better QB last year I don't know why we wouldn't see him play .. Manning had Heisman performances but only real action was vs LA Monroe, Miss State and UTSA .. and UL Monroe he hit 52% 2 TD's 2 picks .. eek .. got his mojo going big time vs Miss St though .. I'm not at all sold he's gunna have the best QB numbers in the SEC which is just SOOO loaded top to bottom on defense every week a challenge .. and were removed from that era of BIG offense now and UT's D is no doubt the best side of the ball for them .. funny feeling the wins might be there but the actual QB stats won't be .. UT projects to have maybe one top 10 WR in Wingo and might be way up there after a great true fr year.. Manning heisman relies on highly rated true sophs to step up in a major way this year after not logging a stat their true fr yr .. Just not a sure thing ..
Count on Sark to call the plays to get the stats but its hard to force your guy to play late in games an injury to Q-Man ruins the goal they really have .. and if Sark is playing chess here there's no better 'history repeats itself' media story than Q-MAN falling short this year and coming back for his (not senior fine) but 4th year to get the hardware his Pop didn't get .. that's next year .. UT's squad next year should be just as loaded and prob have a legitimate backup QB which is not the case this year .. huge problem if Manning gets hurt ...
0
HEISMAN TALK
Couple deep shots from the B12 .. recall last year we had a pretty good call on another B12 Heisman .. the thesis for T-HUNT was him going to WR we have an electric 2 way position player and elite at both spots, something CFB hasn't seen in a million years .. we had the cameras pre-queued up on the Buffs for the season and the media heisman hype going in .. we had a diff standard where Buffs didn't need to have 11 wins or run the table to get their T-HUNT the heisman considerations, in fact Buffs didn't need to make the playoffs or even make the champ game .. we had an ultimate media dynamo HC to promote his dude and call plays specifically for his heisman highlight reel which came in real handy down the stretch .. and we had media basically hand him the hardware 3 weeks before seasons end .. I wouldn't have disagreed with giving it to Jeanty which is why I bagged him early on at 100-1 and enjoyed the show.. if they eeked out a win vs Oregon think he woulda got it ..
Maybe most importantly is the portal / NIL / 12-team playoff era has erased the notion of a SUPERTEAM with positions layered 3 or 4 deep of very high rated 4/5 star talent, and only a few of those teams really have a shot to make the playoffs .. that was a very select club over the years and now top 50 teams have money, starting spots and a shot in the playoff and ponying up big on coaches very tough to retain the coaching talent that Saban and a few select others had over the years.. since 2015 St.Nick and Lincoln Reilly split 5 heismans and otherwise major dude QB's stepped up Lamar, Joey B and Jayden ..
The MAJOR elephant in the room this year is we have a MANNING who media far and wide are salivating to hand him some hardware and very possibly the best team this year that can run the table .. need him out of the way, either he's not that good .. possibly .. Quinn wasn't a heisman grade QB and if Manning was the better QB last year I don't know why we wouldn't see him play .. Manning had Heisman performances but only real action was vs LA Monroe, Miss State and UTSA .. and UL Monroe he hit 52% 2 TD's 2 picks .. eek .. got his mojo going big time vs Miss St though .. I'm not at all sold he's gunna have the best QB numbers in the SEC which is just SOOO loaded top to bottom on defense every week a challenge .. and were removed from that era of BIG offense now and UT's D is no doubt the best side of the ball for them .. funny feeling the wins might be there but the actual QB stats won't be .. UT projects to have maybe one top 10 WR in Wingo and might be way up there after a great true fr year.. Manning heisman relies on highly rated true sophs to step up in a major way this year after not logging a stat their true fr yr .. Just not a sure thing ..
Count on Sark to call the plays to get the stats but its hard to force your guy to play late in games an injury to Q-Man ruins the goal they really have .. and if Sark is playing chess here there's no better 'history repeats itself' media story than Q-MAN falling short this year and coming back for his (not senior fine) but 4th year to get the hardware his Pop didn't get .. that's next year .. UT's squad next year should be just as loaded and prob have a legitimate backup QB which is not the case this year .. huge problem if Manning gets hurt ...
Def an uphill battle in a few ways we have the upstart B12 conf winning the hardware last year and think heisman voters will be much more inclined to hand it to an SEC/B10 QB even with a couple losses .. for a B12 QB we really need one of these guys to run the table and really look the part doing it ..
We're running it back on Baron who we liked last year for 200-1 and that dudded out real early .. the Kitley offense just didn't work too many mistakes and problem and that was even with an all world takeover the game RB .. so I have my doubts here .. but we got 5 heisman-ish worthy games outta him last year but def on the worst side of the schedule vs the Pokes, Cincy, NTex, Baylor, Abeline FCS wow they almost beat these guys .. We're banking on Mack Leftwich from Texas State / Incarnate Word / Cam Newton FCS dude offense to show up for us .. Potential problem is Baeron doesn't run the ball and Heisman history says QB needs to run a few in himself .. 158 yds rushing 1 rush TD .. total statue .. we can do this for 300x though because Texas Tech made the decision to go full saudi and dump that oil money on the open market .. no idea how much but reddit cfb says 1 of 6 teams with potential $40 mill roster .. and the QB is the LAST guy listed on DK's heisman odds huh? .. fine I'll bite .. If T-Tech is truly 100% turned around they can def run thru a conference that is very 'runnable' .. and just no way the coaches will want every bit of hardware they can get along the way padding his stats at every turn (hopefully) .. the problem I see is media spotlight and lack of any sure thing top 5 or 10 matchups .. and the big games are on the road .. @Utah, @ASU, @K-State .. But you could see the storyline form late in the year if we have the Red Raiders lookin to crash the playoffs blowing teams to smithereens esp beating those 3 on the road .. they also start the year with 3 just lock down blowout wins and close the year with 2 huge tee offs vs UCF and @WV, and if the stats are there then the spotlight will keep shining brighter heading into the B12 champ game ... where we'll def be locking in some kinda big payday at that point and have plenty left over to cheer on a total 'LOCK IT UP' blowout win .. could go wrong so many ways ... but 300x for this situation sign me up ..
