Natural good job on the writeups. I like SMU +12 tonight. I'm not going to try and sway you but I want to post my reasoning and run it by everyone to get some feedback and to see if I'm missing the boat on anything.
Motivation- It's quite obvious that come bowl season this is probably the number one reason why teams cover/dont show up, etc. SMU hasn't played in a bowl game since the early 80's when they were put on the death penalty. Add this to the fact that June Jones will be coming back to the Island and will have the support of the home town fans and SMU has a huge leg up in this category.
Injuries/Suspensions- We all know that Nevada has lost it's top 2 rushers along with 2 defensive spot starters. Any time depth takes a hit like that it can affect the outcome of a game.
SMU Pas off vs Nevada pass def- Everyone speaks of the great Nevada rush off vs the SMU defense. We know that Nevada will put up its share of rushing yards but did you know that SMU is a top 30 pass offense in the country going against the Nevada pass defense that is 2nd to last in the country? Take a look at Nevada's schedule and they really only played against 4 teams that predominantly pass the football, going 1-3 and only beating the 4th (Hawaii) by 10. In each game they allowed over 275 yds and at least 3 tds in each. SMU should be able to feast on that pass defense.
Preparation- Nevada has been terrible in bowl games lately including losses in its last 2. The reason Nevada is so tough as a running team is their Pistol scheme. When a team gets a month to prepare for it, a defense has a much better chance to defend it properly. This may be the sole reason Nevada has struggled so much in bowls lately. In addition, in the season opener Nevada got shut out by a bad Notre Dame run defense and it can only be concluded that having the entire off season to prepare was a big reason for that.
Having said all of that I believe SMU is the play and a 33-30 type of game is likely. Please if anyone out there disagrees with my reasoning let me know so I don't drop too much on SMU. Thanks
0
Natural good job on the writeups. I like SMU +12 tonight. I'm not going to try and sway you but I want to post my reasoning and run it by everyone to get some feedback and to see if I'm missing the boat on anything.
Motivation- It's quite obvious that come bowl season this is probably the number one reason why teams cover/dont show up, etc. SMU hasn't played in a bowl game since the early 80's when they were put on the death penalty. Add this to the fact that June Jones will be coming back to the Island and will have the support of the home town fans and SMU has a huge leg up in this category.
Injuries/Suspensions- We all know that Nevada has lost it's top 2 rushers along with 2 defensive spot starters. Any time depth takes a hit like that it can affect the outcome of a game.
SMU Pas off vs Nevada pass def- Everyone speaks of the great Nevada rush off vs the SMU defense. We know that Nevada will put up its share of rushing yards but did you know that SMU is a top 30 pass offense in the country going against the Nevada pass defense that is 2nd to last in the country? Take a look at Nevada's schedule and they really only played against 4 teams that predominantly pass the football, going 1-3 and only beating the 4th (Hawaii) by 10. In each game they allowed over 275 yds and at least 3 tds in each. SMU should be able to feast on that pass defense.
Preparation- Nevada has been terrible in bowl games lately including losses in its last 2. The reason Nevada is so tough as a running team is their Pistol scheme. When a team gets a month to prepare for it, a defense has a much better chance to defend it properly. This may be the sole reason Nevada has struggled so much in bowls lately. In addition, in the season opener Nevada got shut out by a bad Notre Dame run defense and it can only be concluded that having the entire off season to prepare was a big reason for that.
Having said all of that I believe SMU is the play and a 33-30 type of game is likely. Please if anyone out there disagrees with my reasoning let me know so I don't drop too much on SMU. Thanks
MERRY CHRISTMAS AND HAPPY HOLIDAYS EVERYONE!!!! JUST A QUICK UPDATE FROM THE BOWL GAMES SO FAR. READY TO GET DOWN TO BUSINESS STARTING TOMORROW SO GET READY!!!
