After a mini two-race funk, Kimi Antonelli is back in familiar territory.
The 19-year-old captured pole at the British Grand Prix and will look for his sixth win of the year.
Joining Antonelli on the front row is Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc in his best showing of the year so far, while teammate Lewis Hamilton will start third.
Read below for my British Grand Prix predictions for Sunday, July 5, as I break down why Antonelli is set for another win in the Formula 1 odds.
🏁 British Grand Prix predictions
| Driver | Pick | Date |  |
Win probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kimi Antonelli |
Win outright | July 4 | -194 | 66% |
 Charles Leclerc |
Podium finish | July 4 | +100 | 50% |
📊 British Grand Prix odds
| Driver | |
Win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli |
-194 | 66% |
| Lewis Hamilton |
+525 | 16% |
| George Russell |
+1011 | 9% |
| Charles Leclerc |
+1011 | 9% |
 Max Verstappen |
+2400 | 4% |
 Lando Norris |
+4900 | 2% |
Odds from Polymarket, one of our best F1 betting sites.
🏎️ British Grand Prix picks
Race pick: Kimi Antonelli to win (-194)
Four of Kimi Antonelli's five wins this season have come from pole, and the fifth came when he started second in Montreal.
Antonelli has been the fastest car on the circuit this year, which is a major advantage at Silverstone, where precision through high-speed corners and strong straight-line speed are key to success.
George Russell’s struggles have left Antonelli in prime position to contend for the win... if he can hold off the Ferrari challengers.
Prop pick: Charles Leclerc podium finish (+100)
I had Charles Leclerc tabbed as a dark horse pre-qualifying at +2400 to win and +300 to podium, and he has now shortened to +1150/+100, but there’s still plenty of value left.
Leclerc is no stranger to the podium at Silverstone, with three career top-three finishes there, and his precision through the corners should keep him in contention all race long.
🔢 British Grand Prix starting grid
| Position | Driver | Position | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonelli | 2 | Leclerc |
| 3 | Hamilton | 4 | Russell |
| 5 | Hadjar | 6 | Norris |
| 7 | Verstappen | 8 | Piastri |
| 9 | Lindblad | 10 | Lawson |
| 11 | Bortoleto | 12 | Gasly |
| 13 | Hulkenberg | 14 | Bearman |
| 15 | Sainz | 16 | Albon |
| 17 | Ocon | 18 | Bottas |
| 19 | Colapinto | 20 | Perez |
| 21 | Stroll | 22 | Alonso |
🧠 How I'm picking the British Grand Prix
There’s no half-stepping at the British Grand Prix — you’re either in or you’re out.
Consider corners like the famous Copse, where there is no deceleration and drivers push their limits and carry apex speeds. Or the Hangar Straight, which runs nearly 1km and is the prime overtaking spot using the Drag Reduction System (DRS).
That’s the intensity of the Silverstone Circuit, as the nearly 6km long track features 18 intense corners, so precise, high-commitment driving is rewarded.
With Lewis Hamilton rediscovering his previous form in his new digs at Ferrari, he must be considered for a variety of wagers, including winning outright.
The British racer is an aggressive late-breaker and is an excellent manager of his tires, both considered vital to be successful at Silverstone.
He’s also the winningest driver on this track (nine), while capturing the pole seven times.
A surge in power in Austria should have bettors also looking at Max Verstappen, who might finally have the car to match his aggressive, hyper-responsive driving style which matches the demands of a high-speed circuit.
Besides Norris, another serious longshot worth considering is Hamilton’s Ferrari teammate Charles Leclerc (+2400 to win, +300 to podium).
He was in the battle for the pole last week in Austria, settling for the second spot on the front row.
Leclerc has finished on the podium three times at Silverstone, but he’s been out of the points in his last two visits, so he’s been widely disregarded.
But his ability to compete for a top lap in qualifying makes him a threat to start near the front, and his car control is among the best of all drivers, allowing him to carry momentum through high-speed corners at this track.
We’ll know more once we get to qualifying, but if you’re looking for a deep cut, Leclerc is my pick.
📋 British Grand Prix favorites
Prior to qualifying, Kimi Antonelli is the +163 favorite to win the British GP. His Mercedes teammate, George Russell, is second-choice at +285.
Rounding out the triple-digit options are Lewis Hamilton (+525) of Ferrari and Max Verstappen (+669) of Red Bull.
🏆 Previous British Grand Prix winners
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Lando Norris | McLaren |
| 2024 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2022 | Carlos Sainz Jr. | Ferrari |
| 2021 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
❓ British Grand Prix betting FAQs
Who is favored to win the British Grand Prix?
Kimi Antonelli is favored to win the British GP.
When and where is the British Grand Prix?
Silverstone Circuit plays host to the British GP.
How can I watch the British Grand Prix?
Apple TV is the exclusive home of F1 racing.
Who won the British Grand Prix in 2025?
Lando Norris won this race last season.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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