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Week 1 Indigo lines 2021

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Posted: #126

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NFL:


25 to 30 plays a season. These favorites do well. Avoid betting dogs here.
332.232 59%
F and p:F and p:DIV and n:F and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)>1 and season>2002


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-


107.57 65%
D and line <7 and DIV and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and season>2003 and week<6


-==-=--==-=-=-=-=-==---=


63.26 70.8%
tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and D and season > 2009 and DIV and line<=6 and line>=0 and week<6


-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-


172.56 75.4% week>1
AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=


30.11 ATS
DIV and D and week=1 and line<=6 and season>2009


=--==--==-=-


35.73 32.4%  Good fade situation against dogs and favorites.

DIV and P:W and line >= -6 and H and week < 13 and ats streak < 1 and n:day!= Monday and PRSW>6 and week>2 and season>1998 


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-


query is for weeks: week>1 week<8


week < 8 and p:DIV and DIV and p:L and ats streak < 0 and PRSW < 13 and o:PRSW > 2 and day= Sunday and HD,AD,HF

HF 32-23 ATS

HD 28-12 ATS

AD 55-30 ATS

-==--==-=-=-=-=-=-


160.63 71.3%

AD and n:F and on:D and op:points < 28 and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:line>=-1 and PRSW<12 and o:PRSW<12


-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-==-=-


week=1 Jets, Eagles

AD and PRSW<7 and week = 1 and opS(playoffs) < 2 and not DIV and season>1998 and line<10


-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=


After week 1. 172-56= 75.4% ATS

AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


=-=-==-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

BAD teams off a bye as Sunday HD's line>6

27.09 ATS

HD and rest > 10 and line > 6 and day= Sunday

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-

week>10 and p:time of possession 37 or more minutes 

56-22, 71.8% ATS

p:TOP >=37 * 60 and p:DIV and p:A and playoffs = 0 and p:day != Monday and PRSW > 3 and week > 10

=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-

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Joined: Jun, 2001
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Posted: #127

On to
NFL:


25 to 30 plays a season. These favorites do well. Avoid betting dogs here.
332.232 59%
F and p:F and p:DIV and n:F and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)>1 and season>2002


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-


107.57 65%
D and line <7 and DIV and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and season>2003 and week<6


-==-=--==-=-=-=-=-==---=


63.26 70.8%
tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and D and season > 2009 and DIV and line<=6 and line>=0 and week<6


-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-


172.56 75.4% week>1
AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=


30.11 ATS
DIV and D and week=1 and line<=6 and season>2009


=--==--==-=-


35.73 32.4%  Good fade situation against dogs and favorites.

DIV and P:W and line >= -6 and H and week < 13 and ats streak < 1 and n:day!= Monday and PRSW>6 and week>2 and season>1998 


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-


query is for weeks: week>1 week<8


week < 8 and p:DIV and DIV and p:L and ats streak < 0 and PRSW < 13 and o:PRSW > 2 and day= Sunday and HD,AD,HF

HF 32-23 ATS

HD 28-12 ATS

AD 55-30 ATS

-==--==-=-=-=-=-=-


160.63 71.3%

AD and n:F and on:D and op:points < 28 and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:line>=-1 and PRSW<12 and o:PRSW<12


-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-==-=-


week=1 Jets, Eagles

AD and PRSW<7 and week = 1 and opS(playoffs) < 2 and not DIV and season>1998 and line<10


-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=


After week 1. 172-56= 75.4% ATS

AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


=-=-==-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

BAD teams off a bye as Sunday HD's line>6

27.09 ATS

HD and rest > 10 and line > 6 and day= Sunday

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

156-49, 76%

AD and n:F and on:D and p:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest =6 and day != Thursday and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday

 

-==--=-=-=-=--=-=-=-=-=--=

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Posted: #128

For NFL

   (This was the best week range) All but one at least 56% ats

p:dps>=14 and week>8 and week<9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16

gm's         ATS                                                OU                                                            SU

         W-L-P  (marg, %win)         Avg Line       W-L-P (marg, %OU)     Avg total          W-L-P     (marg,win%)

579   306-261-12 (1.65, 54.0%) -1.6         267-292-20 (0.20, 47.8%)  43.0             334-245-0 (3.30, 57.7%)https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=p%3Adps%20%3E%3D%2014%20and%20week%20%3E%208%20and%20week%20%3C%2016&output=summary

