Posted:
#1
Back in business gents .. let's pick up where we left off? ..
BRIDGE PLAYS PRE-SSN 2026 2.0
Posted:
#2
Welp let's fish all these out of the penalty box thread .. you can peep my notes in there if you got nothing else to do ..
https://www.covers.com/forum/penalty-box-41/bridge-pre-ssn-2026-104024269
BRIDGE PLAYS
NDSU / JVILLE ST +10 (BOL)
SMALLER
USC / FRESNO +23.5
KANSAS / MISSOURI -5.5 WK2 (HROCK)
NDSU / JVILLE ST UNDER 49.5 (FAN)
SSN WINS
UCLA OVER 5.5 -144 (FAN)
FRESNO ST OVER 6.5 +110 (MGM)
BOISE STATE OVER 7.5 -160 (MGM)
CONF FUTURES
FRESNO STATE PAC 8-1 (MGM)
Posted:
#4
SSN WINS
TULSA OVER 5.5 -120
Caesars had the alt win total 6+ at this great price with everyone else -130 to -170 .. alas the good price is gone but can find -130 at BM .. We liked tulsa ALOT last year with coach lamb coming in and with a bit of talent on the roster .. much unproven .. we hit some over 2.5 and over 3.5's expecting this group to gel over the year and find some spots to win close games .. this year the cat is getting out the bag a little bit but maybe not all the way out .. I think this team looks AWESOME and checks a good number of THOSE boxes we like in a win total .. 2nd year coach we like with solid retention and decent portal additions .. we got 2 QB's that can win games for us .. a few real solid units esp RB, DL, DE, CB, SAF .. There's some concern in the LB group but there's some optimism too with major dude player back from inj this year .. really like to know my kicker is a dude .. we don't for sure but we have 2 with decent potential and lot of big expectations for kick / punt ret game .. TE lost a MAJOR DUDE and its the only unit I find real concerning .. There's some range for units like OL and WR .. have the numbers and potential .. if we see that and a TE emerge this team could very well be in the mix for a conf game spot late in the season .. tough to call for them to make it or win it .. but I put some early money on them at 50-1 ..
CONF FUTURES
TULSA 50-1
Can't really claim this as a play since there won't me much north of 20-1 right now .. hit this one during my hiatus .. sorry folks .. but whatever I'll post it and you can root for me .... And ... I'll put it this way .. Tulsa might get blown to smithereens after their date with OK State .. Pokes have to avenge last years' loss in a big way .. if they get slammed to the turf in that one we might see a bump .. also they play a roadie at Navy early in the conf slate .. if we like what we see early but can't handle the Middies on the road we should expect to take down some good odds for the conf at that point after we already have 6 games of peek-a-boo looking at these guys .. rest of the conf slate won't be THAT tough assuming they can get past Army and Tulane is not anything special .. could come down to the showdown ssn finale @UTSA .. tough to win that but again I like this team and think maybe 20x is maybe too low without having seen them play yet .. could have a chance to get at least that later ..
Posted:
#7
SSN WINS
COLORADO STATE OVER 3.5 -150 (MGM)
It wasn't easy to land on this one but there's alot to like about this team and the potential to get re-orientated quickly .. Mora is a great coach to get the rams out of their HORRIFIC SPOT they dug themselves into the last 5 or more years really horrific .. I like the OC they brought on and running a 3-man D I do like that they kept the DC on .. Last year the injury list was INSANE and the team stunk otherwise .. this year we actually have something good to work with .. Hauss Hejney was on the verge of his breakout year at OK State when he got injured weeek 1 .. he sent all their other backup QB's packing after spring .. it was obvious then and is now this guy is a dude .. I like the other QB's they got too .. unproven but the UCONN kid Farner sounds like he's stepped up and I liked what we saw from Darius "Spit in yo face" Curry .. gotta tame him but I expect both of them are capable of stepping in and winning a game for us at some pt in the ssn .. point is we have a decent QB bench with two more potentially capable, good chance one will emerge from there if needed...
RB room is a UCONN reunion with 3 former Husky's and we like the top 2 alot and 3rd has potential .. TE room is bangin we might see consistent 2 and sometimes 3 TE's in the game .. I also like that a number of Mora's OL's came along and under the pass coord coach elevated to OC .. just alot of UCONN continuity here I think makes a big diff getting the new culture and attitude right .. Defense is not A+ but its a group with some sure thing dudes and one that can really break out big this year .. I also like the ST Kicker from UNT .. hit 12/13 last year, perfect 150-150 on EP's in 2 yrs .. guys consistent puttin it thru and kinda guy that will win us a close game or two this year ..
