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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Reds $$$$ Method - Explained

    «First Previous 131415 ... 181920 Next Last»
    jskrieg
    Sweating
    moemoney
    mrkotter
    soccergal
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    Views: 52416
    Posts: 480
    «First Previous 131415 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    jskrieg
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 10:13 AM ET #301

    Northeastern wasn't a home dog

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    Northeastern wasn't a home dog

     
    Sweating
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 11:03 AM ET #302

    Quote Originally Posted by jskrieg:

    Northeastern wasn't a home dog


    Gotcha. I guess I've been paying attention to reverse line movement whether they are favorites or dogs. Red's sample size is going to be a lot larger than mine but so far it's been money.

    Good Luck
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    Quote Originally Posted by jskrieg:

    Northeastern wasn't a home dog


    Gotcha. I guess I've been paying attention to reverse line movement whether they are favorites or dogs. Red's sample size is going to be a lot larger than mine but so far it's been money.

    Good Luck
     
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 12:19 PM ET #303

    Quote Originally Posted by Sweating:

    Quote Originally Posted by jskrieg:

    Northeastern wasn't a home dog
    Gotcha. I guess I've been paying attention to reverse line movement whether they are favorites or dogs. Red's sample size is going to be a lot larger than mine but so far it's been money.Good Luck

    This is a very profitable strategy - I don't think if you follow this to a certain extent you'll come up more than down. I personally disregard the home team being an underdog as that narrows down the field tremendously and has still been hitting at a very high clip. Like many people have stated in this thread though there are certain teams you just cannot bet on like the serious bottom feeders like Central Conn. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sweating:

    Quote Originally Posted by jskrieg:

    Northeastern wasn't a home dog
    Gotcha. I guess I've been paying attention to reverse line movement whether they are favorites or dogs. Red's sample size is going to be a lot larger than mine but so far it's been money.Good Luck

    This is a very profitable strategy - I don't think if you follow this to a certain extent you'll come up more than down. I personally disregard the home team being an underdog as that narrows down the field tremendously and has still been hitting at a very high clip. Like many people have stated in this thread though there are certain teams you just cannot bet on like the serious bottom feeders like Central Conn. 

     
    Sweating
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 1:48 PM ET #304

    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    Gotcha. I guess I've been paying attention to reverse line movement whether they are favorites or dogs. Red's sample size is going to be a lot larger than mine but so far it's been money.Good Luck

    This is a very profitable strategy - I don't think if you follow this to a certain extent you'll come up more than down. I personally disregard the home team being an underdog as that narrows down the field tremendously and has still been hitting at a very high clip. Like many people have stated in this thread though there are certain teams you just cannot bet on like the serious bottom feeders like Central Conn. 


    Moe, Yes, there's definitely fade material still. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by moemoney:

    Gotcha. I guess I've been paying attention to reverse line movement whether they are favorites or dogs. Red's sample size is going to be a lot larger than mine but so far it's been money.Good Luck

    This is a very profitable strategy - I don't think if you follow this to a certain extent you'll come up more than down. I personally disregard the home team being an underdog as that narrows down the field tremendously and has still been hitting at a very high clip. Like many people have stated in this thread though there are certain teams you just cannot bet on like the serious bottom feeders like Central Conn. 


    Moe, Yes, there's definitely fade material still. 
     
    mrkotter
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 2:35 PM ET #305

    Didn't the Northeastern game fit as well? RLM. More bets on Drexel. Line still went up a point on NE. Line ended -8.5 and NE won by 30+.... I do believe in this system with other variables like shooting percentage etc....

    Sweat...those were just the three that I followed last night...still doing my dd on this...i always play home team in college bball and I prefer the dog....looks like a good system here...lets all just keep sharing our games so we can all share in the cha ching an_cheers

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    Didn't the Northeastern game fit as well? RLM. More bets on Drexel. Line still went up a point on NE. Line ended -8.5 and NE won by 30+.... I do believe in this system with other variables like shooting percentage etc....

