Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Predictions, Picks & Odds

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 20, 2026 , 12:01 PM ET • 4 min read

History will repeat itself when Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi renew acquaintances on Saturday night, per our UFC expert.

Kyoji Horiguchi UFC
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kyoji Horiguchi in UFC action.

A high-stakes rematch almost a decade in the making between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi headlines this weekend’s UFC Fight Night, being held in the Meta Apex. 

Kape is tipped to even the score with Horiguchi as a -160 favorite in the UFC odds, while Horiguchi looks for his third straight win in the UFC as a +130 underdog.

My Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi predictions and free betting picks are calling for Horiguchi to pull off the minor upset on Saturday, June 20.

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi fight prediction: Horiguchi moneyline (+130)

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi
Jun 20 • UFC Fight Night
Fight Prediction
 Horiguchi to win (+130)
Bet now at BET99

Kyoji Horiguchi submitted Manel Kape in three lopsided rounds back in 2017, and while Kape has emerged as a top contender at flyweight, this rematch serves as a litmus test for how good he’s become since then.

With Horiguchi winning titles at flyweight and bantamweight between his UFC stints, he remains a top-tier technician who can match Kape’s athleticism with knowledge of the matchup and better wrestling skills.

Horiguchi is the pick.

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Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi best bet: Horiguchi by decision (+325)

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi
Jun 20 • UFC Fight Night
Best bet
Horiguchi by decision (+325)
Bet now at BET99

Horiguchi by decision is my best bet.

Kape's recent performances, as well as his finishing skills, will likely keep him the favorite. But Horiguchi's experience, precision striking, and ability to bank rounds with his wrestling make him a live underdog over 25 minutes.

Kape is dangerous, and Horiguchi will fight at a measured, tactical pace to avoid being on the wrong side of a big shot.

I'd play Horiguchi by decision down to +250. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Kape's three-fight knockout streak has come against opponents who combined for just one completed takedown attempt against him.

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi odds

Bet99
Method of Victory Manel Kape Kyoji Horiguchi
To win outright -160 +130
To win by KO/TKO +180 +675
To win by decision +260 +325
To win by submission +1550 +790
Total rounds Over 4.5
-125
Under 4.5
-105

Odds as of 6-20.

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Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi tale of the tape

Manel Kape   Kyoji Horiguchi
32 Age 35
5-foot-5 Height 5-foot-5
Flyweight Weight Class Flyweight
68 inches Reach 66 inches
22-7 Record 36-5
14 Wins by KO 15
5 Wins by submission 6

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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