Big concern is really the WR group .. maaaan they need some guys to step up .. if we start seeing WR's pop out of the unit this is a reallllly great sign .. obvi we need Hejny to work out and get him the ball but the run game might end up being one of the best .. Hejny is a dude with wheels and we know winning will start and finish with the run game with this group ..
Other big concern is the PAC looks really fun this year .. every team has at least a reason to like their QB situation even Utah State bronco's produced QB's every year and expect him to find one again .. Oreg State has new air raid coaches much better fit for malik the freak murphy .. if CSU doesn't make a decent stride then its possible we tank this win total but maaan they won 4 last year with THAT PILE OF CRAP team .. RAMS improve to capable they also finally get to make use of a HUGE elevation / HFA boost that hasn't done much for them over the years .. love the idea of Mora grinding a team Wyoming style at 5k feet, not taking 50+ sacks a year like they have been ..
I think we got a great chance to beat WYO, FCS, Oreg St at home .. and I wouldn't count us out vs any team besides BYU and maybe real tough spot @Wash State .. the finale vs Tex State coming to town in the finale flex game feels like one the RAMS can go out on a great note .. recall it doesn't count for conf and Bobs will be 7th straight game and in high elevation cold .. good luck bobs lol ..
BOL Bridge! 
Posted:
#21
Hey dudes thanks for all the support and cheers.
Didn't mean to leave you all hangin but I had a few distractions this off ssn and just got in a tough spot finding time or even the mood to do stuff I really love to do and its my bad I shoulda dropped in sooner and see the conspiracy theories swirling and put an end to those lol ..
And just a heads up I will probably be on the bluebird app a little more this ssn, not hard to find, same handle as here. Last yr I tried to put all my content here first then post again there link screen shot etc and it was taking away from the actual business of beating these bookies' a$$e$. We'll see how it goes this ssn but please don't get my threads thrown in the penalty box if I'm not as on the ball with posting things this ssn.
Welp .. 2 days to go before we get nasty and I got a few last min pre-ssn things in the hopper to post and we'll go from there, whaddya say Gents!!?! 
Thx again dudes,
BRIDGE1_
Posted:
#22
FYI ..
IF YOU BET PAC-12 BOL SSN WIN TOTALS PLEASE READ...
BOL modified my PAC-12 ssn win totals adding a note to the wager tickets which I believe was an attempt to clarify (retroactively) that those win totals are to be graded after an "11 games" season. ie the win totals won't include the final flex game which some books expressly excluded like DK but others, like BOL, did not. As you know I posted a few PAC-12 win totals from BOL and I assure you there was no '11 games' note on the bet screen when I placed the wager nor was there one on the ticket when I posted my plays here. And I can prove that.
I discussed this issue of modifying the wager terms with the first CS rep and requested they either honor a 12 game reg ssn OR if it was an error on BOL's part and they always intended for the win totals to be 11 games but forgot to notate that then I asked they recognize this as an error in the offering and void the wagers.
The initial rep I chatted with confirmed the '11 games' note to mean exactly what anyone else would take it to mean, the wager would be graded after 11 games and the 12th final flex game does not count. But then essentially ignored the issue of BOL modifying wager terms retroactively, and instead made a series of flippant and increasingly more ridiculous arguments as to why the flex game does not count. "It's a flex game" .. then showing me an ESPN schedule that there is no opponent scheduled yet .. and finally said "there are 12 teams, so they play 11 games in total. After 11 games, they have already completed playing with all the teams." .. I pointed out the PAC-12 has 8 teams and by this logic the reg ssn should be only 7 games long before asking for a supervisor.
To my surprise the supervisor confirmed the 12th game WILL count and the '11 games' note really means 'at least 11 regular season games must be played'. I hope that is true but its actually even more unsettling as the note says '11 games' not 'at least 11 games' and is a complete 180 from what the other rep was totally adamant in telling me. But supervisor assured me of this if they play 12 reg ssn games then it will be graded with 12 games... gulp ..
CHECK YOUR TICKETS AND GET CLARIFICATION FROM BOL BEFORE THE SEASON STARTS AND BE SURE TO DOWNLOAD YOUR CHAT LOG. Be polite and ask for a supervisor if needed. It took me some time to lay out the issue for both reps and they put me on hold a few times. They never admitted to modifying the terms via the '11 games' note which IMO is the real issue, but didn't deny it either. I think they should recognize this as an error and voided them but its clear they don't want to do that. I can't say a chat log will stand if they decide to grade only '11 games' either but its something to stand on. And frankly if you have an UNDER you need this clarified too because now the bet menu says '11 games' the ticket says '11 games' and only the supervisor I talked to said 12.. DO NOT WAIT till they grade you to discover how they intend to grade you..
