bowl stuff.....

PEACH BOWL

HOUSTON (12-1) vs. FLORIDA STATE (10-2)
  *12:00p E  Atlanta, Georgia (Dome; Artificial Turf)

*have small play on Houston +7...IF FSU is fully focused here / avoid making mistakes...Cougs should have issues keeping up
  I'll look for in-game plays on the OVER....and esp Fla St if down at half......Criminoles a bit off....they can lose....Cougs pretty good at getting penetration > forcing errors.....and closing the deal....(scoring when they're supposed to > keeping you from scoring)....FSU OL weak at preventing penetration
  *Cougs with a slight ST edge....large edge at leveraging the field in their favor

Jimbo tough in bowls 4-1 SU / 3-2 ATS / 2-1 as fav
  *Cougs have covered 16 of last 19 away



As these bowls becomes MORE and MORE emotional BS.....
  *the less I'm interested.....ESPN talking heads and here

REMEMBER....there's JUST NOT.... a sensible play on EVERY game.....
  *I'll leave this part of CFB ...to the many capping DIVA's we have here............

Rest of the way I like....

Ole Miss....should blow Okie St out

Oregon.....Frogs as you see have little interest in this game
  *NOW....they have YET another excuse for getting their azz kicked by my man VTB.....< Vernon the Baller

WVirg....Penn St....OSU / ND over....NW a bit...Michigan probably....Clemson a lil' bit
  *1H under in Oregon / TCU not bad....Ducks bowls are often low scoring....(1H less risk maybe)....like that 1H under in WV / ASU
  *might add a few later........

Well versed--good read

had to work all day.....anybody catch the OU / Clemson score?..........
 *lessee here....finally played team with a D and good QB....

OU is REALLY AWESOME....AND BAKER MAYFIELD (mostly intramural big game experience only)...plays with such emotion....loves to pose for crowd/cameras..........
  * boys don't forget to LOAD UP on the lovable Big 12 next year




That amazing Big 12.....is now 9-26-1 ATS in Jan (type) bowls.....and 5-15 ATS in BCS / play-off games
  *key bowls usually in January....last nite qualifies as such
      note:  these numbers are about to get worse

updated.....


TOP PLAYS

Ole Miss -4
Oregon +1'


ONE UNIT

Duke  +3              W
Tulsa  +14            W
Wazzu -2'             W
Nebraska +7         W
Temple +1             L
USF  +3                L
Boise -3                W
BGreen -5              L
Baylor  +3              W
Wash -2'/LSU -1     W
WVirg  -1

smaller

WM -2'                              W
New Mexico  +10              W
La Tech -1'                         W
USF / WKU 1H under 34    W
Akron +4' 1H                     W
Ga Southern BG over 63'  W
Cinn   ML                           L
UW / SMiss  OVER 51'     W
Navy -1 1H                       W
CM +10' / over 42               L
NCSt +3 1H                       L
USC -3                               L
Memphis +3                       L
Hou +7                                W
Texas A&M +5                    L
Clemson +4                       W
NW +7
Penn St +7
Ohio St / ND over 55
WV / ASU 1H under 32

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

really small....2H / in-game 

BG-2' 2H                    L
Neb +3 2H                 W
USF / WKU over 2H   W
Tulsa TT over 2H       W
Akron / USU over 2H W
Pitt 3rd Q                    W
Temple 3rd qtr           W
WM 4th qtr               W
App St 2H                W
AF 2H TT over          L
Miss St 4th Q           W
USC / Wisky 1H under W
USC -3 2H               W

*missed Fla St -3 2H....won but bad bet.....mighta done Mich St 2H.....a really bad bet I'm glad I missed as well
  *today I'm actually off should have a few 

OUTBACK BOWL

NORTHWESTERN (10-2/8-4/4-8) vs. TENNESSEE (8-4/7-5/6-6)
12:00p E  Tampa, Florida (Grass Field)
  *80 deg / cloudy...no rain / 8 mph winds

*IF....Vols are FULLY focused...they roll here
 *for me Vols wanted to be somewhere else...NW (no bowl in 2yrs) will be ready and should stay close.....as they often do
  *no doubt a 'limited' team.....but DID....punish TREE.....beat Wisky on the road.....and beat Neb..Penn St and Duke.....
  
Since their O is terrible tho....small play only for me....BTW got a worse line at the 7 opener.....now 8'-9'

Pat F 1-4 SU / 3-1 ATS (2-1 vs SEC)...BJ 2-2 / 3-1 (beat Iowa 45-28 LY)
  *will be watching closely > in case VOLS are ready > need to buy back
    IF NW is (somehow) moving the ball....Vols are down > 2H over maybe great ...................

How do you feel about Ole Miss at 9.5 now?

I case I forget.......