    Sweat...those were just the three that I followed last night...still doing my dd on this...i always play home team in college bball and I prefer the dog....looks like a good system here...lets all just keep sharing our games so we can all share in the cha ching an_cheers

     
    soccergal
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 2:41 PM ET #306

    Are there any that fit for tonight? Too early to tell?

     

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    Are there any that fit for tonight? Too early to tell?

     

     
    VHIII
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 2:46 PM ET #307

    We’re playing Brown today right?
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    We’re playing Brown today right?
     
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 2:52 PM ET #308

    Quote Originally Posted by VHIII:

    We’re playing Brown today right?

    Doesn't fit the model right now. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by VHIII:

    We’re playing Brown today right?

    Doesn't fit the model right now. 

     
    CrushinBooks
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 2:59 PM ET #309

    There is nothing that fits as of now....

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    There is nothing that fits as of now....

     
    redtear2989
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 3:27 PM ET #310

    Brown loosely fits.. No movement is technically rlm, all depends how tight your range is if you'd play it or not.

    Rider andsSiena also fit, but have done zero research on any of these teams. 

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    Brown loosely fits.. No movement is technically rlm, all depends how tight your range is if you'd play it or not.

    Rider andsSiena also fit, but have done zero research on any of these teams. 

     
    moemoney
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2020 - 3:33 PM ET #311

    The line for Brown I see started off at +5.5 then down to +4.5 at some places then now +6 at some spots. 

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    The line for Brown I see started off at +5.5 then down to +4.5 at some places then now +6 at some spots. 

     
    RaidEerMike
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 8:22 AM ET #312

    Possible plays

     

    Providence - Home Dog - Most of the money on Nova - Line went down 

    Boston College - Home Dog - Most of the money on VT- Line went down. 

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    Possible plays

     

    Providence - Home Dog - Most of the money on Nova - Line went down 

    Boston College - Home Dog - Most of the money on VT- Line went down. 

     
    mrkotter
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 8:24 AM ET #313

    I'm watchingLaSalle today...home dog opened at +8.5...now +9.5...95% $ on VaComm

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    I'm watchingLaSalle today...home dog opened at +8.5...now +9.5...95% $ on VaComm

     
    mrkotter
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 8:27 AM ET #314

    Quote Originally Posted by RaidEerMike:

    Possible plays   Providence - Home Dog - Most of the money on Nova - Line went down  Boston College - Home Dog - Most of the money on VT- Line went down.

    Lines going wrong direction.... no?

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    Quote Originally Posted by RaidEerMike:

    Possible plays   Providence - Home Dog - Most of the money on Nova - Line went down  Boston College - Home Dog - Most of the money on VT- Line went down.

    Lines going wrong direction.... no?

     
    mrkotter
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 8:51 AM ET #315

    Looks like Wright St fit the model lastnight

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    Looks like Wright St fit the model lastnight

     
    Mohr4ya
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 9:23 AM ET #316

    Played Wright State last night!! It definitely fit. 

    Anyone else Iike me? I am not a fan of the Saturday slate....just too many games to look at. I prefer the mid week games where you can find one or two solid games to hone in on and research. 

    Early games I'm seeing are Providence, BC, Oakland, Arkansas...

    See home many I can track and research today. 

    GL all! If anyone finds a good one post it up? 

     

     

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    Played Wright State last night!! It definitely fit. 

    Anyone else Iike me? I am not a fan of the Saturday slate....just too many games to look at. I prefer the mid week games where you can find one or two solid games to hone in on and research. 

    Early games I'm seeing are Providence, BC, Oakland, Arkansas...

    See home many I can track and research today. 

    GL all! If anyone finds a good one post it up? 

     

     

     
    mrkotter
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 9:51 AM ET #317

    Quote Originally Posted by Mohr4ya:

    Played Wright State last night!! It definitely fit.  Anyone else Iike me? I am not a fan of the Saturday slate....just too many games to look at. I prefer the mid week games where you can find one or two solid games to hone in on and research.  Early games I'm seeing are Providence, BC, Oakland, Arkansas... See home many I can track and research today.  GL all! If anyone finds a good one post it up?

