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FOUND A SYSTEM THAT WORKS FOR CBB !!!!!!!!

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Rookie
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Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 990
Posted: #176
I tried it on the IU game and though I had the under until the last 6 mins. I see for the smaller schools, it might be money. I'll try it on one of the smaller conf games tonight and see.
 
Covers Rehab
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Posts: 448
Posted: #177
Quote Originally Posted by wchavanu:

If every one did there math...the platform was set at...136- bet under...149+ bet over...this is what you should have come up with -

BG/Ohio - 124 under...probability 92.3%
Akr/Mia(OH) - 123.5 under...probability 31.25%
SDSt/Wyo - 135.5 under...probability 33.33%(this line is at 137 now) NP
MizzSt/Creighton - 129 under...probability 24%
Geo/Kent - 130.5 under...probability 30%

The rest right now for probability would be a 38-42% guess...less odds than a coin flip...So as I see it the system today would go 1-4...20%...that is just today...no my %"s are not mixed up...thats not to say tomorrow it goes 5-0...like I said on a earlier post pick a conference and run your own math...I did all the games today because there weren't that many...and if you can get on the right side of the numbers you could get 79% or more...your pick for today is -

BG/Ohio under 124...92.30%

Good Luck All

BRING IT

wchavanu, do you have any probabilities for today? 26 qualifying games is a hell of alot....

 
Captain
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Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 6307
Posted: #178
If the line were 147 at MIRAGE, and 148 at CAESARS , do I have to go to CAESARS to play the over ?
 
If the line is 138 at MIRAGE and 137 at CAESARS , do I go to CAESARS to play the under ?
 
I know the answer as to getting the best line, do you throw these games out when there are different lines out there ?
 
Do you use this system based on one set of lines, or if you find a line that falls into the parameters do you bet it ?
 
I'm not hating or judging your system, only tring to understand it.
 
 
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Posts: 14259
Posted: #179
Wchavanu, weren't the numbers 138 under and over 147? For today, using the system, using the totals on WSEX, I have 37 games you would be taking. Under 34- over 3. I will not say this won't work before I follow it for a while, but if I was really laying action on 37 games, I don't think I could even follow it until most of them were finished. Did anyone else get the same amount for today's card?
 
Captain
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Posted: #180
To increase the winning percentage of this theory, try using under 132 and over 153 insted of the current numbers!!!  Why???  Becuase it would mean these teams are even more likely to go under and go over the posted totals!!!!!  I don't ever play an under unless it is 132 or under!!!  Good Luck Gents, the theory does make sense, I have been betting under 132 on games for years, but I pick my spots!!!!  I don't just bet it blind!!!
 
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Posts: 13287
Posted: #181
79%


Never a shortage of these clowns.
 
All-Star
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Posts: 14993
Posted: #182
 There is no system for picking winners.

Just use your brain.
 
Covers Rehab
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Posts: 448
Posted: #183
Quote Originally Posted by lennon65:

 There is no system for picking winners.

Just use your brain.

I was a true non-believer of systems, until Matrixxx's line movement system...as far as i know...his system works at a 60%+ clip......

nothing wrong with systems, brother...

 
All-Star
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Joined: Jun, 2005
Posts: 14993
Posted: #184
 My system hits at a +61% clip. And I have no system.


 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2004
Posts: 236
Posted: #185
I show 40 games currently that fall in this category. 37 under/ 3 over. Your bankroll tonight on just 50.00 per game needs to be 2000.00 Interesting but I see other spots to look at rather than just straight numbers
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #186
Quote Originally Posted by papicker:

this guy said nothing about math in his original post he says always play the over or always play the under it was pretty cut and dry.

Papicker,

Do you have a Record Count for this system for only ranked teams?  i'd like to know...with this system...its looking like all 9 top 25 teams today fall under this totals system

 
Covers Rehab
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Posts: 808
Posted: #187
Frank The Tank...since there are 37+ games that this system falls under tonight, why dont you make a daily thread (starting tonight) on games that you are laying on per the system???
 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 29
Posted: #188
I'd like to add a rule for the system, don't bet on an Illinois under!

21 of their games this year, including every one of their conference games have had a posted total below 135 (based on lines from covers results page).  They've gone under in only 7 of these games.  With a total record of 7-13-1.  If I was riding this system, I wouldn't place bets on the Illini based on their track record for the season.

I think a nice way to narrow down the list of plays you make on a card like the size of todays is to look at specific teams and see what their trends are in predicted low scoring affairs.  The players may change over the years, but the coach and his style doesn't always.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 74
Posted: #189

This system was

4-6 on tuesday

17-20 on thursday

just by my numbers

 

 
Prospect
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Posts: 74
Posted: #190
17-20 on wednesday, sorry for the typo
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 169
Posted: #191
This system blows!  I used it the last two nights and got my ass kicked!  Don't use this system because it sucks balls!! 
 
Veteran
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Posts: 3413
Posted: #192
Been following it too! If there is something to this we should see some movement in our direction. I'm betting 20 a game to experiment with. Hope we make some coin!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 20
Posted: #193

I am a first time poster but long time viewer and I just wanted to throw out there that I used this system last night and went 3-0.

Duke/Miami   o150.5   W

Butler/Ill Chi  u 132     W

Tenn/Aub      o 155     W

I played them individually and parlayed them with Wisconsin ML.

Nice night.

 
All-Star
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Posted: #194
Clay,
 
glad you won, at least someone did. However, like I said yesterday, there were 37. You pcked the right ones.  I havent done the numbers, but I can tell you 3 that lost. UNC-wil, K-St, and Marq. So, they are at least 3-3. Played Wiscy with you, nice job. Glad to know some guy said the lock of his 100% system was wrong. He said he put 275k on it. I wish more guys would say these things.
 
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Posted: #195
Systems are for losers...research and hard work are for winners
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2596
Posted: #196
18-20 last night
 
Captain
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Posted: #197
all these people hating
 
Prospect
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Posts: 49
Posted: #198

it worked on the 4 I picked...Although the night before was a rough night!

last night-

unc over 152

charlotte under 126 was under til OT so actually lost that one but at regulation it worked!

NM under120

duke over 150

Nice night!

 
Rookie
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Posts: 589
Posted: #199
17-20 won't cut it.  Like any "system" sometimes it works, and most of the time it doesn't. 
 
 
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Posts: 14430
Posted: #200
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