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Week 1 Indigo lines 2021

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Posted: #101

Today I am working on combining some of the queries that are documented here.  see what I come up with.

 

F and p:F and p:DIV and n:F and tpS(W@DIV, N=6) and season>2002

This one the favorites trend to be highly successful.  Now I tend to look for dogs, so finding favorite queries is good for getting away from certain matchups.

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Posted: #102

D and line <7 and DIV and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and season>2003 and week

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Posted: #103

tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and D and season > 2009 and playoffs = 0 and DIV and line <=6 and line>=0 and week<6

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Posted: #104

NFL:

This is one of my favorites:

AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday and opS(W@DIV, N=6)<6 and week

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Posted: #105

NCAAFB:

One of the bests

AD and n:F and on:D and p:D and p:day = Saturday and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season>2003 and p:day != Thursday and p:day != Monday and week > 3

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Posted: #106

NCAAFB modify the above query, simplification

 

 

AD and n:F and on:D and p:D and p:day = Saturday and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and week > 3 and season>2003

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Posted: #107

You should put the ATS results next to the queries you test, because as of September we won't be able to go back and run them and we have no idea what kind of winning percentage they are.

 
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Posted: #108

Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:

You should put the ATS results next to the queries you test, because as of September we won't be able to go back and run them and we have no idea what kind of winning percentage they are.

 

okay thanks!

 

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Posted: #109

My Gold sheet:
CFL:
124.80 ATS = AD and day and week<10
-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-
76.52 ATS = AD and day= Saturday and week>12 and playoffs=0
-=-==-=-=--=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
18.6 ATS = AD and day!= Sunday and week = 1 and PRSW>3

58.30 ATS = HD and day != Friday and day != Wednesday and day != Saturday and day != Monday
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
week 1 is very good at 6-1 for the HD, then it trends even but at week 7 and beyond :37-15 71.2% (adding in the week #1 6-1 ats record, 43-16 ATS)
-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
35.17 ats:
HD and day != Friday and day != Wednesday and day != Saturday and day != Monday and week>7
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
CFL Team =Any dog that has won less then 4 games the previous season and after week 1 and less the week 7:

D and PRSW<4 and week<7 and week>1

19-8 ATS 70.4%


-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-==-

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Posted: #110

On to
NCAAFB:

 

week1:
33.59
F and week = 1 and n:C and rank = None and n:line>=-3

-==-==-=-=-=-=--=-=--=-=-==-
WEEK 1:

Teams that crushed their bowl game (excluding playoff BCS final 4 games) beating their point spread by 20+points ats margin and covering their previous game before that bowl game. The were favorites in that bowl game and head into the next season game 1 are 6-18 ATS


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-
834.581= 59% ATS
CD and n:CF and week < 16 and PRSW < 12 and season > 1996 and division = 1A and o:division = 1A and n:line<=-7

-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==--=-=-=-
33.59 36%
F and week = 1 and n:C and rank = None and n:line>=-3
plays are Kansas State +1.5 and C.Mich +13

-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=
247.123 67%
AD and n:F and on:D and p:D and p:day = Saturday and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and week > 3 and season>2003

=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-

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Posted: #111

On to
NFL:


25 to 30 plays a season. These favorites do well. Avoid betting dogs here.
332.232 59%
F and p:F and p:DIV and n:F and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)>1 and season>2002


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-


107.57 65%
D and line <7 and DIV and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and season>2003 and week<6


-==-=--==-=-=-=-=-==---=


63.26 70.8%
tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and D and season > 2009 and DIV and line<=6 and line>=0 and week<6


-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-


172.56 75.4% week>1
AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=


30.11
DIV and D and week=1 and line<=6 and season>2009


=--==--==-=-


35.73 32.4%  Good fade situation against dogs and favorites.

DIV and P:W and line >= -6 and H and week < 13 and ats streak < 1 and n:day!= Monday and PRSW>6 and week>2 and season>1998 


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-


query is for weeks: week>1 week<8


week < 8 and p:DIV and DIV and p:L and ats streak < 0 and PRSW < 13 and o:PRSW > 2 and day= Sunday and HD,AD,HF

HF 32-23 ATS

HD 28-12 ATS

AD 55-30 ATS

-==--==-=-=-=-=-=-


160.63 71.3%

AD and n:F and on:D and op:points < 28 and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:line>=-1 and PRSW<12 and o:PRSW<12


-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-==-=-


week=1 Jets, Eagles

AD and PRSW<7 and week = 1 and opS(playoffs) < 2 and not DIV and season>1998 and line<10


