Conor McGregor returns to the Octagon when he steps in against Max Holloway in the main event for UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11.
After a lengthy layoff, UFC odds peg the 37-year-old as a considerable underdog.
Below, we'll take a look at the Holloway vs. McGregor 2 odds ahead of the bout scheduled to take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.
Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Holloway | McGregor |
| To win outright | -400 | +280 |
Odds as of 5-17.
Max Holloway and Conor McGregor will headline UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11.
The pair last faced off on August 17, 2013, as part of the preliminary card ahead of a UFC Fight Night main-event bout between Chael Sonnen and Mauricio Rua. That is to say, a lot has changed.
McGregor won by unanimous decision, marking Holloway's third loss in his first 10 UFC fights. Meanwhile, it marked McGregor's 10th consecutive victory, a streak that would ultimately extend to 15 before losing to Nate Diaz in 2016 — a loss he would avenge months later.
"Notorious" last stepped foot in the Octagon in 2021, fighting Dustin Poirier in losing efforts in UFC 257 and UFC 264. He was expected to return in 2024 against Michael Chandler, in a blow-off from The Ultimate Fighter 31, where both served as opposing coaches, but a broken toe was cited as the reason for its ultimate cancellation.
Holloway has been more active, appearing in eight UFC fights since McGregor's last, going 5-3 in that stretch. Most recently, Holloway lost by unanimous decision to Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 on March 7, 2026.
Nevertheless, McGregor's rust and extended absence related to injuries, various legal issues, and a lengthy suspension for missing drug tests, are all likely mitigating factors when books are projecting the odds for this fight.
Holloway hasn't been a world-beater, but he's been present, and he is being given a substantial edge to get his win back from McGregor nearly 13 years later.
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Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor tale of the tape
| Holloway | McGregor | |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Age | 37 |
| 5-foot-11 | Height | 5-foot-8 |
| Welterweight | Weight Class | Welterweight |
| 69 inches | Reach | 74 inches |
| 27-9 | Record | 22-6 |
| 12 | Wins by KO | 19 |
| 2 | Wins by submission | 1 |
