BRIDGE PRE-SSN 2025

Good info on Hawaii qb, thanks, didn't see the game. 

You know WKU's kicker is a real CANNON too!

Cause.........that's his name, John Cannon. 

BRIDGE PRE-SSN ROUNDUP 8/25

BRIDGE PLAYS
BALL ST / PURDUE -16
UTAH / UCLA OVER 49.5
G.SO / FRESNO UNDER 54.5
S.CAROLINA / VA TECH +9.5
NEBRASKA / CINCINNATI +7
MINNESOTA / BUFFALO +18.5
TENNESSEE / GEORGIA -5.5 WK3
OREGON / PENN STATE -4 WK5
OLE MISS / GEORGIA -9.5 WK8

SMALLER
TULANE / N'WESTERN +7
OLE MISS / GEORGIA ST +39.5
MICH / OKLA -1.5 WK2
LSU / FLORIDA +7 WK3
TEXAS / FLA UNDER 53.5 WK6
PENN ST / IOWA U45.5 WK8
KANSAS / K-STATE -3.5 WK9
OHIO ST / PENN ST +4.5 WK10
UGA / FLORIDA +9.5 WK10
ALABAMA / LSU +6.5 WK11
KANSAS / FRESNO +14.5 

WEEK 1 JUST FOR FUN 
VA TECH ML/O45.5 +600
HAWAII ML / O52.5 +661
MICH -34.5 / U51.5 +407
PENN.ST -45.5 / U59.5 +466
MIZZ.ST +32.5 / O57.5 +320
KU/FRES U50.5  G.ST/FRES U54.5 +260

SEASON WINS
PITT OVER 5.5 -150
TULSA OVER 2.5 -180
SO MISS OVER 4.5 -115
MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130
S.DIEGO ST OVER 4.5 -110
NWESTERN OVER 3.5 -140
JAMES MAD OVER 7.5 -120
GEORGIA ST OVER 3.5 -105
OHIO STATE UNDER 10.5 -130
S.CAROLINA UNDER 7.5 -110
TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100
KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -120
MARSHALL UNDER 5.5 -115
TULANE UNDER 8.5 -110
AUBURN UNDER 8 -120
ARMY UNDER 7.5 -110
UAB UNDER 4.5 -130
BYU UNDER 8.5 -157

CONF CHAMP
PITT 80-1
UTSA 8.5-1
BAYLOR 9-1
TULSA 300-1
SO MISS 24-1
ILLINOIS 38-1
MISSOURI 50-1
VIRGINIA 200-1
CINCINNATI 40-1
WASHINGTON 75-1
SAN DIEGO ST 60-1

MAKE CHAMP GAME
NORTH TEXAS 8-1

HEISMAN
DIEGO PAVIA 300-1
AHMAD HARDY 500-1
BLAKE HORVATH 500-1
DEVON DAMPIER 100-1
BEHREN MORTON 300-1

MAKE PLAYOFF
UTSA 25-1
SO MISS 100-1
SAN JOSE ST 60-1
SAN DIEGO ST 60-1

NATTY
TEXAS TECH 175-1

SEASON PROPS

CONF RUSH LEADER
A. HARDY 12-1 SEC
LJ MARTIN 20-1 B12
JAHIEM WHITE 20-1 B12
JONAH COLEMAN 20-1 B10

CONF REC LEADER
JORDYN TYSON 8-1 B12
DAKORIAN MOORE 18-1 B10

CONF PASS LEADER
STEVE ANGELI 18-1 ACC
AUSTIN SIMMONS 16-1 SEC
DEMOND WILLIAMS 12-1 B10

OTHER SSN FUN

WIN 6+ GMS PARLAY:
SDSU, SMISS, VANDY, AF 18.3-1
TULSA, VANDY, SMISS, UVA, PITT 73-1

CONF CHAMP PARLAY:
LIB, BOISE, UTSA, PSU 97-1
LIB, BOISE, JMU 22-1
BAY, BOISE, JMU, BUFF 413-1
LIB, JMU, UTSA, CLEM, BAY 1638-1

SMALLER

MIAMI / ND UNDER 50.5 (FAN)

This opened 54.5 and slowly trickled down to low 50's so we missed the big move .. think there could be an even bigger move here with the weather forecasted for next week looking like a pretty big down pour on monday for that area .. we'll have to monitor these developments but rain in the south florida / miami area is one of the more reliable weather predictions this time of year and that area is getting some rain every day this week .. The stadium has partial cover over the seats but the field is open .. see last week's Ireland Bowl game for details .. 

