Even without Caitlin Clark, Aliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell can fuel the Indiana Fever offense against the Las Vegas Aces tonight.
I’m picking Boston to rack up the counting stats in my Fever vs. Aces predictions, and I’m building a +390 SGP featuring plenty of points and a NaLyssa Smith scoring line that should get more attention.
Find out more in my WNBA picks for Sunday, July 5.
Fever vs Aces prediction
Fever vs Aces best bet: Aliyah Boston Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120)
Over her last eight games, Aliyah Boston has brought the heat, averaging a tidy 31.7 PRA and clearing 30 four times. The Indiana Fever center has been a game-changer in her trips to Sin City, averaging 31.2 PRA in five road games against the Las Vegas Aces.
In those five games, Boston has gone for 30+ PRA three times, including each of her last two trips there.
The Aces have given up 10 assists to centers across their last two, giving Boston a chance to thrive not only as a scorer and rebounder, but as a playmaker as well.
Playable to 32.5.
COVERS INTEL: On the season, the Aces have allowed 37.9 points in the paint, but over the last two without Wilson, that number has ballooned to 47. Las Vegas’ second-chance points have surged from 9.9 to 13.5 in that stretch.
Fever vs Aces same-game parlay
The Fever are one of two teams giving up 50+ PITP this season, and that’s where NaLyssa Smith does most of her damage.
Fresh off a 29-point eruption in her last game, Smith can ride that momentum into another strong scoring performance with A’ja Wilson out of action. Play up to 14.5.
Even without their superstars on the floor, both offenses can put up points, and opposing defenses each rank in the Bottom 6 in points surrendered.
Paired with Indiana’s top-ranked pace, there should be more than enough offense to hit the Over. I’ll bet this up to 182.5.
Fever vs Aces SGP
- Aliyah Boston Over 29.5 points+rebounds+assists
- NaLyssa Smith Over 13.5 points
- Over 180.6
Fever vs Aces player prop pick
Kelsey Mitchell Over 23.5 points (-115)
Kelsey Mitchell has reached 24+ points in seven games this season, including four of her last six contests.
With Caitlin Clark sidelined, Mitchell will operate as the team’s top-scoring guard. She’s averaging a career-best 21.6 ppg already, and Clark’s absence should be more than enough to account for an extra three points.
Las Vegas has surrendered the sixth-most points to opponents, making Sunday’s clash a favorable matchup for the combo guard.
- Best bet: 14-15, -2.42 units
- SGP: 4-25, -3.4 units
Fever vs Aces odds
- Spread: Fever +3.5 (-110) | Aces -3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Fever +130 | Aces -155
- Over/Under: Over 180.5 (-110) | Under 180.5 (-110)
Fever vs Aces trend
Las Vegas has hit the game total Over in four straight games, and Indiana has done so in five of its last six. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Fever vs Aces
| Location | Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| Date | Sunday, July 5, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Fever vs Aces latest injuries
Fever: Caitlin Clark G (Out).
Aces: A’ja Wilson C (Out), Janiah Barker F (Out), Dana Evans G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
