After 10 weeks of jockeying, we’re down to the UFL’s Final Four, with the two winners advancing to compete for the United Bowl.
The defending champs are here, but the DC Defenders are the underdogs as they battle the top-seeded Orlando Storm.
In the other bracket, it’s the surging Louisville Kings and their suddenly unstoppable offense against the elite St Louis defense.
Let’s get down to my UFL predictions for the semifinals action!
UFL picks for Semifinals
| Game | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| DC Defenders vs Orlando Storm | Under 47.5 | -110 |
| Louisville Kings vs St. Louis Battlehawks | Under 46.5 | -110 |
Picks made on 6-5.
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United Football League predictions and odds for semifinals
All odds courtesy of bet365.
D.C. Defenders vs Orlando Storm
Sunday, 3 p.m. ET, ABC
| Defenders | Storm | |
|---|---|---|
| +3 (-110) | Spread | -3 (-110) |
| +150 | Moneyline | -180 |
| Over 47.5 | Total | Under 47.5 |
If the Orlando Storm want that chip, it’s fitting they will need to knock off the champs to do it.
What’s unusual is this will be the third straight meeting between these teams, with the Storm taking both ends of a home-and-home set to close out the year.
Their clear advantage is at QB, where Jack Plummer is in the MVP mix after throwing a league-best 2,188 yards with 17 touchdown passes compared to just one interception.
He’s backed by the league’s top scoring defense (18.6 points per game) and a red-zone D that allowed TD’s on just 41% of those possessions — also first.
The DC Defenders have been spinning since losing their starting pivot, Jordan Ta'amu, to a season-ending injury in Week 8, now on a four-game losing streak. The downgrade to Spencer Sanders and Jason Bean is steep.
Their formula is simple: let UFL rushing leader Deon Jackson spin and turn this into a rock fight. The Defenders’ D allowed a UFL-low 243 yards per game, and a league-best 60 tackles for loss, with 27 sacks and 16 takeaways.
With two elite defenses going at it, take the Under to 46.5.
Pick: Under 47.5 (-110 at bet365)
Louisville Kings vs St. Louis Battlehawks
Sunday, 6 p.m. ET, FOX
| Kings | Battlehawks | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 (-110) | Spread | -1.5 (-110) |
| +105 | Moneyline | -125 |
| Over 46.5 (-110) | Total | Under 46.5 (-110) |
The Louisville Kings are on fire heading into Sunday, crushing Columbus 42-27 for their fourth straight win. It almost makes you forget this is year 1 of the Kings’ era.
Their running attack is bonkers right now, closing out the regular season with back-to-back 205-yard rushing games.
That balance keeps QB Chandler Rogers upright and more dangerous. He finished the year with 1,118 yards passing and five scores, but it’s the totality of the offense that’s hard to contain.
The St. Louis Battlehawks might have the answers to do it, though.
They are first against the run — allowing just 82.8 yards per game — and in total yards (243.2).
If they turn this offense one-dimensional and force Rodgers into obvious passing situations, watch out: St. Louis is tied for the league lead in sacks.
The Battlehawks need the defense to be on point because they can’t beat Louisville in a shootout. St. Louis was in the Bottom 3 in yards per game and scoring.
The Kings are playing too well to anticipate a more experienced team like the Battlehawks can stop them, but they do have the defense to keep it tight.
St. Louis has kept its game results in the 30-point range and Under in four of the last five. I would play this down to 44.5.
Pick: Under 46.5 (-110 at bet365)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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