I wanted to go back to something I brought up a few days ago about the same teams showing up under the system and in those cases where they are getting smacked again and again. The conclusion that I've come up with is these teams have no depth to compete for the full game against the better teams in their conference hence the failure to cover even though they may have covered the 1H. E. Carolina, Rice, SMU, Towson, W&M, Citadel keep showing up as plays and they are killing us. How to filter out the crap teams that just can't compete even though Vegas gives them the benefit of the doubt? My answer is to use the KP Thrill Score. Any game that is below 30 is eliminated from play. That prevents us from playing a game between 2 crap teams where we shouldn't be laying or taking points and prevents us from playing a team that just can't compete on a regular basis. They will have their flashes of brilliance but I'm not interested in being a hero by picking these teams. An added benefit is reducing the number of plays. If you're playing a decent amount of money on each of these plays you know what 23 games on the same day feels like. I've run the numbers for the last 14 days and I'm a little burnt out but here's what I've found. If anyone wants to do other weeks with this filter and report back, great, but I've seen enough.
Last 14 days starting with games of Thurs. 1/12:
Regular plays per the thread 58-56 with the last week being an awful 22-34
Filtered plays with 30+ Thrill Score 40-21 with the last week being 17-10
If you really wanted to get cute and reverse the plays for the thrill scores under 30..... 75-39 GL
60%+ are pretty good angles.
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