The dog days of summer are upon us and thoughts of CFL games with catastrophic endings and miracle wins dance in our head, or is that just the heat?
Lots of turnover, lots of uncertainty....we DEFY uncertainty!!....... and we put out Indigo lines, which makes Las Vegas quiver at the knees.
1) Bombers +2' Cats 52
2) Sasquatches -4 Lions 50
3) Stamps -6 Argos 52
4) Elks -7 Redblacks 55
For those of you that are new to CFL, and betting, the CFL betting-wise is similar to the NBA....the clock stops for EVERYTHING in the last 3 minutes and I would estimate that at least 40-50% of your bets will be decided in the last 3 minutes of the game. It seems to me, as in the NBA, that the team that is behind will get every close call in their favor from the officials towards the end of the game.
I have not done in-game betting, but seasoned CFL bettors will tell you that one is NEVER out of the game in the CFL, where huge comebacks happen frequently.
Dogs and UNDERs typically do well, especially early season.
Teams with a good quarterback and those with good secondaries have the advantage.
F and PRSW<12 and o:PRSW<6 and week<5
This then omits any game in which Calgary, Hamilton or Saskatchewan are Favorites. This indicates a play on these teams when underdogs when not facing one of the teams I omitted. Play on teams are Toronto, Ottawa and BC. As all of these teams had less than 6 wins last season.
In my opinion there has to be more parody for the success of this league.
Seems similar to the NFL in week 1 Spottie,...those teams that weren't elite last season do well as dogs.
Teams winning at least 4 games but less than 12 games last season as week 1:
a) home favorites 7-14 ATS
b) away favorites 2-5 ATS
c) home dogs 8-2 ATS
d) away dogs 21-7 ATS
12>PRSW>3 and AD, AF, HF, HD and week=1
Teams winning 12 or more games from the previous season in week 1 as favorites though have been a horrendous 4-13 ATS as favs.....2-0 as home dogs, which may happen with the Blue Bombers in their opening game with the Tiger Cats.
Obviously the CFL took a season off, so are our queries relevant?...that's for you to decide.
As of right now according to CFL.CA they have 4 rostered QB's and since COLLAROS took them to the peak in 2019 I would assume its him.
If the Bombers are home chalk ( I expect them to be) there is this query
P:W and P:playoffs = 1 and F and season>2012
The problem for me about this query is Home field advantage is strong to the home team @ 9-4 straight up. Other than that typical trend of fade the favorites.
Ok, Zach eh? Geez!
if I remember correctly, he did next to nothing except hand off to their stud running backs and the Bomber defense produced a ton of turnovers.
If he's starting I'm fading the Bombers this season when they're favorites.
Playoff teams from the previous season in week 1 as:
a) home favorites 10-18 ATS
b) away favorites 2-11 ATS
c) home dogs 7-1 ATS
d) away dogs 13-6 ATS
Week 1 favorites that were playoff teams last season versus non-playoff teams last season....5-12 ATS
Week 1 favorites that were playoff teams last season versus playoff teams from last season....7-19 ATS
Playoff teams from last season week<6 as favorites versus ex-playoff teams have been 41-64 ATS
Playoff teams from last season week<6 as favorites versus non-playoff teams have been 37-49 ATS
if I remember correctly, he did next to nothing except hand off to their stud running backs and the Bomber defense produced a ton of turnovers.
If he's starting I'm fading the Bombers this season when they're favorites.
Yes and yes!
Then if things play out like the past he does poorly then gets injured
Winnipeg had so many QB options and now its pretty 
We're really gonna see this season about coaches versus on the field talent.
Stampeders for the last decade have been the best coached team in the CFL. This year their talent is not as good as it usually is, and could be the 4th best talent in the West.....they still have Bo LM, so we'll see. Out on a limb predictions.... the Bombers finish third, the Stamps finish fourth and the Riders finish first. I like the changes that Lions did, as it looks like with their present offensive line coach and an addition or two up front they'll keep Riley from getting his head knocked off. The Lions gotta improve defensively...I'll say they win 6 or 7 games.
With 14 games the schedule is more important this year than other years....maybe in the East the Tiger Cats are the only team to finish over 500. Evidently the Alouettes are getting Stanback back...that guy is amazing to watch, so maybe the Als surprise and win 7 or 8 games.
Chime in if you think I'm totally full of it....and of course if you think what I've commented on is brilliant by all means tell me so....lol.
Teams that missed the playoffs last season have been 17-6 ATS as away dogs first two weeks....16-4 ATS if the team they're playing played in less than 3 playoff games their most recent season.....teams that missed the playoffs most recent season....Lions, Redblacks, Argos.
Bombers were the only playoff team to play in three playoff games the most recent season.
Home dogs that missed the playoffs last season have been 7-4 ATS first two weeks against a team that made the playoffs.
And teams that missed the playoffs their most recent season have been 18-16 o/u game number 1 or 2.
Teams that played in the playoffs their most recent season that are dogs have only been 29-29 o/u, so UNDERs must kick in later after game 2.
AND, finally teams that made the playoffs previous season have been 11-4 ATS, 9-5-1 straight up and 9-6 O/U the first two weeks...Bombers might come a home dog opening game versus the Cats.
tpS(playoffs)>0 and HD and week<3
That will probably be it for preseason angles.
This forum has been the best there is on covers, almost everyone is civil and willing to help...let's make it another great one this season.
I am entering a Vegas football contest this season for the second time. About 20 years ago I entered one, a very small one which didn't require me to sign up in person, as I was living in Australia at the time.....I won, hitting 65% in a season where I was in the zone,.....and made over six figures for the season. We'll see what happens.
Here are my week one picks.
1) Cardinals....this may travel north of +3, so I am waiting
2) Patriots -1'...laready locked in
3) Eagles +3'....I think the Eagles will be less bad than the Falcons
4) Broncos pik......Broncos will surprise this season and Giants are abysmal at home
5) Ravens -4'
The above angle works well in the NFL too, if we add one more filter that our qualifying team in week 1 had a better record than their present opponent did last season.
line<=0 and n:D and nn:D and week = 1 and PRSW>o:PRSW
The query states that a favorite or pik team who will be an underdog their next two games, who also had a better record last season than their game one opponent has been 12-49-3 ATS in week 1 in the NFL since 1989.
Teams that qualify....
Versus Falcons, Texans, both of these teams according to their futures lines in weeks 2/3 are scheduled to be underdogs.
The Jaguars only partially qualified for the fact that they will be an underdog in weeks 2 and 3, and are favored in week 1 but they won 1 game in comparison to the Texan's 4 wins last season, so they are filtered out in the second part of our query.
On the other hand, teams that are week 1 underdogs that will be favored their next two games have been:
1) CFL 12-3 ATS, Bombers qualify IF they are an underdog week 1.
2) NFL 40-15 ATS (added filter of our dog team with less regular season wins than their week 1 opponent had last season.)
Steelers, Browns, both teams are scheduled to be favored weeks 2 and 3....the Browns are at least 7 point favorites their next two games.
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