A revitalized Seattle Storm visit Minneapolis to take on a banged-up Minnesota Lynx team on Tuesday, June 14. The Storm have won three straight, usurping Dallas as the No. 2 seed in the West, and look to continue that momentum.
Our WNBA picks and predictions for Storm vs Lynx all come down to health and matchups, check out who we’re backing for Tuesday’s WNBA betting below.
Storm vs Lynx odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare WNBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Storm vs Lynx predictions
Predictions made on 6/14/2022 at 1:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for the WNBA, here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users can bet $20 and get $200 in free bets with Caesars! Sign Up Now
B) New users can get two risk-free bets up to $2,000 at PointsBet! Claim Now
*Eligible USA locations only
Storm vs Lynx info
• Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
• Date: Tuesday, June 14, 2022
• Tip-off: 9:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
Storm vs Lynx betting preview
Key injuries
Storm: No injuries to report.
Lynx: Sylvia Fowles (Out), Kayla McBride (Probable), Napheesa Collier (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Lynx are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends for Storm vs. Lynx.
Storm vs Lynx picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Spread analysis
The Minnesota Lynx are in deep trouble. They were already missing 2021 All-Star Napheesa Collier, who has been absent all season becoming a new mom. Now two-time Finals MVP Sylvia Fowles has a cartilage injury in her right knee and is out indefinitely. Fowles is an indispensable part of the Lynx on both ends of the court, leading the team with 16.5 points and 10.3 rebounds on an outrageous 65.2% true shooting. That’s on top of being the four-time (and reigning) WNBA Defensive Player of the Year.
There is no simple remedy when replacing the league's best defender, most efficient player, and one of its leading rebounders. Jessica Shepard has filled in admirably in Fowles' absence, but Breanna Stewart should be at peak effectiveness with Fowles out of action.
To make matters worse Aerial Powers is in a serious shooting slump. She’s averaging 13.1 points but on a miserable 36.8 eFG%, including 26.3% from three. She’s also struggling in the paint, coming up short multiple times at the rim against the Fever in her last game.
The Storm, by contrast, are finally rounding into form after their own early-season crisis. After dealing with various injuries and COVID-19 absences, the Storm have had everyone healthy for a few games now and are beginning to look like one of the preseason title favorites once more.
Their shooting has still been scattershot, but almost all of that took place with players shuffled into inappropriate roles or doing spot minutes for last-minute absences, which is a hard way to build an efficient offense. With Jewell Lloyd, Sue Bird, and Breanna Stewart finding their chemistry again, the Storm are a solid bet to cover.
Prediction: Storm -5.5 (-110 at Caesars)
Over/Under analysis
The Lynx were already a leaky ship before Sylvia Fowles went down, with Minnesota falling all the way from third in defensive rating last season to ninth this year. Without Fowles, they might flirt with league-worst defensive efficiency. Allowing 84 points to the Indiana Fever on Sunday portends rough seas ahead for the floundering Lynx on the defensive end.
They also cough the ball up on 19.9% of their possessions, 10th-worst in the league, which should buoy what has been an up and down Seattle offense this season. But mostly the Over is the play here because Breanna Stewart is looking like her MVP self again, and without Fowles the Lynx have no way to credibly guard her.
If that means they’re forced to put two on the ball, that will lead to open threes for the Storm. Neither of these teams have had inspiring offensive seasons, but this line is plenty low enough to justify the Over.
Prediction: Over 157.5 (-120 at BetVictor)
Best bet
With their star talent sidelined, the Lynx have to get things done by committee. But that’s easier said than done. Because of the way one player can dominate the ball, in basketball more than any other team sport, stars run the game.
Teams by committee might tread water in soccer, but in basketball, you’re pretty much dead man (or woman) walking when the other team has a significant talent advantage. In the cases where that’s not true (e.g., the Spurs beating the Heat in the 2014 NBA Finals) it’s because of greater team cohesion and fit — something the Lynx, by virtue of being a team riddled with absences, do not have.
It took a heroic 23-point performance by Lynx rookie Nikolina Milic to even keep things close against the Fever who are, to put it mildly, considerably worse than the Storm at full strength. The Lynx have the second-worst net rating in the W at -9.2 and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. This spread feels far too generous to this struggling Minnesota squad.
Pick: Storm -5.5 (-110 at Caesars)
Did you know that if you parlayed today’s WNBA Storm vs. Lynx predictions and picks in a single-game parlay, you could win $25.00 on a $10 bet?
Use our WNBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