2* Wyoming/Fresno State Over 54½ WINNER
4* Rutgers Scarlet Knights -2½ WINNER
3* Southern Mississippi -3 LOST
2*
Oregon State -3 LOST
4*
BYU/Oregon State Over 58 WINNER
1*
2 Team, 7 Point Teaser: Oregon State +4, Over 51 LOST
3* Utah Utes +3 WINNER
1*
Nevada Wolf Pack -12 LOST
3*
SMU/Nevada Under 73 WINNER
+9 UNITS MINUS A LITTLE JUICE. NOT THE START I WAS HOPING FOR BUT ATLEAST WE ARE TO THE GOOD. MONEY MANAGEMENT IS KEEPING ME IN THE GAME. GETTING READY TO BUST IT WIDE OPEN AFTER TODAY THOUGH. GET READY AS I HAVE A FEW BIGGER PLAY WAGERS COMING UP!!!!
0
MERRY CHRISTMAS AND HAPPY HOLIDAYS EVERYONE!!!! JUST A QUICK UPDATE FROM THE BOWL GAMES SO FAR. READY TO GET DOWN TO BUSINESS STARTING TOMORROW SO GET READY!!!
2* Wyoming/Fresno State Over 54½ WINNER
4* Rutgers Scarlet Knights -2½ WINNER
3* Southern Mississippi -3 LOST
2*
Oregon State -3 LOST
4*
BYU/Oregon State Over 58 WINNER
1*
2 Team, 7 Point Teaser: Oregon State +4, Over 51 LOST
3* Utah Utes +3 WINNER
1*
Nevada Wolf Pack -12 LOST
3*
SMU/Nevada Under 73 WINNER
+9 UNITS MINUS A LITTLE JUICE. NOT THE START I WAS HOPING FOR BUT ATLEAST WE ARE TO THE GOOD. MONEY MANAGEMENT IS KEEPING ME IN THE GAME. GETTING READY TO BUST IT WIDE OPEN AFTER TODAY THOUGH. GET READY AS I HAVE A FEW BIGGER PLAY WAGERS COMING UP!!!!
Little Caesar’s Pizza takes over sponsorship of the game more commonly known as the Motor City Bowl. Former conference rivals will square off in the 2009 rendition of the series, as Ohio and Marshall meet. The Thundering Herd was a fixture in this game in the late 90s, winning it in ’98, ’99 and 2000. They haven’t been to a bowl game since ’04 however, and make it back to Detroit in ’09 sporting a 6-6 record. While with the MAC, Marshall had won seven of the L8 head-to-head meetings with Ohio, the last one in ’04. The Bobcats are a two-point favorite for this game after finishing 9-4 SU and ATS. They are on an 8-2 spread run overall but have never won a bowl game, going 0-2 (0-1 ATS).
With Mark Snyder having resigned from the head coaching position at Marshall at the end of the 6-6 regular season, this is no time to be backing the Thundering Herd in a bowl game. I have to question whether they are even deserving of being in a bowl game at all. Marshall only averaged 21.8 points per game this season on offense. I look for Ohio to leave Ford Field this time around with a much happier feeling.
Of all the 68 teams that qualified for a bowl game this year, Marshall has to rank among the worst of all of them. Not only did the 6-6 Thundering Herd stumble down the stretch, losing three of four, but a 52-21 loss in the season finale to UTEP cost HC Mark Snyder his job after five consecutive non-winning seasons, effectively leaving the program in flux. Interim HC Rick Minter will have little to prove here as Snyder's permanent successor, West Virginia assistant Doc Holliday, has already officially been named. Not only is the coaching staff in total disarray, but no Marshall player has ever appeared in a postseason game either. Meanwhile, Ohio will be looking for its first bowl win ever as well as its first 10-win season since 1968. The Bobcats qualified for the MAC Title game for the second time in four years this season, losing to heavily favored Central Michigan, but were surprisingly able to keep the game close despite essentially playing what was a de facto road game. The main reason was a defense that led the nation in turnover ratio, producing 36 takeaways. Coupled with the special teams, Ohio had a total of 10 non-offensive