i sure feel like an idiot for locking in my canisius action last night at +10, yuck...oh well, it happens
KP - count me as one of your followers that is very interested to hear your insights on second half plays...you hinted at some tips coming our way, id love to hear them...thanks for marist ML today too!
i sure feel like an idiot for locking in my canisius action last night at +10, yuck...oh well, it happens
KP - count me as one of your followers that is very interested to hear your insights on second half plays...you hinted at some tips coming our way, id love to hear them...thanks for marist ML today too!
Pushed,but took N.ILL sec half +3,winner,pulled a 2-0 out of the plays,plus took Marist-2.5 and then Nia.-3 sec.half, 4-0 on KPs play and a bit of mine in there,lol. Thanks Prof
Pushed,but took N.ILL sec half +3,winner,pulled a 2-0 out of the plays,plus took Marist-2.5 and then Nia.-3 sec.half, 4-0 on KPs play and a bit of mine in there,lol. Thanks Prof
Two pushes today. Couple of one-pointers yesterday. We see how important it is that the Public views these as real dogs and pushes the line a point or two in our favor and not against us. That will make or break this %.
Last year, we felt it might have leveled off because of more players just looking for dogs and the line moved against us on many plays. Seems to be more of the same this year. Lines are not going our way.
Two pushes today. Couple of one-pointers yesterday. We see how important it is that the Public views these as real dogs and pushes the line a point or two in our favor and not against us. That will make or break this %.
Last year, we felt it might have leveled off because of more players just looking for dogs and the line moved against us on many plays. Seems to be more of the same this year. Lines are not going our way.
Two pushes today. Couple of one-pointers yesterday. We see how important it is that the Public views these as real dogs and pushes the line a point or two in our favor and not against us. That will make or break this %.
Last year, we felt it might have leveled off because of more players just looking for dogs and the line moved against us on many plays. Seems to be more of the same this year. Lines are not going our way.
Marist
Denver
Definitely the difference in winning and losing over the course of the whole season as well, not just on the system. Before I published it four years and the first year it was starting up we were getting 1-3 pts in our favor in almost all the plays (as so many people wouldn't dare but on those "horrible" teams; then last year, especially when the pay touts were giving out the system plays etc., we had less move our way, many hold solid, and a few move against us - that hurts long-term profitability to be sure. Nice thing is that non-system teams are still not getting respect, like Marist and Citadel (both 7-1 their last 8 ATS) and a few others as well - that is why I keep insisting that the almost system plays and the under the radar plays are so important to the thread.
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:
Two pushes today. Couple of one-pointers yesterday. We see how important it is that the Public views these as real dogs and pushes the line a point or two in our favor and not against us. That will make or break this %.
Last year, we felt it might have leveled off because of more players just looking for dogs and the line moved against us on many plays. Seems to be more of the same this year. Lines are not going our way.
Marist
Denver
Definitely the difference in winning and losing over the course of the whole season as well, not just on the system. Before I published it four years and the first year it was starting up we were getting 1-3 pts in our favor in almost all the plays (as so many people wouldn't dare but on those "horrible" teams; then last year, especially when the pay touts were giving out the system plays etc., we had less move our way, many hold solid, and a few move against us - that hurts long-term profitability to be sure. Nice thing is that non-system teams are still not getting respect, like Marist and Citadel (both 7-1 their last 8 ATS) and a few others as well - that is why I keep insisting that the almost system plays and the under the radar plays are so important to the thread.
Well. 1-2 turned into 2-0-1 thanks to +11.5 and +10 on the push. Amazing that these games, at least many of them lately are coming down to the last 30 seconds.
One thing that I like about this system is that it flies under the radar, meaning lines go in our favor from time to time. +11.5 became available 25 minutes before tip in my case, and since all my outs were at +11 there was no need to lock it in. Same was true with NIU +10 as all my outs were +10 and I was just waiting for movement either way before I locked it in. In this case, no one ever moved, so I just took the +10 at tipoff.
I only lock in early when I have disparity in the lines offered to me.
Anyway, today was fun, with partial stress of course in that we were down in both games, but like the adrenaline rush on the small card Sunday.
Well. 1-2 turned into 2-0-1 thanks to +11.5 and +10 on the push. Amazing that these games, at least many of them lately are coming down to the last 30 seconds.
One thing that I like about this system is that it flies under the radar, meaning lines go in our favor from time to time. +11.5 became available 25 minutes before tip in my case, and since all my outs were at +11 there was no need to lock it in. Same was true with NIU +10 as all my outs were +10 and I was just waiting for movement either way before I locked it in. In this case, no one ever moved, so I just took the +10 at tipoff.
I only lock in early when I have disparity in the lines offered to me.
Anyway, today was fun, with partial stress of course in that we were down in both games, but like the adrenaline rush on the small card Sunday.
This is sad. There's probably one page of good info, then there's 27 pages of BS. Hey guys this is not FB. Nobody needs your up dates on how a game is doing and 3-4 post on what line u got. Freaking grow up kids
This is sad. There's probably one page of good info, then there's 27 pages of BS. Hey guys this is not FB. Nobody needs your up dates on how a game is doing and 3-4 post on what line u got. Freaking grow up kids
i stick to kine's principles regarding the system and line movement but i employ my own personal selection process. just like yesterday, there were 6 system picks but i only played troy and monroe which both won outright. i played both system picks today but was very weary of the canisius pick. kine gives the plays early to give you chance to do enough research and that's what i have been doing.
i stick to kine's principles regarding the system and line movement but i employ my own personal selection process. just like yesterday, there were 6 system picks but i only played troy and monroe which both won outright. i played both system picks today but was very weary of the canisius pick. kine gives the plays early to give you chance to do enough research and that's what i have been doing.
where did everyone get canisius +11.5? I only bet with a local book, but lines generally mirror the "consensus". Just wondering as I've been thinking about branching out some. Unfortunately I got 10.5 (it moved from 10 to 10.5) and lost that one, pushed the other as did everyone else it seems(+10).
where did everyone get canisius +11.5? I only bet with a local book, but lines generally mirror the "consensus". Just wondering as I've been thinking about branching out some. Unfortunately I got 10.5 (it moved from 10 to 10.5) and lost that one, pushed the other as did everyone else it seems(+10).
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