Posted:
#1501
0
Falcon Sports (The Grand Challenge)
Posted:
#1504
Alright guys, we whipped them pretty easy on that first fight today.
Let's see if we can get them again later.
The Falcon Mathematical Power Total (160)
Versus
The books perceived total (147)
Obviously my formula says that they have this one too low. Hopefully its not an outlier.
I've got to quit posting my Power Total and sadly I've got to stop posting this publicly. I'll do my best to stay through the year.
Let's just focus on the next one. Your never no better than your last bet. Personally I don't believe that at all but thats the way the posting life goes.
Falcon Sports
FalconWins
2
Posted:
#1506
@ndsent1
Thanks
But I'm not better than probably half the people here. I do have a Mathematical Formula that I believe is really good.
What part i play in this, is creating or writing the Formula and now the filters I've put in place to basically automate the entire process.
I have very little in common with almost everyone here, I'm talking about how the selections are made.
I read the posts and its just filled with people's opinions. Thats all this is for most. And thats ok but its probably why the fail rate is so high. That and the way people handle losing.
If u can't handle losing in this business, you are 100% doomed to fail.
My belief is u have to have these things in place to succeed.
1. An automated model, Formula, strategy. Some way of selecting winners, besides u just basically guessing. This is the sad reality because its what most do, just guess at it.
2. A money management strategy. Remember my best definition of money management. Its knowing what amount your next wager will be, before your current wager ends.
3. Handling losses. U have to master this to have any chance, no matter what else u do. In some ways its the most important. Its game over when they get u to tilt.
As u continue your betting careers, keep some of these things in mind.
Falcon Sports
5
Posted:
#1511
Quote Originally Posted by MITM:
@ndsent1 Thanks But I'm not better than probably half the people here. I do have a Mathematical Formula that I believe is really good. What part i play in this, is creating or writing the Formula and now the filters I've put in place to basically automate the entire process. I have very little in common with almost everyone here, I'm talking about how the selections are made. I read the posts and its just filled with people's opinions. Thats all this is for most. And thats ok but its probably why the fail rate is so high. That and the way people handle losing. If u can't handle losing in this business, you are 100% doomed to fail. My belief is u have to have these things in place to succeed. 1. An automated model, Formula, strategy. Some way of selecting winners, besides u just basically guessing. This is the sad reality because its what most do, just guess at it. 2. A money management strategy. Remember my best definition of money management. Its knowing what amount your next wager will be, before your current wager ends. 3. Handling losses. U have to master this to have any chance, no matter what else u do. In some ways its the most important. Its game over when they get u to tilt. As u continue your betting careers, keep some of these things in mind. Falcon Sports
@ndsent1 Thanks But I'm not better than probably half the people here. I do have a Mathematical Formula that I believe is really good. What part i play in this, is creating or writing the Formula and now the filters I've put in place to basically automate the entire process. I have very little in common with almost everyone here, I'm talking about how the selections are made. I read the posts and its just filled with people's opinions. Thats all this is for most. And thats ok but its probably why the fail rate is so high. That and the way people handle losing. If u can't handle losing in this business, you are 100% doomed to fail. My belief is u have to have these things in place to succeed. 1. An automated model, Formula, strategy. Some way of selecting winners, besides u just basically guessing. This is the sad reality because its what most do, just guess at it. 2. A money management strategy. Remember my best definition of money management. Its knowing what amount your next wager will be, before your current wager ends. 3. Handling losses. U have to master this to have any chance, no matter what else u do. In some ways its the most important. Its game over when they get u to tilt. As u continue your betting careers, keep some of these things in mind. Falcon Sports
Thanks for this!
0
Posted:
#1516
@MITM
Meaning once you find a game with a decided advantage via your maths to what the bookies line is offering, the variance is quite obvious, I'm sorry if you construed something else but the Purdue line is a 13 pt differential to your math, very obvious to have a bet ....
Thanks again .....
0
Posted:
#1517
@Coben
First off, I've said many times that I must have a 5pt difference in cbb to have a potential play.
I believe that I've put a chart up with the difference by sport.
But to better answer your question, I used to have to run every game but since I've been using the filters, I can filter out plays in about half the time. The filtered record is (12-5).
I actually don't like a 13pt difference. Its outside the sweet spot. My ideal play is in the 6-9 pt difference and all filters are passed.
Sometimes a 13pt difference is too much, I call it an outlier.
We will see how it goes.
Tomorrow is a big travel day for me and Saturday is also. I'm trying to script my next 2 days.
Falcon Sports
1
Hot Forum Topics