touchdowns this year, which is not an anomaly, but simply remarkable. QB Theo Scott, who threw for 2258 yards and 19 TD's during the regular season, should find it to be 'easy sledding' against a Marshall pass defense, which ranked 99th in the nation and allowed 517 yards in that season ending loss to UTEP. Do not expect a strong swelling of crowd support either for the Thundering Herd here as the AD reported that only 30% of the alloted tickets had been sold. The Bobcats have a much more dynamic and productive QB in fifth-year sr. QB Theo Scott, who had no interceptions, 6 TD passes and threw for 200 ypg in his last 3 starts. Scott can also make plays with his legs. He has a trio of explosive receivers in LaVon Brazill, Taylor Price and Terrence McRae, who combined for 135 catches, 1958 yards and 19 TDs. Brazill returned three punts for scores. RB Chris Garrett proved a solid rushing threat, averaging 4.7 ypc in his career, and he’s also another receiving option (60 career catches). Marshall is heavily reliant on the production of RB Darius Marshall, who ran for 1054 yards and 11 TDs despite sitting out three games. He missed the last two games after injuring his ankle, but should be recovered for this game. Jr. QB Brian Anderson threw for 2561 YP, but has thrown nearly as many ints. (13) as TDPs (14), and he isn’t a scrambler (negative YR in his 23 games for the Herd). Marshall’s defense ranked 80th overall, and 99th against the pass. Ohio is much healthier now than it was in the MAC championship game against Central Michigan, when Scott, Garrett and Brazill were all less than 100%. Although CB Idris Lawrence was injured against CMU and won’t play, the key secondary playmakers for the Bobcat defense are sr. S Patrick Tafua & RS frosh S Gerald Moore (13th in the country with 6 ints.). True to Solich’s form as a coach, the Bobcats took care of the ball this season, ranking 6th in turnover margin. The Herd’s defense has actually gotten worse as the season has progressed and they have allowed 36 points per game in the last three. The Thundering Herd are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. MAC and the Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
5* Ohio Bobcats -2 (got it when it first came out. Like them at -3 and up to -5 as a 4* play)
0
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl
Ford Field
Detroit, MI
Dec. 26, 2009
1:00 PM EST - ESPN
Ohio vs Marshall
Little Caesar’s Pizza takes over sponsorship of the game more commonly known as the Motor City Bowl. Former conference rivals will square off in the 2009 rendition of the series, as Ohio and Marshall meet. The Thundering Herd was a fixture in this game in the late 90s, winning it in ’98, ’99 and 2000. They haven’t been to a bowl game since ’04 however, and make it back to Detroit in ’09 sporting a 6-6 record. While with the MAC, Marshall had won seven of the L8 head-to-head meetings with Ohio, the last one in ’04. The Bobcats are a two-point favorite for this game after finishing 9-4 SU and ATS. They are on an 8-2 spread run overall but have never won a bowl game, going 0-2 (0-1 ATS).
With Mark Snyder having resigned from the head coaching position at Marshall at the end of the 6-6 regular season, this is no time to be backing the Thundering Herd in a bowl game. I have to question whether they are even deserving of being in a bowl game at all. Marshall only averaged 21.8 points per game this season on offense. I look for Ohio to leave Ford Field this time around with a much happier feeling.
