Aryna Sabalenka has successfully made it into her third straight Wimbledon semifinal, but it’s hardly been a straightforward road.
After flirting with danger in her last four matches, the World No. 1 will face Amanda Anisimova, who is coming off a convincing straight-sets win over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.
Despite these obstacles, my Sabalenka vs. Anisimova predictions expect the Belarusian to overcome these challenges and reach her first-ever Wimbledon final.
Let’s break down the latest Wimbledon odds with my free betting picks for Thursday, July 10.
Sabalenka vs Anisimova prediction and best bet
- My match prediction: Sabalenka moneyline (-275 at DraftKings)
- My best bet: Sabalenka to come from a break down and win the first set and match (+600 at DraftKings)
Match analysis
Aryna Sabalenka has fallen behind her opponents time and time again over the last two weeks, pulling herself out of deficits to earn each set the hard way, and with her rate of points won on return, you’d expect an easier road.
The Belarusian superstar has played rather poorly relative to the 37 break points she’s conjured up in the last three matches, breaking 15 times to give her a break rate under her season average.
Still, she’s getting into a bundle of return games, and you’d have to think luck turns around at some point. While Sabalenka may stumble her way to the finish line, both Sabalenka’s serve and return have been of higher quality against Amanda Anisimova.
Sabalenka has been a different player since the middle of 2022, and she’s now taken both of the matches set between the two at the Grand Slam stage in the last three years.
Best best analysis
Sabalenka has now fallen behind by a break in three of her last four matches, and it wasn’t until the quarterfinal stage that she finally coughed up a set against Laura Siegemund.
While Anisimova has done well to give her opponents a head start, she has struggled mightily with the lead. Anisimova failed to serve out her last two matches in the second set and gave Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova five set points in the second-set tiebreak of their last meeting, before ultimately losing the match in straight sets.
This prop has a much higher likelihood of cashing than the odds would indicate, and you simply have to trust what we’ve seen out of these two all tournament long when it comes to match script.
Sabalenka vs Anisimova odds
| (1) Aryna Sabalenka | (13) Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| -275 | Moneyline | +215 |
| -3.5 (-135) | Game spread | +3.5 (+100) |
| Over 21.5 (-125) | Total games | Under 21.5 (-110) |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
How to watch Sabalenka vs Anisimova
| Location | Centre Court, London, England |
| Date | Thursday, 7-10-2025 |
| Time | 8:30 a.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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