483  268-206-9 (2.08, 56.5%)    -1.5         221-246-16 (-0.03, 47.3%)  43.0            286-197-0 (3.61, 59.2%)https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=p%3Adps%20%3E%3D%2014%20and%20week%20%3E%208%20and%20week%20%3C%2015&output=summary

395  217-169-9 (1.95, 56.2%)   -1.6         184-198-13 (-0.03, 48.2%)   43.1            233-162-0 (3.58, 59.0%)https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=p%3Adps%20%3E%3D%2014%20and%20week%20%3E%208%20and%20week%20%3C%2014&output=summary

308  174-126-8 (2.17, 58.0%)   -1.8         142-154-12 (-0.05, 48.0%)   43.1            185-123-0 (3.94, 60.1%)https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=p%3Adps%20%3E%3D%2014%20and%20week%20%3E%208%20and%20week%20%3C%2013&output=summary

234 130-99-5 (1.63, 56.8%)      -2.2         107-117-10 (-0.46, 47.8%)   43.3            139-95-0 (3.85, 59.4%)https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=p%3Adps%20%3E%3D%2014%20and%20week%20%3E%208%20and%20week%20%3C%2012&output=summary

159 93-65-1 (1.47, 58.9%)        -2.2          76-74-9 (-0.32, 50.7%)       42.9             90-69-0 (3.71, 56.6%)https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=p%3Adps%20%3E%3D%2014%20and%20week%20%3E%208%20and%20week%20%3C%2011&output=summary

80  49-31-0 (1.43, 61.2%)        -1.7           36-39-5 (-0.47, 48.0%)       42.8             45-35-0 (3.12, 56.2%)https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?sdql=p%3Adps%20%3E%3D%2014%20and%20week%20%3E%208%20and%20week%20%3C%2010&output=summary

 
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Posted: #129

CFL

p:dps>=14 and week>1 and week<3,4,5,6,7,8,9

Again better in the 2nd half of the year

p:dps>=14 and week>8 and week<10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17

 
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Posted: #130

Looks good Hoody, have you trying looking at division games only?  How about dogs or favorites?

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Posted: #131

p:dps >= 14 and week>8 and week < 15 and D

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Posted: #132

Tweaking your queries a little I got this....

p:dps>=14 and 15>week>8 and day!=Thursday and D, F and (n:F or on:D)

60% altogether and over 66% if you take only dogs.

 
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Posted: #133

On to
NFL:


25 to 30 plays a season. These favorites do well. Avoid betting dogs here.
332.232 59%
F and p:F and p:DIV and n:F and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)>1 and season>2002


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-


107.57 65%
D and line <7 and DIV and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and season>2003 and week<6


-==-=--==-=-=-=-=-==---=


63.26 70.8%
tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and D and season > 2009 and DIV and line<=6 and line>=0 and week<6


-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-


172.56 75.4% week>1
AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=


30.11 ATS
DIV and D and week=1 and line<=6 and season>2009


=--==--==-=-


35.73 32.4%  Good fade situation against dogs and favorites.

DIV and P:W and line >= -6 and H and week < 13 and ats streak < 1 and n:day!= Monday and PRSW>6 and week>2 and season>1998 


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-


query is for weeks: week>1 week<8


week < 8 and p:DIV and DIV and p:L and ats streak < 0 and PRSW < 13 and o:PRSW > 2 and day= Sunday and HD,AD,HF

HF 32-23 ATS

HD 28-12 ATS

AD 55-30 ATS

-==--==-=-=-=-=-=-


160.63 71.3%

AD and n:F and on:D and op:points < 28 and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:line>=-1 and PRSW<12 and o:PRSW<12


-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-==-=-


week=1 Jets, Eagles

AD and PRSW<7 and week = 1 and opS(playoffs) < 2 and not DIV and season>1998 and line<10


-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=


After week 1. 172-56= 75.4% ATS

AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


=-=-==-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

BAD teams off a bye as Sunday HD's line>6

27.09 ATS

HD and rest > 10 and line > 6 and day= Sunday

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

156-49, 76%

AD and n:F and on:D and p:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest =6 and day != Thursday and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday

 

-==--=-=-=-=--=-=-=-=-=--=

52-22, 70.3% ATS

p:points <4 and p:H and D and PRSW>4 and week>3 and line<9

-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-

46-16 74.2% ATS

p:points <4 and p:H and D and week>11 and PRSW<12

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= 

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Posted: #134

NFL

p:dps>=14 and week>8and DIV

 

 
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Posted: #135

Much better hoody,  try to track these without using the website this season.

