Friday’s second Australian Open men’s semifinal pits two Melbourne champs against each other, with 10-time winner Novak Djokovic facing reigning two-time title holder Jannik Sinner.
With the Joker chasing a 25th career Grand Slam title, my Djokovic vs. Sinner predictions and free betting picks do not expect the legendary champ to go away quietly tonight.
Djokovic vs Sinner prediction and best bet
- My match prediction: Sinner moneyline (-1300 at Fanatics)
- My best bet: Over 31.5 games (-125 at Fanatics)
Match analysis
Jannik Sinner is the better player right now, and that matters.
Novak Djokovic has not won a set since the third round, and even when he has escaped, he's spent too long defending and stretching points just to stay level.
That's a dangerous game to play against Sinner, who serves bigger, returns harder, and takes time away with that flat backhand up the middle.
Djokovic can still counter-punch with his slice and net play, but he needs a fast start and a first serve day that a rapidly improving Sinner won’t allow.
Best best analysis
Even if he hasn't won a set since the third round, the Joker is still too good to disappear.
His game is still elite. His legendary resilience under pressure and championship pedigree don’t deserve a match total this low, and he won’t leave anything on the table tonight.
Sinner is the better player, but that also means he's less likely to gift cheap breaks. If Novak grabs one tight set, or we get a tiebreak, the Over is in great shape.
The nighttime air slows things down just enough for Joker to battle, Sinner to win, and a high-scoring Australian Open semifinal is in store tonight.
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Djokovic vs Sinner odds
| (4) Novak Djokovic | (2) Jannik Sinner | |
|---|---|---|
| +740 | Moneyline | -1300 |
| +7.5 (-120) | Game spread | -7.5 (-120) |
| Over 31.5 (-125) | Total games | Under 31.5 (-110) |
Odds courtesy of Fanatics.
How to watch Djokovic vs Sinner
| Location | Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne Park, Australia |
| Date | Friday, January 30, 2026 |
| Time | 3:30 a.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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