Posted:
#3801
WEEK 2 ...
Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge!
🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets
Posted:
#3802
OSU deemed #1 in new polls
Texas drops to 7th place, despite outperforming OSU while playing on the road
Key game stats, Texas @OSU:
...........................TEX......OSU
First downs: 16 11
Net yards: 336 203
Net YPP: 5.0 3.8
50+ yd drives: 3 2
Turnovers: 1 0 OSU scores off this break!
Penalties: 6/50 2/15 OSU gains significant benefit!
**Note: after an impressive 15 plays/70 yd drive mid-3Q, trailing 0 - 7, and with a 2nd & goal at the OSU 4, poor execution on 3 consecutive plays cost the Longhorns a TD........in a 7 pt loss.
Although OSU won, the stats say they were out performed by Texas!
I always ask myself, how would this likely play out had the venues been reversed and it was a TEXAS home game in Austin?
Posted:
#3804
My TOP 20 ratings (ranked) after week #1
Note: W/L is disregarded here. My ratings are based on the strength/performances of the teams relative to 136 schools.
G+ ..........Penn St.
G+ ..........Texas
G+ ..........Oregon
G+ ..........Georgia
G+/G ......Ohio St.
G+/G ......Miami
G+/G ......Notre Dame
G+/G ......Iowa St.
G+/G ......Illinois
G+/G ......LSU
G+/G ......Clemson
G+/G ......Florida
G+/G ......Indiana
G+/G ......Ole' Miss
G+/G ......Arizona St.
G+/G ......Alabama
G+/G ......Seminoles
g+/G .......Tex.A/M
g+/G .......USC
g+/G .......Michigan
Posted:
#3805
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
OSU deemed #1 in new polls Texas drops to 7th place, despite outperforming OSU while playing on the road Key game stats, Texas @OSU: ...........................TEX......OSUFirst downs: 16 11Net yards: 336 203Net YPP: 5.0 3.850+ yd drives: 3 2 Turnovers: 1 0 OSU scores off this break!Penalties: 6/50 2/15 OSU gains significant benefit! **Note: after an impressive 15 plays/70 yd drive mid-3Q, trailing 0 - 7, and with a 2nd & goal at the OSU 4, poor execution on 3 consecutive plays cost the Longhorns a TD........in a 7 pt loss. Although OSU won, the stats say they were out performed by Texas! I always ask myself, how would this likely play out had the venues been reversed and it was a TEXAS home game in Austin?
OSU deemed #1 in new polls Texas drops to 7th place, despite outperforming OSU while playing on the road Key game stats, Texas @OSU: ...........................TEX......OSUFirst downs: 16 11Net yards: 336 203Net YPP: 5.0 3.850+ yd drives: 3 2 Turnovers: 1 0 OSU scores off this break!Penalties: 6/50 2/15 OSU gains significant benefit! **Note: after an impressive 15 plays/70 yd drive mid-3Q, trailing 0 - 7, and with a 2nd & goal at the OSU 4, poor execution on 3 consecutive plays cost the Longhorns a TD........in a 7 pt loss. Although OSU won, the stats say they were out performed by Texas! I always ask myself, how would this likely play out had the venues been reversed and it was a TEXAS home game in Austin?
Glass half full FUBAH 
....respectfully..... outplayed only on one facet of the game!
I think for individual talent, the stars of OSU far outweigh stars of Texas right now.... but, I reserve the right to change my mind by the end of the season. I need to see more from Texas. The game was splat in my opinion. I watched it and a few more. LSU might outplay both of them potentially if they continue to play like they did and even improve....wow they were impressive. The defense for LSU was wow.....speed and timely, especially in the secondary where they covered and competed every ball.
