BCS Championship Game
Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA
Jan. 7, 2010
8:10 PM EST - ABC
Texas(2) vs Alabama(1)
Only one of the last five BCS Championship games was decided by single digits. That game was also the last time the title contest was held in Pasadena. Texas is hoping for an encore performance of that magical night, a 41-38 upset of USC behind quarterback Vince Young. It’s Colt McCoy’s turn now, as he plays his final game for the Longhorns. He is undefeated in bowl games, part of a five-game bowl winning streak for head coach Mack Brown’s club. Alabama hopes to make the SEC proud by giving the league its sixth title game SU and ATS victory versus no defeats. The Crimson Tide are just 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS in their L8 bowl games, though. They are 3 point favorites and the chalk has won two straight title games, snapping a stretch of five straight upsets.
The Tide’s impressive destruction of Florida, which some regarded as one of the best of all time, firmly solidified itself as the favorite in this BCS Championship game. Alabama’s numbers are incredible, especially when you consider it plays in the nation’s best conference by far. Nine wins against bowl teams this year, including 5-0 against teams playing on New Year’s Day or a BCS bowl. The Crimson Tide shut down Tim Tebow, Ryan Mallet and Javon Sneed, winning those games by an average score of 30-8! McCoy and the Longhorns are undefeated too, but you can’t help but think they’ve fattened their stats up against inferior opponents like UTEP, Baylor and Kansas. In fact, they’re downright lucky to even be here as a disputed second was the difference in their win over Nebraska in the Big 12 title game. The SEC has easily won each of the last three championship games. After whipping the seemingly unbeatable Gators, I can’t see Alabama being stopped here. Saban built Alabama into a title contender in just three seasons. Just as they did against the Cornhuskers, the Longhorns will struggle against a Crimson Tide defensive scheme which leads the nation in scoring defense (11 points per game) and pass-efficiency defense (88.8) and ranks second - to Texas (62.9 UPG) - in rushing (78.1 yards per game) and total defense (241.8). The time Saban has to game plan, coupled with Heisman-winning running back Mark Ingram and quarterback Greg McElroy, will be too much for the Longhorns to handle. The physical nature of the Alabama’s running game will be the sole difference in this game. Alabama is a TD betterin this game atleast. Texas has high talent at skill positions but rely on speed versus brawn. Teams who were physical gave them issues all year long, Oklahoma, Nebraska and Tex AM all competed and both NU and OU should have beat them. Oklahoma would have, but lost QB Bradford in the first series of the game, and you all saw the Big 12 championship where NU held them to under 150 yards offense and should have won. Texas played an easy schedule, ALABAMA did not. They pounded Florida which is better than Texas on a neutral site and the physical nature of Alabama’s defense and speed of their linebackers will not allow Colt McCoy much time to throw the ball, nor much running room. Sabin a better coach than Mac Brown as well, and Bama is battle tested coming from the tough SEC. The key in this game will be Alabama QB Greg McElroy. Most people do not know McElroy as a household name like McCoy, but he is a very talented QB and best of all he does not turn the ball over with just 4 INT's all season. Alabama has a huge NT on defense in Cody who weights close to 400 pounds and can run just as quick as a linebacker! Texas only has two weapons on offense, and that's QB Colt McCoy and WR Jordan Shipley. Alabama has set up a perfect game plan to take Shipley out of this game, and to try and make others beat them. It's that simple. Meanwhile, Alabama can do it all offensively. They have Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram in the backfield, and his backup Richardson offers a great change-of-pace back when he goes in there. They have star WR Julio Jones, who, in a spread offense, would be putting up stupid numbers. Instead, he's been a team player and is a great blocker downfield, along with an unbelievable playmaker. They also have Maze on the outside who will have a big game with Jones getting a lot of attention. The way Texas struggled to move the ball against Nebraska is a definite red-flag to me going up against the best defense in the land, and you can assume Colt McCoy won't be doing much business against this smash-mouth stop unit. The Tide were favored by single-digits 3 times this year, and they covered ALL 3, beating bowl teams in Virginia Tech, Ole Miss, and LSU. Like their offense, the Texas defense also played relatively worse against better competition, as the Longhorns were only 0.7 yppl better than average defensively against the 5 good offensive teams that they faced (teams that were at least 0.5 yppl better than average). Those teams were Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Missouri, Kansas, and Texas A&M and the Longhorns allowed 5.3 yppl to those 5 teams, who would combine to average 6.0 yppl against an average team. Texas only faced one really good rushing team all season and Texas A&M racked up 212 yards at 5.7 yards per rushing play against the Horns. Texas also wasn't as good defensively against better than average passers, allowing 5.6 yppp to the 7 better than average quarterbacks that they faced, who would combine to average 6.9 yppp against an average defensive team.15* Alabama Crimson Tide -3 (hook, got it yesterday and would make it a 10* play up to -5)
5* Alabama Crimson Tide ML -175
BCS Championship Game
Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA
Jan. 7, 2010
8:10 PM EST - ABC
Texas(2) vs Alabama(1)
Only one of the last five BCS Championship games was decided by single digits. That game was also the last time the title contest was held in Pasadena. Texas is hoping for an encore performance of that magical night, a 41-38 upset of USC behind quarterback Vince Young. It’s Colt McCoy’s turn now, as he plays his final game for the Longhorns. He is undefeated in bowl games, part of a five-game bowl winning streak for head coach Mack Brown’s club. Alabama hopes to make the SEC proud by giving the league its sixth title game SU and ATS victory versus no defeats. The Crimson Tide are just 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS in their L8 bowl games, though. They are 3 point favorites and the chalk has won two straight title games, snapping a stretch of five straight upsets.
