You also have to keep in mind betting hoops that line movement will effect outcomes as much or more than football. When the original # gets hammered , the line the game goes off at may definitely determine winning or losing. I built my little bankroll slowly using totals, and got pissed that the openings lines weren't available at time where I bet until the number lost its value . After losing bets because I couldn't catch the total number in time , I am spinning my wheels on sides. They require much more study for me. As always , GL on all your plays.
pollockanesian
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You also have to keep in mind betting hoops that line movement will effect outcomes as much or more than football. When the original # gets hammered , the line the game goes off at may definitely determine winning or losing. I built my little bankroll slowly using totals, and got pissed that the openings lines weren't available at time where I bet until the number lost its value . After losing bets because I couldn't catch the total number in time , I am spinning my wheels on sides. They require much more study for me. As always , GL on all your plays.
Best of luck if you play it. I only play small on the games anyway so no biggie $50 each play. I wouldn't be surprised, but I don't wanna guess if Buffalo's hot streak will end tonight.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tjtorok11:
I actually like Ohio in that game.
Best of luck if you play it. I only play small on the games anyway so no biggie $50 each play. I wouldn't be surprised, but I don't wanna guess if Buffalo's hot streak will end tonight.
Lol...Does the computer decide who the "public" and who's the "Sharp" using face recognition software or something? And don't tell me the bigger bet is the smarter bet-
"Public" and "Sharp" are irellevant/nonsense terms...Terms only used by people that like to think of themselves as "Sharps"
In gambling terms or Vegas/Bookmaking terms the word Sharp is used for Players that get the best or sharpest line. For example, a game opened at -4 and is now -5.5, the Sharps are the ones that got the game at -4 and the Public are the ones that typically get the -5.5. Over any season or year, if you continually get the sharpest line, you will win far more than the Public that gets the bad line. That is what Vegas/Bookies refer to as a Sharp. BOL with you test!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by El_Terrible:
Lol...Does the computer decide who the "public" and who's the "Sharp" using face recognition software or something? And don't tell me the bigger bet is the smarter bet-
"Public" and "Sharp" are irellevant/nonsense terms...Terms only used by people that like to think of themselves as "Sharps"
In gambling terms or Vegas/Bookmaking terms the word Sharp is used for Players that get the best or sharpest line. For example, a game opened at -4 and is now -5.5, the Sharps are the ones that got the game at -4 and the Public are the ones that typically get the -5.5. Over any season or year, if you continually get the sharpest line, you will win far more than the Public that gets the bad line. That is what Vegas/Bookies refer to as a Sharp. BOL with you test!!!
In gambling terms or Vegas/Bookmaking terms the word Sharp is used for Players that get the best or sharpest line. For example, a game opened at -4 and is now -5.5, the Sharps are the ones that got the game at -4 and the Public are the ones that typically get the -5.5. Over any season or year, if you continually get the sharpest line, you will win far more than the Public that gets the bad line. That is what Vegas/Bookies refer to as a Sharp. BOL with you test!!!
Oh I see...They get to bet it before anyone else...
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Quote Originally Posted by In2it:
In gambling terms or Vegas/Bookmaking terms the word Sharp is used for Players that get the best or sharpest line. For example, a game opened at -4 and is now -5.5, the Sharps are the ones that got the game at -4 and the Public are the ones that typically get the -5.5. Over any season or year, if you continually get the sharpest line, you will win far more than the Public that gets the bad line. That is what Vegas/Bookies refer to as a Sharp. BOL with you test!!!
Oh I see...They get to bet it before anyone else...
My leans for CBB right now are Dartmouth, St. Peters, MSU, Oakland and over in that game, CSB and Harvard cover. NBA, I like over in Lakers, Brooklyn and under, over in Cleveland and over in Houston.
Pretty good night for me. 5-1-1 on CBB spread picks, pushed on 2 Nba totals, Cleveland and New Orleans over, hit Brooklyn under but lost cover and lost Lakers over. 1-2-2 on NBA. Played 2nd half over on Buffalo and 2nd half under Seattle, but not posted.
