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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Reds $$$$ Method - Explained

    «First Previous 111213 ... 181920 Next Last»
    mrkotter
    redtear2989
    CrushinBooks
    Jshively11
    JP13
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 52416
    Posts: 480
    «First Previous 111213 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    mrkotter
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 1:30 PM ET #251

    Forgive my dumb question but do you apply this concept across all sports?

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    Forgive my dumb question but do you apply this concept across all sports?

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 1:59 PM ET #252

    Haven't had a chance to look but I generally like to see more than half a point of movement.. I usually like to see 1.5 unless everything else lines up on kenpom or there's an overwhelming majority on the other team

    BOL TODAY! 

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    Haven't had a chance to look but I generally like to see more than half a point of movement.. I usually like to see 1.5 unless everything else lines up on kenpom or there's an overwhelming majority on the other team

    BOL TODAY! 

     
    CrushinBooks
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 3:00 PM ET #253

    Quote Originally Posted by CrushinBooks:

    Another game is Det/UWGB...   UWGB started at -7 and now -6.5.  70% wagers and 86% money on GB but line has opposite....

     

    There is one winner....

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    Quote Originally Posted by CrushinBooks:

    Another game is Det/UWGB...   UWGB started at -7 and now -6.5.  70% wagers and 86% money on GB but line has opposite....

     

    There is one winner....

     
    Jshively11
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 3:35 PM ET #254

    Thought it had to be a home dog?

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    Thought it had to be a home dog?

     
    JP13
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 4:15 PM ET #255

    What about App.St. against UALR, over 90% of money on Little Rock and the line went from pickem to -1.5 for App.....430pm game. 

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    What about App.St. against UALR, over 90% of money on Little Rock and the line went from pickem to -1.5 for App.....430pm game. 

     
    Jshively11
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 4:58 PM ET #256

    SE Mo St is one. Home dog. Majority of money coming in on Murray state but the line has come down

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    SE Mo St is one. Home dog. Majority of money coming in on Murray state but the line has come down

     
    CrushinBooks
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 7:06 PM ET #257

    Quote Originally Posted by CrushinBooks:

    Take a look at KSU.  It seems like the best play so far...   Lined opened at WVU -6 and now -5.5 even tho 73% of wagers and 75% money on WVU.

     

    Winner #2 from this system today in College...

     

    I know this is a NCAAB thread but there is a play in the NBA that matches this tonight...

     

    NYK +5   The lined opened with Philly -6.5 and is now -5.  83% of wagers and 79% of money on Philly....

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    Quote Originally Posted by CrushinBooks:

    Take a look at KSU.  It seems like the best play so far...   Lined opened at WVU -6 and now -5.5 even tho 73% of wagers and 75% money on WVU.

     

    Winner #2 from this system today in College...

     

    I know this is a NCAAB thread but there is a play in the NBA that matches this tonight...

     

    NYK +5   The lined opened with Philly -6.5 and is now -5.  83% of wagers and 79% of money on Philly....

     
    Jshively11
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 10:10 PM ET #258

    Where did you see that open at 6.5? Not one book on Vegasinsider was even close to 5.5, let alone 6. Most opened at at 4 or 4.5

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    Where did you see that open at 6.5? Not one book on Vegasinsider was even close to 5.5, let alone 6. Most opened at at 4 or 4.5

     
    cazzz29
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 2:15 PM ET #259

    SD -1 1/2 ?? at home, line moves 2.5 points, showing 70% money on SDST ?? Am I missing something ?

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    SD -1 1/2 ?? at home, line moves 2.5 points, showing 70% money on SDST ?? Am I missing something ?

     
    Bigten51
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 2:18 PM ET #260

    Maybe somebody is out..total dropped also

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    Maybe somebody is out..total dropped also

     
    OscarH
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 2:48 PM ET #261

    Quote Originally Posted by CrushinBooks:

     

    Winner #2 from this system today in College...

     

    I know this is a NCAAB thread but there is a play in the NBA that matches this tonight...


    What is the play today Crushin?

     

    NYK +5   The lined opened with Philly -6.5 and is now -5.  83% of wagers and 79% of money on Philly....

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    Quote Originally Posted by CrushinBooks:

     

    Winner #2 from this system today in College...

     

    I know this is a NCAAB thread but there is a play in the NBA that matches this tonight...


    What is the play today Crushin?

     

    NYK +5   The lined opened with Philly -6.5 and is now -5.  83% of wagers and 79% of money on Philly....

     
    offensivestr
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 3:13 PM ET #262

    This is getting crushed lately
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    This is getting crushed lately
     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 4:13 PM ET #263

    I was off today and was actually going to post a pick, was even looking for totals but saw nothing an_brick

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    I was off today and was actually going to post a pick, was even looking for totals but saw nothing an_brick

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 4:19 PM ET #264

    Actually like under in Loyola game, already had tip off but if you can get a good live line (around 130) 

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    Actually like under in Loyola game, already had tip off but if you can get a good live line (around 130) 

     
    lonfident
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 5:04 PM ET #265

    Quote Originally Posted by Jshively11:

    Thought it had to be a home dog?