Fla / Mich
  *same theory applies here....Michigan I'm afraid is just not very good.....Gators....if FULLY FOCUSED....should win an extremely ugly / close game......my HUNCH...is that Michigan will be READY.....and that will be the driving force here....but no shocker if Gator speed and D proves to be too much here
  $  in fact....I'll add a small play on Michigan....strong lean under
      **teasing Fla and under maybe the best play ??....not gonna do it myself....because I think Gators might get blown out...if things get outta hand

Irish /. Ohio St
  *played over here at 55 or so...strong lean Irish as well
same thinking as above....Buckeyes were talking NFL months ago wtf....

TREE ./ IOWA
  *looking to play Stanford here...gonna do some research > post if I come up with anything

Ole MIss /. Okie St
  *Rebels should killem'.....my largest play of bowl season
      *still strong play up to 7.....solid up to 10 probably
       *I don't like.that the crazy Nkemdiche brothers have checked out ....in a big way.....but probably no big deal....?

ouch man sorry for blasting your Frogs so often.........
  *should love 'em....parents went to school there....know a lot of fine folks there now....love the style of play.....just hate that whiny azz Patterson...........................
  *he's getting better tho....but if I hear him rip Briles again for running a shady program.....publicly........................

probably still works at 9'..but tough to recommend after it sat at 7 for so long..a bad way to do bidness. ..but still should work....

Thx B A.  Love the insight.

7 is a key number by 8  and 9 aren't but every time I say that about a game it lands on one of those numbers.   Once the line got past 7 there is not much stopping it until it gets to 10.  Kelly has had some maturity issues in the past, maybe he is over them. It wouldn't surprise to me see anything happen in this bowl game.  

good man dmfan21............BOL...............

Ole Miss has too many guys about to get NFL contracts Thorpe...
  *which makes me a bit nervous

But the Rebels when healthy.....fully focused,....are a HANDFUL for any team...off that horrible bowl effort last year....I love them here vs a (just not very good) B12 team....off a huge bowl win last year......<< it matters
  *I will be SHOCKED....if Okie St stays in this one...........
    note:  I make no guarantees.... nor will leave Covers if they lose tho.........  

IOWA?....

Check out Ferentz in bowls....
2014   L to Tenn 45-28  (+3)
2013   L to LSU 21-14  (+8)
2011   L to OU 14-31  (+13')
2010  L to Mizzou 27-24  (+2')


To those of you............'challenged'........in these areas...........
  *what this suggests ......ONLY

Is that his BOWL PREP is lacking somewhere...or maybe bowls are simply not important to him...treats it as just another spring kinda...........<< YES some do this 
  *I'm not simply looking at the stinking score.....and saying "well he lost those.... so he's gonna lose this one too!!......

Here's what I'm gonna do.....to myself...................

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9BJ48uAALbc

from the Hanzo the Razor .........wacky Japanese trilogy

Thorpe you need to counsel your boi Double Up.....
  *WHAT the  is he doing?

Cool thing?.....we can talk about him all we want .....he can't say anything....he gave his WORD to not return................

small play added Michigan -3 at -115

Hey bookie, question bud. Bovada has ND AT +7 -145 juice where many other sites have them at +4.5. Sites don't just give 2.5 points away so what is the tell here? With the the juice so high are they just wanting you to take ND becuase the points won't matter and they win or lose by a few or with them giving the points supposedly, is Ohio state gonna dominate? This is very eerie bud. Thoughts quick if you don't mind, thanks bud

the answer is.....
BOVADA is the worst sportsbook possible for CFB man..........
  *get outta there.....> Bookmaker....Heritage....5Dimes....BetOnline ( a must as a 2nd-3rd book).....I have all 4.................

Big 12 two wins, If you W. Virginia pick holds up. K State and OSU will loose. I was with Bovada for one day, took me three months to get my money back.

I was with 'em for a few weeks maybe......the lines came out REALLY late....like Tuesday or Wednesday  .I tried to do a teaser / ML parlay or two (many of those back then)....about half of the teams were blocked....I HATED them beyond belief.....tough to get my cash back too  

I hate betting against Bill Snyder...esp as a DD dog ..........BUT
  * if Hogs are motivated.....and I think they should be..........?

They could get killed here...............

adding Irish +2' 2H for one unit

Any second half plays on Michigan Florida pick em?

Thanks a ton for the lead on Miss!!!!! mega good

hell of a bowl season, brother

BA - can you help me walk through TCU v. Oregon.    Prima facie, with the suspensions, it looks like Oregon could roll.   But, Patterson is focssed on D and will have a way to slow down Oregon.   But, with the lack  of reps for the TCU back QB or QBs, I just don't know if they can keep up.     For the remaining games, I am on Ark -12.    You know I play faves.    I am trying to convince myself that Oregon is the play here with the large chalk.     So Frost will become HC at UCF, will he call plays in this game, or will it be the recently promoted WR coach.     As you know, TCU lost to OU 29-30 with 2 backup QBs.  It came down to the last play.    For me, it is either Oregon -7 or no play.  Thanks in advance.