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Quote Originally Posted by CMoult83:
My leans for CBB right now are Dartmouth, St. Peters, MSU, Oakland and over in that game, CSB and Harvard cover. NBA, I like over in Lakers, Brooklyn and under, over in Cleveland and over in Houston.
Pretty good night for me. 5-1-1 on CBB spread picks, pushed on 2 Nba totals, Cleveland and New Orleans over, hit Brooklyn under but lost cover and lost Lakers over. 1-2-2 on NBA. Played 2nd half over on Buffalo and 2nd half under Seattle, but not posted.
Ok 1-0 and the end of the game seemed like we should lose it but it was handed to us some how.. I'm not mad tho lol
Good read man, we see eye to eye on the how we like to play our games. If I didn't play MSU which is a bad habit of mine on heavily bet games, I would've swept the spread board I played with the exception of Buffalo which I had at - 7. I believe that brown line dropped 1 full point from opening so even after they got rolled first half, I had dartmoth full game, and took them 2nd half to cover too.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tjtorok11:
Ok 1-0 and the end of the game seemed like we should lose it but it was handed to us some how.. I'm not mad tho lol
Good read man, we see eye to eye on the how we like to play our games. If I didn't play MSU which is a bad habit of mine on heavily bet games, I would've swept the spread board I played with the exception of Buffalo which I had at - 7. I believe that brown line dropped 1 full point from opening so even after they got rolled first half, I had dartmoth full game, and took them 2nd half to cover too.
Yeah, it took me a lot of seeing the pattern and still having ppl talk me into betting the line. Those were ones I was consistently losing. Even tonight it looked like we shouldn't win. Well yours really never were in any doubt lol
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Yeah, it took me a lot of seeing the pattern and still having ppl talk me into betting the line. Those were ones I was consistently losing. Even tonight it looked like we shouldn't win. Well yours really never were in any doubt lol
I wish I saw yiur post on who your keans were before I bet the opposite on a few of them lol I had nky and brown prior to seeing your comment.
I usually try to find consistent teams, that don't let me down. I remember earlier in the season betting against Dartmouth when they played Notre Dame early on and Dartmouth covered of course. I took them recently too against Boston College too and Dart covered. I look where the majority of money is and I also compare to people's plays on covers. If it seems almost everywhere I look everyone is on the same side, I almost always fade. Games already sticking out to me tomorrow are TCU which opened -5, now showing -4.5. IMO should be an easy cover for TCU which probably means they won't cover, lol. I love UL Lafayette, another red hot team for me and will bet them tomorrow no matter what. Perception ones I like are KSU to cover, TCU, UL Lafayette, Rutgers, Iowa State, Kansas, OK State, South Dakota, Southern Miss, Louisville, Colorado, Pacific, UC Davis, Stanford, Iowa, Dartmouth, Baylor, Elon, Youngstown State, Drake, St. John's, Loyola Mary, Kent State. Will update official plays after I look at line movement, lol. I like all these to cover at first glance and another red hot team is Montana.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tjtorok11:
I wish I saw yiur post on who your keans were before I bet the opposite on a few of them lol I had nky and brown prior to seeing your comment.
I usually try to find consistent teams, that don't let me down. I remember earlier in the season betting against Dartmouth when they played Notre Dame early on and Dartmouth covered of course. I took them recently too against Boston College too and Dart covered. I look where the majority of money is and I also compare to people's plays on covers. If it seems almost everywhere I look everyone is on the same side, I almost always fade. Games already sticking out to me tomorrow are TCU which opened -5, now showing -4.5. IMO should be an easy cover for TCU which probably means they won't cover, lol. I love UL Lafayette, another red hot team for me and will bet them tomorrow no matter what. Perception ones I like are KSU to cover, TCU, UL Lafayette, Rutgers, Iowa State, Kansas, OK State, South Dakota, Southern Miss, Louisville, Colorado, Pacific, UC Davis, Stanford, Iowa, Dartmouth, Baylor, Elon, Youngstown State, Drake, St. John's, Loyola Mary, Kent State. Will update official plays after I look at line movement, lol. I like all these to cover at first glance and another red hot team is Montana.
