A high-stakes rematch almost a decade in the making between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi headlines this weekend’s UFC Fight Night, being held in the Meta Apex.
Kape is tipped to even the score with Horiguchi as a -160 favorite in the UFC odds, while Horiguchi looks for his third straight win in the UFC as a +130 underdog.
My Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi predictions and free betting picks are calling for Horiguchi to pull off the minor upset on Saturday, June 20.
Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi fight prediction: Horiguchi moneyline (+130)
Kyoji Horiguchi submitted Manel Kape in three lopsided rounds back in 2017, and while Kape has emerged as a top contender at flyweight, this rematch serves as a litmus test for how good he’s become since then.
With Horiguchi winning titles at flyweight and bantamweight between his UFC stints, he remains a top-tier technician who can match Kape’s athleticism with knowledge of the matchup and better wrestling skills.
Horiguchi is the pick.

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi best bet: Horiguchi by decision (+325)
Horiguchi by decision is my best bet.
Kape's recent performances, as well as his finishing skills, will likely keep him the favorite. But Horiguchi's experience, precision striking, and ability to bank rounds with his wrestling make him a live underdog over 25 minutes.
Kape is dangerous, and Horiguchi will fight at a measured, tactical pace to avoid being on the wrong side of a big shot.
I'd play Horiguchi by decision down to +250.
Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi odds
| Method of Victory | Manel Kape | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| To win outright | -160 | +130 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +180 | +675 |
| To win by decision | +260 | +325 |
| To win by submission | +1550 | +790 |
| Total rounds | Over 4.5 -125 |
Under 4.5 -105 |
Odds as of 6-20.
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Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi tale of the tape
| Manel Kape | Kyoji Horiguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Age | 35 |
| 5-foot-5 | Height | 5-foot-5 |
| Flyweight | Weight Class | Flyweight |
| 68 inches | Reach | 66 inches |
| 22-7 | Record | 36-5 |
| 14 | Wins by KO | 15 |
| 5 | Wins by submission | 6 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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