Posted:
#26
sorry that this is 1/6, but give me a break
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Xavier-Cincinnati UNDER 60.5 (-110, 1H)
-My numbers say 133-134 but the rivalry should help defense here and I think XU will struggle to score if Cincy doesn't let them get out and run. In the last 9 meetings the under is 6-3 with two unders losing because of OT. The average 1st half point total is 60.3 and this year's teams are nowhere near what they usually have in terms of scorers. I don't like selling points here, but taking the 1H under helps me avoid OT and generally if the game goes over in the 1H then it will go over for the game. Cincy's coach Mick Cronin should do all he can to keep Xavier from getting out and running for easy baskets, while XU wants to slow it down with what sounds like a beat up group of guys. No Jordan Crawford zapped a scorer away from the Musketeers and Tu Holloway has played well but he's not the guy to rely on in the longterm. I fear Cincy getting out in transition, but XU knows they need to force UC to make quality shots here so they will do all they can to stay in the game. The Bearcats are bad at FTs as a team hitting 65.3%, while XU is a respectable 72%. If we see the bonus early this is a loser, but I think Cincy will bail me out with a few FT misses.
add
Xavier-Cincinnati UNDER 60.5 (-110, 1H)
-My numbers say 133-134 but the rivalry should help defense here and I think XU will struggle to score if Cincy doesn't let them get out and run. In the last 9 meetings the under is 6-3 with two unders losing because of OT. The average 1st half point total is 60.3 and this year's teams are nowhere near what they usually have in terms of scorers. I don't like selling points here, but taking the 1H under helps me avoid OT and generally if the game goes over in the 1H then it will go over for the game. Cincy's coach Mick Cronin should do all he can to keep Xavier from getting out and running for easy baskets, while XU wants to slow it down with what sounds like a beat up group of guys. No Jordan Crawford zapped a scorer away from the Musketeers and Tu Holloway has played well but he's not the guy to rely on in the longterm. I fear Cincy getting out in transition, but XU knows they need to force UC to make quality shots here so they will do all they can to stay in the game. The Bearcats are bad at FTs as a team hitting 65.3%, while XU is a respectable 72%. If we see the bonus early this is a loser, but I think Cincy will bail me out with a few FT misses.
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