Reds $$$$ Method - Explained

The money needs to be on the opposing team. 

Gotcha. Thanks. 

If I'm looking at these correctly, there are a lot today- St Bonny, Georgetown, Alabama, Furman, Citadel, and UCLA

Fdu also right?

Lehigh was also a play that hit this morning but those 11 am games kill me lol didn't see it until it was too late. They had a nice comeback at the end

Yes. I only looked the the "first" group of lines listed. (numbered from 781-862)

Furman----- not a dog... not sure if that effects it or not. Think Red said he prefers dogs.

Okie St. also not a dog but rvlm

Line movement in citadel seems standard. Open +12

88 percent on them moves it to 11 or 11.5

The best example was the Duke/Clem game yesterday.  5k+ wager and 75%+ of the best and money were on Duke yet the line went from -11.5 to 10.5.

STF/FDU fits because 92% wagers & 88% money on STF yet line has gone from STF -3 to -2.5..But, IMHO the games that aren't wagered as much (i.e., Duke/Clem 5k+ wagers) are not as trustworthy.  I don't see how many wagers are on the STF/FDU game but for example, I don't see enough on St Bony, Furman, Citadel, etc.... to get a true reading...

GTown doesn't fit because the majority of bets and money are on GTown and the line has adjusted accordingly (-1 to -3.5)

Aub/Ala is a good one to watch because the 67% of bets are on Aub but they are only getting 50% of the money.  Should the money start coming in on Aub and the line not move or go the other way, it would then be a play.... 

Should read .....  5k+ wagers and 75% + of the "bets"....

I think you're looking at the "side" %. I see 100% of the money on their opponent NC Greensboro

So who’s the plays

It looks to be UCLA to me. 3/4 of wagers and money on Stanford and line has moved from Stan -2.5 to -1. 

im on the Bruins

UCLA was -1 today 

What about Temple. 75 % of bets and money on Witchita St and the line moved from -4.5 to -4?

Opening line was Stan -2.5 and now it’s one even tho 75% of bets are on Stan

I thought UCLA was THE play, they got smoked. Maybe we missed Red’s Home Court rule? UCLA home court only at 93 per Kenpom. 

I was looking at UCLA as well but some things I noticed that kept me off. Stanford is 11th in the country in Adj Defense Efficiency. They were significantly better at every defense category than UCLA. The one edge I saw for UCLA was they hit the offensive boards fairly well but on the flip side Stanford doesn't give very many offensive boards up. Stanford shoots the 3 at almost 40% and the weakest part of UCLA Defense, defending the three (ranked #346 in the country). Looking at the stats...Stanford went 8-17 and shot 47% from three. No edge in rebounding for either team. KenPom was pretty accurate. 

I didn't dig into any trends but just from that it was enough for me to stay away.

However.... since I like to take a look back. 

it looks like UCLA started out as a +2.5 then flipped to a -1.5 favorite early in the day with about 60% of the money on them so I wouldn't call that RLM. From there is looks like they went back to +1 about 15 minutes before tip with the money dropping from 60% down to the 30%. The more I look the more I think this was not RLM. 

May need an expert to weigh in on this..I am fairly new. Red would you mind taking a look?

Anyways that's my 2 cents. 

Looks like Washington state applies today fellas 

Washington state doesn’t apply?

A lot of public on southern miss... so i dont think it fits all the rules