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#3806
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: OSU deemed #1 in new polls Texas drops to 7th place, despite outperforming OSU while playing on the road Key game stats, Texas @OSU: ...........................TEX......OSUFirst downs: 16 11Net yards: 336 203Net YPP: 5.0 3.850+ yd drives: 3 2 Turnovers: 1 0 OSU scores off this break!Penalties: 6/50 2/15 OSU gains significant benefit! **Note: after an impressive 15 plays/70 yd drive mid-3Q, trailing 0 - 7, and with a 2nd & goal at the OSU 4, poor execution on 3 consecutive plays cost the Longhorns a TD........in a 7 pt loss. Although OSU won, the stats say they were out performed by Texas! I always ask myself, how would this likely play out had the venues been reversed and it was a TEXAS home game in Austin? Glass half full FUBAH ....respectfully..... outplayed only on one facet of the game! I think for individual talent, the stars of OSU far outweigh stars of Texas right now.... but, I reserve the right to change my mind by the end of the season. I need to see more from Texas. The game was splat in my opinion. I watched it and a few more. LSU might outplay both of them potentially if they continue to play like they did and even improve....wow they were impressive. The defense for LSU was wow.....speed and timely, especially in the secondary where they covered and competed every ball.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: OSU deemed #1 in new polls Texas drops to 7th place, despite outperforming OSU while playing on the road Key game stats, Texas @OSU: ...........................TEX......OSUFirst downs: 16 11Net yards: 336 203Net YPP: 5.0 3.850+ yd drives: 3 2 Turnovers: 1 0 OSU scores off this break!Penalties: 6/50 2/15 OSU gains significant benefit! **Note: after an impressive 15 plays/70 yd drive mid-3Q, trailing 0 - 7, and with a 2nd & goal at the OSU 4, poor execution on 3 consecutive plays cost the Longhorns a TD........in a 7 pt loss. Although OSU won, the stats say they were out performed by Texas! I always ask myself, how would this likely play out had the venues been reversed and it was a TEXAS home game in Austin? Glass half full FUBAH ....respectfully..... outplayed only on one facet of the game! I think for individual talent, the stars of OSU far outweigh stars of Texas right now.... but, I reserve the right to change my mind by the end of the season. I need to see more from Texas. The game was splat in my opinion. I watched it and a few more. LSU might outplay both of them potentially if they continue to play like they did and even improve....wow they were impressive. The defense for LSU was wow.....speed and timely, especially in the secondary where they covered and competed every ball.
LSU looked good to be sure, but SEMINOLES looked awesome, imo.
But like you say, we need to see much more for a truly accurate rating...
Posted:
#3809
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WEEK 2 ... Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge! My $$ bets so far:(my ratings shown....bets @Pinnacle unless indicated) G+/G .....ILLINOIS -2.5 -128 alt *BBm+/M.....Duke
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WEEK 2 ... Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge! My $$ bets so far:(my ratings shown....bets @Pinnacle unless indicated) G+/G .....ILLINOIS -2.5 -128 alt *BBm+/M.....Duke
G..........Iowa
G+/G....IOWA ST. -3 -109
Posted:
#3810
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WEEK 2 ... Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WEEK 2 ... Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge!
My $$ bets so far:
(my ratings shown....bets @Pinnacle unless indicated)
G+/G .....ILLINOIS -2.5 -128 alt *BB
m+/M.....Duke
G..........Iowa
G+/G....IOWA ST. -3 -109
If unclear, the team including the posted odds are my $$ bets.
I have posted this warning before so beware: my record over the decades BEFORE OCTOBER is roughly between mediocre and poor, due to lack of sufficient stats. But beginning in October (NFL & CFB) my capping method has sufficient stats/results to work with and I usually profit. But no guarantees...
More to come . . .
Posted:
#3811
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WEEK 2 ... Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge! My $$ bets so far:(my ratings shown....bets @Pinnacle unless indicated) G+/G .....ILLINOIS -2.5 -128 alt *BBm+/M.....Duke
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WEEK 2 ... Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge! My $$ bets so far:(my ratings shown....bets @Pinnacle unless indicated) G+/G .....ILLINOIS -2.5 -128 alt *BBm+/M.....Duke
ok ill go with illinois -3 thx 
"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
Posted:
#3813
@fubah2
Class act with humbleness to even offer up “beware” tells you all you need to know… Fubah 100% shares to honestly help others and with no agenda or ego. A novice handicapper could learn life time lessons just watching and following along. The best of the best of the best…
Never told why I was banned and gave my best always to the forums
Posted:
#3814
Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WEEK 2 ... Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge! My $$ bets so far:(my ratings shown....bets @Pinnacle unless indicated) G+/G .....ILLINOIS -2.5 -128 alt *BBm+/M.....Duke ok ill go with illinois -3 thx
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WEEK 2 ... Lean to TOLEDO ...pending review of injuries...full tier edge! My $$ bets so far:(my ratings shown....bets @Pinnacle unless indicated) G+/G .....ILLINOIS -2.5 -128 alt *BBm+/M.....Duke ok ill go with illinois -3 thx
Hey Kelly, something you may want to consider, which I do occasionally is to play the -2.75 on a line like this matchup.. I’ll put half on -3 and half on a juiced -2.5 =-2.75 some call it European Handicapping…I prefer it to paying full vig for a .5 point. Limits exposure over the long haul as a daily player. GL
I think Mr. Mensah is about to be very humbled by this Illini defense… in this matchup I see clear BIG10 domination and agree with the legend King Fubah …great spot! 
