UFC Fight Night betting: Public vs sharp bets and odds moves

Jun 27, 2020 |
UFC Fight Night betting: Public vs sharp bets and odds moves
Dustin Poirier is the -220 favorite at BetMGM, but there's plenty of early action both for and against him leading up to his UFC Fight Night bout with Dan Hooker on June 27.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Dustin Poirier is the -220 favorite at BetMGM, but there's plenty of early action both for and against him leading up to his UFC Fight Night bout with Dan Hooker on June 27.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

UFC betting is back on the odds board and drawing action for the MMA organization’s Fight Night on Saturday night. The Apex facility at UFC’s Las Vegas headquarters hosts another fanless card, topped by the main event of Dustin Poirier vs. Dan Hooker.

BetMGM Nevada’s Jeff Stoneback talked UFC Fight Night betting. Covers will update this action report with sharp bets, public play and UFC Fight Night odds moves, up through the main card’s 8 p.m. ET Saturday start.

Who are people betting to win Poirier vs Hooker?

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Poirier is a -260 favorite at CG Technology books in Las Vegas, and Hooker is at +220. "We just took $8,000 on Poirier, to win $3,077," CG risk analyst Dave Sharapan said of a bet made at The Cosmopolitan. "The number of bets is higher on Hooker, but twice as much money on Poirier."

UPDATE 8:35 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With the main card underway, BetMGM took two $10,000 bets on Hooker in the last hour, one at +200 to win $20,000, and one at +190 to win $19,000. "Right now, we actually need the favorite in that fight," said Scott Shelton, sportsbook supervisor at The Mirage. Beyond that, though, BetMGM is rooting against favorites the rest of the way. "Our night is really just gonna depend on parlays. We're gonna need some underdogs to come in, but just not Booker." Shortly after Shelton said that, +425 underdog Julian Erosa shocked -550 chalk Sean Woodson. "That definitely helped," Shelton said.

UPDATE 7:30 P..M. ET SATURDAY: William Hill US took the biggest reported bet so far on tonight's UFC Fight Night, and perhaps surprisingly, it's on the underdog. Nick Bogdanovich said a bettor put $100,000 on Hooker +200, for a potential $200,000 win if Hooker can notch the upset. William Hill US CEO Joe Asher noted on Twitter that the wager came from the same bettor who, earlier this month, put $1 million on Amanda Nunes -600 vs. Felicia Spencer in UFC 250. That bettor won just shy of $167,000.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: A couple of hours before the six-bout main card gets underway, Poirier is at -230 at PointsBet USA, after opening -190. Poirier is seeing 71 percent of tickets and 82 percent of money against +180 underdog Hooker.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: FanDuel Sportsbook opened Poirier -178 and Hooker +150, and Poirier is now out to -230, with Hooker +184. One bettor last week put $13,300 on Poirier at -178, which would pay out just shy of $7,500 if the favorite wins. Poirier to win by decision (+360) is the largest prop-bet liability on the main event.

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Poirier is a -220 favorite at BetMGM, with Hooker a +180 underdog on the UFC Fight Night odds board, but both fighters are drawing money. Stoneback said that there’s really good two-way action, especially considering it was a pretty slow Thursday in other sports.

Who are people betting to win Perry vs Gall

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: At CG Technology, Mike Perry is a -320 favorite and Mickey Gall a +260 underdog in the co-main event. "Surprisingly, we need the favorite Perry," Sharapan said. "Otherwise, any other underdog at this point will break up the parlays that are left."

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The co-main is seeing two-way action at PointsBet USA, with -350 favorite Mike Perry landing 56 percent of bets, but +260 underdog Mickey Gall netting 54 percent of dollars wagered.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Mike Perry stretched from -240 to -340 at FanDuel by Friday afternoon, with Mickey Gall correspondingly shifting from +192 to +260 in the UFC Fight Night co-main. By Friday night, those numbers tightened just a tick, to Perry -330/Gall +250. Perry to win by decision (+380) is the largest prop-bet liability in the co-main.

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BetMGM is seeing rather interesting action, considering that Mike Perry is -330 and Mickey Gall +260. The UFC Fight Night co-main event is landing “a bunch of parlays,” but it’s two-way play, with some parlaying the solid favorite Perry and others going with the ‘dog Gall.

 

Who are people betting to win Allen vs Daukaus

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Brendan Allen is up to a -325 favorite at PointsBet USA, after opening -275, and he's drawing 91 percent of tickets and 89 percent of money bet. Daukaus is now a +240 underdog.

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This bout is one-sided at BetMGM, with -300 favorite Brendan Allen drawing the bulk of the money and tickets thus far. Kyle Daukaus is a +240 pup for a matchup in the middle of Saturday night’s five-bout main card.

Other UFC Fight Night betting action

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET: The Gian Villante-Maurice Green matchup is seeing what Bogdanovich termed "great two-way action" at William Hill US. Green is a -240 favorite and Villante a +200 underdog in the bout on the middle of tonight's main card.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET: Maurice Green has moved from -220 to -270 at PointsBet USA, with Gian Villante correspondingly stretching from +180 to +205. Greene is taking 82 percent of tickets and 86 percent of money for this bout in the middle of the main card. And the Philipe Lins-Tanner Boser preliminary-card bout, which oddsmakers rate very close at Lins -110/Boser -115, is seeing the modest underdog get the bulk of the action. Lins is on 72 percent of tickets and landing 61 percent of dollars bet at PointsBet USA.

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Jumping to the top of the five-bout preliminary card, the Luis Pena vs. Khama Worthy tilt is getting attention at BetMGM. Worthy is a +200 underdog, but he’s drawing early dollars against the -250 favorite Pena. 

What are the betting odds for UFC Fight Night?

Weight Class Favorite Odds Underdog Odds
Lightweight Dustin Poirier -235 Dan Hooker +195
Welterweight Mike Perry -325 Mickey Gall +255
Middleweight Brendan Allen -310 Kyle Daukaus +250
Heavyweight Maurice Green -220 Gian Villante +180
Catchweight Sean Woodson -500 Julian Erosa +375
Lightweight Luis Pena -240 Khama Worthy +200
Heavyweight Philipe Lins -115 Tanner Bosser -105
Welterweight Takashi Soto N/A Jason Witt N/A
Featherweight Youssef Zalal -125 Jordan Griffin +105
Women's Strawweight Kay Hansen -170 Jinh Yu Frey +140

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

 

Where can I bet UFC odds?

Many online books and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live.

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