East Texas A and M+20.5

Alright new thread with how I got here for those that believe in my analyses.

ETA&M has a tremendous SOS and is 5-4. Battle tested. Their roster consists of castoffs that transferred in after 3 criminal cases and in one case 4 prior schools. Their coach Jaret Von Rosenberg has seemed to gel this collection of misfits into a tough minded squad.

McNeese St lost 88 pct of their scoring as Will Wade bolted for NC State understandably. The players brought in are a microcosm of ETAM with better talent.

The talent though isn’t at a level where they should be laying 3 touchdowns at home to this upstart ETAM team.

McNeese goes 6’10, 6’4, 6’5, 6’5 and 6’3. ETAM goes 6’8, 6’8, 6’5, 6’4 and 6’0. McNeese led the country in offensive rebounds last year and is pedestrian this year, only averaging 3.5 more than ETAM.

McNeese is picked to win the Southland and ETAM is picked 10th out of 12. ETAM will be a few games under .500 in conference I think. This team is good.

ETAM starts terribly slow in games and if McNeese isn’t up 14 at half I’d be surprised but ETAM has out scored their opponents 421 to 313 in their 9 games. They literally play to the end balls to the wall!

I normally hate backing a dog that has no chance to win outright, but I actually think ETAM has a chance to shock the Sothland tonight.

Take ETAM+20.5 and if theyre down 12-16 at the break don’t panic. They are oddly and incomprehensibly a train in the 2nd half.

BOL 

@Noonball

 Good luck pal, gonna take one of your picks tonight, just haven't decided yet, I can't focus on doing my own  plays as I got an infected tooth pulled a couple hours ago, and it hurts like a bitch.

nice write up NB

Good Luck

@garister

 Thanks brother, appreciate the compliment! I have certain reads that differ from others. This spread is 10 pts off the expected outcome in my opinion. 
The way ETAM plays doesn’t allow themselves to get walked over.

@leafs1789

 Ouch! Hope your pain subsides! GL on whichever you pick. I like this one better personally after originally thinking the other one was the better of the two if that makes a difference 

BOL

@Noonball

 Ouch

Need a big backdoor 

@lmb4321

 I need a new hobby! Could not look dumber if I tried! Holy shit did I get this one wrong!

@Noonball

 1-1 on the night cal. bap got the cover 1H

@n2deep

 Yes sir. What’s crazy during this run is I haven’t lost two in a row in 50 some games now. That’s almost statistically impossible.

@Noonball

 Well done 

@n2deep

Good dude, appreciate the follow. Where you from?

@Noonball

 Nebraska

@n2deep

 Cool Wisconsin here

I saw the cal bap and loved the play on a sleepy night. You’re hot so I understand the roll die on E Tex   Which leads into my next thought.  I’m wondering how many games can actually be circled for a max bet Today. The smaller night you can zero in on 1/2 games and    Today will be hard not to go rogue. Last weekend 90% of saturdays games FH went over. They’re were tons of rivalry games as well. This weekend numbers have adjusted higher on a lot of games 150s plus. 12pm games will be my  litmus test. Leans today FG over GMU, NW seton hall, Georgetown ND 

@brickbets

 Hey Brick! Yeah I seen LVSC are starting to overinflate totals because of pace and tempo is almost nba like in certain conferences. You’re one of a few I’ll tail because I can tell how knowledgeable you are. Which of those games you like best?  I’ll bet em all varying in size but what’s my 3 pct maxer?

@Noonball

 GT ND NW

@brickbets

 On it! Thanks and GL!