0
HEISMAN
BEHREN MORTON 300-1 (DK)
Def an uphill battle in a few ways we have the upstart B12 conf winning the hardware last year and think heisman voters will be much more inclined to hand it to an SEC/B10 QB even with a couple losses .. for a B12 QB we really need one of these guys to run the table and really look the part doing it ..
We're running it back on Baron who we liked last year for 200-1 and that dudded out real early .. the Kitley offense just didn't work too many mistakes and problem and that was even with an all world takeover the game RB .. so I have my doubts here .. but we got 5 heisman-ish worthy games outta him last year but def on the worst side of the schedule vs the Pokes, Cincy, NTex, Baylor, Abeline FCS wow they almost beat these guys .. We're banking on Mack Leftwich from Texas State / Incarnate Word / Cam Newton FCS dude offense to show up for us .. Potential problem is Baeron doesn't run the ball and Heisman history says QB needs to run a few in himself .. 158 yds rushing 1 rush TD .. total statue .. we can do this for 300x though because Texas Tech made the decision to go full saudi and dump that oil money on the open market .. no idea how much but reddit cfb says 1 of 6 teams with potential $40 mill roster .. and the QB is the LAST guy listed on DK's heisman odds huh? .. fine I'll bite .. If T-Tech is truly 100% turned around they can def run thru a conference that is very 'runnable' .. and just no way the coaches will want every bit of hardware they can get along the way padding his stats at every turn (hopefully) .. the problem I see is media spotlight and lack of any sure thing top 5 or 10 matchups .. and the big games are on the road .. @Utah, @ASU, @K-State .. But you could see the storyline form late in the year if we have the Red Raiders lookin to crash the playoffs blowing teams to smithereens esp beating those 3 on the road .. they also start the year with 3 just lock down blowout wins and close the year with 2 huge tee offs vs UCF and @WV, and if the stats are there then the spotlight will keep shining brighter heading into the B12 champ game ... where we'll def be locking in some kinda big payday at that point and have plenty left over to cheer on a total 'LOCK IT UP' blowout win .. could go wrong so many ways ... but 300x for this situation sign me up ..
Ahhh another B12'er .. but Jean Claud VAN-DAMPIER I think is 'THAT DUDE' and if he was on Miami or a better heisman prospectus team then we're not anywhere close to 100 they'd run thru his stats and abilities at New Mexico last year and the books would be all over it 10/15-1 .. instead we have Utah off a major dud year but Damp is the total package highlight reel guy, a schedule that isin't THAT daunting .. we got a BRDGE HEISMAN SHOWDOWN 9/20 in SLC vs our dude BARRON which I think very possibly could be the shootout that ends up putting the winner .. and maybe still an outside shot for the loser .. on the heisman map .. a great setup here is we have an EPIC dualing QB game highlight reel heroic ending and we queue up round w in the B12 champ game with 11-1 vs 12-0 and a dualing heisman finale .. long shot dream scenario yes but the thing to like is that this game comes very early in the year and if we get a dream scenario B12 champ game its total redemption shot whoever loses ..
Other thing to like is this is almost certainly Kyle Whittingham's final year they've already named Morgan Scallywag to the position when he steps down .. I think the idea was last year but losing Cam Rising the year before and basically again last year was a pretty horrible taste of what was to come .. I also kinda hate to see Andy Ludwig go last year but 3 straight losses he ducked out in mid October .. the good QB always shined thru when their offenses were good but it wasn't ever really a QB centric offense .. what we do get is Jason Beck who coached up Damp last year .. he turned UVA around with Bryce Perkins delivering 2600 pass / 1100 rushing 34 TD's total and doubled down the next year with true heisman stats 4500 all purpose yds 33TD's in '19 .... not enough W's to get heisman looks but PERK was PURE FIRE his last year .. legit major turnaround .. he took Garrett Schraeder at Cuse from being a totally inaccurate multi year 50% passer and 9 pass TD's the year before he got there to hitting 64% 17TD's in his one year there .. and lastly took Damp to 3900 yds 31 TD's last year at NM .. he's been nothing but METHROIDS for QB's which wear off every time he departs a program so. he's our guy
We also have a sitch at Utah for the first time/long time with no MAJOR MAJOR RB room .. we need help from the starters but Damp is really lined up perfectly to be the offense here the trouble brews in the other skill positions with just so much uncertainty at WR / TE we're so used to Ludwig having these great TE's every year but they really need to find dudes they got from the portal .. .. the work around here is they have a GREAT OL / solid depth there and with Damps ability to evade and avoid sacks .. (stat-wise he was the best in CFB last year avoiding sacks and was constantly under pressure) we have a guy that can probably figure out and an OC whose had plenty of exp with him and with Perkins knows how to bake the off schedule passing into the plays. Damp found this little 5'10 guy 70 times last year for 830 yds so Utes don't need the best WR room to make this work with Damp buying time back there.
We'll need Damp to make all the magic happen and he is that level of DUDE and a guy the media can get on board with quick if he gives em the highlights and has the wild stats and of course the wins .. we def have a potential 'aint played nobody' argument going against em as T-tech, ASU, K-State is the scary stuff but nice its all at home .. @Baylor @BYU, finale @KU are the tough roadies .. we really need him to rack up the wins its a schedule built to do that .. Wittingham running the table in his likely final yr is a great storyline .. Behren and Damp giving us 2 games of dueling heisman collisions would def be enough there to like about one of em taking home the hardware..
