Posted:
#26
I am waiting for a better in-game line. It shouldn't matter but it could. I isk missing it or I probably pay more juice. We'll see.
Best wishes 
Spottie2935 on socials
Week 2 CFL relative strength lines
Posted:
#30
Half-time with about 17 points left on the field in the first half.
Whatever Riley has been eating, it's worked as he is the total opposite of what he was last week.
OVER is miles away from happening.
BC defense has been totally surprising.....I would have ranked them last in the league based on what transpired in the first half last week.....well, in the last four quarters they've given up only 6 points.
If that kicker for BC misses one more, he is history.
Posted:
#32
Looking forward to next week.....teams that have been away loss, away win, home favorite (the Lions) have been 7-9 ATS, 4-13 o/u as home favorites versus a divisional foe. Expect the Lions off their impressive victory to be home favs versus the Elks next week.
Teams that threw 3 or more interceptions and lost and are now home favorites have been 14-21 ATS, making the assumption that the Stamps will be home favs versus Montreal next week. We'd look to back the Stamps not next week, but the following week versus the Bombers as away dogs on the road when they'll be getting a muchas points.
We talked about power rankings and their importance earlier. Bottom three power ranked teams as away dogs are now 4-0 ATS and 3-1 straight up so far this season with BC's win versus the Stampeders last night. No other team fits that category this week.
Top three rated power ranked teams are 0-2 ATS as favorites (Hamilton and Saskatchewan lost ATS last week as favorites), with the Sasquatches and the Bombers home favorites AND off a win the next couple of days and top three ranked by CFL.ca. Obviously it is working so far, but we will temper our enthusiasm for awhile as the first four games of the season, away dogs typically rule and almost any kind of rationale to take away dogs works.
Posted:
#33
Line on the Toronto game is presentlly at 6', versus the Canadian line of 5'...we'll see if the locals' knowledge wins out.
Here's some angles supporting the Argonauts...
1) A week two away non-divisional dog whose opponent played in the playoffs last year has been 9-3 ATS, and 7-0 ATS, 5-2 straight up if we eliminate Thursday games.
week=2 and opS(playoffs)>0 and AD and not DIV and day
2) A Friday night non-divisional dog before week 9 who are coming off a game where they went UNDER, have been 19-1 ATS, covering by an average of over 9 points/game and winning 12 out of those 20 games outright
AD and week<9 and p:ou margin < 0 and day and not DIV
3) A week 2 non-divisional dog who has the calculated line disadvantage has been 9-2 ATS, 6-5 straight up
week=2 and oA(margin)-tA(margin)-3-line>0 and AD and not DIV
Posted:
#34
Number 3 above was entered incorrectly....if we are to give 3 points to the home team so using +3, and NOT -3.
week=2 and oA(margin)-tA(margin)+3-line>0 and AD and not DIV
If we make this for the first six weeks for the season and stipulate the day, this has been 15-4 ATS on Fridays.
week<7 and oA(margin)-tA(margin)+3-line>0 and AD and not DIV and day
If we figure this out by hand. Toronto has a season-to-date scoring differential of +3 and Winnipeg's is +13....subtracting the two numbers gives us Winnipeg as having a 10 points/game advantage. Giving the Bombers a 3 point home field advantage, the line "should" be Bombers -13, instead it is -6ish. Counterintuitively this favors the disadvantaged team, the Argos. Going forward after week 2, we would average a team's per game scoring differential to get a calculated line and a 3 points for a home field advantage to the opponent's line.
Posted:
#38
Half-time....Argos can't block the front of Winnipeg.
The game could be a lot closer as Argos hit the upright which cost them at least a point and a wide open receiver didn't look for the ball. How as a receiver running a route will you not look for the ball?
Argos defense very good...I'm impressed.
We'll see if Zach makes a turnover or two in the second half.
Posted:
#42
5) Alouettes +5
Betregal's lines, the "official partner of the CFL" are quite a bit different from what Fredo has cooked up for us.....we'll gladly take the extra couple of points.
The Eskimos are in a similar situation to what transpired in Calgary although of course the Alouettes have not yet played a game and the Lions had. Week 1 away dogs though, playing their first game went 3-0 last week and we'll look for the Alouettes to have the advantage tonight.
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