@UnrankedChamp
sorry my boy you are wrong again ...if anyone bet this at Hardrock when I posted it Wich was right before 2 what was the line ? I have a program on my computer that shows live lines from about 22 books I promise you young man it wasn't ...but again you know all and if ya didn't I am sure you would just make it up...
cmon keep scoring damnit 31-28 over 4 mins left 1st
and as usual I give a perfect write up to take Army I hope that some read that and bet Army before I posted my OVER play I'm sure you could tell I was definitely leaning Army I got a few friends who do that, read my thoughts and bet even if I do not post it as a play it made good sense
Queens +4 -110 no need to buy I do not think if it stayed at 105 I might have bought a half all the teams that played a game have either won outright or covered think queens here does the same thing again hope ya hit Army even with the line jumping 1.5 pts
Ok rum… so where we at in the sweet 16…. I did a ml parlay of Duke Houston and Florida. Pays about 1.5/1. With Florida being my fav… they have not played really good yet in my opinion. I don’t totally trust auburn yet… as that game in sec tourney they lost… they panicked down the stretch…and I think they will again if down in final 2 min…. I think Duke losing guy for tourney…helped them overall…. They make good decisions… and I think they will…. Florida big men need to get it together here…. They did not play well last game…. Not sure that young coach is great. Ok. I’ll shut up.
@Mskeets
well I also think Florida and Duke are maybe the 2 that should get to the final 4, Florida getting tested I think will help them, to be honest I think this is one of the best sweet 16's ever! I mean seriously look at the matchups , Fla/Maryland I think this could be where Fla could lose, they are really deep and that should be the diff, I mean Maryland got tested big-time, but Col st that one kid was making 3's from NBA range, that is what kept them the lead for so long, and it was what got them the lead early, and it was his 3 that gave them the lead late and again a NBA 3......line 6.5 156.5 I like the OVER also this line opened at 4.5 and the public has pushed it up to 6.5 I tend to favor the line the odds gods made, if marylands guards step up and play great this will be to the wire, maryland can play inside with anyone , and the total has went up I should have been on the over early I am on OVER 156 1 unit
BYU/Bama another line that has moved, opened at 3.5 and is now 5 to 5.5 I do see one 4.5 , but most are 5 or 5.5 I think BYU can play with anyone, and the public has been on Bama and they should have Nelson back at 100% which is maybe why the line move, but I would not be afraid to take BYU, the total opened at 171.5 and has jumped 4 points , which I agree with again missed out because I have been so damn busy , personally I think I am going to be on BYU here and am hoping this goes up some , right now Bama's TT is 90.5 and BYU is 85.5 I just bet BYU Over 85.5 TT 1.5 units
Over 85.5 TT BYU 1.5 units
Arizona/Duke Duke -9 153-154 1st thing I see is this total, seems low but with the line being 9 I think they are expecting a big win by Duke seems they are looking at a 81-72 game ...I think the total is a bit low...line opened at 8.5 151.5 so up a half to a pt, and the total has been bet up 2 pts again missed out , I really think they are expecting a bigger win by Duke and Dukes defense holding Arizona to below 70 Duke is that good, I could not bet Arizona at 9 or 9.5 and I agree with the thinking I still think this goes OVER because I think Duke can score 85+ I think this is going to be a 87-73 type of game about 159-160 scored here
OVER 153 1.5 units and am on Duke -9 1 unit
also Ark/Texas tech I have said that if texas tech is healthy they are going to be hard to beat, last game they had 2 guys who accounted for about 75% of their scoring, and they could get McMillan back this week which will make them even more stronger, and I think Arkansas just got boogie back and he should play more and I thought they mentioned that they may get Thiero back, if so this will be a great game and should be anyway, I have won with Arkansas I think on their last 4 games, as a dog they have been really a good cover, but Tech is going to present other things, Williams was huge for them last game, and the total for this game has already went up 3 pts it opened at 144.5 and is now 147.5, I have not decided anything on this game yet