The real kicker in this one might be that Hard Rock hosts a game the day before .. Orange Blossom Classic Howard / FAMU 4pm ET the day before and forecast calls for rain that day and if so its likely we see some kinda choppy field on Sunday .. we've seen this situation in the past in 2018 where Miami / Duke in heavy rain tore up the field for Miami/Jets the next day .. that game had no rain but only scoring featured 4 field goals and a pick 6 19 pts total .. a notable outlier in scoring from almost all other games both teams had rest of their season and the nastiness of the field conditions were noted as a problem .. So there's a couple days where rain might have some impact on the game and would suggest its likely to lean in a negative way for offenses .. I'll say that if we get both a torn up field and rainy conditions during our game you can kinda just take it to the bank at that point .. at the very least you'll have every chance to bail out of a total that could go mid to lower 40's by kickoff ..

And besides this we look at ND as just an unbelievable defense .. the kind Carson Beck struggled with over and over again last year .. I also had a major concern last year for Miami's secondary and that panned out over the course of the season .. this off season they've changed to a good coordinator and should be better in general .. the big upgrade was taking in numerous defensive backs from the portal and should be much more stout in that area this year .. we also have 2 brand new QB 's on ND and I just kinda suspect that even with a much better outlook at WR that Coach's decisions will strongly lean toward running the ball with a sure thing RB unit especially if we getany sorta wet field / choppy field conditions 100% you let your star Love carry the offense .. 

All the other books are dropping now to 49.5 and 49 now so doubt the 50.5's will be around long .. check yer local book .. but again I suspect we'll get a middle here but gotta keep an eye on the weather .. 

Outstanding! Appreciate your thoughts, time and effort.  here's to a good health and an enjoyable season.

52 Now .. 

I assume words around the QB is likely out .. frankly I'm not sure if that's even enough of a dip or maybe TT Under 18.5 still might be worth a shot here .. I think the trouble for any total is Hawaii's OL was not good .. backups could really stink .. run game was not good and I could see AZ just turn the ball over quick and start mauling all game .. eek that wouldn't be great since we got such a good move .. We still LOOOVE the Hawaii punter and maybe the longer fields find ways to turn in that lower scoring game were lookin for .. we'll see .. maybe the semi-hedge move is to go AZ TTO as I think its hard to imagine this total hitting without them doing all the heavy lifting .. prob around 35 or so .. that could result in a double win .. outside chance to lose both .. but an idea at least I think AZ could score quite a few in this one if Hawaii turns inept with the backup QB .. - Good luck .. 

WEEK 1 FUN .. 

Dovetailing off the Miami / ND Under idea .. see post #228 for that .. why not make it interesting w some preemptive alt totals .. we'll see .. just some week 1 fun .. 

MIAMI / ND ALT TOTALS (FAN)

UNDER 20.5 25-1
UNDER 24.5 14-1
UNDER 28.5 10-1
UNDER 31.5 6.8-1

 Bows couldn’t seem to tackle either which is somewhat important. :) They looked unorganized and scrappy for having a home field advantage…I cant see that being fixed by Saturday. Some slick WR’s will give them some points but this has “woodshed” potential imo. GL Bridge 

Good stuff, bridge.   Even when I disagree, you always bring great information.  

cheers to a good 2025 

@glyde69

No prob disagreeing my dude .. which one you thinking different on? .. don't get much feedback usually .. if you got a tip drop it here .. I'm not hedged directly on any of my posted plays but there's a few non posted I said F it and went the other way .. ECU +14 played it so early and had all kinda time to get the middle I was eying .. wanted NC St -10 .. ended up with -13 .. same for So Miss .. +15.5 hit it right away .. hoping for -10 and waited too long .. we'll see .. - good luck this season dude 

