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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Reds $$$$ Method - Explained

    «First Previous 345 ... 181920 Next Last»
    monkeymark5
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    «First Previous 345 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    monkeymark5
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 2:21 PM ET #51

    Hopefully red has time to confirm 
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    Hopefully red has time to confirm 
     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 2:23 PM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by Rozayy34:

    I see Siena and SMU today

     

    And you're correct (as someone who also looks for many of the factors as Red outlined in his system).

     

    To the poster who asked about Fresno, they don't fit.  The line in that game has moved as you would expect it to--flipping from -1 to +1.5 with 73% of tickets and 66% of the money on SF (Action Network).  I like that game, too, but not as a fit for Red's method.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Rozayy34:

    I see Siena and SMU today

     

    And you're correct (as someone who also looks for many of the factors as Red outlined in his system).

     

    To the poster who asked about Fresno, they don't fit.  The line in that game has moved as you would expect it to--flipping from -1 to +1.5 with 73% of tickets and 66% of the money on SF (Action Network).  I like that game, too, but not as a fit for Red's method.

     
    monkeymark5
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 2:28 PM ET #53

    Thank you for the response 
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    Thank you for the response 
     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 2:32 PM ET #54

    Np, buddy.  BOL today!

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    Np, buddy.  BOL today!

     
    olderguy
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 2:37 PM ET #55

    thanks cap

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    thanks cap

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 3:59 PM ET #56

    Cap is absolutely correct, Fresno St was normal line movement.   Siena fits.  SMU techicnally fits but at 60%  dont love it, also SMU has let me down more times than I can count.  Heres my breakdown and thought process.

    Siena - What I love is the Movement.  2pts is ALOT. Also the movement has been consistent. as have the %s, plenty of time til tip off  so I'd keep an eye on the all those things to make sure they hold up.  What I dont like is their homecourt % is ranked 233rd overall.  If everything held up until about 40 mins til tip of this is very likely a play I'd post.

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    Cap is absolutely correct, Fresno St was normal line movement.   Siena fits.  SMU techicnally fits but at 60%  dont love it, also SMU has let me down more times than I can count.  Heres my breakdown and thought process.

    Siena - What I love is the Movement.  2pts is ALOT. Also the movement has been consistent. as have the %s, plenty of time til tip off  so I'd keep an eye on the all those things to make sure they hold up.  What I dont like is their homecourt % is ranked 233rd overall.  If everything held up until about 40 mins til tip of this is very likely a play I'd post.

     
    Rozayy34
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 4:33 PM ET #57

    Red, appreciate your input peace_5 as always

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    Red, appreciate your input peace_5 as always

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 4:47 PM ET #58

    SMU - What I like; 1.5~ pts of movement.  It seems the %s have maintained as well which is important.  What i LOVE - homecourt advantage is 49th, this is huge IMO.  What I dont love; I'd like a slightly higher % on Gerogia St, and It's SMU.  Everyone has that one team that always lets them down, no matter how many times you play or give them chance after chance, well that team for me is SMU. But as far as the system goes - Everything says this is a good play.

    Do with that what you will.

    BOL TODAY!

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    SMU - What I like; 1.5~ pts of movement.  It seems the %s have maintained as well which is important.  What i LOVE - homecourt advantage is 49th, this is huge IMO.  What I dont love; I'd like a slightly higher % on Gerogia St, and It's SMU.  Everyone has that one team that always lets them down, no matter how many times you play or give them chance after chance, well that team for me is SMU. But as far as the system goes - Everything says this is a good play.

    Do with that what you will.

    BOL TODAY!

     
    Bobcat0
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 4:50 PM ET #59

    When we are looking at Vegas insider for the RLM, are you looking at the “side“ Column or the “money” column when looking at %

    I’m not seeing SMU as a play, must not be looking at things correctly 

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    When we are looking at Vegas insider for the RLM, are you looking at the “side“ Column or the “money” column when looking at %

    I’m not seeing SMU as a play, must not be looking at things correctly 

     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 4:59 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by Bobcat0:

    When we are looking at Vegas insider for the RLM, are you looking at the “side“ Column or the “money” column when looking at % I’m not seeing SMU as a play, must not be looking at things correctly

    Money column on VI is showing the % of tickets on the money line.  Side is the column to reference.

