Sabalenka vs Anisimova Predictions, Picks & Odds for the Wimbledon Semifinal

Ducey's prediction: Sabalenka inches one step closer to Wimbledon glory.

Kenny Ducey - Contributor at Covers
Kenny Ducey • Betting Analyst
Jul 9, 2025 • 18:52 ET • 4 min read
Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Tennis
Photo By - Imagn Images. Aryna Sabalenka celebrates winning her match against Laura Siegemund.

Aryna Sabalenka has successfully made it into her third straight Wimbledon semifinal, but it’s hardly been a straightforward road.

After flirting with danger in her last four matches, the World No. 1 will face Amanda Anisimova, who is coming off a convincing straight-sets win over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.

Despite these obstacles, my Sabalenka vs. Anisimova predictions expect the Belarusian to overcome these challenges and reach her first-ever Wimbledon final.

Let’s break down the latest Wimbledon odds with my free betting picks for Thursday, July 10.

Sabalenka vs Anisimova prediction and best bet

Match analysis

Aryna Sabalenka has fallen behind her opponents time and time again over the last two weeks, pulling herself out of deficits to earn each set the hard way, and with her rate of points won on return, you’d expect an easier road.

The Belarusian superstar has played rather poorly relative to the 37 break points she’s conjured up in the last three matches, breaking 15 times to give her a break rate under her season average.

Still, she’s getting into a bundle of return games, and you’d have to think luck turns around at some point. While Sabalenka may stumble her way to the finish line, both Sabalenka’s serve and return have been of higher quality against Amanda Anisimova. 

Sabalenka has been a different player since the middle of 2022, and she’s now taken both of the matches set between the two at the Grand Slam stage in the last three years.

Best best analysis

Sabalenka has now fallen behind by a break in three of her last four matches, and it wasn’t until the quarterfinal stage that she finally coughed up a set against Laura Siegemund.

While Anisimova has done well to give her opponents a head start, she has struggled mightily with the lead. Anisimova failed to serve out her last two matches in the second set and gave Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova five set points in the second-set tiebreak of their last meeting, before ultimately losing the match in straight sets.

This prop has a much higher likelihood of cashing than the odds would indicate, and you simply have to trust what we’ve seen out of these two all tournament long when it comes to match script.

Sabalenka vs Anisimova odds

(1) Aryna Sabalenka (13) Amanda Anisimova
-275 Moneyline +215
-3.5 (-135) Game spread +3.5 (+100)
Over 21.5 (-125) Total games Under 21.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

How to watch Sabalenka vs Anisimova

Location Centre Court, London, England
Date Thursday, 7-10-2025
Time 8:30 a.m. ET
TV ESPN

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Kenny Ducey - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University's WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis - twice covering the NBA Finals.

He's been in the betting space for seven years, and has established himself as a top expert in MLB and tennis handicapping with brands like Tennis Channel, NBC Sports, and DraftKings. He's also been a frequent guest on betting shows such as MLB's Bettor's Eye and Tennis Bets Live.

Kenny has a knack for identifying underappreciated pitchers and tennis players as moneyline underdogs and credits his unique data analysis and hours of watching sports as the biggest reasons for success through the years. His best advice to bettors? Watch the games, trust your eye, and always question the public narrative.

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