Unfortunate news is I like Iowa +3.5 and I am not looking forward to being opposite John Wayne.
Ha, may your September be better than ever 
Never told why I was banned and gave my best always to the forums
Posted:
#3815
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
... my experience suggests Texas likely would have prevailed AT HOME by 14+
fwiw I would have this Texas -7.5 or so. Was very impressed with Buckeyes defense schemes and players. To me the coaching advantage went to Ohio State, and I also feel the home advantage Columbus is 5.0 and at Texas 4.3.
... my experience suggests Texas likely would have prevailed AT HOME by 14+
College station is another 5.0 for me…Knoxville, Baton Rouge at night, Columbus at high noon, Autzen, West Point in a way, Clemson, Gainesville yup, IOWA, Air Force at C Springs elevation , a Penn st white out, Lubbock and to a degree Ftworth and TCU can also kinda bring it.
Lincoln is trying again, Norman also…for 40 years they owned it. Madison and Manhattan, Ks are two more spots you do not want to take your team into. Georgia recent run is absurd… no one wins there. Nobody. Tuscaloosa and the frat boys of course hahaha and THE big house Ann Arbor Michigan I also add an ‘ to their home advantage.
Went a little wild there, ha, but I do think the above mentioned deserve a -3.75 home advantage vs the Usual -3. Quick glance at top 25, i can’t say Texas, Miami, ND, ASU, SMU, can claim that same extra tick advantage at home. Just my ideas GL Fuby!
Never told why I was banned and gave my best always to the forums
Posted:
#3816
Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ... my experience suggests Texas likely would have prevailed AT HOME by 14+ fwiw I would have this Texas -7.5 or so. Was very impressed with Buckeyes defense schemes and players. To me the coaching advantage went to Ohio State, and I also feel the home advantage Columbus is 5.0 and at Texas 4.3. College station is another 5.0 for me…Knoxville, Baton Rouge at night, Columbus at high noon, Autzen, West Point in a way, Clemson, Gainesville yup, IOWA, Air Force at C Springs elevation , a Penn st white out, Lubbock and to a degree Ftworth and TCU can also kinda bring it. Lincoln is trying again, Norman also…for 40 years they owned it. Madison and Manhattan, Ks are two more spots you do not want to take your team into. Georgia recent run is absurd… no one wins there. Nobody. Tuscaloosa and the frat boys of course hahaha and THE big house Ann Arbor Michigan I also add an ‘ to their home advantage. Went a little wild there, ha, but I do think the above mentioned deserve a -3.75 home advantage vs the Usual -3. Quick glance at top 25, i can’t say Texas, Miami, ND, ASU, SMU, can claim that same extra tick advantage at home. Just my ideas GL Fuby!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ... my experience suggests Texas likely would have prevailed AT HOME by 14+ fwiw I would have this Texas -7.5 or so. Was very impressed with Buckeyes defense schemes and players. To me the coaching advantage went to Ohio State, and I also feel the home advantage Columbus is 5.0 and at Texas 4.3. College station is another 5.0 for me…Knoxville, Baton Rouge at night, Columbus at high noon, Autzen, West Point in a way, Clemson, Gainesville yup, IOWA, Air Force at C Springs elevation , a Penn st white out, Lubbock and to a degree Ftworth and TCU can also kinda bring it. Lincoln is trying again, Norman also…for 40 years they owned it. Madison and Manhattan, Ks are two more spots you do not want to take your team into. Georgia recent run is absurd… no one wins there. Nobody. Tuscaloosa and the frat boys of course hahaha and THE big house Ann Arbor Michigan I also add an ‘ to their home advantage. Went a little wild there, ha, but I do think the above mentioned deserve a -3.75 home advantage vs the Usual -3. Quick glance at top 25, i can’t say Texas, Miami, ND, ASU, SMU, can claim that same extra tick advantage at home. Just my ideas GL Fuby!
Good stuff!
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