Of all the 68 teams that qualified for a bowl game this year, Marshall has to rank among the worst of all of them. Not only did the 6-6 Thundering Herd stumble down the stretch, losing three of four, but a 52-21 loss in the season finale to UTEP cost HC Mark Snyder his job after five consecutive non-winning seasons, effectively leaving the program in flux. Interim HC Rick Minter will have little to prove here as Snyder's permanent successor, West Virginia assistant Doc Holliday, has already officially been named. Not only is the coaching staff in total disarray, but no Marshall player has ever appeared in a postseason game either. Meanwhile, Ohio will be looking for its first bowl win ever as well as its first 10-win season since 1968. The Bobcats qualified for the MAC Title game for the second time in four years this season, losing to heavily favored Central Michigan, but were surprisingly able to keep the game close despite essentially playing what was a de facto road game. The main reason was a defense that led the nation in turnover ratio, producing 36 takeaways. Coupled with the special teams, Ohio had a total of 10 non-offensive touchdowns this year, which is not an anomaly, but simply remarkable. QB Theo Scott, who threw for 2258 yards and 19 TD's during the regular season, should find it to be 'easy sledding' against a Marshall pass defense, which ranked 99th in the nation and allowed 517 yards in that season ending loss to UTEP. Do not expect a strong swelling of crowd support either for the Thundering Herd here as the AD reported that only 30% of the alloted tickets had been sold. The Bobcats have a much more dynamic and productive QB in fifth-year sr. QB Theo Scott, who had no interceptions, 6 TD passes and threw for 200 ypg in his last 3 starts. Scott can also make plays with his legs. He has a trio of explosive receivers in LaVon Brazill, Taylor Price and Terrence McRae, who combined for 135 catches, 1958 yards and 19 TDs. Brazill returned three punts for scores. RB Chris Garrett proved a solid rushing threat, averaging 4.7 ypc in his career, and he’s also another receiving option (60 career catches). Marshall is heavily reliant on the production of RB Darius Marshall, who ran for 1054 yards and 11 TDs despite sitting out three games. He missed the last two games after injuring his ankle, but should be recovered for this game. Jr. QB Brian Anderson threw for 2561 YP, but has thrown nearly as many ints. (13) as TDPs (14), and he isn’t a scrambler (negative YR in his 23 games for the Herd). Marshall’s defense ranked 80th overall, and 99th against the pass. Ohio is much healthier now than it was in the MAC championship game against Central Michigan, when Scott, Garrett and Brazill were all less than 100%. Although CB Idris Lawrence was injured against CMU and won’t play, the key secondary playmakers for the Bobcat defense are sr. S Patrick Tafua & RS frosh S Gerald Moore (13th in the country with 6 ints.). True to Solich’s form as a coach, the Bobcats took care of the ball this season, ranking 6th in turnover margin. The Herd’s defense has actually gotten worse as the season has progressed and they have allowed 36 points per game in the last three. The Thundering Herd are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. MAC and the Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
5* Ohio Bobcats -2 (got it when it first came out. Like them at -3 and up to -5 as a 4* play)
Charlotte hosts its annual bowl game pitting the ACC vs. the Big East. For the second straight year, North Carolina plays in its home state, taking on Pittsburgh. This is actually the third time since 2004 that the Tar Heels play in the Meineke Car Care Bowl, but they have lost the prior two. They were 8-4 SU and 6-5 ATS in ’09 and seemed to play their best football at the end, going 4-1 SU and ATS in their final five contests. Pittsburgh looks to pick up the pieces of shattered BCS dreams, as the Panthers were a minute away from an upset of Cincinnati and a trip to the Sugar Bowl two weeks ago. Overall, they were 9-3 but lost their last two. They haven’t won a bowl game since ’03 and are 0-3 SU and ATS in that span.
Pittsburgh finished the season with back-to-back losses to West Virginia, 19-16, and Cincinnati, 45-44, and as a result cost itself the Big East title. The Panthers were defeated three times this season by an average score of just 3.7 points. North Carolina, on the other hand, was all over the map, defeating Virginia Tech (9-3) and Miami (9-3), but losing to N.C. State (5-7) and Virginia (3-9). Pittsburgh’s 5.0 yards per rush will be tested against a North Carolina defense that allowed just 2.8 YPR. I expect freshman Dion Lewis to eventually wear down the Tar Heels’ defensive line, however, in what should be a low-scoring victory for the Panthers. Roll with that advice.
3* Pittsburgh Panthers -½ (bought half point)
0
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte, NC
Dec. 26, 2009
4:00 PM EST - ESPN
North Carolina vs Pittsburgh(17)
Charlotte hosts its annual bowl game pitting the ACC vs. the Big East. For the second straight year, North Carolina plays in its home state, taking on Pittsburgh. This is actually the third time since 2004 that the Tar Heels play in the Meineke Car Care Bowl, but they have lost the prior two. They were 8-4 SU and 6-5 ATS in ’09 and seemed to play their best football at the end, going 4-1 SU and ATS in their final five contests. Pittsburgh looks to pick up the pieces of shattered BCS dreams, as the Panthers were a minute away from an upset of Cincinnati and a trip to the Sugar Bowl two weeks ago. Overall, they were 9-3 but lost their last two. They haven’t won a bowl game since ’03 and are 0-3 SU and ATS in that span.
