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    All Forums | CFL

    CFL Week 19 TOR@SSK

    CFLChef
    HomeDresser
    CoverMyLosses
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    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 8:34 PM ET #1

    30-20-0 (+4.60) Units.

    TOR@SSK : Play SSK -11 ATS for the full game.  1.1 to win 1.

    Rest advantage, TOR (5), SSK (6).

    Look the next 3 weeks are going to be a "bit" dodgy to say the least.

    Everyone knows the drill.  How long will players & QB's be going to play?

    What team needs what?  

    Some of the biggest spreads we have seen all season long.

    SSK -11 points ATS for this game.  Opened -8.5

    TOR Arbuckle is out for this game.  Jarret Doege is starting.  This is where it gets interesting.

    With a spread that big, it leaves the "ye old" back door open.

    If you listen to enough podcasts, you might have picked up on, Ryan Dinwiddie talking about maybe trying out all the other QB's these last few games.

    Doege will start tonight but then we might see the other 3 guys going into the game!!

    If TOR falls behind early, I can see Dinwiddie mixing things up a bit tonight.

    My first thought was maybe TOR has a chance tonight.  I have since come around.

    The smart play is to lay the -11

    I know it is tough to do BUT there is NO WAY I am backing TOR in this spot tonight!!!

    When SSK plays as a -7 to -9.5 fav, vs non Division opponent, coming off a game scoring 20 pts or more, they are 13-1-0 SU, 11-3-0 ATS, 5-9-0 O/U.

    Obviously we are beyond -9.5 but you get the point.  SSK is 6-1 SU vs East Division.

    Give me SSK -11 ATS tonight.

    GL.

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    30-20-0 (+4.60) Units.

    TOR@SSK : Play SSK -11 ATS for the full game.  1.1 to win 1.

    Rest advantage, TOR (5), SSK (6).

    Look the next 3 weeks are going to be a "bit" dodgy to say the least.

    Everyone knows the drill.  How long will players & QB's be going to play?

    What team needs what?  

    Some of the biggest spreads we have seen all season long.

    SSK -11 points ATS for this game.  Opened -8.5

    TOR Arbuckle is out for this game.  Jarret Doege is starting.  This is where it gets interesting.

    With a spread that big, it leaves the "ye old" back door open.

    If you listen to enough podcasts, you might have picked up on, Ryan Dinwiddie talking about maybe trying out all the other QB's these last few games.

    Doege will start tonight but then we might see the other 3 guys going into the game!!

    If TOR falls behind early, I can see Dinwiddie mixing things up a bit tonight.

    My first thought was maybe TOR has a chance tonight.  I have since come around.

    The smart play is to lay the -11

    I know it is tough to do BUT there is NO WAY I am backing TOR in this spot tonight!!!

    When SSK plays as a -7 to -9.5 fav, vs non Division opponent, coming off a game scoring 20 pts or more, they are 13-1-0 SU, 11-3-0 ATS, 5-9-0 O/U.

    Obviously we are beyond -9.5 but you get the point.  SSK is 6-1 SU vs East Division.

    Give me SSK -11 ATS tonight.

    GL.

     

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 8:39 PM ET #2

    "GULP".

    Reply

    "GULP".

     
    HomeDresser
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 8:55 PM ET #3

    Doege under passing yards?

     

    source where it says others will come in??

    Reply

    Doege under passing yards?

     

    source where it says others will come in??

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 8:59 PM ET #4

    Also, on Thanksgiving, OTT@MTL, Dru Brown is out for OTT.  It will be all Dustin Crum.

    MTL coming off a bye & will have 7 full days of rest over OTT.

    Hence MTL laying -13.5, which I am not opposed to.

    Next week we start backing the underdogs.  Spoilers.  Maybe, lol.

    Reply

    Also, on Thanksgiving, OTT@MTL, Dru Brown is out for OTT.  It will be all Dustin Crum.

    MTL coming off a bye & will have 7 full days of rest over OTT.

    Hence MTL laying -13.5, which I am not opposed to.

    Next week we start backing the underdogs.  Spoilers.  Maybe, lol.

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 9:03 PM ET #5

    Hay, HomeDresser, good evening Sir.

    Now let me think, it's been a long week, lol.

    I believe it was 3 down nation.  I can't remember if I read it on their website or heard it on their podcast.

    Reply

    Hay, HomeDresser, good evening Sir.

    Now let me think, it's been a long week, lol.

    I believe it was 3 down nation.  I can't remember if I read it on their website or heard it on their podcast.

     
    HomeDresser
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 9:04 PM ET #6

    kk thanks,

     

    future reference if you have hard evidence please post link so i can race to my sportsbook for "free money"

     

    an_cheers

    Reply

    kk thanks,

     

    future reference if you have hard evidence please post link so i can race to my sportsbook for "free money"

     

    an_cheers

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 9:07 PM ET #7

    Man Reddit sure has cracked down on streaming NFL.

