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🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

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Posted: #3776

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Sunday, AUG 31:

 LIVE BET, score 7 - 2 late 1Q ...

VT/SC Both teams to score 10+?  Yes -450 @B365

 

 

WINNER!  an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #3777

Great job Fubah!an_getaway

 
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Posted: #3778

@fubah2  hope your watching the nd/mia game 

 

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #3779

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

@fubah2  hope your watching the nd/mia game

Yes.  After 2 possessions each, no score. 

BIG BREAK for Miami at the ND 24 (fumble rec)

then BIG BREAK for ND on the blown FG attempt...

 
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Posted: #3780

I saw ND +6.5 live but couldn’t catch it… 

Never told why I was banned and gave my best always to the forums
 
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Posted: #3781

2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB

 
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Posted: #3782

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB

2Q, under 8 mins left...ND ball...LIVE BET: Game UNDER 45.5 -250  alt-total@B365 *BB

 
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Posted: #3783

Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods:

I saw ND +6.5 live but couldn’t catch it…

I am holding off on ND for now....

 
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Posted: #3784

lmao just thought if games go ot .... hope to ck the current rules ..but got a get some food.. good luck

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #3785

PUSSYGALORE333   .. messed up posted twice sort of so here ya go      WOODS  i saw +7.5 but juice like ? -136 .. had to fill this spot with something different..

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #3786

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

PUSSYGALORE333   lmao just thought if games go ot .... hope to ck the current rules ..but got a get some food.. good luck  EDIT   sorry bud thought i was in another thread ...

cool Yeah, but are we having fun yet? an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #3787

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB

sad Bummer....FG attempt only woulda been a win, but they got a late TD.

 

That puts my BB game total at jeopardy as well sad

 
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Posted: #3788

fubah2   Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB  Bummer....FG attempt only woulda been a win, but they got a late TD.   sure looked like a winner.. didn't miss your live post by much but the line was 16-  .......... so that saved me.... hope you get the game under...  clover

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #3789

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB  Bummer....FG attempt only woulda been a win, but they got a late TD.   That puts my BB game total at jeopardy as well

All scores count of course.... but, that said, the last 2 TDs scored were wildly fortunate to happen.  However if it appears the bad luck will continue with more unexpected scoring I will be looking to hedge some to save a unit or two if possible.

 
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Posted: #3790

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB  Bummer....FG attempt only woulda been a win, but they got a late TD.   That puts my BB game total at jeopardy as well All scores count of course.... but, that said, the last 2 TDs scored were wildly fortunate to happen.  However if it appears the bad luck will continue with more unexpected scoring I will be looking to hedge some to save a unit or two if possible.

 

LIVE hedge BET: less than 3 mins left in 3Q...game OVER 41.5 -250 *BB alt-total @B365

 
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Posted: #3791

Undeniably, the SEMINOLES were, so far, including tonight, the best performance this weekend and better than EVERY top rated team

 
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Posted: #3792

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB  Bummer....FG attempt only woulda been a win, but they got a late TD.   That puts my BB game total at jeopardy as well All scores count of course.... but, that said, the last 2 TDs scored were wildly fortunate to happen.  However if it appears the bad luck will continue with more unexpected scoring I will be looking to hedge some to save a unit or two if possible.   LIVE hedge BET: less than 3 mins left in 3Q...game OVER 41.5 -250 *BB alt-total @B365

 

ND just scored to make it  21 - 14... 

Technically I guess I have a longshot at a middle on my game totals if the rest of the 4Q is at least 7 pts but no more than 10, for +2.0 units!

Alas, I'm usually just not that fortunate,sad  so I expect to split my hedged totals for a -1.50u LOSS...

 
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Posted: #3793

Look at upcoming matchups, per my preseason ratings. (these are not bets, just analysis)
You decide if there is value within...

I use 7 main tiers for RATING team strength among all 136 FBS teams:

          G+       G        M+        M        M-        W       W- 

 Whereby  G = GOOD......... M = Mediocre/Middlin ........W = Weak

 

Labor Day:

 

G /M+......Horny Frogs -3.5

M+/M.......Tar Heels  +3.5

 

cool Line is about right where it should be based on my TIER structure ratings.  They are about a FULL tier apart.  According to the stats I keep, this equates (roughly, not exact!) to about a -6 pts edge to TCU on a neutral field.  However, since this is in Chapel Hill, TCU yields 3 pts (approx) to the NC home field advantage.....so the line should be around -3 give or take a half pt either way.

Could easily make a case for either team to cover this spread. 

For me, without stats/performance results to support my initial inclination, any pick would amount to a "guess" at this point in the season .....meaning, hello coin-flip! an_nailbiter .... so this is a "watch & wait" for me, being ready for an advantageous bet on either team or props in LIVE PLAY if and only if it has value and a good chance for success (no guessing and hoping like an addicted gambler)

 

As always in sports, almost anything can happen. The final score may well be a blow out for either team or a nail-biter. 

Injuries could blow up the best pregame analysis in all sports!

Fortuitous TURNOVERS - particularly in key spots on the field - or big punt/kick returns! - commonly flip game covers.

 
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Posted: #3794

 

i took tcu -170 ml  

 

gl tonight fubah  thumbs_up

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
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Posted: #3795

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

i took tcu -170 ml     gl tonight fubah

@KellyM_1964

 cool OK. BoL clover

 
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Posted: #3796

@fubah2

 On the Frogs as well...

Ribbit Ribbit

an_cheers

 
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Posted: #3797

Wow!  That drive for TD looked genuinely EASY! an_eek2

 
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Posted: #3798

Pick 6 looked easy too   an_eek2

 

 
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Posted: #3799

Too much speed and skill….Frogs could contend for Big 12 if defense continues to play this well.. 

enjoy 2nd half buddy an_cheers

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Posted: #3800

Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods:

Too much speed and skill….Frogs could contend for Big 12 if defense continues to play this well..  enjoy 2nd half buddy

 

Yep.  Only mid 3Q and they lead 41 - 7 ......it's an unexpected  rout (off a -3.5 line!)

 

....and the stands in Chapel Hill are emptying quickly....

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