1
HEISMAN
DEVON DAMPIER 100-1 (MGM)
Ahhh another B12'er .. but Jean Claud VAN-DAMPIER I think is 'THAT DUDE' and if he was on Miami or a better heisman prospectus team then we're not anywhere close to 100 they'd run thru his stats and abilities at New Mexico last year and the books would be all over it 10/15-1 .. instead we have Utah off a major dud year but Damp is the total package highlight reel guy, a schedule that isin't THAT daunting .. we got a BRDGE HEISMAN SHOWDOWN 9/20 in SLC vs our dude BARRON which I think very possibly could be the shootout that ends up putting the winner .. and maybe still an outside shot for the loser .. on the heisman map .. a great setup here is we have an EPIC dualing QB game highlight reel heroic ending and we queue up round w in the B12 champ game with 11-1 vs 12-0 and a dualing heisman finale .. long shot dream scenario yes but the thing to like is that this game comes very early in the year and if we get a dream scenario B12 champ game its total redemption shot whoever loses ..
Other thing to like is this is almost certainly Kyle Whittingham's final year they've already named Morgan Scallywag to the position when he steps down .. I think the idea was last year but losing Cam Rising the year before and basically again last year was a pretty horrible taste of what was to come .. I also kinda hate to see Andy Ludwig go last year but 3 straight losses he ducked out in mid October .. the good QB always shined thru when their offenses were good but it wasn't ever really a QB centric offense .. what we do get is Jason Beck who coached up Damp last year .. he turned UVA around with Bryce Perkins delivering 2600 pass / 1100 rushing 34 TD's total and doubled down the next year with true heisman stats 4500 all purpose yds 33TD's in '19 .... not enough W's to get heisman looks but PERK was PURE FIRE his last year .. legit major turnaround .. he took Garrett Schraeder at Cuse from being a totally inaccurate multi year 50% passer and 9 pass TD's the year before he got there to hitting 64% 17TD's in his one year there .. and lastly took Damp to 3900 yds 31 TD's last year at NM .. he's been nothing but METHROIDS for QB's which wear off every time he departs a program so. he's our guy
We also have a sitch at Utah for the first time/long time with no MAJOR MAJOR RB room .. we need help from the starters but Damp is really lined up perfectly to be the offense here the trouble brews in the other skill positions with just so much uncertainty at WR / TE we're so used to Ludwig having these great TE's every year but they really need to find dudes they got from the portal .. .. the work around here is they have a GREAT OL / solid depth there and with Damps ability to evade and avoid sacks .. (stat-wise he was the best in CFB last year avoiding sacks and was constantly under pressure) we have a guy that can probably figure out and an OC whose had plenty of exp with him and with Perkins knows how to bake the off schedule passing into the plays. Damp found this little 5'10 guy 70 times last year for 830 yds so Utes don't need the best WR room to make this work with Damp buying time back there.
We'll need Damp to make all the magic happen and he is that level of DUDE and a guy the media can get on board with quick if he gives em the highlights and has the wild stats and of course the wins .. we def have a potential 'aint played nobody' argument going against em as T-tech, ASU, K-State is the scary stuff but nice its all at home .. @Baylor @BYU, finale @KU are the tough roadies .. we really need him to rack up the wins its a schedule built to do that .. Wittingham running the table in his likely final yr is a great storyline .. Behren and Damp giving us 2 games of dueling heisman collisions would def be enough there to like about one of em taking home the hardware..
Forgot to mention Behren & Damp was a DOUBLE DUCK BRIDGE HEISMAN COLLAB .. it's not just crazy BRIDGE gone rogue conspiracy theories its got some real credibility behind it lol .. good luck!
1
^^^ HEISMAN CONT'D ..
Forgot to mention Behren & Damp was a DOUBLE DUCK BRIDGE HEISMAN COLLAB .. it's not just crazy BRIDGE gone rogue conspiracy theories its got some real credibility behind it lol .. good luck!
Quick question for Bridge…finally my out has most of the season totals however still missing two of yours. By the time the lines were published, Kent St came at 1.5 under +141. I know the value is 2.5 but not there. As a plus odds, is it still worth a shot? Thanks in advance.
0
Quick question for Bridge…finally my out has most of the season totals however still missing two of yours. By the time the lines were published, Kent St came at 1.5 under +141. I know the value is 2.5 but not there. As a plus odds, is it still worth a shot? Thanks in advance.
Czr had it 2.5 because they make their own numbers alot of other books came in at 1.5 and I think I woulda passed on it .. tough enough to play an under 2.5 when merrimack, umass and Akron on the schedule but Kent looks like they're in a tough situation this year .. but yeah not for me under 1.5 is was a BRIDGE too far..
1
@robtri
Czr had it 2.5 because they make their own numbers alot of other books came in at 1.5 and I think I woulda passed on it .. tough enough to play an under 2.5 when merrimack, umass and Akron on the schedule but Kent looks like they're in a tough situation this year .. but yeah not for me under 1.5 is was a BRIDGE too far..
You can find this number catchin + odds but nobody out in front like Circa so doubt that will still be around now but something + for what feels to me like a number that looks pretty close to the floor for this team .. We're catching a good number after a pretty sour taste left over from last year Mizzoo looked like they were geared up and ready to continue the success of '23 / take their shot at a big playoff run .. didn't quite happen .. they lost their major dude RB Cody Schrader who was a bit better than the tandem last year .. Brady Cook regressed early in the year then playing injured couldn't make the most of his big time WR unit which feels like the bad taste everyone was left with and getting blown out by TAMU in a very late first road spot on oct 7th and Cook hurt vs Bama got annihilated and close wins vs BC, Vandy, Auburn, last second OMG plays vs OU .. not confidence inspiring ..
