Good morning everybody!!! Today we singing Sunny Days are here again!! Sunny days are here again!! Very heavy sharp move on this play tonight!!!

LMFAO.  Brother.  You just gave me the best laugh of the week. I’m rolling 

Runlines scare me anymore because bullpens are so bad lately, historically bad the last couple years.....However I do agree thats where a ton of value is, of all the possible outcomes, the % of favorites winning by 1 run isnt that great

Thanks for the Phillies play buddy.

One run games around 28%in reg season, as you lose three at bats, have to be cautious.....good hitting team with an ace pitcher for example

Very excited about the Phils this year, put a lot on the over on their total wins. That bet was a great kickoff to their season so Thanks for that! 

Your numbers show what % of that are the favorites? and good points

Good luck tonight, SB.

[Quote: Originally Posted by Rip100]One run games around 28%in reg season, as you lose three at bats, have to be cautious.....good hitting team with an ace pitcher for example[/Quote

I agree   And why the away team is the team I will predominately play run lines and reverse run lines than the home team. However you can get some real good prices on the home team run line because of exactly the reasons you listed.     

I ain’t liking etsu first half much. Just saying.  

I picked that up on another website,(last year) will try to dig that out

SB....so you're backing off 1st half etsu now.....

first half moneylines and runlines are interesting as well...you are getting the same moneyline on first fives as the full game.....wish the dogs came in more on these...the last of the fifth is a killer if you take the dog.....high totals in games can give an advantage to dogs as well, more variance in scoring (both first five and full game)

please tell us your loving it now,lol

Not backing off as I never posted it.  Just saying I don’t like it now where as in previous discussions I said I did     

Keep eye out for the first half play I post 5 minutes before tip off brother.  That will hit for us. Promise mate!!

Let's do it......7pm 1st game i assume 

[Quote: Originally Posted by jimbof20]Runlines scare me anymore because bullpens are so bad lately, historically bad the last couple years.....However I do agree thats where a ton of value is, of all the possible outcomes, the % of favorites winning by 1 run isnt that great[/Quote

perfect example

Astros game 2   Justin V - 170 @ home after losing game 1   
astros backers just got their asses handed to them betting ml -200    So they came back with astros trying to get that money back betting astros rl    Whoever bet astros took astros rl    Whoever bet nationals took the PLUS 1.5  as they were petrified of taking the ml plus 155      

this is an example of when reverse run line bets are east      Nationals reverse run line -1.5 plus 280 was a fucking steal

yea. 

Sorry for the no comment in post 10 of your other thread. It's ALL FUCKERED up. Anyway good luck tonight SBs 

anytime

same to you brother 

SB but isn't W. Michigan coming off 3 str8 road games and now are a favorite at home? Doesn't that go against your golden rules? 

Western Michigan still in play ? I have not thrown down as I know things change 

Western isnt a favorite at home

OOOOPS  I meant to send this post.   

SB but isn't Wright state coming off 3 str8 road games and now are a favorite at home? Doesn't that go against your golden rules?  Sorry couldn't reply in your other post for some reason.

it does but tourney plays a huge roll into that