Posted:
#126
I’m using Vegasinsider. The Trend Movement vs. Line tool is really nice once you can understand it.
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Reds $$$$ Method - Explained
Posted:
#131
Sienna. I had them. They had an awful first half, couldn't make it up....smh!
I had Detroit circled, didn't fire. I guess I was scared that everyone was on the other side.
Red when you find a team, I know you like to look at home court advantage. What other stats or angles do you like to look at when finalizing a bet?
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Posted:
#133
Quote Originally Posted by Mohr4ya:
Sienna. I had them. They had an awful first half, couldn't make it up....smh! I had Detroit circled, didn't fire. I guess I was scared that everyone was on the other side. Red when you find a team, I know you like to look at home court advantage. What other stats or angles do you like to look at when finalizing a bet?
Sienna. I had them. They had an awful first half, couldn't make it up....smh! I had Detroit circled, didn't fire. I guess I was scared that everyone was on the other side. Red when you find a team, I know you like to look at home court advantage. What other stats or angles do you like to look at when finalizing a bet?
I'll dive down a kenpom rabbit hole and find whatever I can - at quick glance strength of schedule immediately jumps out to me. Detroit's is significantly more difficult more than 3X tougher overall and 2x for non conference. Detroit is also much better ATS than their record reflects, 3-4 of their losses ats were narrowly missed. Northern Kentucky is great at defending the 3pt but detroits two strongest players are great inside the paint(and both rank top 100 in the nation as far as %s of possesions and shots for their team!). Lastly TOs and RBs. N Ky struggles protecting the ball offensively (though detroit isn't great at producing tos on defense so that may be a wash) but Detroit has milner who ranks top 10% in nation in offense & defensive rebounds while chris brandon ranks 85th in the nation on offensive boards. Kenpom has soo much information on teams - sometimes too much haha but its a tremendous tool to use and costs only 20$/year.
Quote Originally Posted by Silk24:
First off, thanks as this was a great read. Dogs seem to be a common trend, anything on when you hit the ml or do you always take the points? Thanks again and Detroit had an easy win tonight.
First off, thanks as this was a great read. Dogs seem to be a common trend, anything on when you hit the ml or do you always take the points? Thanks again and Detroit had an easy win tonight.
I'll always take the pts but every now and then I may take a much smaller wager on the ML as well
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Posted:
#135
Using Vegasinsider I still can’t figure how Sienna wasn’t a play last night. Had RLM. The line jumped from -5.5 to -7 at 10:30 AM with 81% of tickets on the other side. Eventually the money moved over to them, but only right at tip.
Red, what did you see that I’m missing? Thank you, btw. Love this kind of stuff.
I see a lot of possibility for today without digging deeper into the movement.
Citadel early. Del St, Kansas, NC Central, Utah, Drake, Omaha, Arizona.
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Posted:
#137
It may depend on which site you are using for the betting trend. The problem I am having with this system is getting a true % that is being bet o. Each side. I have seen several instances where team A may be getting bet at a higher rate on vegasinsider but team B is getting more action on scoresandodds. I like the theory if I knew where to get an accurate %.
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