Mich st -3 144 vs Ole Miss here I am going with Michigan st -3 personally I think they are a very strong team, very deep playing 10 players, and they keep people fresh which helps late in games....2 very good coaches but I will go with Izzo anytime.....the way Michigan st has played in their last 11 games , only losing to Wisconsin in the big 10 tourney, winning at ILLINOIS, at Maryland, at Michigan shows what they can be, the line seems low in my eyes, but I do not ? lines made this late in the year, have to respect what Ole Miss has done, but I am on Mich st and I do expect this to at least get to -4 or more, and as we all know every point matters, which is why sometimes moving a line can really help , this line has actually dropped which shows money on Ole Miss, but I do think as we get towards game day it will move up...and again this total opened at 140.5, and is now 143.5 144 it seems all the totals are going up and by a lot
Michigan State -3 2.5 units
also I am Favoring KY +4.5 - 5 145.5 this total has dropped a point yes KY has won both games vs Tennessee , can they win a 3rd? not sure but I do favor them with the points I am hoping it goes up
and I am really liking Michigan vs Auburn, I think Michigan has shown they are a good team, they have the 2 7 footers which have caused problems for teams, and again this line opened at aub-7.5 150.5 and is now 9 and 153.5 again another total that has gone up 3 points, almost all the ones that have went up have went up 3 points, even though Michigan has the 2 7 footers I think it will come down to if Gayle and Donaldson can keep their play up, and hitting the 3's if they can this will be an over for sure ... I personally like getting 9 points here and I think this could creep up even more, as far as the total, I am grabbing over 153 -120 buying that nasty half pt
Over 153 Mich/Aub 1 unit
Purdue/Houston -8 132.5 really no opinion yet on this game line opened at 7.5 it is still 7.5 at a couple of books total opened at 131.5 I do favor the OVER because I feel Purdue will be able to score in this game, if they can get to 65 here this should hit 137+ and I think they can get to 66-68 I am again going to spend the whopping 10.00 extra and buy down to 132
Over 132 1 unit
TUESDAY
ok tonight I am taking TennChattanooga +4 -120 1.5 units I have been riding this team, and their overs , last couple of months they have been a very good cover and on the road even better, they have won their last 9 road games outright, and since Jan 1st they have lost 4 games and the scores were 94-99 at Mercer , 75-78 at home to UNCG, 69-73 at home to Samford, 77-80 Neutral court to Furman so all by 5 pts or less , Bradley is a team that usually scores between 70-76 pts I'd say but can keep a game lower scoring but also has had some 80 pt games, but they usually keep their opponents in the mid 60's that is going to determine how this game goes, can they keep Chattanooga under 70 pts, I do not think so, last 3 games Chatt has scored 77 109, and 87...away they avg 78 pts while giving up 73, Bradley at home averages 78 while giving up 67, ...last 3 games Chattanooga is shooting 50.2% and 39% from 3 and 58% from 2 ...last 3 for Bradley they are shooting 43.4% and 34.2% from 3 and 52.6% from 2.....at home Bradley shoots 48%, 40.6% from 3 and 545 from 2 and away Chatt shoots 47.3% and 35.8% from 3 and 57% from 2 and Chattanooga is a 81% ft shooting team and Bradley is 67% last 3 Chatt is avg 91 pts a game and giving up 85, Bradley is 64 and 64
just like this Chattanooga team their up Tempo I hope comes through and if they can get to 75+ they should win this game I do lean over 151 here Chattanooga is 11-5 STR up away and 12-4 ats....also as a dog they are 9-2 ats, and (8-1 ats as an away dog !!!) 7-4 STR up as a dog and 6-3 STR up as an away dog ...Bradley is 14-3 at home STR up and 7-8-1 ats at home and as a home favorite....Chatt is 19-3 STR up on 2-3 days rest and 14-7 ats and Bradley is 19-6 STR up on 2-3 days rest and 12-12-1 ats
Tenn-Chatt+4 1 unit almost went more maybe I will dont matter if I do its a posted play
also tonight ILLINOIS st -6 -122 going back to a team I played a lot this year, seems they want to play, I said I thought they were the best team in it and still do, and their 2nd half play has been even better , just a tough team here wish I got it earlier when it was 5.5 but I think they will be fine here should win by 10+ and I am going OVER 148 in this game, Both teams have been shooting the ball really well, ICW has scored 87 and 92 pts in this tourney and Ill st got their avg 78, and they shot 60% and its what got me , because I took Presbyterian last game +6 and they lost by 8 and its hard to cover when a team shoots 60% and iCW shot 54% last game and 40% from 3 , but Ill st is a better defensive team , but I do think Ill st should get 80+ in this so the over is a play also here
Ill st -6 1.5 units
Over 148 1 unit
