F1 Italian Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds – Autodromo Nazionale Monza 2025

Oscar Piastri is beginning to pull away from the competition in the championship race, but can he be beaten in the Italian GP? Let's look at the odds.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Sep 3, 2025 • 11:00 ET • 4 min read
Oscar Piastri F1
Photo By - Imagn Images. Oscar Piastri celebrates his Dutch GP win.

Oscar Piastri posted his series-leading seventh win of the season in the Dutch GP last week, and he's back for more as the Italian Grand Prix odds favorite for Sunday, September 7.

Teammate Lando Norris is the second-choice in the F1 odds, with Max Verstappen an isolated third-choice over the pair of Charles Leclerc and George Russell.

Don't miss our F1 predictions and free betting picks for the Italian GP.

2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix odds

Driver bet365
McLaren Oscar Piastri +100
McLaren Lando Norris +187
Red Bull Max Verstappen +650
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +1200
Mercedes George Russell +1200
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +5000
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli +6600
Williams Carlos Sainz +25000
Williams Alex Albon +25000
Aston Martin Fernando Alonso +25000
VCARB Liam Lawson +25000
VCARB Isack Hadjar +25000
Red Bull Yuki Tsunoda +50000
Alpine Pierre Gasly +50000
Alpine Franco Colapinto +50000
Haas Esteban Ocon +50000
Haas Oliver Bearman +50000
Kick Sauber Nico Hulkenberg +50000
Kick Sauber Gabriel Bortoleto +50000
Aston Martin Lance Stroll +50000

Odds as of 9-3.

F1 Italian Grand Prix 2025 pre-qualifying favorites

Oscar Piastri is in his customary spot as the pre-qualifying favorite for the Italian GP over McLaren compatriot Lando Norris, who DNF'd last week to fall further back in the F1 Championship race. 

Max Verstappen seeks his third win of the season, and first since May 18, at Monza. He is a two-time winner here, as is co-fourth choice Charles Leclerc.

George Russell, one of only four unique winners in 2025, is tied with Leclerc at +1200, with a big gap back to the rest of the runners.

Previous F1 Italian Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2024 Charles Leclerc Ferrari
2023 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2022 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2021 Daniel Ricciardo McLaren
2020 Pierre Gasly AlphaTauri

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

  • Charles Leclerc +400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $400 if Leclerc wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:

  • Max Verstappen -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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