Las Vegas Bowl
Sam Boyd Stadium
Las Vegas, NV
Dec. 22, 2009
8:00 PM EST - ESPN
Brigham Young(14) vs Oregon State(18)
Another Las Vegas Bowl, another appearance by BYU. The Cougars make their fifth straight December trip to Sin City, and for 2009, are opposed by Oregon State. The Beavers come in off of bitter disappointment, having just missed a trip to Pasadena and the Rose Bowl after losing at Oregon in the season finale. Overall, they finished 8-4 SU and 7-4 ATS and boast a 6-0 ATS mark over the L2 seasons vs. teams winning 75 percent or more of their games. BYU is 9-3 SU but just 5-7 ATS, having covered only three of its L10 games against the number. Oregon State is on a five-game bowl winning streak and boasts a 4-1 ATS mark. BYU has won just two of its L7 bowl games, with favorites being the victor in all of them.
It’s best to play over on high-totaled games when two good offenses are matched up, and not when it’s just two porous defenses going at it. A bad offense has the tendency to make a bad defense look competent. In this case, BYU and Oregon State both boast top-shelf quarterbacks in Max Hall and Sean Canfield, and that is the type of situation you want to see when searching for high-scoring games. Plus, the reason BYU’s recent Las Vegas Bowl games have been under is because past Cougar teams have been better on the defensive side of the ball. Neither team boasts a dominant defense.
2* Oregon State -3
4* BYU/Oregon State Over 58
1* 2 Team, 7 Point Teaser: Oregon State +4, Over 51
Las Vegas Bowl
Sam Boyd Stadium
Las Vegas, NV
Dec. 22, 2009
8:00 PM EST - ESPN
Brigham Young(14) vs Oregon State(18)
Another Las Vegas Bowl, another appearance by BYU. The Cougars make their fifth straight December trip to Sin City, and for 2009, are opposed by Oregon State. The Beavers come in off of bitter disappointment, having just missed a trip to Pasadena and the Rose Bowl after losing at Oregon in the season finale. Overall, they finished 8-4 SU and 7-4 ATS and boast a 6-0 ATS mark over the L2 seasons vs. teams winning 75 percent or more of their games. BYU is 9-3 SU but just 5-7 ATS, having covered only three of its L10 games against the number. Oregon State is on a five-game bowl winning streak and boasts a 4-1 ATS mark. BYU has won just two of its L7 bowl games, with favorites being the victor in all of them.
It’s best to play over on high-totaled games when two good offenses are matched up, and not when it’s just two porous defenses going at it. A bad offense has the tendency to make a bad defense look competent. In this case, BYU and Oregon State both boast top-shelf quarterbacks in Max Hall and Sean Canfield, and that is the type of situation you want to see when searching for high-scoring games. Plus, the reason BYU’s recent Las Vegas Bowl games have been under is because past Cougar teams have been better on the defensive side of the ball. Neither team boasts a dominant defense.
2* Oregon State -3
4* BYU/Oregon State Over 58
1* 2 Team, 7 Point Teaser: Oregon State +4, Over 51
Fog and Windy
Updated Dec 22 02:25 p.m. PT
Wind Impact: Strong
WNW at 29 mph gusting to 55 mph OVER??????????????????????????????????????
Fog and Windy
Updated Dec 22 02:25 p.m. PT
Wind Impact: Strong
WNW at 29 mph gusting to 55 mph OVER??????????????????????????????????????
There is just too much talent on the field for Oregon State with the Rodgers brothers and lefty QB Sean Canfield may surprise some as being the better QB on the field as he has completed more than 70% of his passes which is quite impressive. James Rodgers will take back kicks and punts and give Oregon State great field position all day long. Oregon State also has a considerable advantage in the field goal game as Justin Kahut is 22 of 27 and 15 of 16 from inside 47 yards while Mitch Payne does not kick many and is just 9 for 13 on the year. Oregon State is more battle tested and although they will have periods of struggle in their pass defense they will rebound with the balanced offense that BYU won't be able to stop. BYU's QB Max Hall is one of the better QB's to come through the University. However, in his three year starting career he has just 13 games where he did not throw an interception. He often forces the ball and tries to make too much happen. Overall BYU has had a weaker schedule and has played 5 defenses that ranked outside the Top 100 of 120 in FBS total defense ranks. The Beavers apply to a solid system that plays on certain Bolw favorites of -3 or less tonight. Byu applies to a Sagarin fade system that has been effective the last few seasons. OSU is 7-1 vs the Mountain West Conference, 6-2 in all bowls the past few years, and 6-3 on Turf. Byu is 0-3 in games with a +3 to-3 spread and have lost 5 of their last 6 as a dog. Look for the Beavers to bounce back from their civil war loss to Oregon with a nice bowl win here.