Pittsburgh finished the season with back-to-back losses to West Virginia, 19-16, and Cincinnati, 45-44, and as a result cost itself the Big East title. The Panthers were defeated three times this season by an average score of just 3.7 points. North Carolina, on the other hand, was all over the map, defeating Virginia Tech (9-3) and Miami (9-3), but losing to N.C. State (5-7) and Virginia (3-9). Pittsburgh’s 5.0 yards per rush will be tested against a North Carolina defense that allowed just 2.8 YPR. I expect freshman Dion Lewis to eventually wear down the Tar Heels’ defensive line, however, in what should be a low-scoring victory for the Panthers. Roll with that advice.
The 2009 season will be looked upon as a disappointment for USC, as the Trojans finished the season with four losses, their most since ‘01. It will be even more devastating however, if they can’t beat Boston College in the Emerald Bowl in San Francisco. Playing in this level of bowl game is unfamiliar territory for USC, which has been part of the BCS party in each of the last seven years and was 6-1 SU and ATS in those bowl games. Still, the Trojans are a heavy nine point favorite against a Boston College team that shares the same 8-4 record in ’09, and is on a 19-6 ATS run when playing with rest. The Eagles lost in the Music City Bowl game a year ago, 16-14, snapping an eight game bowl win streak.
For the first time in eight years, Pete Carroll and the Trojans won’t be in a BCS bowl. If you read the press clippings, USC players have made no effort to hide their disappointment with this trip to San Francisco. One has to wonder how motivated they will be here. This was just another typical season for Boston College – an 8-4 record anchored by solid, but unspectacular defense (19.4 points per game, 4.6 yards per play, 318 yards per game). A late-season loss to North Carolina prevented the Eagles from playing in another ACC title game. Boston College is also one of the nation’s best bowl teams, winning eight consecutive bowls before last year’s upset loss to Vanderbilt. With a shaky freshman quarterback, Matt Barkley, and questionable motivation, USC certainly won’t light up the scoreboard as it has in previous bowls. A tight, low-scoring struggle is the most likely scenario here; an outright upset isn’t out of the question.
4* Boston College +9 (got it when it came out)
2* Boston College +7½
2* Boston College/USC Under 46
1* 2 Team, 7 Point Teaser: Boston College +14½, Under 53
0
Emerald Bowl
AT&T Park
San Francisco, CA
Dec. 26, 2009
8:00 PM EST - ESPN
Boston College vs Southern California(24)
The 2009 season will be looked upon as a disappointment for USC, as the Trojans finished the season with four losses, their most since ‘01. It will be even more devastating however, if they can’t beat Boston College in the Emerald Bowl in San Francisco. Playing in this level of bowl game is unfamiliar territory for USC, which has been part of the BCS party in each of the last seven years and was 6-1 SU and ATS in those bowl games. Still, the Trojans are a heavy nine point favorite against a Boston College team that shares the same 8-4 record in ’09, and is on a 19-6 ATS run when playing with rest. The Eagles lost in the Music City Bowl game a year ago, 16-14, snapping an eight game bowl win streak.
For the first time in eight years, Pete Carroll and the Trojans won’t be in a BCS bowl. If you read the press clippings, USC players have made no effort to hide their disappointment with this trip to San Francisco. One has to wonder how motivated they will be here. This was just another typical season for Boston College – an 8-4 record anchored by solid, but unspectacular defense (19.4 points per game, 4.6 yards per play, 318 yards per game). A late-season loss to North Carolina prevented the Eagles from playing in another ACC title game. Boston College is also one of the nation’s best bowl teams, winning eight consecutive bowls before last year’s upset loss to Vanderbilt. With a shaky freshman quarterback, Matt Barkley, and questionable motivation, USC certainly won’t light up the scoreboard as it has in previous bowls. A tight, low-scoring struggle is the most likely scenario here; an outright upset isn’t out of the question.
