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FOUND A SYSTEM THAT WORKS FOR CBB !!!!!!!!

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by Frank_The_Tank:

Today:
Georgetown/ Providence Under 133 WIN
Wofford/ Furman Under 127 Loss
Rider / Loyola-Maryland - Over 152.5 Loss
Xavier / Rhode Island - Over 150 WIN
Marist / Fairfield - Under 132 Loss
Austin Peay/ Tennessee St- Over 151 Loss
Texas A&M / Texas - Under 135.5 Win
St. Mary's/ Pepperdine - Over 150.5
Portland / San Francisco - Under 131.5
Santa Clara / Loyola Marymount - Under 123.5
Gonzaga/ San Diego -Under 133
Iona/ Canisius - Under 129 WIN

What lines did you use to track your system?  Open...close???

 
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Posted: #52
Frank-
 
I think this is a worthwhile system to look at.
 
I will attempt to give a slight reason why I think it works. 
 
The average score, as you said, is 142.3.   Games falling within 5.4 either way are an "average" game, thus, no clear direction of which way the O/U may go.  When a game has a spread greater than 5.4, then the oddsmakers are obviously skewing that game a large amount one way or the other.  That said, a game with a spread of 150 is obviously 2 teams that are on the high side of scoring.  A game with a 135 is 2 slow teams.  What you have defined (maybe) is the point at which the oddsmakers go outside the "average" number range.  In other words, if the total is set above the range, or below the range, the tendency of the 2 teams is extreme enough to warrant this large deviation from the norm.  Thus, they are 2 high scoring teams, or 2 low scoring teams.
 
That ran a little long.  I was a Math major in another life.
 
-Snake
 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by Frank_The_Tank:

Today:
Georgetown/ Providence Under 133 WIN
Wofford/ Furman Under 127 Loss
Rider / Loyola-Maryland - Over 152.5 Loss
Xavier / Rhode Island - Over 150 WIN
Marist / Fairfield - Under 132 Loss
Austin Peay/ Tennessee St- Over 151 Loss
Texas A&M / Texas - Under 135.5 Win
St. Mary's/ Pepperdine - Over 150.5
Portland / San Francisco - Under 131.5
Santa Clara / Loyola Marymount - Under 123.5
Gonzaga/ San Diego -Under 133
Iona/ Canisius - Under 129 WIN

What lines did you use to track your system?  Open...close???

 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 162
Posted: #54
My bookie, and I usually wait until 4 to 6 hours before the game.
 
Captain
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Posted: #55
sound very interesting....thanks Frank
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1923
Posted: #56
Frank...I have been doing what you are suggesting, but only on Unders.  I have not bet an over in I dont know how long...my cut off was 140.  I just bet under on all the games that fell under 140.  It has really been working for ESPN games during the week...tonight is a great example...looking like all 4 games are going under.  Goodl Luck
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by snakebit1:

Frank-
 
I think this is a worthwhile system to look at.
 
I will attempt to give a slight reason why I think it works. 
 
The average score, as you said, is 142.3.   Games falling within 5.4 either way are an "average" game, thus, no clear direction of which way the O/U may go.  When a game has a spread greater than 5.4, then the oddsmakers are obviously skewing that game a large amount one way or the other.  That said, a game with a spread of 150 is obviously 2 teams that are on the high side of scoring.  A game with a 135 is 2 slow teams.  What you have defined (maybe) is the point at which the oddsmakers go outside the "average" number range.  In other words, if the total is set above the range, or below the range, the tendency of the 2 teams is extreme enough to warrant this large deviation from the norm.  Thus, they are 2 high scoring teams, or 2 low scoring teams.
 
That ran a little long.  I was a Math major in another life.
 
-Snake

this is exactly what I am thinking....nice Snake

 
Captain
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Posts: 5518
Posted: #58
listen my friend it doesnt hit 79 percent you are posting false information.
 
By the way my friend I posted 2 winners tonight and came in 2nd in the nfl capping contest on this sight .
 
Its all documented my friend.
 
So I have contributed .
 
Your just another person with lies and I went back and over time its a 50-50 system.
 
Stop making false claims moron
 
 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 444
Posted: #59
just for the record .. i did all the games from sat.. it came out 38-27..for 61%.. that includes some really small  conferences,, it appears at 1st glance it doesnt hold up as well on the lesser known conferences.. but many did win.. if you go to covers and tab backwards you can follow the totals.. it posts closing numbers and what result was.. so this is pretty accurate.. its pretty good . not quite 70+% .. but as boo-boo would say.. better than the average bear.....
 