-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=


After week 1. 172-56= 75.4% ATS

AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


=-=-==-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

 

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Posted: #112

My Gold sheet:
CFL:
124.80 ATS = AD and day and week<10
-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-
76.52 ATS = AD and day= Saturday and week>12 and playoffs=0
-=-==-=-=--=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
18.6 ATS = AD and day!= Sunday and week = 1 and PRSW>3

58.30 ATS = HD and day != Friday and day != Wednesday and day != Saturday and day != Monday
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
week 1 is very good at 6-1 for the HD, then it trends even but at week 7 and beyond :37-15 71.2% (adding in the week #1 6-1 ats record, 43-16 ATS)
-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
35.17 ats:
HD and day != Friday and day != Wednesday and day != Saturday and day != Monday and week>7
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
CFL Team =Any dog that has won less then 4 games the previous season and after week 1 and less the week 7:

D and PRSW<4 and week<7 and week>1

19-8 ATS 70.4%


-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-==-

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Posted: #113

On to
NCAAFB:

 

week1:
33.59
F and week = 1 and n:C and rank = None and n:line>=-3

-==-==-=-=-=-=--=-=--=-=-==-
WEEK 1:

Teams that crushed their bowl game (excluding playoff BCS final 4 games) beating their point spread by 20+points ats margin and covering their previous game before that bowl game. The were favorites in that bowl game and head into the next season game 1 are 6-18 ATS


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-
834.581= 59% ATS
CD and n:CF and week < 16 and PRSW < 12 and season > 1996 and division = 1A and o:division = 1A and n:line<=-7

-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==--=-=-=-
33.59 36%
F and week = 1 and n:C and rank = None and n:line>=-3
plays are Kansas State +1.5 and C.Mich +13

-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=
247.123 67%
AD and n:F and on:D and p:D and p:day = Saturday and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and week > 3 and season>2003

=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

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Posted: #114

On to
NFL:


25 to 30 plays a season. These favorites do well. Avoid betting dogs here.
332.232 59%
F and p:F and p:DIV and n:F and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)>1 and season>2002


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-


107.57 65%
D and line <7 and DIV and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and season>2003 and week<6


-==-=--==-=-=-=-=-==---=


63.26 70.8%
tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and D and season > 2009 and DIV and line<=6 and line>=0 and week<6


-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-


172.56 75.4% week>1
AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=


30.11 ATS
DIV and D and week=1 and line<=6 and season>2009


=--==--==-=-


35.73 32.4%  Good fade situation against dogs and favorites.

DIV and P:W and line >= -6 and H and week < 13 and ats streak < 1 and n:day!= Monday and PRSW>6 and week>2 and season>1998 


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-


query is for weeks: week>1 week<8


week < 8 and p:DIV and DIV and p:L and ats streak < 0 and PRSW < 13 and o:PRSW > 2 and day= Sunday and HD,AD,HF

HF 32-23 ATS

HD 28-12 ATS

AD 55-30 ATS

-==--==-=-=-=-=-=-


160.63 71.3%

AD and n:F and on:D and op:points < 28 and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:line>=-1 and PRSW<12 and o:PRSW<12


-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-==-=-


week=1 Jets, Eagles

AD and PRSW<7 and week = 1 and opS(playoffs) < 2 and not DIV and season>1998 and line<10


-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=


After week 1. 172-56= 75.4% ATS

AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


=-=-==-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

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Posted: #115

I organized and highlighted the queries.  

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Posted: #116

This is what I have for the CFL...eliminating both Saturday and Sunday as both have average negative ATS margins.

week<10 and AD and day!=Saturday and day!=Sunday

112-70 ATS, 61.5%

 

day=Tuesday and day=Wednesday and day=Thursday and HD

28-15 ATS

 
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Posted: #117

CFL...

week=1 and AD and 12>PRSW>3 

21-7 ATS, including 4-3 ATS on Sunday

 

Tuesday, Thursday and Sunday home dogs have been 53-29 ATS, including 32-14 ATS after week 7.

 

 
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Posted: #118

Thanks Spottie, it's awesome what you've done!

 
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Posted: #119

Thanks indigo appreciate you a lot! peace_5

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Posted: #120

On to
NFL:


25 to 30 plays a season. These favorites do well. Avoid betting dogs here.
332.232 59%
F and p:F and p:DIV and n:F and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)>1 and season>2002


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-


107.57 65%
D and line <7 and DIV and tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and season>2003 and week<6


-==-=--==-=-=-=-=-==---=


63.26 70.8%
tpS(W@DIV, N=6)<3 and D and season > 2009 and DIV and line<=6 and line>=0 and week<6


-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-


172.56 75.4% week>1
AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=


30.11 ATS
DIV and D and week=1 and line<=6 and season>2009


=--==--==-=-


35.73 32.4%  Good fade situation against dogs and favorites.