Turn to this year and turning the page on Brady Cook who was decent when healthy .. Beau Pribula has enough tape over the last couple years and he looks like a major dude high rate completions, avoiding pressure extending plays finding the open guy good scrambles and very good runner PSU drew it up for him all year very solid .. We also got a MAJOR DUDE RB in Ahmad Hardy and very off the radar at ULM but true FR bagged 1300 yards 93 missed tackles is more than Jeanty's soph numbers before he went on his heisman campaign and as many broken tackles than Skatt-a-BOOM had last year playing in fewer games.. ULM was a goner with 1.5 ssn wins last year .. but beat JMU and gave em a shot at a bowl game .. one potential big part of his game yet to be unlocked is his receiving and the yds after catch .. ULM had the 4th fewest pass att's after the service academies .. got him the ball 8 times and he broke 9 tackles on those receptions .. We'll see if Drinkwitz can turn that key, we saw him do that a few yrs ago with Tyler Baddie rushing for 1600 and 54 rec for 330 yds .. maybe our guy will catch it 54 times, we'll see ... The BEAU / HARDY tandem is really not one I'm worried about .. Zoo should have capable depth in multi year backup Sam Horn .. hope we don't get to him or beyond but also have big time QB recruit FR in Matt Zollers .. feels like someone will carry the torch in such a run heavy offense ..
OL lost 2 MAJOR dudes but it still looks ready to go with 3 starters back and 4 starters portaling in all have pretty solid run grades 5 more from the 2-deep return and 3 more soph prospects before you get to true fr .. also TE is 3 deep heavy 3 deep experienced crew and have a DUDE blocker in Norfleet and have 3 more soph prospects and looks like a unit ready to go, hope they find more receiving production this yr with fewer sure things at WR this year .. WR is a concern they lose some MAJOR dudes but bring in a pretty unsung major dude in Kevin Coleman from Miss State who projects as a top 10 or so SEC WR 930 yds last year 74 rec and 3 more experienced and 4 prospects 1 major recruit in Olugbode ..
1
SEASON WINS
MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130 (CIRCA)
You can find this number catchin + odds but nobody out in front like Circa so doubt that will still be around now but something + for what feels to me like a number that looks pretty close to the floor for this team .. We're catching a good number after a pretty sour taste left over from last year Mizzoo looked like they were geared up and ready to continue the success of '23 / take their shot at a big playoff run .. didn't quite happen .. they lost their major dude RB Cody Schrader who was a bit better than the tandem last year .. Brady Cook regressed early in the year then playing injured couldn't make the most of his big time WR unit which feels like the bad taste everyone was left with and getting blown out by TAMU in a very late first road spot on oct 7th and Cook hurt vs Bama got annihilated and close wins vs BC, Vandy, Auburn, last second OMG plays vs OU .. not confidence inspiring ..
Turn to this year and turning the page on Brady Cook who was decent when healthy .. Beau Pribula has enough tape over the last couple years and he looks like a major dude high rate completions, avoiding pressure extending plays finding the open guy good scrambles and very good runner PSU drew it up for him all year very solid .. We also got a MAJOR DUDE RB in Ahmad Hardy and very off the radar at ULM but true FR bagged 1300 yards 93 missed tackles is more than Jeanty's soph numbers before he went on his heisman campaign and as many broken tackles than Skatt-a-BOOM had last year playing in fewer games.. ULM was a goner with 1.5 ssn wins last year .. but beat JMU and gave em a shot at a bowl game .. one potential big part of his game yet to be unlocked is his receiving and the yds after catch .. ULM had the 4th fewest pass att's after the service academies .. got him the ball 8 times and he broke 9 tackles on those receptions .. We'll see if Drinkwitz can turn that key, we saw him do that a few yrs ago with Tyler Baddie rushing for 1600 and 54 rec for 330 yds .. maybe our guy will catch it 54 times, we'll see ... The BEAU / HARDY tandem is really not one I'm worried about .. Zoo should have capable depth in multi year backup Sam Horn .. hope we don't get to him or beyond but also have big time QB recruit FR in Matt Zollers .. feels like someone will carry the torch in such a run heavy offense ..
OL lost 2 MAJOR dudes but it still looks ready to go with 3 starters back and 4 starters portaling in all have pretty solid run grades 5 more from the 2-deep return and 3 more soph prospects before you get to true fr .. also TE is 3 deep heavy 3 deep experienced crew and have a DUDE blocker in Norfleet and have 3 more soph prospects and looks like a unit ready to go, hope they find more receiving production this yr with fewer sure things at WR this year .. WR is a concern they lose some MAJOR dudes but bring in a pretty unsung major dude in Kevin Coleman from Miss State who projects as a top 10 or so SEC WR 930 yds last year 74 rec and 3 more experienced and 4 prospects 1 major recruit in Olugbode ..
The D is the real surprise coming it looks ready to go at every position .. the retained production is solid and get 2 starters back from injury last yr one OFY in fall in Darris Smith and DE Khalil Jacobs was out after 6 games, he started on the awesome D in '23 .. some major dude xfers in freak DE Damon Wilson, LB Josiah Trotter from WV was a machine .. Catalon at safety proved he belongs back in this league was a standout for Ark before injury / major dude for UNLV last yr .. they lost a couple very solid players like my Johnny Walker was legit Blue Label but every unit is deep with the quality starters / backups and prospects, UT maybe a cut above them all but Mizzoo's D stacks up in a big way maybe the BIG surprise SEC D this year with a modest 18th ranking in the SP+ model ..
Lastly my fav we got a major legit dude kicker that can nail 6/9 from 50+ .. some struggles from 40-49 last year but near perfect on shorter .. not bad for the soph and he'll be the next BIG BOOT kicker in Columbia .. Punter is average no blocks last year .. let's keep it that way .. be great to find a dude KR/PR ..
