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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Reds $$$$ Method - Explained

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    redtear2989
    Fish22
    Cappital
    Silk24
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    redtear2989
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2020 - 4:37 PM ET #151

    %s on Jackson St been all over the place and man central is soo bad in every possible category, still really like loyola and expect them to force alot of TOs

    Roz- Pacific doesn't have enough % for my liking - Dont love their ability to defend the 3 and their homecourt advantage.  It does technically fit tho.  And from what I can see pacific will likely out rebound st marys

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    %s on Jackson St been all over the place and man central is soo bad in every possible category, still really like loyola and expect them to force alot of TOs

    Roz- Pacific doesn't have enough % for my liking - Dont love their ability to defend the 3 and their homecourt advantage.  It does technically fit tho.  And from what I can see pacific will likely out rebound st marys

     
    Fish22
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2020 - 5:42 PM ET #152

    How would you feel about Vanderbilt Red? Had a very high percentage of bets on them throughout the morning and yet their line dropped from -2 to -1 - percentages have swung back towards even in the last couple of hours though. Do you tend to place more important on percentages closer to game time or do you just want consistency throughout?

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    How would you feel about Vanderbilt Red? Had a very high percentage of bets on them throughout the morning and yet their line dropped from -2 to -1 - percentages have swung back towards even in the last couple of hours though. Do you tend to place more important on percentages closer to game time or do you just want consistency throughout?

     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2020 - 5:47 PM ET #153

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6, On the fence on N ariz -3 Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed

     

    N Arizona feels like a trap... I know Weber St. historically has dominated this match-up, but both Pomeroy and Torvik have it as NAU -7, and it opens between +2 and a PK?

     

    Makes my spidey senses tingle.

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    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6, On the fence on N ariz -3 Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed

     

    N Arizona feels like a trap... I know Weber St. historically has dominated this match-up, but both Pomeroy and Torvik have it as NAU -7, and it opens between +2 and a PK?

     

    Makes my spidey senses tingle.

     
    redtear2989
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2020 - 6:08 PM ET #154

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6, On the fence on N ariz -3 Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed
      N Arizona feels like a trap... I know Weber St. historically has dominated this match-up, but both Pomeroy and Torvik have it as NAU -7, and it opens between +2 and a PK?   Makes my spidey senses tingle.

    Also didn't like the swing in action on ariz. Both teams are pretty bad in every statistical category I see n ariz having the edge on shooting the 3 ball tho 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6, On the fence on N ariz -3 Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed
      N Arizona feels like a trap... I know Weber St. historically has dominated this match-up, but both Pomeroy and Torvik have it as NAU -7, and it opens between +2 and a PK?   Makes my spidey senses tingle.

    Also didn't like the swing in action on ariz. Both teams are pretty bad in every statistical category I see n ariz having the edge on shooting the 3 ball tho 

     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2020 - 6:22 PM ET #155

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6, On the fence on N ariz -3 Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed
      N Arizona feels like a trap... I know Weber St. historically has dominated this match-up, but both Pomeroy and Torvik have it as NAU -7, and it opens between +2 and a PK?   Makes my spidey senses tingle.
    Also didn't like the swing in action on ariz. Both teams are pretty bad in every statistical category I see n ariz having the edge on shooting the 3 ball tho

    Hah - you've got a gift, Red!  And just like that... NAU opens 4-5 from deep.

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    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6, On the fence on N ariz -3 Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed
      N Arizona feels like a trap... I know Weber St. historically has dominated this match-up, but both Pomeroy and Torvik have it as NAU -7, and it opens between +2 and a PK?   Makes my spidey senses tingle.
    Also didn't like the swing in action on ariz. Both teams are pretty bad in every statistical category I see n ariz having the edge on shooting the 3 ball tho

    Hah - you've got a gift, Red!  And just like that... NAU opens 4-5 from deep.

     
    redtear2989
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2020 - 8:54 PM ET #156

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6, On the fence on N ariz -3 Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed
      N Arizona feels like a trap... I know Weber St. historically has dominated this match-up, but both Pomeroy and Torvik have it as NAU -7, and it opens between +2 and a PK?   Makes my spidey senses tingle.
    Also didn't like the swing in action on ariz. Both teams are pretty bad in every statistical category I see n ariz having the edge on shooting the 3 ball tho
    Hah - you've got a gift, Red!  And just like that... NAU opens 4-5 from deep.

