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Vegas vs KenPom Week 8

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Prospect
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Posted: #176
Thanks stiffler
 
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Posted: #177
Quote Originally Posted by trabs9:

Stiffler, you are awesome.  I double-checked my finds and after hunting for the most favorable opening line, all of my finds now match your list. 

There was only one that I would suggest including that you didn't have.

San Diego St. (opened 1.5 / KP 4)

Spreadsheet is updated if you want access to the hard data.

Thanks man, On betonline, they had them opened up at -2.5 at 3:18, at 3:37 still -2.5. At 5:46pm they went to -1.5. Thats why I didnt include them.

 
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Posted: #178
Quote Originally Posted by stiffler1705:

IUPUI +8 (home, dog, toward)

JMU +4 ½ (home, dog, toward)

Lasalle +2 (away, dog, toward)

Ark St -3 ½ (home, fav, toward)

Portland +23 (away, dog, none)

Detroit +5 (away, dog, toward)

Santa Clara +19 (away, dog, none)

UC-River +6 (away, dog, toward)

Cal-North -8 ½ (home, fav, toward) Over 65% a no play now..

Samford +4 (home, dog, toward)

Tenn Tech +12 (away, dog, toward)

E. Wash -1 (away, fav, toward)

Miami Oh PK (home, dog, away)

Boise St -10 (home, fav, toward)

UL-Monroe +6 ½ (home, dog, toward)

Umass PK (Home, none)

Miss State +1 ½ (home, dog, toward)

N. Mex -3 ½ (away, fav, toward)

Brown +13 (away, dog, toward)

Charolette +5 (home, dog, toward)

Oklahoma +3 (home, dog, toward)

William/Mary +9 ½ (away, dog, toward)

Boston College +10 (home, dog, toward)

ULL -10 (home, fav, none)

Please feel free to double check. Northridge is over 65%. I came off a busy night at work. Lets get some money.

 
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Posted: #179
Minor note, I think UC Riverside is at home
 
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Posted: #180

Quote Originally Posted by indiana49er:

Minor note, I think UC Riverside is at home

Yep wrote it down wrong, sorry man.

 
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Posted: #181
missed the money lines, but still working out.  Using trabs' unit system I bet a lot more on Brown than I normally would have. NIce work guys
 
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Posted: #182
Stiff, 
I got mostly the same. Except I also have penn, loyola marymount, and tcu. Am I missing something? I'm trying to do this on my phone an it is a huge pain
 
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Posted: #183
Anyone have the times that these games go off like what was done before in this thread?? How are you guys doing so far today ??
 
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Posted: #184
3-1 so far, I believe
 
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Posted: #185

3-2 Indiana.

ULM time changed to 2 pm and lost. 

So far guys, there have been 10 games started.  Official plays are 9-1 to the first half line.  8 have been leading at the half, 1 tied, and then ULM got waxed.

I might start playing them all 1H.

 
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Posted: #186
Quote Originally Posted by jeast:

I might start playing them all 1H.

I notice that also. Brown and W&M were in control in the first half

 
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Posted: #187
these picks r on fire excellent work to all the contributors.  fun to win.  Keep it rolling boys.
 
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Posted: #188

i've got it at 10-4 right now if you include Boise, which I did not because they had 64%.  Anyways we are rockin, and the unit play percentage is working awesome for me.

 

And my 49ers won me some money on the straight up ML bet!!!!!

 
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Posted: #189
Wrong time to follow was late this afternoon .. Ouch .. Glad I bet small ... So much for that 1st half theory ..
 
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Posted: #190
Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

Stiff, 
I got mostly the same. Except I also have penn, loyola marymount, and tcu. Am I missing something? I'm trying to do this on my phone an it is a huge pain

Sorry Beaver, My wife had plans for me today after I got home from the Fire Station. All I do when Im checking is go to vegasinsider.com, go to basketball matchups, click line movements, and scroll down to betonline.com cause they are the early release. I click every game write it down then go to KP and check.

If those were plays cool, I didnt have them, but I may have made a mistake. If theres a site you want us to use for lines lmk I ll use that.

Right now I have us 11-11-1 with St. Marys to go.

LMK bro, as always I appreciate the hard work. Tough this morning battling a head cold, up all night at the Fire Station so I could of made a mistake.

 
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Posted: #191

Rather disappointed no one could take a minute or two to answer my questions in my post. I want to be able to learn and contribute but alas no such luck.

Here's what I use for my opening lines for CBB

https://freaksforum.com/sportsoptions/lines.php?sport=ncaabb&period=0

Hopefully that will help someone and be of value.

jr

 

 

 
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Posted: #192
Quote Originally Posted by stiffler1705:

Right now I have us 11-11-1 with St. Marys to go.

 I still came out ahead today by using trabs' betting system, went heavier on the road dogs and skipped a couple of the home faves.

 
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Posted: #193
Quote Originally Posted by indiana49er:

 I still came out ahead today by using trabs' betting system, went heavier on the road dogs and skipped a couple of the home faves.

Can you please explain where you take your 65 % from .. what site and how you use to determine if you will bet the side or not . I sure would appreciate trying to filter some the games myself ..
 
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Posted: #194

St Johns, Valpo, Evansville, Washington, Indiana State, Drake, also Mayland over 65% 

 
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Posted: #195
Quote Originally Posted by Candyman2011:

St Johns, Valpo, Evansville, Washington, Indiana State, Drake, also Mayland over 65% 

Where do you get the Consensus from ?? I want to help out ?? I don't get Kenpom matchups but maybe someone will post the link ???
 
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Posted: #196

Kelly Criterion Method
Yesterday: 13 - 7
Since 1/13/2012 - 14-7
Total: +259.42

Week 8 Inputs
Starting bankrol: 500.00
Home, Favorite, Away 55.6% or 34
Home, Dog, Away 56.6% or 44
Away, Fav, Away 58.6% or 65
Away, Dog, Away 59.5% or 75
Home, Fav, Towards 52.3 or 0
Home, Dog, Towards 53.3% or 10
Away, Fav, Towards 53.9% or 16
Away, Dog, Towards 54.9% or 26

 
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Posted: #197
Quote Originally Posted by trabs9:

Kelly Criterion Method
Yesterday: 13 - 7
Since 1/13/2012 - 14-7
Total: +259.42

Week 8 Inputs
Starting bankrol: 500.00
Home, Favorite, Away 55.6% or 34
Home, Dog, Away 56.6% or 44
Away, Fav, Away 58.6% or 65
Away, Dog, Away 59.5% or 75
Home, Fav, Towards 52.3 or 0
Home, Dog, Towards 53.3% or 10
Away, Fav, Towards 53.9% or 16
Away, Dog, Towards 54.9% or 26

Do you have a link to both Kenpom matchups and consensus ???
 
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Posted: #198

? Initial finds for today ?

Washington -8.5
Maryland -2, above 65% consensus right now on Covers
Drake +-1
St. John's +6
Indiana St.+8

 
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Posted: #199

Upside, go to www.kenpom.com and go to FanMatch.  The consensus are on covers.com. 

 
 
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Posted: #200

Upside, go to www.kenpom.com and go to FanMatch.  The consensus are on covers.com. 

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