    No. Home dogs hit at a higher percentage I guess, but it can absolutely be a home favorite

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jshively11:

    Thought it had to be a home dog?

    No. Home dogs hit at a higher percentage I guess, but it can absolutely be a home favorite

     
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2020 - 1:57 PM ET #266

    Looks like there is one true one in the slate tonight...Presbyterian. 79% on Campbell by line goes from Campbell -3 to -2. Home dog, lots of money on the visitor and decent line jump. Going to be monitoring this. A little hesitant as Presbyterian is ranked fairly low on KenPom (333/353).

     

    A few more I am looking at that are visitors is Merrimack and Bucknell

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    Looks like there is one true one in the slate tonight...Presbyterian. 79% on Campbell by line goes from Campbell -3 to -2. Home dog, lots of money on the visitor and decent line jump. Going to be monitoring this. A little hesitant as Presbyterian is ranked fairly low on KenPom (333/353).

     

    A few more I am looking at that are visitors is Merrimack and Bucknell

     
    RaidEerMike
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2020 - 2:48 PM ET #267

    I’m seeing most of the money on Pres.   
    Only one I see is Wagner.   It opened at LIU -2.5 and moved down to -1.5 with 83 % of the money on LIU. 

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    I’m seeing most of the money on Pres.   
    Only one I see is Wagner.   It opened at LIU -2.5 and moved down to -1.5 with 83 % of the money on LIU. 

     
    lonfident
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2020 - 3:05 PM ET #268

    Jackson St is a play too. Prairie View went from -4 to -3 even though 100% of the money is on them. According to scoresandodds, anyway

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    Jackson St is a play too. Prairie View went from -4 to -3 even though 100% of the money is on them. According to scoresandodds, anyway

     
    RaidEerMike
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2020 - 7:44 PM ET #269

    Wagner met all criteria and was a winner $$$

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    Wagner met all criteria and was a winner $$$

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2020 - 7:55 PM ET #270

    Just got to look, howard and wagner both fit.  At surface glance so does jackson st but the % I'm a bit weary off..got as high as ~55% on jackston st at one point ( https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/prairie-view-am-@-jackson-state.cfm/date/01-20-20 )

    If you look at yale for example it was much more consistent ( https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/yale-@-howard.cfm/date/01-20-20 )

    Looked on kenpom for like 2 minutes and at surface level nothing that makes me lean one way or the other except jackson sts ability to create TOs and praires inabilty to take care of ball on offense. Jackson ST will likely  be horrendous if they try the 3 ball and tough to gauge who will win the boards.


    BOL to everyone tonight.  I'm going to start trying to make a better effort to posting plays more often - I miss capping! Expect some this week at some point and I'm off this whole weekend so hopefully I can find something juicy!

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    Just got to look, howard and wagner both fit.  At surface glance so does jackson st but the % I'm a bit weary off..got as high as ~55% on jackston st at one point ( https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/prairie-view-am-@-jackson-state.cfm/date/01-20-20 )

    If you look at yale for example it was much more consistent ( https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/yale-@-howard.cfm/date/01-20-20 )

    Looked on kenpom for like 2 minutes and at surface level nothing that makes me lean one way or the other except jackson sts ability to create TOs and praires inabilty to take care of ball on offense. Jackson ST will likely  be horrendous if they try the 3 ball and tough to gauge who will win the boards.


    BOL to everyone tonight.  I'm going to start trying to make a better effort to posting plays more often - I miss capping! Expect some this week at some point and I'm off this whole weekend so hopefully I can find something juicy!

     
    RaidEerMike
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2020 - 7:01 AM ET #271

    Possibly 2 games for today. 

    M Ohio. Opened at Akr -4.5 - 70 % of money is on Akron and the line moved to Akr-4

    St Joe’s. Opened at VCU -12 - 84 % of the money on VCU and the line moved to -11.5. 

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    Possibly 2 games for today. 

    M Ohio. Opened at Akr -4.5 - 70 % of money is on Akron and the line moved to Akr-4

    St Joe’s. Opened at VCU -12 - 84 % of the money on VCU and the line moved to -11.5. 

     
    CrushinBooks
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2020 - 3:32 PM ET #272

    Potential game look at tonight...

     

    Tex A&M / Mizz   Line started at Mizz -8.5/9 and is now -10 even though 70% of wagers and 70% of money on A&M.  Going to watch this line and see what happens this afternoon.....

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    Potential game look at tonight...

     

    Tex A&M / Mizz   Line started at Mizz -8.5/9 and is now -10 even though 70% of wagers and 70% of money on A&M.  Going to watch this line and see what happens this afternoon.....

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2020 - 6:28 PM ET #273

    Been looking all day, was hoping to make a pick today but I got nothing, maybe tomorrow!

    BOL!

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    Been looking all day, was hoping to make a pick today but I got nothing, maybe tomorrow!

    BOL!

     
    VHIII
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2020 - 2:35 PM ET #274

    Let us know Red! Seems like a decent slate 
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    Let us know Red! Seems like a decent slate 
     
     
    nickyp1237
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2020 - 3:17 PM ET #275

    northwestern st and southern Illinois 

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    northwestern st and southern Illinois 

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