There is just too much talent on the field for Oregon State with the Rodgers brothers and lefty QB Sean Canfield may surprise some as being the better QB on the field as he has completed more than 70% of his passes which is quite impressive. James Rodgers will take back kicks and punts and give Oregon State great field position all day long. Oregon State also has a considerable advantage in the field goal game as Justin Kahut is 22 of 27 and 15 of 16 from inside 47 yards while Mitch Payne does not kick many and is just 9 for 13 on the year. Oregon State is more battle tested and although they will have periods of struggle in their pass defense they will rebound with the balanced offense that BYU won't be able to stop. BYU's QB Max Hall is one of the better QB's to come through the University. However, in his three year starting career he has just 13 games where he did not throw an interception. He often forces the ball and tries to make too much happen. Overall BYU has had a weaker schedule and has played 5 defenses that ranked outside the Top 100 of 120 in FBS total defense ranks. The Beavers apply to a solid system that plays on certain Bolw favorites of -3 or less tonight. Byu applies to a Sagarin fade system that has been effective the last few seasons. OSU is 7-1 vs the Mountain West Conference, 6-2 in all bowls the past few years, and 6-3 on Turf. Byu is 0-3 in games with a +3 to-3 spread and have lost 5 of their last 6 as a dog. Look for the Beavers to bounce back from their civil war loss to Oregon with a nice bowl win here.
Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego, CA
Dec. 23, 2009
8:00 PM EST - ESPN
Utah(23) vs California
California makes the first ever Pac-10 appearance in San Diego’s Poinsettia Bowl. The Golden Bears are putting their four-game bowl winning streak on the line vs. Utah out of the Mountain West. Cal has been a very high-scoring bowl team, going over the total in six of its L7, averaging 38 points per game. The Bears’ bowl success pales in comparison to Utah’s however, as the Utes own the nation’s longest active bowlgame winning streak, eight games. They are 6-2 ATS in those, including 6-1 ATS as an underdog. Utah finished 9-3 SU and 5-7 ATS in 2009 but was just 2-3 vs. fellow bowl participants. The Utes boast a 24-10 ATS mark when playing rested. California was 8-4, including 4-3 vs. bowl teams, but was blasted 42-10 by Washington in its finale.
Everyone following the Utah football program agrees this year’s 9-3 record is a long way away from last season’s 13-0 mark and final No.2 ranking. That doesn’t mean it wasn’t a successful campaign in Provo, since it was only Utah’s eighth nine-win season all-time. This has become a very stable football program under coach Kyle Whittingham, being able to possibly win 10 games after an undefeated year, despite only four retuning offensive starters. Word out of Provo is the Utes have quickly moved beyond their overtime loss to astringent rival BYU and is looking forward to the challenge of taking on a Pac-10 club, always a point of emphasis for Mountain West schools. The Utes are uber-bowlers with an 11-3 record (9-3 ATS), which includes eight straight triumphs (6-2 ATS). They are a sparkling 6-1 ATS as underdogs.