and Okla st at home vs N Texas Okla st is -1 136.5 both teams TT are 68 for NT and 68.5 for Okla st ..Okla st has been scoring points in this tourney 85 and 89 but against NT that will be hard, if they do they win for sure, but will they I am leaning Okla st but man this defense NT has is good and they have held 2 good teams to low scoring Furman 64 ark st 63 something has to be said about that yes they were at home and now they are away ..NT is 19-6 STR up after a win and Okla st is 5-11 after a win STR up..NT is 7-5 STR up away but only 2-5 STR up as a dog, and 15-2 STR up on 2-3 days rest and Okla st is 10-11 STR up this is a tuff one here will wait till looked at more
Taking Clev st -4.5 at HardRock other book has 5 cant buy down at HR but I think they cover this by 8+ this team shot 60% yesterday and 40% from 3 and FGCU is 0-2 ats with no rest this year, and they won by 3 yesterday and did not shoot well, and I do favor the over 137.5 138 in this game because I think Clev st puts up some points if they can get 75 this goes over they got 88 yesterday ..FGCU is 8-3 OVER as a dog this year ...after a win Clev st is 13-6-1 ats and FGCU after a win is 8-10 ats
Clev st -4.5 1.5 units
waiting on CBI TT's
@RUM151
Yeah, I’m with you on Xavier laying 2. Surprised Texas wasn’t favored too, but knowing they’re basically playing a home game in Dayton changes everything. Texas blowing that 10-pt lead vs Marquette definitely raises some flags. Grabbing Xavier -2 makes sense—no need to buy points this early, especially at Hardrock.
Yes sir….appreciate… as you know I have liked Arkansas… but went against them last game… they played very well.. leaving alone… I watched byu at Iowa state late in year.. I bet Iowa st… byu was the better team and won… byu has all the components now… just maybe not McDonald all Americans … but they are not weak anywhere… I would have to take points there… if I played it… tad worried about Houston in my parlay… but I think their senior team with tons of grit gets it done here even if Purdue plays well. So my moneyline parlay is Houston. Duke and Florida … and I think on Florida.. you can take them at -3 ish to improve odds. Appreciate analysis.. will play some of your picks along with my 3 teamers to make them 4 teamers. Good luck to all…. Btw. If you are ever on an under… I’m tailing. ??????
Tonight
Ill st -6 1.5 units
Clev st -4.5 1.5 units
Tenn chatt+4 1 unit
Over 148 Ill st 1 unit
will be adding and might play every game because I can afford too does not mean anyone else has too, its my personal choice if I do choose but sometimes we have the Moral police who will try to condemn someone who makes a personal choice, even if that choice has nothing to do with them at all,, I mean nothing!!!! they just feel they need to be heard, why??? hell who fkn knows...LMAO yes its ODD but then so are they so if anyone tries to condemn ya for choices you make, lets just ignore them even if they feel strongly that they know!!!! and damnit you better hear them...lol so lets have some fun hopefully make some money if not we tried, and if someone wants to come in after the games and tell me how I lost, when they have not told us who they like??? well we all know a person like that personally those types are still trying to find their way.....cause if they had a life they wouldn't be trolling threads every day , stalking, waiting, hoping, so we will pretend they are not even here gl and may God bless all of you
@Mskeets
so pissed I didn't look at these yesterday morning or Sunday night there are at least 3 overs I would have bet right away that have went up 3 pts and I hate missing the early lines
and guess what I swear if anyone in here bets HR their line just went to Clev st -5.5 about 15 mins ago glad I pulled the trigger when I did, what I do not like about HR is that they are treating these games diff like not letting you buy points on CBI and not games which makes me use the other book just like the Clev st game they did not move it from 4.5 to 5 they moved it to 5.5 a whole point, because they are trying to keep things on a half pt its bull shit books only do that because it helps them, in my opinion the best book ever was 5 dimes that was a player friendly book they offered so many diff things, I loved in basketball the 1st 5 mins 1st 10 mins and 1st 15 mins betting they offered and so many props, they were my favorite book
NCAA Parlay friggin Kentucky dropped to 4 wish I had gotten 4.5 but I am doing a Parlay that hopefully gets me Kentucky at a better price , and Florida went to -7 from 6.5 earlier today...but here is my Parlay
if KY wins I'll be betting Houston ML at +278 but my intension was to be able to bet KY at +4 at +278 either works for me
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