Schedule is interesting and can rattle off the wins early with a long string of home games.. Easy stuff in FCS Cent Ark and UMass .. KANS/MIZZOO is a blood rivalry but where Mizzoo's roster looks surprise good I suspect the Jayhawks struggle to find replacements for massive losses .. books being modest with Zoo -7 at home .. Home vs Miss State .. so I think very good shot at 5 wins before the tougher stuff .. Bama is the toughest comp but Tide is in one of the NASTIEST spots on the cfb schedule leading in @UGA, Vandy .. @MIZZOO .. Tenn, @S.Car .. 4 game straddle of MASSIVE RIVALRIES and MAJOR REVENGE and Tigers off Umass / Bye like maaan gimme +10 I think they pull a major shocker .. Tigers do have a follow up nasty spot @Auburn after Bama .. their first roadie coming on 10/18 .. never seen it before .. hope they're 6-0 and I'll grab Aub there for sure .. follow up @Vandy is no picnic spot either .. but get TAMU at home in a big revenge spot .. close the year @OU and @Ark I think a bad case is we need a W in the 2 road game finale .. very possible to have this wrapped up earlier with our dudes trying to make the playoff or maybe even conf champ game the final weeks there .. not crazy at all given some of the schedules the 'best' teams are dealing with .. think Mizz would need a couple major disasters or really unlucky injuries to end the year at 7 .. good luck!
1
^^ MIZZOO CONT'D ..
The D is the real surprise coming it looks ready to go at every position .. the retained production is solid and get 2 starters back from injury last yr one OFY in fall in Darris Smith and DE Khalil Jacobs was out after 6 games, he started on the awesome D in '23 .. some major dude xfers in freak DE Damon Wilson, LB Josiah Trotter from WV was a machine .. Catalon at safety proved he belongs back in this league was a standout for Ark before injury / major dude for UNLV last yr .. they lost a couple very solid players like my Johnny Walker was legit Blue Label but every unit is deep with the quality starters / backups and prospects, UT maybe a cut above them all but Mizzoo's D stacks up in a big way maybe the BIG surprise SEC D this year with a modest 18th ranking in the SP+ model ..
Lastly my fav we got a major legit dude kicker that can nail 6/9 from 50+ .. some struggles from 40-49 last year but near perfect on shorter .. not bad for the soph and he'll be the next BIG BOOT kicker in Columbia .. Punter is average no blocks last year .. let's keep it that way .. be great to find a dude KR/PR ..
Schedule is interesting and can rattle off the wins early with a long string of home games.. Easy stuff in FCS Cent Ark and UMass .. KANS/MIZZOO is a blood rivalry but where Mizzoo's roster looks surprise good I suspect the Jayhawks struggle to find replacements for massive losses .. books being modest with Zoo -7 at home .. Home vs Miss State .. so I think very good shot at 5 wins before the tougher stuff .. Bama is the toughest comp but Tide is in one of the NASTIEST spots on the cfb schedule leading in @UGA, Vandy .. @MIZZOO .. Tenn, @S.Car .. 4 game straddle of MASSIVE RIVALRIES and MAJOR REVENGE and Tigers off Umass / Bye like maaan gimme +10 I think they pull a major shocker .. Tigers do have a follow up nasty spot @Auburn after Bama .. their first roadie coming on 10/18 .. never seen it before .. hope they're 6-0 and I'll grab Aub there for sure .. follow up @Vandy is no picnic spot either .. but get TAMU at home in a big revenge spot .. close the year @OU and @Ark I think a bad case is we need a W in the 2 road game finale .. very possible to have this wrapped up earlier with our dudes trying to make the playoff or maybe even conf champ game the final weeks there .. not crazy at all given some of the schedules the 'best' teams are dealing with .. think Mizz would need a couple major disasters or really unlucky injuries to end the year at 7 .. good luck!
For reasons stated above and think Zoo is easy to overlook this year, we have the general bias of them not being a conf contender since the first couple years of joining the conference .. and didn't meet expectations last year at a time they had the hype and momentum .. we note some of the reasons for that above and biggest things for me were QB wasn't truly ever that great a passer or dynamic dual threat gamer to begin with .. then tack on the loss of a sure thing RB like Schraeder replaced by a tandem that weren't good .. QB injury / playing hurt down the stretch at a very critical point in the season and Cook's numbers fell off considerably especially in his ability to pick up yards on the ground, went from consistent contributor able to snag first downs to lucky to not end with net negative sack yards .. offense really struggled to produce esp later on .. QB's had 5 games connecting under 55% some down in the 40's .. still managed to squeeek by in a few games but clearly everyone looking at the offense thinking something aint right here with the elite WR unit being so unproductive .. still managed 9 wins and if they eek out that 10th win vs S.Car these odds are different maybe 25-1 .
We're hoping the element of surprise shows up with the Pribula / Hardy tandem and maybe turns in one of the more dynamic ground games in the SEC and open the door to more opportunities passing .. tape is limited but the DUDE potential is really strong with him .. Hardy sporting the Soph Jeanty stats as a true FR, esp the breaking tackle ability and the really untapped potential as a receiving option .. 9 brk tkl on 8 receptions w ULM who didn't do much passing and with him around didn't need to .. major potential dynamic tandem could make Mizzoo dangerous in a way we haven't seen before .. Defense seems like a real surprise very buttoned up and model won't catch up till the season gets going .. very similar vibe there to what I was thinking with S.CAR last year with a massively improved D with all units in the top half of the SEC .. Tigers much more proven and situated to make a splash on D than the cocks were IMO ..
And the schedule really gives em a shot with the toughest stuff vs Bama at home, but I mark the spot as being great for Mizzoo and horroble for the Tide, one of the strongest spots on the CFB schedule very good shot to beat them .. and that's a real key as it could come down to a tiebreaker rules in conference, Tigers will be holding a great hand if they already punch Bama's ticket ... they do get Auburn in one of the most horrible spots .. maybe its more survivable having had a very late first roadie last year vs TAMU but we recall how that went, over in 2 minutes .. S.Car, TAMU in pretty good spots .. @OU, @Vandy @Ark rounds out a very winnable road slate .. Give this schedule to any of the high profile teams and think all would get a decent odds boost on the conf futures the schedules all look really tough and going 7-2 in conf with a bama win we might get in thru attrition / tiebreaker .. Thats where the bama win helps us head to head and vs highest ranked common opponent and possibly get a leg up on UGA / LSU .. not outside the realm for Zoo to leave no doubt with I think an 8-1 conf record ceiling .. GO TIGERS!!!