    Ken pomeroy has the gift! But the 3 ball won it for them! 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6, On the fence on N ariz -3 Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed
      N Arizona feels like a trap... I know Weber St. historically has dominated this match-up, but both Pomeroy and Torvik have it as NAU -7, and it opens between +2 and a PK?   Makes my spidey senses tingle.
    Also didn't like the swing in action on ariz. Both teams are pretty bad in every statistical category I see n ariz having the edge on shooting the 3 ball tho
    Hah - you've got a gift, Red!  And just like that... NAU opens 4-5 from deep.

    Ken pomeroy has the gift! But the 3 ball won it for them! 

     
    Silk24
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 12:55 PM ET #157

    Played st joes +16.5.  First crack at this, opened at 17.5 and both scored and odds and VI have 70%+ of the bets coming in on Dayton. 

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    Played st joes +16.5.  First crack at this, opened at 17.5 and both scored and odds and VI have 70%+ of the bets coming in on Dayton. 

     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 1:03 PM ET #158

    Quote Originally Posted by Silk24:

    Played st joes +16.5.  First crack at this, opened at 17.5 and both scored and odds and VI have 70%+ of the bets coming in on Dayton.

    You're right.  It's a definite fit for the method.  I tried to find the gut for it, but some teams are just damn near unbettable, and Saint Joe's is one of those teams for me.  That being said, sometimes the bets that are the hardest to put in are the best ones to make.

    BOL, brother!  Will be watching to see how this one plays out.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Silk24:

    Played st joes +16.5.  First crack at this, opened at 17.5 and both scored and odds and VI have 70%+ of the bets coming in on Dayton.

    You're right.  It's a definite fit for the method.  I tried to find the gut for it, but some teams are just damn near unbettable, and Saint Joe's is one of those teams for me.  That being said, sometimes the bets that are the hardest to put in are the best ones to make.

    BOL, brother!  Will be watching to see how this one plays out.

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 1:09 PM ET #159

    At quick glance Mich st -8.5 also fits, haven't done much research tho as I'm out and about today but its a good game to dive down the rabbit hole on if ya got time before tip off

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    At quick glance Mich st -8.5 also fits, haven't done much research tho as I'm out and about today but its a good game to dive down the rabbit hole on if ya got time before tip off

     
    JP13
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 1:20 PM ET #160

    I noticed that earlier also Red with Mich. ST, looks like over 70% is on Mich. 

    Silk, I also hit St. joe's first and full game so we shall see...

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    I noticed that earlier also Red with Mich. ST, looks like over 70% is on Mich. 

    Silk, I also hit St. joe's first and full game so we shall see...

     
    Silk24
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 1:30 PM ET #161

    Been watching msu too but decided to lay off bc im already on the under and its a rivalry game so thought that was an additional twist.  

     

    Forgot to mention for StJoes- thought they also had a decent home court ranking of 110 in the country by KenPom.  Thought that was pretty good for middle of the pack A10 team.  

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    Been watching msu too but decided to lay off bc im already on the under and its a rivalry game so thought that was an additional twist.  

     

    Forgot to mention for StJoes- thought they also had a decent home court ranking of 110 in the country by KenPom.  Thought that was pretty good for middle of the pack A10 team.  

     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 1:44 PM ET #162

    Lookin' damn good for you Saint Joe's boys.  Live line dropping to 13.5 almost immediately after tip was a good sign.  Being up 2 at the under 4 timeout in the 1st is even better.

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    Lookin' damn good for you Saint Joe's boys.  Live line dropping to 13.5 almost immediately after tip was a good sign.  Being up 2 at the under 4 timeout in the 1st is even better.

     
    JP13
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 2:40 PM ET #163

    Took St. joe's at half again, couldn't resist :)  

    Also, Mich. st. first half and game. 

     

    What about NW this after noon, what do you guys think about that one...? Need more line movement? 

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    Took St. joe's at half again, couldn't resist :)  

    Also, Mich. st. first half and game. 

     

    What about NW this after noon, what do you guys think about that one...? Need more line movement? 

     
    JP13
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 3:29 PM ET #164

    I meant NWST against HBapt. ? 

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    I meant NWST against HBapt. ? 

     
    Mohr4ya
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2020 - 6:09 PM ET #165

    Good work guys. I was eyeing Michigan St and St. Joes but I was out and about today and couldn't do any research. I like coming back to this thread and seeing what you guys think about each days games. 

    Good to have extra sets of eyes when combing through everything. 

     

    Cheers an_cheers

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    Good work guys. I was eyeing Michigan St and St. Joes but I was out and about today and couldn't do any research. I like coming back to this thread and seeing what you guys think about each days games. 

    Good to have extra sets of eyes when combing through everything. 

     

    Cheers an_cheers

     
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2020 - 6:21 PM ET #166

    Coastal Carolina looks like a play tonight but does anyone know their Home Court Rating?