Utah is 26-7-1 ATS their last 34 games as an underdog and they are 26-12-1 ATS their last 39 Non-Conference games. The Utes are 29-14-1 ATS their last 44 games off an ATS win and they are 6-1 ATS the last 7 Bowl Games. California is 3-13 ATS their last 16 games as favorites of 0.5 to 3.0 points and they are 3-7 ATS their last 10 December games. The Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 yards in their last game and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games as favorites. Utah is as balanced as they get however boasting a 1000 yard rusher and a 1000 yard receiver. The Utes are always quick and they always come to play. The Utes own the nations 6th best pass defense as well, and they hold their opposition QB to a mere 50% completion percentage. They have three losses on the season and they were to #4 TCU, #7 ORE. and # 14 BYU. Now also don't forget that we have a common opponent between these two teams. Utah lost to Oregon by 7, while Oregon defeated Cal by 39!!! Utah also held Jeremiah Masoli of Oregon to 25% completion and less than 100 yards in their meeting earlier in the year. The sure-tackling Utah defense (just 314 ypg) has held nine of 12 foes to 17 points or fewer (and is very familiar with Cal o.c. Andy Ludwig, who held the same post with the Utes in the previous 4 seasons). Plus, despite the frequent fits & starts that plagued the attack this season, Utah does have a ground hammer in hard-charging jr. RB Eddie Wide (1032 YR on 5.7 ypc, 13 TDs), a go-to WR in sure-handed sr. David Reed (75 catches for 1085 yards), and an accurate PK in jr. Joe Phillips (17 of 19 Fgs). Cal is the team that’s disappointed to be here. The Bears were expected to challenge for the Pac-10 championship this year, but back-to-back disastrous losses to Oregon and USC – by the combined score of 72-6! – ended those dreams. Then the Bears limped to the finish line, losing two of their final four games, including a 42-10 loss at Washington as a 6½-point road favorite to end the regular season. Cal completely quit in that game, and because of that, I doubt they’ll play with much energy tonight. Utah should have solid defensive success considering Cal's offensive coordinator was at Utah the past four seasons. The Utes are very familiar with Andy Ludwig's attack and they have plenty of time to prepare. Utah also has a solid edge in the kicking game as the Utes always seem to find one of the country's best place kickers, Joe Phillips is 17 of 19 on the season.3* Utah Utes +3
Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego, CA
Dec. 23, 2009
8:00 PM EST - ESPN
Utah(23) vs California
California makes the first ever Pac-10 appearance in San Diego’s Poinsettia Bowl. The Golden Bears are putting their four-game bowl winning streak on the line vs. Utah out of the Mountain West. Cal has been a very high-scoring bowl team, going over the total in six of its L7, averaging 38 points per game. The Bears’ bowl success pales in comparison to Utah’s however, as the Utes own the nation’s longest active bowlgame winning streak, eight games. They are 6-2 ATS in those, including 6-1 ATS as an underdog. Utah finished 9-3 SU and 5-7 ATS in 2009 but was just 2-3 vs. fellow bowl participants. The Utes boast a 24-10 ATS mark when playing rested. California was 8-4, including 4-3 vs. bowl teams, but was blasted 42-10 by Washington in its finale.
Everyone following the Utah football program agrees this year’s 9-3 record is a long way away from last season’s 13-0 mark and final No.2 ranking. That doesn’t mean it wasn’t a successful campaign in Provo, since it was only Utah’s eighth nine-win season all-time. This has become a very stable football program under coach Kyle Whittingham, being able to possibly win 10 games after an undefeated year, despite only four retuning offensive starters. Word out of Provo is the Utes have quickly moved beyond their overtime loss to astringent rival BYU and is looking forward to the challenge of taking on a Pac-10 club, always a point of emphasis for Mountain West schools. The Utes are uber-bowlers with an 11-3 record (9-3 ATS), which includes eight straight triumphs (6-2 ATS). They are a sparkling 6-1 ATS as underdogs.