SMALLER

BAMA / FSU UNDER 50.5

Another weather play hit .. Less comfortable idea than the ND/Miami play but there's a few parts to like here .. For one it looks like we're gunna see quite a bit of rain targeting the Tallahassee area for this game both in the lead up and possibly quite a bit during .. the total hasn't moved a lick since it opened 50.5 months ago .. part of that might be folks thinking Doak is on turf and won't get sloppy .. think again .. Doak just installed a new 'lay n play' grass 2 weeks ago .. same sorta thing we've seen at the slip n slide superbowl from a couple years ago where the slip factor was clear and obvious, teams changing cleats at halftime etc etc, blaming pre-game festivities, grass didn't have time to air out, lotta paint on it, etc etc etcccc.. That said the total didn't have a problem in that game but no constant rain / down pour .. light rain minor slickness can actually help offenses somewhat w ineffective pass rush and defenders slipping / RB can juke easier .. so some danger here playing into wet conditions but I think rain if hard enough can really impact the playcalling to be much more consdervative and wet balls can get dropped .. I don't think we'll need wet conditions to thwart more than an offensive drive or two for us to say that win or lose its worth taking a stab at the under ..   

The danger though is Bama's offense probably won't go into a shell the way ND's might .. Deboer with his new OC is a master at pass attacks and keeping his QB outta sack troubles so this could just be the wrong team to take that kinda stab on .. I also don't really have much nice to say about FSU's D yet .. think the offense will likely show up earlier in the season .. have Noles with a good maybe very good OL this year and expect their run game to be a strength .. think we're all iffy on whether castallanos can really throw the ball all that well although he can make a pass and is a threat on the ground .. think rain / any slip risks will likely see increase calls for RB and QB runs .. esp if its a close game .. what I also realllllly like here is BAMA'S D which might be "BACK" in a big way this year .. Tommy might get Castratedanos this game with their DL/Edge guys and blitz calls .. Bama's D could make any shot for an over totally dead on arrival so something to like about the total regardless and looks like we have some screwy weather that could also .. hopefully .. be favorable and not be a nightmare with huge breakout RB runs etc .. Also seeing FSU has a true fr kicker so we're not up against a total ace there and maybe affects bama too with bad kicking on a wet field be happy to see that impact as well .. 

I suspect the total could come down a little .. the rain is starting to look closer to likely and if it turns to sure thing might see total dip to 48 or 47.5 if real nasty especially if the gamble-o-sphere starts telling everyone about their top secret weather plays lol ..

- Good luck!

SMALLER

MARSHALL / UGA UNDER 55.5

True smaller play but what we're looking for here is run heavy Marsh team chewing up some clock .. and we know Kirby has a propensity for putting his team in challenging situations and playing deep down his roster in games like this .. it can sometimes mean the other team ends up with quite a few points .. we've seen 40 point dogs UAB, Kent St and twice vs Umass where the huge dog puts up a few shocking TD's .. but I think the trouble here is Marsh prob plays multiple QB's here and not expecting much of a throw game from Zion Turner, Carlos Del Rio .. I don't know JacQai Long so maybe a roll of the dice here that he's not an ace killer qb .. very possible if UGA wanted to beat them by 56 they can turn the offense on and do it .. again I expect something quite a bit slower paced and challenging for UGA .. more fingers xx'd Marsh can keep this team in front of them and not give up giant plays until Kirby seen enough of his starting crew .. anyway spread is 38.5 and total 55.5 .. feels alot like UGA will need to cover this spread in a big way to get there and non stop scoring hasn't been Kirby's style in these tune up games .. the one less known here is it is week 1 and UGA very used to a HUGE opening matchup where they lay the wood .. hopefully they wait till week 3 vs Tenn to let loose .. - good luck!

Hey Bridge. What time will you be posting the FSU season total under play? I see kickoff is Sat at 2:30 pm ET…lol!!!