UFC 328 is shaping up to be one of the best cards of the year, and it’s loaded with compelling matchups from its fascinating main events all the way to the competitive preliminary cards.
After sifting through the UFC odds, here are my best free UFC 328 preliminary predictions from New Jersey.
UFC 328 prelim picks and predictions
Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon
• Prediction: Gordon ML (-320)
• Best Bet: Gordon by decision (-120)
Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio
• Prediction: Tulio ML (-190)
• Best Bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-110)
Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki
• Prediction: Rebecki ML (+140)
• Best Bet: Rebecki by KO (+245)
Click on each fight to jump to the full analysis.
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UFC 328 prelim odds and picks
Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon fight odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Miller | Gordon |
| To win outright | +235 | -320 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +700 | +375 |
| To win by decision | +625 | -120 |
| To win by submission | +1250 | +875 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -200 | Under 2.5 +150 |
Odds as of 5-7.
Jim Miller comes into this fight as a sentimental favorite against fellow aging veteran Gordon, and has far less left in the gas tank.
While Miller can still be competitive at 42, Gordon is a level above what he can currently overcome. Gordon has shown considerable power and will be the faster fighter of the two.
Gordon should avoid the ground and pick Miller apart in the standup to win. Miller still retains his durability, so my best bet is Gordon wins by decision.
Prediction: Gordon moneyline (-320 at BET99)
Best Bet: Gordon to win by decision (-120 at BET99)
Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio fight odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Kopylov | Tulio |
| To win outright | +155 | -190 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +525 | +180 |
| To win by decision | +300 | +310 |
| To win by submission | +3000 | +550 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 +100 | Under 2.5 -130 |
Odds as of 5-7.
Roman Kopylov hasn’t looked good in recent fights, and Tulio comes in with proven fight-ending power behind 10 knockout wins.
This is a fight Kopylov could win, but his inconsistent offense and inability to counter or fight backward make him hard to pick against the all-action Tulio.
Tulio will get off to a hot start, pressing Kopylov backward and having him in real trouble. Tulio might run out of gas before he gets the stoppage, but he should get the win, with my best bet being that it goes Over 2.5 rounds.
Prediction: Tulio moneyline (-190 at BET99)
Best Bet: Over 2.5 rounds (+100 at BET99)
Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki fight odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Dawson | Rebecki |
| To win outright | -170 | +140 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +850 | +245 |
| To win by decision | +125 | +600 |
| To win by submission | +510 | +2250 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -150 | Under 2.5 +120 |
Odds as of 5-9.
Grant Dawson might have elite grappling skills, but he’s compromised by his substandard striking and terrible chin. Rebecki is rugged enough to make Dawson work for the takedowns, which is the fastest way to expose Dawson’s chin and put him out following an overzealous takedown attempt.
It doesn’t take much to put Dawson down, as he’s been felled by lighter-hitting fighters than Rebecki in the past. Rebecki should score the minor upset, and my best bet is he will put his opponent to sleep.
Prediction: Rebecki moneyline (+140 at BET99)
Best Bet: Rebecki to win by KO (+245 at BET99)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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