Vegas vs KenPom Week 9

Thanks for the reply. I am surprised the system uses such a limited amount of betting data. Those numbers are derived from

Covers "All Players" consensus shows the number of picks in the league cash contests made by all players. If the percentage of picks exceeds 59%, the game is highlighted.

That can't be a huge sample. For example if you use Sports Options they are giving you the % of all sportsbooks where you have tens of thousands of wagers going into the numbers rather than a few handfuls.

This whole proces could be taken to the next level and refined further, not that the current process isn't good. I think if you use a consensus of all bettors that will help and I wouldn't use Betonline's opening number I would use Pinnacles. It would be interesting to see how the number of plays would change and what the results might be.

Perhaps you could do a dual run, one which you have today vs what I prescribed above. See what matches up and use that as a super set of results.

Right now you are relying on one set of sampling and there should be another set to help further refine.

Just a thought.

Continued success.

jr

[IMG]https://img718.imageshack.us/img718/4605/76903008.jpg[/IMG]

Hopefully this shows up here, this is what sports options looks like. I mashed it together just for the Yale/Brown game. The books you see are the ones I put up that I monitor. There's a ton of other choices but I find these to be the best to follow.

Indiana St is now +10 to +10.5 depending on where you wager. Unless some local fell asleep 13.5 is long gone.

Some good additional thoughts, this is what helps makes something great........ greater.

https://livestats.prestosports.com/brown/mbkb/?e=0ncoo1xl5q9svnak

Yale/Brown