Utah is 26-7-1 ATS their last 34 games as an underdog and they are 26-12-1 ATS their last 39 Non-Conference games. The Utes are 29-14-1 ATS their last 44 games off an ATS win and they are 6-1 ATS the last 7 Bowl Games. California is 3-13 ATS their last 16 games as favorites of 0.5 to 3.0 points and they are 3-7 ATS their last 10 December games. The Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 yards in their last game and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games as favorites. Utah is as balanced as they get however boasting a 1000 yard rusher and a 1000 yard receiver. The Utes are always quick and they always come to play. The Utes own the nations 6th best pass defense as well, and they hold their opposition QB to a mere 50% completion percentage. They have three losses on the season and they were to #4 TCU, #7 ORE. and # 14 BYU. Now also don't forget that we have a common opponent between these two teams. Utah lost to Oregon by 7, while Oregon defeated Cal by 39!!! Utah also held Jeremiah Masoli of Oregon to 25% completion and less than 100 yards in their meeting earlier in the year. The sure-tackling Utah defense (just 314 ypg) has held nine of 12 foes to 17 points or fewer (and is very familiar with Cal o.c. Andy Ludwig, who held the same post with the Utes in the previous 4 seasons). Plus, despite the frequent fits & starts that plagued the attack this season, Utah does have a ground hammer in hard-charging jr. RB Eddie Wide (1032 YR on 5.7 ypc, 13 TDs), a go-to WR in sure-handed sr. David Reed (75 catches for 1085 yards), and an accurate PK in jr. Joe Phillips (17 of 19 Fgs). Cal is the team that’s disappointed to be here. The Bears were expected to challenge for the Pac-10 championship this year, but back-to-back disastrous losses to Oregon and USC – by the combined score of 72-6! – ended those dreams. Then the Bears limped to the finish line, losing two of their final four games, including a 42-10 loss at Washington as a 6½-point road favorite to end the regular season. Cal completely quit in that game, and because of that, I doubt they’ll play with much energy tonight. Utah should have solid defensive success considering Cal's offensive coordinator was at Utah the past four seasons. The Utes are very familiar with Andy Ludwig's attack and they have plenty of time to prepare. Utah also has a solid edge in the kicking game as the Utes always seem to find one of the country's best place kickers, Joe Phillips is 17 of 19 on the season.3* Utah Utes +3
Hawaii Bowl
Aloha Bowl
Honolulu, HI
Dec. 24, 2009
8:00 PM EST - ESPN
Southern Methodist vs Nevada
SMU last played in a bowl game in 1984, and will look to repeat that 27-20 Aloha Bowl win when it travels to the Island to take on Nevada on Christmas Eve. It’s been a remarkable turnaround for the Mustangs, who have completed the journey from "Death Penalty" program to finally playing in a bowl game. Much credit goes to June Jones, former coach of Hawaii, who guided the team to a 7-5 finish in 2009. They are a huge 12-point dog though, to a Nevada team that was 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS down the stretch, scoring 49.6 points per game after starting 0-3. The Wolf Pack are in a bowl game for a fifth straight year and last played in this game in ‘05, winning 49-48 over UCF. They have not won a bowl contest since.
The Hawaii Bowl has gone over the total 12 times in the last 14 games, and the winning team has scored almost 45 points. Nevada hits the mark again this season, but the game total will fall just short of 73.5. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 27.2 PPG, SMU 29.1. Play Under - Any team against the total (SMU/NEVADA) - in a bowl game, in a non- conference game between two teams from second-tier conferences. (34-8 over the last 10 seasons.)(81 percent, +25.2 units).
1* Nevada Wolf Pack -12
3* SMU/Nevada Under 73
Hawaii Bowl
Aloha Bowl
Honolulu, HI
Dec. 24, 2009
8:00 PM EST - ESPN
Southern Methodist vs Nevada
SMU last played in a bowl game in 1984, and will look to repeat that 27-20 Aloha Bowl win when it travels to the Island to take on Nevada on Christmas Eve. It’s been a remarkable turnaround for the Mustangs, who have completed the journey from "Death Penalty" program to finally playing in a bowl game. Much credit goes to June Jones, former coach of Hawaii, who guided the team to a 7-5 finish in 2009. They are a huge 12-point dog though, to a Nevada team that was 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS down the stretch, scoring 49.6 points per game after starting 0-3. The Wolf Pack are in a bowl game for a fifth straight year and last played in this game in ‘05, winning 49-48 over UCF. They have not won a bowl contest since.
The Hawaii Bowl has gone over the total 12 times in the last 14 games, and the winning team has scored almost 45 points. Nevada hits the mark again this season, but the game total will fall just short of 73.5. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 27.2 PPG, SMU 29.1. Play Under - Any team against the total (SMU/NEVADA) - in a bowl game, in a non- conference game between two teams from second-tier conferences. (34-8 over the last 10 seasons.)(81 percent, +25.2 units).
1* Nevada Wolf Pack -12
3* SMU/Nevada Under 73

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