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Posted: #136

CFL

p:dps>=14 and week>=8 and D,F,HF,HD

                ATS                                       OU                                          SU

 

 
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Posted: #137

@Hoody 

This lists all weekly record for the query you like

 

p:dps >= 14 and week > 8 and week and DIV

 

then I would eliminate bad weeks

p:dps >= 14 and week>8 and week<15

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Posted: #138

NFL

p:dps>=14 and week >=8 and playoffs=0 and n:HC,AC,HFC,HDC,AFC,ADC

 

 
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Posted: #139

@ Spottie

I'm trying to get a copy of most things on here , I copied a lot you did just need to get rid of the doubles.

 
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Posted: #140

Like this (NFL)

p:dps >= 14 and week > 8 and week and DIVp:dps >= 14 and week > 8 and DIV and ...

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #141

oops , I see what your saying but it came back error on the server

 
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Posted: #142

youre good now?

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Posted: #143

I like using dps for totals as well.  Have you considered it ?

 

p:dps>=14 and p:A and H and ou streak < 2 and total >= 50 and day!= Sunday

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Posted: #144

I do , I also look at S/U look at #138 HFC , AFC and ADC 

 
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Posted: #145

Ok hoody.  

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Posted: #146

Ok got a ? let's say in wk 1 the Rams beat the Pats 40-10 and the rams were -1 fav and we'll say there dps is 17 (just to be over 14) now is this saying

p:dps >= 14 and week > 1 and week and n F,D,H,A,HF,HD,AF,AD     to look at wk 3 because I have a (n) in front of the letters or is it saying I'm looking at wk2 and I should have just left the (n) out because it starts p:dps , remember it's now wk 2 and the Rams are playing Bills  and it's wk 2 that I'm looking for , I know I didn't put the Rams in there but are the stat's saying I'm  looking at wk2 or 3 with the (n) in there. (note what I'm looking at here is the Rams to have a let down game after there win) (and or the % of wk2)  but what wk is it telling me. I know the above isn't written with the Rams it's shows the wk's. Thank's

 
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Posted: #147

This has not had a losing season since 1990.

NFL

D and day!=Thursday and day!=Monday and (n:F or on:D) and 1<week<17  and site!=neutral and season>1990 and month

 

By month

September 391-267 ATS (59.4%)

October      529-432 ATS (55%)

November  559-428 ATS (56.6%)

December  492-409 ATS (54.6%)

 

56.2% in total on a 3500+ game sample.

 

If we make the parameters higher n:line<-3 or on:line>3, this moves to 58.9%, going back to 1990 on a 2200+ game sample.

 
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Posted: #148

Hoody, n means their next game, so for a week 1 game for example, the Patriots this season....they are home favorites to Miami and their next game they will be an away favorite to the Jets.

The query text for NE's game 1 would be HF and n:AF

For the Jets, they are away dogs their first game and in week 2 they're home dogs to the Patriots, the query text for the Jets game 1 is AD and  n:HD

If we want to see how week 1 home favorites do when they are away favorites their next game this is the text....

week=1 and HF and n:AF

62-38 ATS

 

Away dogs that will be home dogs in week 2, as the Jets are

week=1 and AD and n:HD

34-44 ATS

 

To see how teams do in all situations week 1 when they will be a home dog week 2.

week=2 and HF, HD, AF, AD and n:HD

 

 
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Posted: #149

Sorry, that last text that I highlighted should have read:

week=1 and HF, HD, AF, AD and n:HD

 

n:F and nn:F and  AD and week=1

is the text for a week 1 away dog that will be a favorite their next 2 games.

 

 

 
 
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Posted: #150

Indigo that is a great Query.  In my opinion its fault is too many plays.

 

 

Original:56.%

D and day!=Thursday and day!=Monday and (n:F or on:D) and 1<week<17  and site!=neutral and season>1990 

My tweak : on:DIV= 848-619 57.8%

D and day!=Thursday and day!=Monday and (n:F or on:D) and 1<week<17  and site!=neutral and season>1990 and on:DIV

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=

I found that the DIV eliminates line estimating without losing much ATS.  on:line>3 is the best though.

 

 

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