Posted:
#76
Auburn up next
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Reds $$$$ Method - Explained
Posted:
#78
Quote Originally Posted by Rozayy34:
I’m a jackass. Marshall is neutral site. Apologies if anyone saw my post and took the play under the impression it fit. Unless of course, it covers. In which case, you’re welcome for fooling you! Lol, cheers guys
I’m a jackass. Marshall is neutral site. Apologies if anyone saw my post and took the play under the impression it fit. Unless of course, it covers. In which case, you’re welcome for fooling you! Lol, cheers guys
Nothing wrong with a neutral site game if everything else lines up okay, I've taken them here or there when its made sense with great success.
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Posted:
#80
Red- first off thank you for sharing your knowledge. I went back and looked at today's games and was trying to put your system to use. I came across the Oklahoma State (Home) game. There were big home court favorites. https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/southeastern-louisiana-@-oklahoma-state.cfm/date/12-29-19/linechanges/y
It looks like this was a little bit of RLM as it started out -24 and closed at -27. The % money looks to have gone from %55 and dipped down to about 19% closer to game time with some jumps in between. The line rose steadily while the % money went on the other side.
Couple questions. Am I implementing this correctly? Is this an example of RLM? Apologies for the questions, bit of a newbie here when it comes to breaking down lines.
Again thanks for the lesson! 
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Posted:
#81
Quote Originally Posted by Mohr4ya:
Red- first off thank you for sharing your knowledge. I went back and looked at today's games and was trying to put your system to use. I came across the Oklahoma State (Home) game. There were big home court favorites. [Link from unapproved source] It looks like this was a little bit of RLM as it started out -24 and closed at -27. The % money looks to have gone from %55 and dipped down to about 19% closer to game time with some jumps in between. The line rose steadily while the % money went on the other side. Couple questions. Am I implementing this correctly? Is this an example of RLM? Apologies for the questions, bit of a newbie here when it comes to breaking down lines. Again thanks for the lesson!
Red- first off thank you for sharing your knowledge. I went back and looked at today's games and was trying to put your system to use. I came across the Oklahoma State (Home) game. There were big home court favorites. [Link from unapproved source] It looks like this was a little bit of RLM as it started out -24 and closed at -27. The % money looks to have gone from %55 and dipped down to about 19% closer to game time with some jumps in between. The line rose steadily while the % money went on the other side. Couple questions. Am I implementing this correctly? Is this an example of RLM? Apologies for the questions, bit of a newbie here when it comes to breaking down lines. Again thanks for the lesson!
Not OP but this is exactly what RLM is. He even mentioned this was a good play.
Essentially if money is coming in on Team B but Team B is continuously getting more points you want to go with Team A. The basic idea is that the books knows something you don't know and are fairly confident in Team A.
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Posted:
#87
Mohr4ya - Happy to help! I noticed that as well - While I do like consistency in %s and movement, the movement was enough that it was a solid play, Michigan state was the in the same boat but covered as well; with these plays you need to look at other factors such as homecourt advantage (kenpom is king)
MOE - I'm not sure if its Vegas or maybe sharp money moving lines, maybe bit of both. I do believe vegas does set trap lines, evansville jax st being a great example.
Roz dont see TCU or Montana but maybe the %s or lines have moved since you posted.
Villanova kinda fits
Vandy definitely fits.
As always BOL tonight!
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Posted:
#100
I take a look early but usually double check within an hour before gametime to see if it holds up. Iowa St is a perfect example...over 80% of the bets were on Fla A&M early but ended up with 84% on Iowa St. The small school extra games don't get a ton of action so early betting can be a lot less reliable.
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