1
CONF FUTURES
MISSOURI 50-1
For reasons stated above and think Zoo is easy to overlook this year, we have the general bias of them not being a conf contender since the first couple years of joining the conference .. and didn't meet expectations last year at a time they had the hype and momentum .. we note some of the reasons for that above and biggest things for me were QB wasn't truly ever that great a passer or dynamic dual threat gamer to begin with .. then tack on the loss of a sure thing RB like Schraeder replaced by a tandem that weren't good .. QB injury / playing hurt down the stretch at a very critical point in the season and Cook's numbers fell off considerably especially in his ability to pick up yards on the ground, went from consistent contributor able to snag first downs to lucky to not end with net negative sack yards .. offense really struggled to produce esp later on .. QB's had 5 games connecting under 55% some down in the 40's .. still managed to squeeek by in a few games but clearly everyone looking at the offense thinking something aint right here with the elite WR unit being so unproductive .. still managed 9 wins and if they eek out that 10th win vs S.Car these odds are different maybe 25-1 .
We're hoping the element of surprise shows up with the Pribula / Hardy tandem and maybe turns in one of the more dynamic ground games in the SEC and open the door to more opportunities passing .. tape is limited but the DUDE potential is really strong with him .. Hardy sporting the Soph Jeanty stats as a true FR, esp the breaking tackle ability and the really untapped potential as a receiving option .. 9 brk tkl on 8 receptions w ULM who didn't do much passing and with him around didn't need to .. major potential dynamic tandem could make Mizzoo dangerous in a way we haven't seen before .. Defense seems like a real surprise very buttoned up and model won't catch up till the season gets going .. very similar vibe there to what I was thinking with S.CAR last year with a massively improved D with all units in the top half of the SEC .. Tigers much more proven and situated to make a splash on D than the cocks were IMO ..
And the schedule really gives em a shot with the toughest stuff vs Bama at home, but I mark the spot as being great for Mizzoo and horroble for the Tide, one of the strongest spots on the CFB schedule very good shot to beat them .. and that's a real key as it could come down to a tiebreaker rules in conference, Tigers will be holding a great hand if they already punch Bama's ticket ... they do get Auburn in one of the most horrible spots .. maybe its more survivable having had a very late first roadie last year vs TAMU but we recall how that went, over in 2 minutes .. S.Car, TAMU in pretty good spots .. @OU, @Vandy @Ark rounds out a very winnable road slate .. Give this schedule to any of the high profile teams and think all would get a decent odds boost on the conf futures the schedules all look really tough and going 7-2 in conf with a bama win we might get in thru attrition / tiebreaker .. Thats where the bama win helps us head to head and vs highest ranked common opponent and possibly get a leg up on UGA / LSU .. not outside the realm for Zoo to leave no doubt with I think an 8-1 conf record ceiling .. GO TIGERS!!!
FUN BETS HAWAII ML / O52.5 +661 MICH -34.5 / U51.5 +407 PENN.ST -45.5 / U59.5 +466 MIZZ.ST +32.5 / O57.5 +320
SEASON WINS TULSA OVER 2.5 -180 SO MISS OVER 4.5 -115 MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130 JAMES MAD OVER 7.5 -120 TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100 KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -120 BYU UNDER 8.5 -157
CONF FUTURES TULSA 300-1 MISSOURI 50-1 VIRGINIA 200-1
FUN BETS HAWAII ML / O52.5 +661 MICH -34.5 / U51.5 +407 PENN.ST -45.5 / U59.5 +466 MIZZ.ST +32.5 / O57.5 +320
SEASON WINS TULSA OVER 2.5 -180 SO MISS OVER 4.5 -115 MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130 JAMES MAD OVER 7.5 -120 TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100 KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -120 BYU UNDER 8.5 -157
CONF FUTURES TULSA 300-1 MISSOURI 50-1 VIRGINIA 200-1
IDK when folks will come to their senses on the Vols I think were getting major marketing hype on what is gunna be a mulligan year in Rocky Top .. lotta hype about how much better Joey Aggs is at QB than Nico .. if true then why in the world would anyone pay a dime for QB's outta HS .. Joey had a really great year w Appy in 2023 63% 33-10 but 24 BTT 26 TWP's so pretty lucky low INT number but significant decline in comp % vs stepped up competition UNC 51% comp 55% vs Wyo, a few 3+ sack gms. 2024 56% comp on the ssn 23 TD's 14 picks. No playing hurt injury to point to. Joey Dimes became loose change on the road int's and sacks at the SBC level. Only 2 gms over 60% vs G-St, @ECU a prob for him all year at the G5 level. Terrible gm @ULL 48% 4 picks .. can't compare his outting vs Clem, totally mismatched tms, but game was over in 2 mins CLEM ROUTE .. but with no pressure to win and literally just 1 pressure by Clem he's hitting 44% for 215 yds 1 run 4 yds. Won't be living in a clean pocket like that next yr.
Really nothing to point at where I can say Joey can make this kinda big step up and the 'he's better' hype doesn't come from seeing him in any spring games at the P5 level. I think dude is gunna get eaten alive in the SEC but certainly by Kirby in his first BIG game, at home or anywhere .. Rest of Tenn isin't inspiring losing an ALL WORLD RB who was their entire unit and just not seein a real reload there with Star Thomas and last year's backups its a big downgraded unit for me.. That will put alot more pressure on the QB who won't have as much to work with based on the WR and OL unit not bringing in a big portal haul .. ton of true sophs need to step up in a MAJOR way on offense.