4* Boston College +9 (got it when it came out)
2* Boston College +7½
2* Boston College/USC Under 46
1* 2 Team, 7 Point Teaser: Boston College +14½, Under 53
The 2009 Music City Bowl matches the same teams that played in the ‘06 game, Kentucky and Clemson. Like that game, the Tigers are again the heavy favorite, laying 7.5 points. They were upset in ‘06 though, 28- 20. The ’09 version of Clemson lost in the ACC title game and carries the disappointment of yet another season without a BCS bowl berth. The Tigers were 8-5 SU and 7-5 ATS, but just 2-3 vs. fellow bowl teams. They are looking to snap a three-game SU and ATS losing streak in bowl games. Kentucky is 7-5 with two sizeable upset wins to its credit, against. Auburn and Georgia. The Wildcats are in this game for the fourth time in five bowl appearances, and have won three straight bowl games overall.
The underdog Wildcats roll into Nashville to rock with the Tigers. Wildcat fans will be dancing in the streets following a Kentucky outright upset tonight. Kentucky, winners of three of its last four, should have no problem downing the Tigers, who are 1-6 ATS as bowl favorites. If Clemson’s poor bowl record isn’t enough, the fact that ACC teams are 9-33 as favorites in bowl games should leave you with no option other than playing a hot Wildcats team. The Wildcats were 5-0 ATS this year on the road I predict a 29- 28 Kentucky upset. SEC teams are 27-11 as an underdog in all bowl games. Lastly, the underdog covers at a 64-percent clip in all bowl games that start Christmas day until the New Year.
Once again Coach Rich Brooks has done a great job with this program. He obviously does not have the talent of other conference teams such as Florida or Alabama. However, his team played very competitively in the league. Kentucky has also been plagued by injuries but most of the team should be back for this game. CJ Spiller is the most exciting guy to watch in College Football, but this Clemson team is average at best on the road and will be playing against a Kentucky team that can run the ball very well. The bottom line in this game is Kentucky has an SEC Defense and deserves more credit then this. Clemson isn't excited about this game and neither are its fans. Ticket sales have been 4-to-1 in favor of Kentucky. The Wildcats are a very live 'dog. They are battle-tested being in the SEC where they faced many of the top-skill position players in the nation. Despite being in the toughest conference and dealing with multiple injuries, the Wildcats still managed seven victories. Kentucky has a balanced attack. The Wildcats averaged 193 yards rushing per game and their offensive line only allowed 15 sacks. Derrick Locke and Randall Cobb give Kentucky a solid 1-2 running punch. Cobb averages 6.4 yards per carry and also is an excellent pass catcher. Locke averages 4.8 yards per run and is a dangerous kick returner.
8* Kentucky Wildcats +7
0
Music City Bowl
LP Field
Nashville, TN
Dec. 27, 2009
8:00 PM EST - ESPN
Kentucky vs Clemson
The 2009 Music City Bowl matches the same teams that played in the ‘06 game, Kentucky and Clemson. Like that game, the Tigers are again the heavy favorite, laying 7.5 points. They were upset in ‘06 though, 28- 20. The ’09 version of Clemson lost in the ACC title game and carries the disappointment of yet another season without a BCS bowl berth. The Tigers were 8-5 SU and 7-5 ATS, but just 2-3 vs. fellow bowl teams. They are looking to snap a three-game SU and ATS losing streak in bowl games. Kentucky is 7-5 with two sizeable upset wins to its credit, against. Auburn and Georgia. The Wildcats are in this game for the fourth time in five bowl appearances, and have won three straight bowl games overall.
The underdog Wildcats roll into Nashville to rock with the Tigers. Wildcat fans will be dancing in the streets following a Kentucky outright upset tonight. Kentucky, winners of three of its last four, should have no problem downing the Tigers, who are 1-6 ATS as bowl favorites. If Clemson’s poor bowl record isn’t enough, the fact that ACC teams are 9-33 as favorites in bowl games should leave you with no option other than playing a hot Wildcats team. The Wildcats were 5-0 ATS this year on the road I predict a 29- 28 Kentucky upset. SEC teams are 27-11 as an underdog in all bowl games. Lastly, the underdog covers at a 64-percent clip in all bowl games that start Christmas day until the New Year.