    I pay for an Action Network subscription (think it's $60 a year or something) for their data on % of tickets vs. % of money ($ wagered vs. ticket count) and have found it a worthwhile investment.  I'd consider it a nice to have--and KenPom a need to have.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bobcat0:

    When we are looking at Vegas insider for the RLM, are you looking at the “side“ Column or the “money” column when looking at % I’m not seeing SMU as a play, must not be looking at things correctly

    Money column on VI is showing the % of tickets on the money line.  Side is the column to reference.

    I pay for an Action Network subscription (think it's $60 a year or something) for their data on % of tickets vs. % of money ($ wagered vs. ticket count) and have found it a worthwhile investment.  I'd consider it a nice to have--and KenPom a need to have.  

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 5:23 PM ET #61

    Yea kenpom is a must. Love Siena +6.5

    Smu looks good too but again, they always break my heart 

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    Yea kenpom is a must. Love Siena +6.5

    Smu looks good too but again, they always break my heart 

     
    Skydome
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 5:38 PM ET #62

    Sienna is -7 is this a pick?

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    Sienna is -7 is this a pick?

     
    Ksutribe
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2019 - 6:19 PM ET #63

    Siena needs to get off their fuckin asses

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    Siena needs to get off their fuckin asses

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2019 - 4:26 PM ET #64

    Not a fan of neutral site games but If i had to take some action here I love houston

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    Not a fan of neutral site games but If i had to take some action here I love houston

     
    Rozayy34
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2019 - 10:57 AM ET #65

    I see ECU so far

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    I see ECU so far

     
    monkeymark5
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2019 - 11:05 AM ET #66

    Kentucky?? 
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    Kentucky?? 
     
    tdibs
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2019 - 1:44 PM ET #67

    E Car for sure... don't see rlm with Kentucky
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    E Car for sure... don't see rlm with Kentucky
     
    monkeymark5
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2019 - 4:08 PM ET #68

    I hope East Carolina works out. Made a play 
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    I hope East Carolina works out. Made a play 
     
    tdibs
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2019 - 4:21 PM ET #69

    If anyone wants to apply this to NBA it looks like Heat is shaping up as a play
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    If anyone wants to apply this to NBA it looks like Heat is shaping up as a play
     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2019 - 4:48 PM ET #70

    At first glance looks like jmu, ecu and Memphis all fit. Haven't done a ton of research but at surface level they look good. 

    I have had some success (usually NFL) with other sports but it does work with NBA as well. Usually best with college hoops (easiest sport to gamble imo) 

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    At first glance looks like jmu, ecu and Memphis all fit. Haven't done a ton of research but at surface level they look good. 

    I have had some success (usually NFL) with other sports but it does work with NBA as well. Usually best with college hoops (easiest sport to gamble imo) 

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2019 - 4:58 PM ET #71

    Sorry I've been MIA! Have on vacation this whole week with the family visiting from Boston.

    BOL to everyone today! 

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    Sorry I've been MIA! Have on vacation this whole week with the family visiting from Boston.

    BOL to everyone today! 

     
    tdibs
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2019 - 2:13 PM ET #72

    1st play for today would be Oklahoma st. Ala looks good if it holds up
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    1st play for today would be Oklahoma st. Ala looks good if it holds up
     
    Rozayy34
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2019 - 2:26 PM ET #73

    Marshall as well

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    Marshall as well

     
    Rozayy34
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2019 - 3:22 PM ET #74

    I’m a jackass. Marshall is neutral site. Apologies if anyone saw my post and took the play under the impression it fit. Unless of course, it covers. In which case, you’re welcome for fooling you! Lol, cheers guys

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    I’m a jackass. Marshall is neutral site. Apologies if anyone saw my post and took the play under the impression it fit. Unless of course, it covers. In which case, you’re welcome for fooling you! Lol, cheers guys

     
     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2019 - 3:37 PM ET #75

    Alabama fits, Kansas state fits, mich st may if it holds up, ok st absolutely fits (love this one) uconn fits, auburn fits I think

    This is all at first glance with again minimal to no research. 

    As always bol to everyone today! 

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    Alabama fits, Kansas state fits, mich st may if it holds up, ok st absolutely fits (love this one) uconn fits, auburn fits I think

    This is all at first glance with again minimal to no research. 

    As always bol to everyone today! 

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