    Im still learning this system but are lines in BC and Providence games going the wrong direction...sorry for repetitive question? 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mohr4ya:

    Played Wright State last night!! It definitely fit.  Anyone else Iike me? I am not a fan of the Saturday slate....just too many games to look at. I prefer the mid week games where you can find one or two solid games to hone in on and research.  Early games I'm seeing are Providence, BC, Oakland, Arkansas... See home many I can track and research today.  GL all! If anyone finds a good one post it up?

    Im still learning this system but are lines in BC and Providence games going the wrong direction...sorry for repetitive question? 

     
    Sweating
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 9:54 AM ET #318

    Lots of action today and I'm only up to the 2pm Eastern time games.

    Red's system uses only home dogs. I've been playing home teams but also favorites at home so take it for what it's worth.

    Here's what I've got for RLM Home Teams.


    Providence- Home DOG +1.5
    Detroit U -2
    Texas- Home DOG +1
    Penn +1, line stays steady despite 91% on Temple
    BC +3.5. Opened 4.5 and 73% on VT


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    Lots of action today and I'm only up to the 2pm Eastern time games.

    Red's system uses only home dogs. I've been playing home teams but also favorites at home so take it for what it's worth.

    Here's what I've got for RLM Home Teams.


    Providence- Home DOG +1.5
    Detroit U -2
    Texas- Home DOG +1
    Penn +1, line stays steady despite 91% on Temple
    BC +3.5. Opened 4.5 and 73% on VT


     
    Redbandit
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 9:57 AM ET #319

    Love to see  red’s own plays today.
    From one red to another.

    Bandit
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    Love to see  red’s own plays today.
    From one red to another.

    Bandit
     
    Titusblink
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 10:39 AM ET #320

    Quote Originally Posted by mrkotter:

    I'm watchingLaSalle today...home dog opened at +8.5...now +9.5...95% $ on VaComm

    you are questioning the system because if the betting trends you say are accurate this is the precise opposite of RLM

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    Quote Originally Posted by mrkotter:

    I'm watchingLaSalle today...home dog opened at +8.5...now +9.5...95% $ on VaComm

    you are questioning the system because if the betting trends you say are accurate this is the precise opposite of RLM

     
    RaidEerMike
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 10:41 AM ET #321

    Quote Originally Posted by mrkotter:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mohr4ya:

    Played Wright State last night!! It definitely fit.  Anyone else Iike me? I am not a fan of the Saturday slate....just too many games to look at. I prefer the mid week games where you can find one or two solid games to hone in on and research.  Early games I'm seeing are Providence, BC, Oakland, Arkansas... See home many I can track and research today.  GL all! If anyone finds a good one post it up?
    Im still learning this system but are lines in BC and Providence games going the wrong direction...sorry for repetitive question?
     

    On Boston College. The line opened at Vt -4.5. All of the money is coming in on VT which normally would make the line increase.  But the line has decreased to -3.5. So that is the line movement you want when using this system.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by mrkotter:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mohr4ya:

    Played Wright State last night!! It definitely fit.  Anyone else Iike me? I am not a fan of the Saturday slate....just too many games to look at. I prefer the mid week games where you can find one or two solid games to hone in on and research.  Early games I'm seeing are Providence, BC, Oakland, Arkansas... See home many I can track and research today.  GL all! If anyone finds a good one post it up?
    Im still learning this system but are lines in BC and Providence games going the wrong direction...sorry for repetitive question?
     

    On Boston College. The line opened at Vt -4.5. All of the money is coming in on VT which normally would make the line increase.  But the line has decreased to -3.5. So that is the line movement you want when using this system.  

     
    Cappital
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 10:45 AM ET #322

    Quote Originally Posted by Sweating:

    Lots of action today and I'm only up to the 2pm Eastern time games.Red's system uses only home dogs. I've been playing home teams but also favorites at home so take it for what it's worth.Here's what I've got for RLM Home Teams.