Vols D overall seems decently solid up front even with the loss of multiple major dudes, but that unit was the jewel of a D that made them next level SEC competitive and 3 productive DL's out and James Pearce with 55 press / 8 sacks was the production off the edge .. Just unlikley it carries wins on its own like we saw on the road vs OU last yr . Secondary has an ACE in CB Jermond Mccoy .. Saf unit gets Jourdan back OFY last fall proj str but unit had 3 guys leave post spr, the heavy rotating backups and a decent prospect Jourdan gotta be back full go starter dude with this inexperienced and thin unit. LB has 2 starters back but lost Pili mid ssn and their depth to the portal is a thin maybe iffy unit .. I count 2 xfers in across the D this yr so that should tell us something about how much they want to bet on themselves this year.
As for UGA they're off a pretty salty year having "ONLY" beat texas twice and won the conference because felt to me like they know they werent far off from making that champ game and having a decent enough shot at the natty last year .. this isin't the SUPER TEAM UGA with 4/5 star depth at every unit but man it is a legit natty contending roster and we have GUN-STOCK with major big game experience and didn't look all that bad after being thrust into the big spotlight last yr .. got a year off to fix injury situations on their OL the unit could achieve what they were projected to last year .. the TE unit looks like another #1 CFB unit .. the WR unit looks like a serious step up and maybe not utilized as they could be w other OC's but it's dude filled unit .. D looks Kirby grade .. UGA enters this game having played nobody and wouldn't surprise me if Tenn has to hand Kirby some good game tape vs Cuse .. I think UGA might really gut these guys no prob layin pts in this one .. Also think the hype could wear off on Tenn pre-ssn and this moves over a TD .. could see Vols expose some weakness vs Cuse and one way or another I think this line nears 10 or so by kickoff so playin early ..
0
BRIDGE PLAY (GOY)
TENN / GEORGIA -5.5 WK 3 (BOL)
IDK when folks will come to their senses on the Vols I think were getting major marketing hype on what is gunna be a mulligan year in Rocky Top .. lotta hype about how much better Joey Aggs is at QB than Nico .. if true then why in the world would anyone pay a dime for QB's outta HS .. Joey had a really great year w Appy in 2023 63% 33-10 but 24 BTT 26 TWP's so pretty lucky low INT number but significant decline in comp % vs stepped up competition UNC 51% comp 55% vs Wyo, a few 3+ sack gms. 2024 56% comp on the ssn 23 TD's 14 picks. No playing hurt injury to point to. Joey Dimes became loose change on the road int's and sacks at the SBC level. Only 2 gms over 60% vs G-St, @ECU a prob for him all year at the G5 level. Terrible gm @ULL 48% 4 picks .. can't compare his outting vs Clem, totally mismatched tms, but game was over in 2 mins CLEM ROUTE .. but with no pressure to win and literally just 1 pressure by Clem he's hitting 44% for 215 yds 1 run 4 yds. Won't be living in a clean pocket like that next yr.
Really nothing to point at where I can say Joey can make this kinda big step up and the 'he's better' hype doesn't come from seeing him in any spring games at the P5 level. I think dude is gunna get eaten alive in the SEC but certainly by Kirby in his first BIG game, at home or anywhere .. Rest of Tenn isin't inspiring losing an ALL WORLD RB who was their entire unit and just not seein a real reload there with Star Thomas and last year's backups its a big downgraded unit for me.. That will put alot more pressure on the QB who won't have as much to work with based on the WR and OL unit not bringing in a big portal haul .. ton of true sophs need to step up in a MAJOR way on offense.
Vols D overall seems decently solid up front even with the loss of multiple major dudes, but that unit was the jewel of a D that made them next level SEC competitive and 3 productive DL's out and James Pearce with 55 press / 8 sacks was the production off the edge .. Just unlikley it carries wins on its own like we saw on the road vs OU last yr . Secondary has an ACE in CB Jermond Mccoy .. Saf unit gets Jourdan back OFY last fall proj str but unit had 3 guys leave post spr, the heavy rotating backups and a decent prospect Jourdan gotta be back full go starter dude with this inexperienced and thin unit. LB has 2 starters back but lost Pili mid ssn and their depth to the portal is a thin maybe iffy unit .. I count 2 xfers in across the D this yr so that should tell us something about how much they want to bet on themselves this year.
As for UGA they're off a pretty salty year having "ONLY" beat texas twice and won the conference because felt to me like they know they werent far off from making that champ game and having a decent enough shot at the natty last year .. this isin't the SUPER TEAM UGA with 4/5 star depth at every unit but man it is a legit natty contending roster and we have GUN-STOCK with major big game experience and didn't look all that bad after being thrust into the big spotlight last yr .. got a year off to fix injury situations on their OL the unit could achieve what they were projected to last year .. the TE unit looks like another #1 CFB unit .. the WR unit looks like a serious step up and maybe not utilized as they could be w other OC's but it's dude filled unit .. D looks Kirby grade .. UGA enters this game having played nobody and wouldn't surprise me if Tenn has to hand Kirby some good game tape vs Cuse .. I think UGA might really gut these guys no prob layin pts in this one .. Also think the hype could wear off on Tenn pre-ssn and this moves over a TD .. could see Vols expose some weakness vs Cuse and one way or another I think this line nears 10 or so by kickoff so playin early ..