I like to wait a little while see who is betting on what teams and what lines not shifting. If the "fictitious" public line they give us is heavily on one side but the spread has stayed the same or went in favor of the public ill take the other team. Like last night 78% closed on Seattle and it went from 5.5 down to 5. That was why I thought cal-baker
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I like to wait a little while see who is betting on what teams and what lines not shifting. If the "fictitious" public line they give us is heavily on one side but the spread has stayed the same or went in favor of the public ill take the other team. Like last night 78% closed on Seattle and it went from 5.5 down to 5. That was why I thought cal-baker
I'm looking at the cal-Northridge game to see if the line gets bigger. 77% on lbsu at-6.5 if that stays where it at or the line goes down I think cal-Northridge is gonna be the bet tonight. Not sure yet tho
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I'm looking at the cal-Northridge game to see if the line gets bigger. 77% on lbsu at-6.5 if that stays where it at or the line goes down I think cal-Northridge is gonna be the bet tonight. Not sure yet tho
Should have pulled the trigger on them. I wqs just all day so I wasn't really paying attention to the lines. But once again it ended really close to losing. I didn't catch the game so I don't know if it ended like Seattle with them giving away pi8nts at end.
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Should have pulled the trigger on them. I wqs just all day so I wasn't really paying attention to the lines. But once again it ended really close to losing. I didn't catch the game so I don't know if it ended like Seattle with them giving away pi8nts at end.
I see 3 today but none really stand out the 3 id watch out for are
DePaul+5
no. iowa+7
Washington st+7.5
all 3 have the public 70%or higher with their made up numbers and statitstics they show on the internet for us. all 3 have had little to no line movement. id watch for those 3 teams to cover the spread today
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I see 3 today but none really stand out the 3 id watch out for are
DePaul+5
no. iowa+7
Washington st+7.5
all 3 have the public 70%or higher with their made up numbers and statitstics they show on the internet for us. all 3 have had little to no line movement. id watch for those 3 teams to cover the spread today
I see 3 today but none really stand out the 3 id watch out for are
DePaul+5
no. iowa+7
Washington st+7.5
all 3 have the public 70%or higher with their made up numbers and statitstics they show on the internet for us. all 3 have had little to no line movement. id watch for those 3 teams to cover the spread today
There ya go...I'll keep an eye on those...thanks
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Quote Originally Posted by Tjtorok11:
I see 3 today but none really stand out the 3 id watch out for are
DePaul+5
no. iowa+7
Washington st+7.5
all 3 have the public 70%or higher with their made up numbers and statitstics they show on the internet for us. all 3 have had little to no line movement. id watch for those 3 teams to cover the spread today
I just came here for more of @EL_TERRIBLE's Latin phrases.
I think it is a worthy discussion to try to figure out the number if you key a few games. Trying a system like this for multiple games will just lead to random unreliable results. If you key your 2 or 3 games, do the quick research on print sheet stats, and then look at the trend of the number it is a valid conclusion to hit or fade the number to beat the number maker.
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I just came here for more of @EL_TERRIBLE's Latin phrases.
I think it is a worthy discussion to try to figure out the number if you key a few games. Trying a system like this for multiple games will just lead to random unreliable results. If you key your 2 or 3 games, do the quick research on print sheet stats, and then look at the trend of the number it is a valid conclusion to hit or fade the number to beat the number maker.
To clarify the public are backing the opposite teams I selected and if the lines stay as low as they are or get smaller is really keep an eye out for them. If the spreads start to go the way the public is betting if stay away
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To clarify the public are backing the opposite teams I selected and if the lines stay as low as they are or get smaller is really keep an eye out for them. If the spreads start to go the way the public is betting if stay away
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