The Tide’s impressive destruction of Florida, which some regarded as one of the best of all time, firmly solidified itself as the favorite in this BCS Championship game. Alabama’s numbers are incredible, especially when you consider it plays in the nation’s best conference by far. Nine wins against bowl teams this year, including 5-0 against teams playing on New Year’s Day or a BCS bowl. The Crimson Tide shut down Tim Tebow, Ryan Mallet and Javon Sneed, winning those games by an average score of 30-8! McCoy and the Longhorns are undefeated too, but you can’t help but think they’ve fattened their stats up against inferior opponents like UTEP, Baylor and Kansas. In fact, they’re downright lucky to even be here as a disputed second was the difference in their win over Nebraska in the Big 12 title game. The SEC has easily won each of the last three championship games. After whipping the seemingly unbeatable Gators, I can’t see Alabama being stopped here. Saban built Alabama into a title contender in just three seasons. Just as they did against the Cornhuskers, the Longhorns will struggle against a Crimson Tide defensive scheme which leads the nation in scoring defense (11 points per game) and pass-efficiency defense (88.8) and ranks second - to Texas (62.9 UPG) - in rushing (78.1 yards per game) and total defense (241.8). The time Saban has to game plan, coupled with Heisman-winning running back Mark Ingram and quarterback Greg McElroy, will be too much for the Longhorns to handle. The physical nature of the Alabama’s running game will be the sole difference in this game. Alabama is a TD betterin this game atleast. Texas has high talent at skill positions but rely on speed versus brawn. Teams who were physical gave them issues all year long, Oklahoma, Nebraska and Tex AM all competed and both NU and OU should have beat them. Oklahoma would have, but lost QB Bradford in the first series of the game, and you all saw the Big 12 championship where NU held them to under 150 yards offense and should have won. Texas played an easy schedule, ALABAMA did not. They pounded Florida which is better than Texas on a neutral site and the physical nature of Alabama’s defense and speed of their linebackers will not allow Colt McCoy much time to throw the ball, nor much running room. Sabin a better coach than Mac Brown as well, and Bama is battle tested coming from the tough SEC. The key in this game will be Alabama QB Greg McElroy. Most people do not know McElroy as a household name like McCoy, but he is a very talented QB and best of all he does not turn the ball over with just 4 INT's all season. Alabama has a huge NT on defense in Cody who weights close to 400 pounds and can run just as quick as a linebacker! Texas only has two weapons on offense, and that's QB Colt McCoy and WR Jordan Shipley. Alabama has set up a perfect game plan to take Shipley out of this game, and to try and make others beat them. It's that simple. Meanwhile, Alabama can do it all offensively. They have Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram in the backfield, and his backup Richardson offers a great change-of-pace back when he goes in there. They have star WR Julio Jones, who, in a spread offense, would be putting up stupid numbers. Instead, he's been a team player and is a great blocker downfield, along with an unbelievable playmaker. They also have Maze on the outside who will have a big game with Jones getting a lot of attention. The way Texas struggled to move the ball against Nebraska is a definite red-flag to me going up against the best defense in the land, and you can assume Colt McCoy won't be doing much business against this smash-mouth stop unit. The Tide were favored by single-digits 3 times this year, and they covered ALL 3, beating bowl teams in Virginia Tech, Ole Miss, and LSU. Like their offense, the Texas defense also played relatively worse against better competition, as the Longhorns were only 0.7 yppl better than average defensively against the 5 good offensive teams that they faced (teams that were at least 0.5 yppl better than average). Those teams were Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Missouri, Kansas, and Texas A&M and the Longhorns allowed 5.3 yppl to those 5 teams, who would combine to average 6.0 yppl against an average team. Texas only faced one really good rushing team all season and Texas A&M racked up 212 yards at 5.7 yards per rushing play against the Horns. Texas also wasn't as good defensively against better than average passers, allowing 5.6 yppp to the 7 better than average quarterbacks that they faced, who would combine to average 6.9 yppp against an average defensive team.15* Alabama Crimson Tide -3 (hook, got it yesterday and would make it a 10* play up to -5)
5* Alabama Crimson Tide ML -175
WISDOG1.....Thanks for the support my friend and glad I could be of some help!!!!!
topperchris.....You'll see me around in the other forums to my man. See you soon!
WISDOG1.....Thanks for the support my friend and glad I could be of some help!!!!!
topperchris.....You'll see me around in the other forums to my man. See you soon!
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