    Good thing the world could care less about the CFL.

    Nice.

    Reply

    Man Reddit sure has cracked down on streaming NFL.

    Good thing the world could care less about the CFL.

    Nice.

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 9:10 PM ET #8

    Will do HomeDresser.

    Also the weather in EDM is supposed to be terrible this Saturday night.53.5

    Wind & heavy rain.

    Total sitting at 53.5

    Heavy run game expected, Hmm.

    Reply

    Will do HomeDresser.

    Also the weather in EDM is supposed to be terrible this Saturday night.53.5

    Wind & heavy rain.

    Total sitting at 53.5

    Heavy run game expected, Hmm.

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 10:07 PM ET #9

    TOR QB is removed from the game.  WOW.  

    Reply

    TOR QB is removed from the game.  WOW.  

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 10:36 PM ET #10

    @ The Half.  Score 7-15 for SSK.

    Doege has been removed from the game.

    Concussion protocol, no doubt.

    So now TOR has to play the 2nd Half with a couple of guys, who never expected to play tonight!

    @ the Half, SSK is still @ -11.5

    I already layed -11

    I will take the ENTIRE SSK team @ home against a TOR team already eliminated from the playoffs, with nothing left but back up QB's for the entire 2nd Half.

    I will take my chances!  1.1 to win 1. 

    Reply

    @ The Half.  Score 7-15 for SSK.

    Doege has been removed from the game.

    Concussion protocol, no doubt.

    So now TOR has to play the 2nd Half with a couple of guys, who never expected to play tonight!

    @ the Half, SSK is still @ -11.5

    I already layed -11

    I will take the ENTIRE SSK team @ home against a TOR team already eliminated from the playoffs, with nothing left but back up QB's for the entire 2nd Half.

    I will take my chances!  1.1 to win 1. 

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 10:38 PM ET #11

    Man I never expected to play this game tonight.

    Here I am in for 2.2 units to win 2 units @ the Half.

    Reply

    Man I never expected to play this game tonight.

    Here I am in for 2.2 units to win 2 units @ the Half.

     
    CoverMyLosses
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 10:40 PM ET #12

    Strange that there is no money line offered at Pinnacle for the second half.

    Reply

    Strange that there is no money line offered at Pinnacle for the second half.

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 10:53 PM ET #13

    OH NO!

    Doege was announced out of the game.  Crazy

    Clearly not.  Score 13-15 for SSK. 

    Reply

    OH NO!

    Doege was announced out of the game.  Crazy

    Clearly not.  Score 13-15 for SSK. 

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2025 - 10:55 PM ET #14

    Books are baking the 2nd Half line into the "live" line.

    Gone are the days of books offering a true 2nd Half line.

    I have been complaining about this for some time now.

     

    Reply

    Books are baking the 2nd Half line into the "live" line.

    Gone are the days of books offering a true 2nd Half line.

    I have been complaining about this for some time now.

     

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2025 - 12:13 AM ET #15

    Unbelievable!  I stand corrected. A game I had no interest in to begin with.

    I give up 2.2 units, this Friday evening.

    30-22-0 (+2.40) Units

    SumBitch.

    Back tomorrow.  Double Header.   

     

    Reply

    Unbelievable!  I stand corrected. A game I had no interest in to begin with.

    I give up 2.2 units, this Friday evening.

    30-22-0 (+2.40) Units

    SumBitch.

    Back tomorrow.  Double Header.   

     

     
    HomeDresser
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2025 - 9:50 AM ET #16

    Total still 53.5. Currently having a coffee listening to the rain pour down. Windy as heck too. If total stays at 53.5 and weather continues this way I'll be on the under as it is somewhat playoff game for both team battling for crossover. 

     

    Reply

    Total still 53.5. Currently having a coffee listening to the rain pour down. Windy as heck too. If total stays at 53.5 and weather continues this way I'll be on the under as it is somewhat playoff game for both team battling for crossover. 

     

     
     
    HomeDresser
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2025 - 9:58 AM ET #17

    Chef - I jumped 1/2 a unit on first half under and 1/2 on whole game. Can double down if first half hits. Want to spread it out a little bit. Sitting here watching the trees fly back and forth with this wind and it's SUPPOSED to continue, if it does I don't see either team being able to throw it as much as usual. 

    Reply

    Chef - I jumped 1/2 a unit on first half under and 1/2 on whole game. Can double down if first half hits. Want to spread it out a little bit. Sitting here watching the trees fly back and forth with this wind and it's SUPPOSED to continue, if it does I don't see either team being able to throw it as much as usual. 

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