Week 1 Indigo lines 2021

Nice start Indigo 

Away dogs week 1 that lost three straight games to their present opponent have been 9-6 ATS, 9-3 ATS if the line is greater than +6.....Lions

Week 1 away dogs whose opponent made the playoffs last season, playing less than 3 playoff games have been 16-6 ATS, 13-9 straight up.  If this game is between divisional opponents this has been 8-0 ATS and 8-0 straight up, covering by an average of 14 points/game and winning by an average of 9 points/game.....Lions

week = 1 and AD and 3>opS(playoffs)>0 and DIV

Play:

2)  Lions +7'

1)  Bombers UNDER 49' winner

Indigo-nice cash on that under-I had to take the under 51 when it came out--when teams haven't played for almost 2 years with no pre-season at all,  you had to count on some offensive rust which there was!

good luck today!

Nice job Spottie, Hoody and Doc.

And sometimes it's better to be lucky than good....we'll hopefully have some of both moving forward.

Good fortune to all.

Thanks Indigo and good luck tonight.

Delayed lines might be because of COVID.

https://twitter.com/FarhanLaljiTSN/status/1423688766632337412?s=20

Thanks for the update CFL.

Riley out and a rookie is  playing his first ever game on the road at Saskatchewan.

Lions have them just where they want them at half down 23 points.

"It's never over in the CFL right?"

"No buddy, this was over before it started."

Sheesh!

Ok, I was wrong, it wasn't over.  If their new kicker could kick ("I keek a touchdown"), they could have won.

2)  Lions +7' winner

1)  Bombers UNDER 49' winner

Cash in the account no matter who what where or why. 

Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank

never a doubt

2-17 now

PRSW > 8 and F and week=1 and n:H

haha

Some commentary on the two teams.....

Lions' offensive line is no longer a sieve like it was two seasons ago before they replaced the guy they called the offensive (they were offensive!) line coach....they held up relatively well against a good defensive front of the Sasquatches.  From what I could gather, the Lion defense starts at least 5 rookies and it showed in the first half.  They looked well coached in the secondary, which is where it's got to happen in modern football.

Riley?  I don't see how he gets through the season....it looks like he needs a month off or more, and we are probably seeing the beginning of the end for Michael Riley.  The new Canadian quarterback will be a good one, but of course he'll make his mistakes and probably cost his team a game or two, but the Lions aren't winning the Grey Cup this year anyway.

Saskatchewan?...what a Jeckyll and Hyde performance.....Fajardo looks hurt and his mobility wasn't there in the second half.  Their defense looks nowhere near as good as it was a couple of seasons ago when Chris Jones was the head coach.  They'll win their share this year, but winning the West?....they didn't look like that type of team to me.  

And of course, lesson learned to Saskatchewan   YOU CANNOT SIT ON A LEAD IN THE CFL, and to those watching the game lesson learned that  what has happened by half-time is in no shape or form the barometer of what will transpire in the second half.

I put out the Indigo lines a month ago...here is what I have today

Calgary -6 Toronto    51

Edmonton -7' Ottawa 53

Ottawa has been 3-0 ATS/SU as away dogs in their modern history and Edmonton has been 0-5 ATS, 2-2-1 straight up as a home favorite week 1.

Calgary has been 6-4 ATS as week 1 home favs, and Toronto has been 3-1 ATS/SU as a week 1 away dog. 

My database goes back to the start of the 2007 season.

Both Ottawa and Toronto starting quarterbacks are questionable.

While Friday away dogs are now 23-4 ATS in the first four weeks of the season.....Saturday away dogs have only been 6-11 ATS and 7-10 o/u

Those stats on Friday and Saturday away dogs in the above post are for NON-DIVISIONAL games in the first four weeks of the season.

Sports Action has put out lines.

Opened with:

Edmonton -8  Ottawa 46'

Calgary     5'  Toronto 45'

That the books would wait until the very last day to put out lines means that Vegas thinks this sport can be beaten.  The NFL lines come out 4 months in advance, even in games where the quarterback is uncertain in the case of the Green Bay and  also the Houston game. 

Our lines for the sides have been very close to Vegas' with the exception of the BC game where we opened at +4 and Vegas' opened at 6/6'.  All others ended up very close to what the bookmaker has put out.  Totals, on the other hand have not been accurate.

I had thoughts of taking the UNDER in the Edmonton game based on some angles.....well, not anymore as both totals are at least six points lower than our projections.  One benefit of making your own lines ahead of time....it can get you off of a play when your line looks awful different than what the bookmaker puts out.

They say that the very best handicappers bet numbers and not the game....which means they put great faith in the numbers they make in advance and bet the variance between theirs and Vegas.  And let's face it, do the bookmakers care as much about the WNBA or the CFL as they do the NHL, NBA or NFL?

When Spottie comes onto our site and says, "I liked Hamilton before the game, but I had to take the Bombers at that number", that is an example of that kind of thinking as his numbers had the Bombers as favorites.

H and total<48 and week<19

overs are 57-45  = 56%

Play:

3)  Redblacks +7, -105

RBs have a history of playing well on the road in their opener and Edmonton typically starts slow.

Both teams have new coaches....new coaches have performed very well recently in the CFL.  This game looks like a mismatch on paper and we'll take the seemingly overmatched team as we did with the Lions in the game last night.

We were almost the same a month ago Indigo , I had Cal -7.5 are ou was the same at 51 and I had Edm at -6 and my ou was one pt diff than yours.

D and week = 1 and season>2014

17-3 ATS

Week 1 or 2 dogs in the CFL that didn't make  the playoffs last season have been 24-10 ATS....Lions, Argos, Redblacks

Week 1 or 2 away dogs that didn't make the playoffs playing a team that did have been 13-5 ATS (+9.89), 11-7 straight up (+2.11)....Lions, Argos, Redblacks....in four of the 18 games has our play ON team lost by more than 7 points. 

As away dogs, when the line has been from +6 to +10, these teams have been 10-1 ATS, 9-2 straight up and 6-1 ATS and 6-1 straight up in week 1 only.

AD and tpS(playoffs) = 0 and week=1, 2 and opS(playoffs)>0 and line