NFL Power Rankings: Week 15

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

The Saints remain atop the rankings this week. the biggest riser this week was the Green Bay Packers jumping to 13 from 18. The biggest team to fall this week was the Minnesota Vikings and the Carolina Panthers each falling 3 spots. Expect things to continue to shift with the end of the regular season now less than a month away!

NFL Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 11-2-0
(10-3-0)
-8 New Orleans
While the New Orleans offense has struggled, the defense has proven capable of covering pointspreads by themselves; holding five straight opponents to 17 points or less.
2 3 up 1 9-4-0
(8-5-0)
-6.5 New England
Tom Brady is human! He made an enormous miscue at Miami, mismanaging the clock before halftime; costing the Pats a field goal in a game they lost by one point.
3 2 down 1 11-2-0
(5-7-1)
-6 Los Angeles
The Rams offense went into the cold of Chicago and failed, producing only six points from an offense that had averaged just shy of five TD’s per game.
4 4 same 11-2-0
(8-4-1)
-5.5 Kansas City
The Chiefs offense is running out of big play weapons! Kareem Hunt is gone, Sammy Watkins was unable to practice again on Monday & Tyreke Hill limped off the field last Sunday.
5 5 same 10-3-0
(7-6-0)
-5 Los Angeles
No Melvin Gordon, no problem for LA. Austin Ekeler finished with 94 yards from scrimmage in their win over Cinci, including a five yard TD scamper.
6 6 same 7-5-1
(6-6-1)
-4.5 Pittsburgh
The Steelers came into the month on an 18-3 straight up run in December games, but they’ve lost back-2-back contests already this December and have the Pats up next.
7 8 up 1 9-4-0
(9-4-0)
-4 Chicago
After holding the Rams 29 points below their season average and picking off Jared Goff four times, Chicago’s defense leads the NFL by a wide margin with 25 interceptions.
8 7 down 1 9-4-0
(6-7-0)
-4 Houston
Even after a poorly played home loss to Indy, the Texans can still clinch the division title on Sunday with a win vs. the Jets, along with losses by the Colts and Titans.
9 9 same 8-5-0
(8-5-0)
-3.5 Dallas
Let’s give credit to Jason Garrett for his aggressive tactics on fourth down in overtime; going for it in an effort to win the game with a TD instead of the ‘safe’ field goal try.
10 10 same 8-5-0
(8-3-2)
-3 Seattle
Bobby Wagner’s controversial leap over the line to block a Vikings field goal attempt opened the floodgates for a Seahawks late game run-out on Monday Night Football.
11 13 up 2 7-6-0
(6-6-1)
-2.5 Indianapolis
Colts head coach Frank Reich: “Right now, what we're focused on is next week [against Dallas]… we do have a goal of going 4-0 in the fourth quarter [of the season]."
12 12 same 7-6-0
(7-6-0)
-2.5 Baltimore
One under-the-radar factor favoring the Ravens #1 ranked defense? Every starter returned from last year’s team, giving Baltimore far more continuity than most squads.
13 18 up 5 5-7-1
(5-7-1)
-1 Green Bay
Aaron Rodgers delivered a ‘bet-on’ quote following the Packers blowout win over Atlanta on Sunday: "There's a lot of fight left in this squad."
14 11 down 3 6-6-1
(6-6-1)
-0.5 Minnesota
The Vikings offense looked confused and out of sync all night at Seattle, converting only 2-10 third down tries; 0-2 on fourth downs.
15 16 up 1 7-6-0
(7-6-0)
-0.5 Tennessee
The Titans defense continues to limit explosive plays in the passing game, allowing an average of only 4.7 yards after the catch for the full season (#2 in the NFL).
16 14 down 2 6-7-0
(4-9-0)
0 Philadelphia
The Eagles have converted all five of their two point attempt tries this season, but Doug Pederson opted for the ‘safe’ extra point try at Dallas instead of going for the win.
17 19 up 2 5-7-1
(8-5-0)
0 Cleveland
The Browns defense has declined, now ranked #31 in the NFL in yards allowed, but their 28 takeaways ranks second in the league behind only Chicago.
18 15 down 3 6-7-0
(5-8-0)
0.5 Carolina
The Panthers have now lost five straight, the last four all coming by a TD or less. To make matters worse, they have to play the Saints twice in the last three weeks!
19 17 down 2 6-7-0
(6-6-1)
1 Denver
Injuries continue to mount for Denver’s once elite secondary. Rookie CB Isaac Yiadom -- filling in for the injured Chris Harris -- suffered a separated shoulder in the loss at San Fran.
20 20 same 5-8-0
(7-5-1)
1 N.Y. Giants
Saquon Barkley now has the Giants rookie TD record (13) to go along with his 1753 yards of total offense, and the surging Giants have won four of their last five.
21 21 same 7-6-0
(8-5-0)
2 Miami
The Dolphins are my lowest ranked playoff contender. Every one of their seven wins this season has come by a single score (eight points or less).
22 24 up 2 4-9-0
(5-8-0)
3.5 Buffalo
In back-to-back weeks, the #1 total defense in the NFL has failed to hold a fourth quarter lead in a tight game against a divisional foe. At least Josh Allen can run!
23 22 down 1 5-8-0
(5-7-1)
3.5 Tampa Bay
Jameis Winston completed only 47% of his passes against the Saints – the second lowest completion percentage of his career – as the Bucs blew a double digit lead at home.
24 23 down 1 4-9-0
(3-10-0)
3.5 Atlanta
The Falcons have now dropped five straight, ensuring their first losing season of the Dan Quinn era; primed to ‘evaluate the depth of the roster’ over the final three weeks.
25 27 up 2 5-8-0
(7-6-0)
3.5 Detroit
Matt Patricia’s defense has improved significantly since acquiring Damon Harrison at the trading deadline; #3 in the NFL against the run and #13 in points allowed since the deal.
26 26 same 4-9-0
(4-7-2)
5 Jacksonville
Four days after the Jags defense pitched a shutout against the Colts, they got gashed for 238 rushing yards and four touchdowns by Tennessee’s Derrick Henry.
27 25 down 2 6-7-0
(7-6-0)
5.5 Washington
Yes, the Redskins offense has been decimated with injuries at QB and WR. But the Redskins defense flat out quit last week, bad news for Jay Gruden’s job security.
28 28 same 3-10-0
(4-9-0)
6 San Francisco
The 49ers didn’t force a turnover AGAIN last week, notching only five takeaways for the entire season; dead last in the NFL by a wide margin.
29 29 same 4-9-0
(5-8-0)
6 N.Y. Jets
Sam Darnold still isn’t 100%; missing a series after re-injuring his right foot at Buffalo and limping off the field after engineering his first fourth quarter comeback win.
30 31 up 1 5-8-0
(6-7-0)
6 Cincinnati
Despite being out of the playoff chase in each of the last two seasons, the Bengals were ATS moneymakers down the stretch & they covered wire-to-wire again last week.
31 32 up 1 3-10-0
(5-8-0)
6.5 Oakland
Jon Gruden’s fingerprints are all over the firing of Raiders GM Reggie McKenzie, who was named NFL Executive of the Year in 2016.
32 30 down 2 3-10-0
(6-6-1)
7 Arizona
The Cardinals are in line for the #1 overall draft choice after a particularly ugly home loss to the Lions; with a 52% chance to land the top pick based on FPI projections.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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