    Providence- Home DOG +1.5

    Detroit U -2

    Texas- Home DOG +1

    Penn +1, line stays steady despite 91% on TempleBC +3.5. Opened 4.5 and 73% on VT

    Like Providence a bit but need to look at the game some more - generally don't think Nova is nearly as tough on the road this year as at home.  Line has swung back to +2 where it opened, though.

    Detroit - regular line movement.  Heavy public team.

    Texas - pretty evenly bet game.  40-50% on either side depending on where you're looking.

    Penn - maybe a fit but hard to tell.  Don't like the swing back to Temple (now -1.5) after Penn moved briefly to a PK.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sweating:

    Lots of action today and I'm only up to the 2pm Eastern time games.Red's system uses only home dogs. I've been playing home teams but also favorites at home so take it for what it's worth.Here's what I've got for RLM Home Teams.

    Providence- Home DOG +1.5

    Detroit U -2

    Texas- Home DOG +1

    Penn +1, line stays steady despite 91% on TempleBC +3.5. Opened 4.5 and 73% on VT

    Like Providence a bit but need to look at the game some more - generally don't think Nova is nearly as tough on the road this year as at home.  Line has swung back to +2 where it opened, though.

    Detroit - regular line movement.  Heavy public team.

    Texas - pretty evenly bet game.  40-50% on either side depending on where you're looking.

    Penn - maybe a fit but hard to tell.  Don't like the swing back to Temple (now -1.5) after Penn moved briefly to a PK.

     
    Cappital
    Cappital
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 10:50 AM ET #323

    BC might fit (and I don't know where Red stands on this), but the one piece for that game that gives me pause is the 67% of tickets on BC money line.  I generally prefer to see lopsided action on both the spread and the ML.

     

    I do like that the line opened shaded to the dog (relative to KenPom), which I typically view as inviting money on the favorite.

     

    BOL

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    BC might fit (and I don't know where Red stands on this), but the one piece for that game that gives me pause is the 67% of tickets on BC money line.  I generally prefer to see lopsided action on both the spread and the ML.

     

    I do like that the line opened shaded to the dog (relative to KenPom), which I typically view as inviting money on the favorite.

     

    BOL

     
    VHIII
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 11:05 AM ET #324

    Locked in Texas, Providence, and BC for the early slate. Good luck fellas
    Also looking at Ohio mid day. 
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    Locked in Texas, Providence, and BC for the early slate. Good luck fellas
    Also looking at Ohio mid day. 
     
     
    mrkotter
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2020 - 11:13 AM ET #325

    Quote Originally Posted by RaidEerMike:

    Quote Originally Posted by mrkotter:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mohr4ya:

    Played Wright State last night!! It definitely fit.  Anyone else Iike me? I am not a fan of the Saturday slate....just too many games to look at. I prefer the mid week games where you can find one or two solid games to hone in on and research.  Early games I'm seeing are Providence, BC, Oakland, Arkansas... See home many I can track and research today.  GL all! If anyone finds a good one post it up?
    Im still learning this system but are lines in BC and Providence games going the wrong direction...sorry for repetitive question?
      On Boston College. The line opened at Vt -4.5. All of the money is coming in on VT which normally would make the line increase.  But the line has decreased to -3.5. So that is the line movement you want when using this system.

    Ok...thank you for that explanation! I'm still learningthe system....

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    Quote Originally Posted by RaidEerMike:

    Quote Originally Posted by mrkotter:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mohr4ya:

    Played Wright State last night!! It definitely fit.  Anyone else Iike me? I am not a fan of the Saturday slate....just too many games to look at. I prefer the mid week games where you can find one or two solid games to hone in on and research.  Early games I'm seeing are Providence, BC, Oakland, Arkansas... See home many I can track and research today.  GL all! If anyone finds a good one post it up?
    Im still learning this system but are lines in BC and Providence games going the wrong direction...sorry for repetitive question?
      On Boston College. The line opened at Vt -4.5. All of the money is coming in on VT which normally would make the line increase.  But the line has decreased to -3.5. So that is the line movement you want when using this system.

    Ok...thank you for that explanation! I'm still learningthe system....

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