Though there are just two WNBA games tonight, one of the league's most dominant players is set to take the court in a primetime game on ESPN.
With a former MVP leading the New York Liberty against an up-and-coming Dallas Wings squad, my WNBA player props are locked in on that matchup.
But my WNBA picks for July 7 also look to the late game for a player prop featuring the Chicago Sky's best player.
Top WNBA player prop bets for today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Breanna Stewart |
Over 19.5 points | -113 |
 Azzi Fudd |
Over 1.5 threes | -140 |
 Kamilla Cardoso |
Over 8.5 rebounds | +104 |
Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points (-113)
Despite Breanna Stewart coming off two dominant performances against a pair of WNBA championship odds favorites, her line remains at 19.5 for the third straight game against a Dallas Wings team that's a bad matchup against the two-time MVP.
The Wings' interior defense has been an issue this season, with the team sitting sixth-to-last in rim rate (32.3%) and allowing the fifth-most 2-pointers per game (23.4).
Stewart, who's No. 7 in the W in PPG (20.1) and No. 10 in offensive win shares (1.8), does the bulk of her damage inside for the New York Liberty, averaging more than half her PPG on twos (11.8). And with the shooters around her, Dallas won't be able to commit much extra help inside.
Having put up 20+ in four of her last five, and having the ninth-highest usage rate in the league (27.5%), I would bet the Over on Stewart's points at any price better than -125.
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
Azzi Fudd Over 1.5 threes (-140)
Though Azzi Fudd got off to a shaky start to her rookie season, the No. 1 pick has quietly found her rhythm as of late, especially as a 3-point shooter. That's why I'm so surprised to see her 3-point line set at 1.5, and would play the Over at -150 or better.
Even at this short price, taking the Over on Fudd's made threes is worthwhile. The Liberty are outside the top five in defensive 3-point rate (36.6%), and the last time they played Fudd, she went 6-for-12 from behind the arc.
The UConn product has had the green light from deep since her last performance against the Liberty, averaging 5.9 3-point attempts per game and hitting at least two in 9 of her last 15, including 5 of her last 7.
With Paige Bueckers commanding so much of the attention, Fudd should find open looks on the perimeter.
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
Kamilla Cardoso Over 8.5 rebounds (+104)
There's no way Kamilla Cardoso should be priced at plus-money to pull down 9+ boards against the Phoenix Mercury. The Mercury are without their top glass cleaner tonight, Natasha Mack, who's fourth in the W in rebound rate (20.2%).
This Phoenix team is already outside the Top 10 in rebounds per game (32.2) and gives up the fifth-most defensive rebounds per game (26.0), so without Mack, Cardoso is poised to take advantage.
"Killa Milla" is in the Top 10 in the W in rebound rate (18.4%) and RPG (8.7), and she's finished with nine or more in three of her last six for the Chicago Sky.
With Mack out and Cardoso's rebounding production, this is an Over I would happily play as short as -110, so to get it at plus-money is a boon.
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Arizona Family of Sports Network, CW26
Where to bet on WNBA player props
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