NFL Power Rankings: Week 16

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

The Saints remain atop the rankings this week after some stellar defensive play. the biggest riser this week was the Atlanta Falcons jumping to 18 from 24. The biggest team to fall this week was the Green Bay Packers falling from 13 to 17. Expect things to shake up a bit as we near the playoffs!

NFL Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 12-2-0
-7 New Orleans
The Saints just notched their first win since 1998 in a game where the offense scored 12 points or less; a testament to Sean Payton’s underrated defense.
2 2 same 9-5-0
-6 New England
The Patriots red zone execution wasn’t pretty in their loss at Pittsburgh: three tries inside the Steelers 15 yard line with only three points to show for it.
3 4 up 1 11-3-0
-5.5 Kansas City
At 11-3, the Chiefs are in danger of dropping all the way to the #5 seed if they lose at Seattle this week. Their three losses have come by a combined seven points!
4 6 up 2 8-5-1
-5 Pittsburgh
The Steelers showed us once again why it’s not smart to pay big money for elite running backs. Third stringer Jaylen Samuels had 142 rushing yards vs. the Pats. Le’Veon who?
5 5 same 11-3-0
-5 Los Angeles
The Chargers won the battle, knocking off KC at Arrowhead on Thursday Night, but they might have lost the war – multiple serious injuries, including #1 WR Keenan Allen.
6 3 down 3 11-3-0
-4.5 Los Angeles
Over the past three weeks, Jared Goff has thrown one TD compared to seven interceptions, with the single lowest QB rating of any full time starting QB in the league.
7 7 same 10-4-0
-4 Chicago
The Bears threw one heck of a celebration party following Sunday’s win over the Packers; a ‘worst to first’ transformation in Matt Nagy’s first season on the job.
8 8 same 10-4-0
-4 Houston
Impact injury? Lamar Miller got hurt in the first half against the Jets, replaced by Alfred Blue in the lineup. Blue notched a grand total of six yards on his nine carries.
9 11 up 2 8-6-0
-3.5 Indianapolis
Marlon Mack is finally getting some respect following his 139 yard, two TD outburst last week. The Colts are 8-1 straight up (6-2-1 ATS) when Mack gets 10 carries or more.
10 9 down 1 8-6-0
-3 Dallas
The injuries on the Cowboys offensive line were on full display on Sunday. Dallas was blown off the line of scrimmage on every key play in their shutout loss at Indianapolis.
11 10 down 1 8-6-0
-2.5 Seattle
The Seahawks were the most penalized team in the NFL in 2017 and they’re doing it again; committing a franchise high 14 penalties for 148 yards in their OT loss at San Fran.
12 12 same 8-6-0
-2.5 Baltimore
Gus Edwards, an undrafted rookie out of Rutgers who started the year on the practice squad, has now rushed for more than 100 yards three times in the last four weeks.
13 14 up 1 7-6-1
-2.5 Minnesota
Kevin Stefanski’s play calling debut led the Vikings to TD’s on their first three possessions; finishing the game with as many points as they had in their three previous games combined.
14 15 up 1 8-6-0
-2 Tennessee
The Titans defense looks capable of winning games largely by themselves! Tennessee notched three sacks, forced two turnovers and delivered their first shutout in 18 years!
15 16 up 1 7-7-0
-1.5 Philadelphia
The Eagles secondary remains an injury riddled mess. But Philly’s red zone defense was stellar on Sunday, holding the Rams out of the end zone on four separate red zone trips.
16 17 up 1 6-7-1
-1 Cleveland
The Browns are 4-1 Straight Up and Against the Spread in their last five games, and Baker Mayfield has been interception-free in eight of the ten halves during that span.
17 13 down 4 5-8-1
0 Green Bay
The Packers have been mediocre in the red zone all year; a weakness that was on full display in their crushing loss at Chicago: only one TD in four red zone tries.
18 24 up 6 5-9-0
1 Atlanta
Atlanta scored 40 points last Sunday, but the most impressive part of the win was their defense notching seven sacks and getting a pick six from a ‘finally healthy’ Deion Jones.
19 19 same 6-8-0
2 Denver
The Broncos failed their ‘must win’ test against Cleveland one week after losing a ‘must win’ game against the 49ers. That’s bad news for Vance Joseph’s job security.
20 18 down 2 6-8-0
2.5 Carolina
Cam Newton’s shoulder injury isn’t getting better, leading to a season low 131 passing yards at just 4.5 yards per attempt in their fifth straight loss by a TD or less.
21 20 down 1 5-9-0
2.5 N.Y. Giants
The Giants rank #28 in red zone efficiency, despite Saquon Barkley’s nose for the end zone. Against defenses stacking the box to stop the run, this team struggles to score.
22 22 same 5-9-0
2.5 Buffalo
At one point last week, the Bills were without a single healthy running back. So they threw the ball, with undrafted rookie WR Robert Foster catching the game winning TD.
23 21 down 2 7-7-0
3 Miami
Playing on a bad ankle, behind a beat up offensive line, Ryan Tannehill had no chance at Minnesota last week, sacked nine times in an ugly blowout loss.
24 23 down 1 5-9-0
4 Tampa Bay
The Bucs allowed 242 rushing yards last week, the most they’ve allowed in any game since 2011; unable to shut down the Ravens one-dimensional offense.
25 25 same 5-9-0
4 Detroit
The Lions lost at Buffalo last Sunday when normally reliable kicker Matt Prater missed a field goal and a bad snap cost them an extra point in a one point defeat.
26 27 up 1 7-7-0
4.5 Washington
Ryan Kerrigan and Jonathan Allen notched two sacks apiece against the Jags, and the ‘down to their fourth string QB’ Redskins are still very much alive in the playoff race.
27 28 up 1 4-10-0
5 San Francisco
The 49ers offense was mediocre, but their special teams were stellar against the Seahawks -- four Robbie Gould field goals and a 97 yard kickoff return touchdown.
28 30 up 2 6-8-0
5.5 Cincinnati
Cinci found a weakness to exploit on offense against the Raiders. Led by Joe Mixon, Cinci’s 41 rushing attempts were their highest total since 2014.
29 29 same 4-10-0
6 N.Y. Jets
With their loss to Houston, the Jets moved up to the #3 spot in the 2019 NFL draft. That won’t help embattled head coach Todd Bowles in any way.
30 26 down 4 4-10-0
6 Jacksonville
There’s a reason the Jags kept Cody Kessler on the bench as long as they did. In three games as the starting QB, Kessler has led the Jags to a grand total of one offensive touchdown.
31 31 same 3-11-0
6.5 Oakland
The Raiders offense didn’t react well to an early start trip back East: three punts and two turnovers on five first half drives, leading to a three score deficit.
32 32 same 3-11-0
7 Arizona
The worst offense in the NFL and played like it on Sunday. Josh Rosen got sacked six times and committed three turnovers before giving way to Mike Glennon.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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