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    Coastal Carolina looks like a play tonight but does anyone know their Home Court Rating?

     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2020 - 6:29 PM ET #167

    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    Coastal Carolina looks like a play tonight but does anyone know their Home Court Rating?

     

    Per KenPom: 3.4 (115th in D-I)

     

    (Not an endorsement, but a game I plan to research, as well, if I have time)

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    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    Coastal Carolina looks like a play tonight but does anyone know their Home Court Rating?

     

    Per KenPom: 3.4 (115th in D-I)

     

    (Not an endorsement, but a game I plan to research, as well, if I have time)

     
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2020 - 6:32 PM ET #168

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    Coastal Carolina looks like a play tonight but does anyone know their Home Court Rating?
      Per KenPom: 3.4 (115th in D-I)   (Not an endorsement, but a game I plan to research, as well, if I have time)

    Thanks Cappital! Not too shabby of a Home Court Rating I assume. I think it's enough for a small play.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappital:

    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    Coastal Carolina looks like a play tonight but does anyone know their Home Court Rating?
      Per KenPom: 3.4 (115th in D-I)   (Not an endorsement, but a game I plan to research, as well, if I have time)

    Thanks Cappital! Not too shabby of a Home Court Rating I assume. I think it's enough for a small play.

     
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2020 - 6:40 PM ET #169

    I know this is not on one of RedTears list because they are a road team but Bethune Cookman might be worth a look as a vistiing team. 31% on them and line goes from -7 to -8. Howard is also ranked 347/353 (Bethune is #279) on KenPom so don't really see much of a home court advantage there. Not an endorsement, just throwing it out there for anyone that wants to look into it

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    I know this is not on one of RedTears list because they are a road team but Bethune Cookman might be worth a look as a vistiing team. 31% on them and line goes from -7 to -8. Howard is also ranked 347/353 (Bethune is #279) on KenPom so don't really see much of a home court advantage there. Not an endorsement, just throwing it out there for anyone that wants to look into it

     
    Fjgarcia11
    Fjgarcia11
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2020 - 6:50 PM ET #170

    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    I know this is not on one of RedTears list because they are a road team but Bethune Cookman might be worth a look as a vistiing team. 31% on them and line goes from -7 to -8. Howard is also ranked 347/353 (Bethune is #279) on KenPom so don't really see much of a home court advantage there. Not an endorsement, just throwing it out there for anyone that wants to look into it

    Seen the same thing. Was planning on throwing a couple of buck on Bethune

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    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    I know this is not on one of RedTears list because they are a road team but Bethune Cookman might be worth a look as a vistiing team. 31% on them and line goes from -7 to -8. Howard is also ranked 347/353 (Bethune is #279) on KenPom so don't really see much of a home court advantage there. Not an endorsement, just throwing it out there for anyone that wants to look into it

    Seen the same thing. Was planning on throwing a couple of buck on Bethune

     
    redtear2989
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2020 - 7:20 PM ET #171

    Love coastal and ok st, pretty sure ok st is top 50 in the nation at home

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    Love coastal and ok st, pretty sure ok st is top 50 in the nation at home

     
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2020 - 7:24 PM ET #172

    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Love coastal and ok st, pretty sure ok st is top 50 in the nation at home

    I was on the fence about this game but RLM and everything points to Okie St. I think I will play this as well. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by redtear2989:

    Love coastal and ok st, pretty sure ok st is top 50 in the nation at home

    I was on the fence about this game but RLM and everything points to Okie St. I think I will play this as well. 

     
    moemoney
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2020 - 12:37 PM ET #173

    still early today but at first glance we’re looking at Ball St and Central Michigan.

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    still early today but at first glance we’re looking at Ball St and Central Michigan.

     
    C_V_3
    C_V_3
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2020 - 1:08 PM ET #174

    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    still early today but at first glance we’re looking at Ball St and Central Michigan.

    South Carolina at home started as +5.5. Now at +4.5 with 63% on Florida.

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    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    still early today but at first glance we’re looking at Ball St and Central Michigan.

    South Carolina at home started as +5.5. Now at +4.5 with 63% on Florida.

     
     
    lonfident
    lonfident
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2020 - 3:47 PM ET #175

    Right now, looks like a small play on So. Illinois, 82% of money on Valparaiso but So Ill goes from -2 to -2 1/2. Does this work with NBA games too? If so, the Nets are a play

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    Right now, looks like a small play on So. Illinois, 82% of money on Valparaiso but So Ill goes from -2 to -2 1/2. Does this work with NBA games too? If so, the Nets are a play

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