DIV and P:W and line >= -6 and H and week < 13 and ats streak < 1 and n:day!= Monday and PRSW>6 and week>2 and season>1998 


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-


query is for weeks: week>1 week<8


week < 8 and p:DIV and DIV and p:L and ats streak < 0 and PRSW < 13 and o:PRSW > 2 and day= Sunday and HD,AD,HF

HF 32-23 ATS

HD 28-12 ATS

AD 55-30 ATS

-==--==-=-=-=-=-=-


160.63 71.3%

AD and n:F and on:D and op:points < 28 and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:line>=-1 and PRSW<12 and o:PRSW<12


-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-==-=-


week=1 Jets, Eagles

AD and PRSW<7 and week = 1 and opS(playoffs) < 2 and not DIV and season>1998 and line<10


-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=


After week 1. 172-56= 75.4% ATS

AD and n:F and on:D and o:wins < 9 and o:rest < 7 and day != Thursday and p:D and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and season > 1991 and p:day != Thursday and p:day!= Monday


=-=-==-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

BAD teams off a bye as Sunday HD's line>6

27.09 ATS

HD and rest > 10 and line > 6 and day= Sunday

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-

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Posted: #121

This is what I have for the CFL...eliminating both Saturday and Sunday as both have average negative ATS margins. week<10 and AD and day!=Saturday and day!=Sunday 112-70 ATS, 61.5%   day=Tuesday and day=Wednesday and day=Thursday and HD 28-15 ATS

 

Sunday were 12-10 mine was 124-80 basically the same but the future could trend either way.

 

mine 124-80 12.10 on Sunday

yours excludes Sunday 112-70.  

 

As the season moves along we are going to have to use a microsoft type of program to keep the data updated.

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Posted: #122

Adding one to NCAAF :257-126 , 67%

 

ats streak < 5 and ACD and division = 1A and PRSW > 4 and n:CF and on:D and t:wins < 7 and o:losses < 5 and o:rest < 9 and p:day = Saturday

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Posted: #123

On to
NCAAFB:

 

week1:
33.59
F and week = 1 and n:C and rank = None and n:line>=-3

-==-==-=-=-=-=--=-=--=-=-==-
WEEK 1:

Teams that crushed their bowl game (excluding playoff BCS final 4 games) beating their point spread by 20+points ats margin and covering their previous game before that bowl game. The were favorites in that bowl game and head into the next season game 1 are 6-18 ATS


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-
834.581= 59% ATS
CD and n:CF and week < 16 and PRSW < 12 and season > 1996 and division = 1A and o:division = 1A and n:line<=-7

-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==--=-=-=-
33.59 36%
F and week = 1 and n:C and rank = None and n:line>=-3
plays are Kansas State +1.5 and C.Mich +13

-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=
247.123 67%
AD and n:F and on:D and p:D and p:day = Saturday and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and week > 3 and season>2003

=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

257-126 , 67%

 

ats streak < 5 and ACD and division = 1A and PRSW > 4 and n:CF and on:D and t:wins < 7 and o:losses < 5 and o:rest < 9 and p:day = Saturday

==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=

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Posted: #124

On to
NCAAFB:

 

week1:
30.56
F and week = 1 and n:C and rank = None and n:line >= -3 and division = 1A

-==-==-=-=-=-=--=-=--=-=-==-
WEEK 1:

Teams that crushed their bowl game (excluding playoff BCS final 4 games) beating their point spread by 20+points ats margin and covering their previous game before that bowl game. The were favorites in that bowl game and head into the next season game 1 are 6-18 ATS


=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-
834.581= 59% ATS
CD and n:CF and week < 16 and PRSW < 12 and season > 1996 and division = 1A and o:division = 1A and n:line<=-7

 

-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=
227.111 67%
AD and n:F and on:D and p:D and p:day = Saturday and PRSW < 12 and o:PRSW < 12 and week > 3 and season > 2003 and division = 1A

=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=

257-126 , 67%

 

ats streak < 5 and ACD and division = 1A and PRSW > 4 and n:CF and on:D and t:wins < 7 and o:losses < 5 and o:rest < 9 and p:day = Saturday

==-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=

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Posted: #125

no need to go over these I had a redundant query and added division 1A to the queries that were missing it.  and I did update the ATS results

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