Once again Coach Rich Brooks has done a great job with this program. He obviously does not have the talent of other conference teams such as Florida or Alabama. However, his team played very competitively in the league. Kentucky has also been plagued by injuries but most of the team should be back for this game. CJ Spiller is the most exciting guy to watch in College Football, but this Clemson team is average at best on the road and will be playing against a Kentucky team that can run the ball very well. The bottom line in this game is Kentucky has an SEC Defense and deserves more credit then this. Clemson isn't excited about this game and neither are its fans. Ticket sales have been 4-to-1 in favor of Kentucky. The Wildcats are a very live 'dog. They are battle-tested being in the SEC where they faced many of the top-skill position players in the nation. Despite being in the toughest conference and dealing with multiple injuries, the Wildcats still managed seven victories. Kentucky has a balanced attack. The Wildcats averaged 193 yards rushing per game and their offensive line only allowed 15 sacks. Derrick Locke and Randall Cobb give Kentucky a solid 1-2 running punch. Cobb averages 6.4 yards per carry and also is an excellent pass catcher. Locke averages 4.8 yards per run and is a dangerous kick returner.
SEC teams have had their way in the Independence Bowl in recent years, winning eight of their L10 appearances while going 7-3 ATS. Georgia will look to continue that trend when it takes on Texas A&M here. The Bulldogs are a touchdown favorite and boast one of the best recent bowl records of any college team, 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS since 1998. They were just 7-5 SU and 4-7 ATS this season however, and haven’t played in a lower-tier bowl game since 2001. Overall in non-conference road games, Georgia is on an impressive run of 21-6 ATS. Texas A&M reaches Shreveport with a 6-6 SU and 6-5 ATS mark, but is riding the momentum of a near-upset of Texas. The Aggies have struggled in bowl games, winning one of their last eight.
Texas A&M had one of the most explosive offenses nationally this season, ranking in the top 25 in passing (292.7 yards per game), rushing (190.4 YPG), total offense (465.3 YPG) and scoring (33.9 points per game). Georgia averaged 27.7 points per game. It is no secret that the Aggies are going to put points on the board and defensively will allow the Bulldogs to do the same. This is bad news for Texas A&M fans. Georgia is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games when they score 29-35 points since 1992. With an almost entirely new coaching staff on the defensive side of the ball for the bowl game, expect my Bulldogs to rise to the occasion and cover the number.
2* Georgia Bulldogs -6 (hook)
1* GA/TX A&M Over 66
0
Independence Bowl
Independence Stadium
Shreveport, LA
Dec. 28, 2009
5:00 PM EST - ESPN2
Texas A&M vs Georgia
SEC teams have had their way in the Independence Bowl in recent years, winning eight of their L10 appearances while going 7-3 ATS. Georgia will look to continue that trend when it takes on Texas A&M here. The Bulldogs are a touchdown favorite and boast one of the best recent bowl records of any college team, 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS since 1998. They were just 7-5 SU and 4-7 ATS this season however, and haven’t played in a lower-tier bowl game since 2001. Overall in non-conference road games, Georgia is on an impressive run of 21-6 ATS. Texas A&M reaches Shreveport with a 6-6 SU and 6-5 ATS mark, but is riding the momentum of a near-upset of Texas. The Aggies have struggled in bowl games, winning one of their last eight.
Texas A&M had one of the most explosive offenses nationally this season, ranking in the top 25 in passing (292.7 yards per game), rushing (190.4 YPG), total offense (465.3 YPG) and scoring (33.9 points per game). Georgia averaged 27.7 points per game. It is no secret that the Aggies are going to put points on the board and defensively will allow the Bulldogs to do the same. This is bad news for Texas A&M fans. Georgia is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games when they score 29-35 points since 1992. With an almost entirely new coaching staff on the defensive side of the ball for the bowl game, expect my Bulldogs to rise to the occasion and cover the number.
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14 units to the +/7 units to the - =+7 units no? or did I miss something.
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