Fire vs Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's WNBA Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 14, 2026 , 08:21 AM ET • 4 min read

Morning basketball! The Fire aren't setting the world on, er, fire...but they can handle the Sun and should be favored by more than a bucket.

WNBA

Match starts: 1 hrs
PDX
44 %
CON
56 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Connecticut -1.5 (-105) Connecticut -1.5 (-105)
Bet Now
Carla Leite Portland Fire WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Portland Fire guard Carla Leite (0) is defended by Atlanta Dream guard Jordin Canada (3)

The Connecticut Sun will try to snap a two-game losing streak as they host the Portland Fire for an early game this morning.

Portland enters as a 1.5-point favorite, and I’m taking it to get the road win in my Fire vs. Sun predictions below. 

Read on to see why I like the Fire as I share my free WNBA picks for Tuesday, July 14.

Fire vs Sun prediction

Fire vs Sun best bet: Fire -1.5 (-115)

The Portland Fire have covered the spread in each of their last four games.

They’ll have to do barely more than win outright to keep up that streak against the Connecticut Sun, who are dead last in point differential (-7.1), scoring (79.3 points per game), and effective field goal percentage (46.8%).

The lack of offense will make it hard to keep up with Portland, which has averaged 95.2 points over its last five games.

The Fire won’t have trouble containing a tepid Connecticut offense, and I’m taking them to win, giving up to three points.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Fire are third in the WNBA in 3-point rate at 36.5%, while the Sun allow opponents to shoot 35.9% from beyond the arc, the third-highest percentage in the league.

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Fire vs Sun same-game parlay

I’m pairing a Fire win with two player props to make an SGP for this morning’s game.

Carla Leite has done an excellent job running the Portland offense this year, with the 22-year-old putting up 5.8 assists per game on the season. She’s coming off a 10-assist performance against the Dream on Saturday, and I like her to hit her Over in a game where the Fire should run rampant against the Sun.

In addition, I’m taking Connecticut center Brittney Griner to hit her scoring Over at 13.5 points. That’s right at her season average, but she was coming off a 29-point game against the Lynx last Monday before sitting out the rest of the week with a quad injury. 

Portland allows 40.4 PPG in the paint, and Griner will find success near the basket in what should be a high-scoring game.

Fire vs Sun SGP

  • Fire -1.5
  • Carla Leite Over 5.5 assists
  • Brittney Griner Over 13.5 points

Fire vs Sun player prop pick

Bridget Carleton Over 2.5 made threes (+105)

Bridget Carleton is putting up 13.5 PPG, doing most of her damage from the three-point line. That’s where all her points have come in her last two games, each of which saw her hit 3+ shots from beyond the arc.

Carleton now has Over 2.5 makes from deep in three of her last four games, and has attempted at least seven shots from beyond the arc in each of her last five games.

I love Carleton to hit the Over on her 3-pointer prop against a Sun team that allows opponents to fire away from deep.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 12-18, -6.9 units
  • SGP: 4-26, -3.45 units
  • Player prop: 8-2, +5.56 units

Fire vs Sun odds

  • Spread: Fire -1.5 (-110) | Sun +1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Fire -120 | Sun +100
  • Over/Under: Over 168.5 (-110) | Under 168.6 (-110)

Fire vs Sun trend

The Fire are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Fire vs Sun

Location Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
Date Tuesday, July 14, 2026
Tip-off 11 a.m. ET
TV KPDX, NBCS-Boston

Fire vs Sun latest injuries

Fire: Sania Feagin F (Out).
Sun: Saniya Rivers G (Out), Aneesah Morrow F (Out), Brittney Griner C (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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