Florida certainly on my major improved list and think LSU will be very good again this year .. both coaches need to show us something this year, if you can't leave this year smelling a strong natty run in 2026 then its probably time to change things up .. they both look like potential contenders this year
I could nitpick some things about LSU's DL and the OL has to have questions after losing the unit that's been such a rock for them last 2 years .. but I see both as taking a shot this year LSU ignored the portal last year and we liked them to fall short of their season win total .. think they got lucky to get close but they did fall short esp when we consider they didn't really find a reliable RB till late in the year, Hilton at WR got hurt after 6 games, Harold Perkins OFY 4 games in, secondary and DL were very inexp work in progress not bolstered with portal help .. diff story this year, for the Tigers they found their RB in the true FR Durham over 1k all purpose yds is a feature SEC RB and the true FR blue chipper Harlem Berry made a big splash in the spring, maybe a real THAT DUDE true FR year for him .. WR looks maybe stronger with some of the adds, wanna see what Barrion Brown can do in a real offense .. TE won't be a big drop off missing Mason Taylor, Unit is loaded but maybe elite loaded this year if Desmond Green gets the breakout yr we expected 2 yrs ago .. OL fingers XX'd the talent is there but can see OL-T's might be an issue.
LSU D goes from injury-laden struggle session to maybe a surprise unit .. great tandem in LB's Weeks, hope to see Perkins live out his potential more as a pass rushing havoc machine OLB but the unit is has good exp and stars and up n comers.. Safety looks good AJ Haulcy and Tamarcus Cooley toppling over the 2 ret starters, th soph Spears maybe rounds out an elite unit with 3 high rated prospects beyond them before you get to the FR.. CB Ashton Stamps 14 PBU's LY could see a real deal breakout year .. DE got a major boost with 3 solids and I mean its a D that I can see the potential with the star power and some depth .. its not a sure thing win them games D but the D especially is that of a team ready to take a playoff shot this year.
Florida same kinda thing major big breakout year expected maybe a huge surprise on D and maybe the best rush attack in the SEC .. won't go bit by bit but the profile of this team with the all around major breakout potential is one I'm in a rush to lay points against even if the schedule is just pure nasty again and might have trouble making the playoffs, think they are a very underrated group coming into this year ..
- Considering LSU might not be squared away in the trenches i'm def good to take a free 7 pts with the Gators on the road particularly with this big rivalry. FLA is showin up to their first big game of the year catchin a TD w no good tape for LSU to go on.
- If there's one game Florida has circled blood red its UGA both teams off a bye on a neutral site. even if Billy can't slay the dragon his job might teeter on this looking winnable haven't really sniffed a W since covid year. Last yr Lagway just 1 gm as the str goes down early, 3rd guy was hapless and being out-yarded 450 to 230 Fla tied it up 20-20 late in the gm.. UGA with 24 points off of short fields incl game clincher punt blk quick TD and fumble for a 7 yds TD .. gators +9.5 want another shot at them baaaad ..
- And my least fav of these is +6.5 LSU at bama they're both off the bye week Bama routed em by 29 points last year Tide rolled em for 311 on the ground at home, like major major all systems go tooth and nail revenge spot .. prefer to have a full 7 obviously ..
Florida certainly on my major improved list and think LSU will be very good again this year .. both coaches need to show us something this year, if you can't leave this year smelling a strong natty run in 2026 then its probably time to change things up .. they both look like potential contenders this year
I could nitpick some things about LSU's DL and the OL has to have questions after losing the unit that's been such a rock for them last 2 years .. but I see both as taking a shot this year LSU ignored the portal last year and we liked them to fall short of their season win total .. think they got lucky to get close but they did fall short esp when we consider they didn't really find a reliable RB till late in the year, Hilton at WR got hurt after 6 games, Harold Perkins OFY 4 games in, secondary and DL were very inexp work in progress not bolstered with portal help .. diff story this year, for the Tigers they found their RB in the true FR Durham over 1k all purpose yds is a feature SEC RB and the true FR blue chipper Harlem Berry made a big splash in the spring, maybe a real THAT DUDE true FR year for him .. WR looks maybe stronger with some of the adds, wanna see what Barrion Brown can do in a real offense .. TE won't be a big drop off missing Mason Taylor, Unit is loaded but maybe elite loaded this year if Desmond Green gets the breakout yr we expected 2 yrs ago .. OL fingers XX'd the talent is there but can see OL-T's might be an issue.
LSU D goes from injury-laden struggle session to maybe a surprise unit .. great tandem in LB's Weeks, hope to see Perkins live out his potential more as a pass rushing havoc machine OLB but the unit is has good exp and stars and up n comers.. Safety looks good AJ Haulcy and Tamarcus Cooley toppling over the 2 ret starters, th soph Spears maybe rounds out an elite unit with 3 high rated prospects beyond them before you get to the FR.. CB Ashton Stamps 14 PBU's LY could see a real deal breakout year .. DE got a major boost with 3 solids and I mean its a D that I can see the potential with the star power and some depth .. its not a sure thing win them games D but the D especially is that of a team ready to take a playoff shot this year.
Florida same kinda thing major big breakout year expected maybe a huge surprise on D and maybe the best rush attack in the SEC .. won't go bit by bit but the profile of this team with the all around major breakout potential is one I'm in a rush to lay points against even if the schedule is just pure nasty again and might have trouble making the playoffs, think they are a very underrated group coming into this year ..
- Considering LSU might not be squared away in the trenches i'm def good to take a free 7 pts with the Gators on the road particularly with this big rivalry. FLA is showin up to their first big game of the year catchin a TD w no good tape for LSU to go on.
- If there's one game Florida has circled blood red its UGA both teams off a bye on a neutral site. even if Billy can't slay the dragon his job might teeter on this looking winnable haven't really sniffed a W since covid year. Last yr Lagway just 1 gm as the str goes down early, 3rd guy was hapless and being out-yarded 450 to 230 Fla tied it up 20-20 late in the gm.. UGA with 24 points off of short fields incl game clincher punt blk quick TD and fumble for a 7 yds TD .. gators +9.5 want another shot at them baaaad ..
- And my least fav of these is +6.5 LSU at bama they're both off the bye week Bama routed em by 29 points last year Tide rolled em for 311 on the ground at home, like major major all systems go tooth and nail revenge spot .. prefer to have a full 7 obviously ..
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