Covers Linesmen
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Posts: 58269
Posted: #60
Sat has a bazillion games being played, over 70 from my count..that is TOOO many.

Got tired counting but I think after juice it might have been up 5-6 games..but NOT 70%
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by Frank_The_Tank:

Today:
Georgetown/ Providence Under 133 WIN
Wofford/ Furman Under 127 Loss
Rider / Loyola-Maryland - Over 152.5 Loss
Xavier / Rhode Island - Over 150 WIN
Marist / Fairfield - Under 132 Loss
Austin Peay/ Tennessee St- Over 151 Loss
Texas A&M / Texas - Under 135.5 Win
St. Mary's/ Pepperdine - Over 150.5
Portland / San Francisco - Under 131.5
Santa Clara / Loyola Marymount - Under 123.5
Gonzaga/ San Diego -Under 133
Iona/ Canisius - Under 129 WIN

This is an interesting system.  I'm NOT bashing by pointing this out, Frank; I just wanted to mention that you unfortunately got a bad number on the Portland/San Francisco game, as it went off at 133.5 to 134 at game time.  So, for many of us (I was actually on the positive end for a change), that game would have been a WIN, or at the worst, a PUSH, as well....

 
Captain
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Posted: #62
This guy claims he is about 166-48 in his last 214 bets.
 
 
Guys this thread is a farce
 
 
 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #63
 
Prospect
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Posted: #64
Zags under$$$$  Talk to you guys another day.
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #65
IT may work, look at the over/under for the Zags game.  I will give a try who knows...
 
Captain
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Posted: #66
it is an interesting system to check into !
 
All-Star
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Posted: #67
Nice post regardless of what any haters say. I checked this against today's and yesterday's closing lines and I got 8-4 today and 7-3 on Sunday. This seems like a solid idea because I hate taking low scoring teams over and high scoring teams under. Taking UNC or Duke game unders is a quick way to get yourself checked into a mental hospital if you actually watch the game. lol Anyways, I'll try it out tomorrow for 1/10 of a unit per game.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #68
the bottom line is you better have a darn good reason to bet under when its 148 or over when its 137..thats for sure..you WILL difinately lose more than youll win if at least you dont use this as a guide line//////godd nite all.. just cashed on sd late game.. time to go beddy by
 
All-Star
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Posted: #69
I know for a fact that some systems work. I'll be watching the games daily. If it comes out positive i'll be giving kudos.
No sense in bashing. What does anyone get out of that.
 
GL Frank-
 
 
 
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Posted: #70
Frank systems are where it's at!
 
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Posted: #71
 I don't know about any system that works more than 50% of the time...I am not an expert...I wager about 20 to 50 per game....and I should have faded myself over the last 3 days...I have been out a lot this weekend....I think I play way too many games period...One thing that I noticed while I was dabbling with NBA totals...I was betting on games in the first quarter.....if the favorite was -10 to -12 or so....my thoughts were the dog should be able to stay with them for at least a quarter...WRONG!!!  I was losing my ass...so now I play the heavy favorite....for the first quarter.......I am on Detroit in the first quarter on Tues.....they have been hot in the first quarter.....I am not saying this is a system...but its one more thing to think about....By the way thanks for the info Frank...
 
Prospect
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Posted: #72
Love it Frank, U have a point snake. How many times have I lost taking the over when it was 125-133, plenty. I think in some conferences it will work better than in others, gonna look into it.
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #73
I guarantee this system doesn't hit at a 79% clip. It might make you money, and hit at a good clip, I don't know and don't want to go check, but it does not hit 79%. Don't take advantage of gullible gamblers on this forum like that.
 
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Posted: #74
Look forward to your insight on the Tourney my friend. Until then keep up the good work and research,it is appreciated
 
 
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Posted: #75
Guys I don't think that he was intending to sound like some genius I think Frank was just pointing out a specific area where you could catch a line supported by a proven history. I'm going to do my research on this to see what numbers I get. I'm going to go by the end of the day numbers that Covers has posted to avoid any discrepancies. I'm sure you'll catch the wrong end of a number from time to time but it happens to all of us. Based on those numbers, today's record would have been 7-3, the under was 6-2 and the over was 1-1. If my research proves Frank's theory I'll play it everyday.

GL to all whatever you decide.
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