The United Football League continues into Week 3 after the defending champions looked to be back to their dominating self with an impressive win at Michigan. Meanwhile, the XFL Conference is loaded with all three remaining unbeaten teams.
Play gets underway for Week 3 on Friday night in Birmingham and concludes on Sunday afternoon in St. Louis. Here are my free betting picks for all the action!
UFL picks for Week 3
Picks made on 4-11.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
United Football League predictions and odds for Week 3
All odds courtesy of BetMGM.
Arlington Renegades vs Birmingham Stallions
Friday, 8:00 p.m. ET, FOX
| Arlington | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.5 (-115) | Spread | -3.5 (-105) |
| +150 | Moneyline | -180 |
| Over 39.5 (-105) | Total | Under 39.5 (-115) |
The Arlington Renegades are off to a 2-0 start after going 3-7 last season. However, after dominating the San Antonio Brahmas in an upset in Week 1, they barely defeated the Houston Roughnecks last week at home in an 11-9 rock fight.
I guess the good news is they were able to actually win a close game after struggling badly in those scenarios last year.
Meanwhile, the Birmingham Stallions looked more like themselves with a 21-12 win at the Michigan Panthers. Alex McGough went down with an injury on the first play of the game where he fumbled the ball, but Matt Corral was solid in his absence despite two interceptions.
However, the defense looked elite by forcing two turnovers and keeping the Panthers off the scoreboard until the fourth quarter.
Stallions wideout Amari Rodgers and running back C.J. Marable will return from injury, but they added McGough and wideout Deon Cain to the out list.
Starting safety Kenny Robinson Jr. and starting corner Mario Goodrich are also out. The Stallions proved to me last week they are still the team to beat in this league, and we are getting a small spread here, so I must go with the champs.
Pick: Stallons -3.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
Houston Roughnecks vs Memphis Showboats
Saturday, 2:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
| Houston | Memphis | |
|---|---|---|
| +4.5 (-110) | Spread | -4.5 (-110) |
| +170 | Moneyline | -200 |
| Over 35.5 (-115) | Total | Under 35.5 (-105) |
Two teams that got dominated in Week 1 had much better showings in Week 2. However, they both still lost and fell to 0-2. The Houston Roughnecks were the worst team in the league last year at 1-9, and they haven't looked great to start this season. They rank last in both scoring and total offense through two games.
The Memphis Showboats looked dreadful in Week 1 but did show some sort of life with 308 yards of total offense last week. However, quarterback E.J. Perry is questionable after being limited in the last two practices. Regardless, his running ability will be hindered. Memphis scored exactly 12 points in both games this season.
Neither team has surpassed 12 points in the first two weeks. The defenses aren’t good, but they also aren’t terrible either. With little to no offensive weapons on either side, I will roll with an Under in this game where someone may get their only win of the season at this rate — granted they do play each other again later this season.
Pick: Under 35.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
San Antonio Brahmas vs Michigan Panthers
Sunday, 12:00 p.m. ET, ABC
| San Antonio | Michigan | |
|---|---|---|
| +5.5 (-105) | Spread | -5.5 (-115) |
| +225 | Moneyline | -270 |
| Over 36.5 (-105) | Total | Under 36.5 (-115) |
The San Antonio Brahmas were in the championship game a year ago but have looked dreadful through two games. They've scored nine points in each game and allowed 59 total points. They especially struggle in the run game, allowing 173.5 yards per game, 5.0 yards per carry, and seven total rushing touchdowns.
The Michigan Panthers looked great in Week 1 and then struggled badly through three quarters last week. However, they seemed to have settled on Bryce Perkins as their lone quarterback, which is a good thing. They also have the most rushing yards of any team that has not already faced the Brahmas this season.
This would have been a stellar game last season between two excellent defenses. However, this year may be more of a one-sided affair with mediocre defense. I like the Panthers here in a bounce-back performance.
Pick: Panthers -5.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
D.C. Defenders vs St. Louis Battlehawks
Sunday, 3:00 p.m. ET, ABC
| D.C. | St. Louis | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.5 (-105) | Spread | -6.5 (-115) |
| +260 | Moneyline | -300 |
| Over 38.5 (-110) | Total | Under 38.5 (-110) |
The D.C. Defenders have lived up to their name through two weeks after holding the Stallions to 11 points and the Showboats to 12. They have the second-best defense in the league in several different categories.
However, D.C. is second best to these St. Louis Battlehawks, and they're back at home where they are absolute killers. The Battlehawks also have won each game this season by 25 and 17 points. St. Louis has three of the top 5 leading rushers in the league and the most efficient passer, Manny Wilkins.
Meanwhile, Jordan Ta’amu has been one of the least efficient passers in the league for the Defenders. D.C. has been great to start the season and shocked the champs in Week 1, but they are in for a rude awakening in their first road game. The Battlehawks will be looking for a third straight double-digit victory.
Pick: Battlehawks -6.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
Not intended for use in MA.
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