Posted:
#23
^^^ CONT'D..
BOL PAC-12 WIN TOTAL NOTE
The above is not meant to cause any trouble for BOL or induce any harassment to them or their staff .. they have always IMO graded things fairly even when there has been some ambiguity in the past I feel like they are a good and fair sportsbook. And they were professional with me throughout my chat convo. Even when I didn't totally appreciate some arguments one CS rep was making they did put me in touch with a supervisor and I appreciated their time and consideration and how the supervisor says they intend to grade the wagers is a satisfactory resolution for me.
But I am pointing this out here because we share ideas and some folks tail along. And a sportsbook adding any notes to wagers after the fact that could (rather easily) be interpreted as a change in the terms is something I think everyone needs to get their own confirmation on if its happened with you too. If the wager was crystal clear when I made it then there would be no reason to add any additional notes, and in-deed their CS reps were not on the same page with each other on what it meant when I asked them about it.
So be very kind and patient with them but you also must make darn sure you know what you've wagered on.
Posted:
#24
SSN WIN TOTALS
IOWA STATE UNDER 4.5 +130 (CIRCA)
Won't be this pos juice there but worth checking .. should find 120 or better if you shop around.. I hit this smaller at U5.5 earlier for some steeper odds and frankly I can't see this team doing much this year .. they do have a couple maybe easy wins but maaan this could be really tough .
I do like the coach ALOT .. former SDAK ST guy showed up in Pullman and NOBODY gave them a shot when they got slaughtered by N.Texas .. part of the learning process there they end up playing our dude ZEVI at QB full time and a team of football players became one of my favorite teams of the entire season last year .. duking it out with Ole Miss and UVA .. I thought they shoulda beat JMU felt like it was in the bag .. there's some real risk here with those guys but they don't have Zevi its the Ark State kid and IMO he ain't no Zevi ..
bagging 5 wins is certainly possible if some of their B12 foes fall flat this year / QB's injured, etc .. but there's no sure thing dud on the list even W.Virginia has been thru their crucible last year and I think they'll emerge much tougher this yr .. Not up against a murderers row here but I think this is going to be a major dud of a year .. good luck!
MAKE PLAYOFFS
JACKSONVILLE STATE 100-1 (MGM)
Laugh now .. lol .. There's a path for undefeated CUSA'ers to make the playoff but JVILLE's is on the tougher side .. what we REALLY need is they DROPKICK NDSU in the fargo dome week 1 and NDSU turns around and has a nice little run of their own .. plus maybe a solid team like Liberty beats JMU in the opener J-Ville avoids liberty so both could be undefeated in a CUSA showdown .. you'd want a WKY or Delaware to emerge as a serious team also that JVILLE can knock off late in the year ..
Jville doesn't have THAT RB anymore from last yr but they might have someone who can step up playing in that offense and garner some national attn this year .. they have the MASSIVE REDWOOD at WR Deondre and maaaaan he can make some news .. they'll need that attn and hype to wiggle themselves ahead of other contenders and almost for sure need to go undefeated .. I like these guys and think they could be in an interesting spot late in the ssn ..
Posted:
#25
ACC SEASON PASS YDS LEADER
STEVE ANGELLI 14-1 (365)
Might not be 14 anymore but give them or BOL a look for these props .. We had Angelli last year 20-1 but went down with injury 4 or 5 games in as like #2 or #3 pass yds leader in the nation before he got hurt .. would he have beat Mensah idk but woulda been a race to the finish .. anything over 10X feels like its worth having fun with ..
SEC SEASON PASS YDS LEADER
KENNY MINCHEY 100-1 (365)
Far flung hope here but we have an incredibly underrated dude at QB with our favorite OC as their HC in Andy Stein .. its 100-1 here and some things have to pan out in a big way but SEC pass leaders are like 270 / game last year .. Pavia and Joey Aggs led the way and Pavia had another 1k on the ground .. what I'm saying here is you can take a few chances in the SEC with long shots .. Kamario isin't a dude but you know MISS ST is gunna be letting him air it out for 66-1 not the worst idea .. Marcel reed 33-1 only needed 20 more yds / game to be in the mix for the top spot .. they might need more passing outta him this year .. couple toward the bottom of the odds I think you can make a case for but 100-1 for Minchey Stein & Co is what I'm doing ..
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