US Open Tennis Odds 2026: Zverev, Sabalenka Overwhelming Favorites!

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 12, 2026 , 08:30 AM ET • 4 min read

Alexander Zverev and Aryna Sabalenka continue to surge after their convincing US Open semifinal victories!

Alexander Zverev ATP Tour
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Alexander Zverev ATP Tour

The 2026 US Open odds have narrowed to four players as the tournament reaches its final weekend, with Alexander Zverev and Aryna Sabalenka holding the edge heading into the championship matches.

Zverev has strengthened his position as the men’s favorite, climbing from 52% to 57%, while Ben Shelton has moved from 39% to 43% after his stunning five-set win over Carlos Alcaraz.

On the women’s side, Sabalenka sits at 57% after defeating Jessica Pegula, while Elena Rybakina is at 42% following her three-set victory over Coco Gauff.

Here are the latest US Open odds heading into the men’s and women’s finals.

2026 US Open men's singles odds

Name Kalshi
Probability
Alexander Zverev 57%
Ben Shelton 43%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.

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US Open men's singles favorites and analysis

Heading into the men’s semifinals, Alexander Zverev has strengthened his grip on favorite status after his straight-set victory over Karen Khachanov, climbing from 52% to 57%.

Ben Shelton has also moved up, rising from 39% to 43% after his semifinal victory over compatriot Frances Tiafoe and now sitting 14 points behind Zverev.

2026 US Open women's singles odds

Name Kalshi
Probability
Aryna Sabalenka 57%
Elena Rybakina 42%

US Open women's singles favorites and analysis

Two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka remains the favorite in the 2026 US Open odds after defeating Jessica Pegula in the semifinals.

Sabalenka sits at 57% heading into Saturday’s final, while Elena Rybakina is at 42% after getting past Coco Gauff.

That leaves Sabalenka with a 15-point advantage over Rybakina with the US Open title on the line.

Previous US Open singles champions

Here are the US Open singles champions for the last 10 years.

Year Men's Champion Women's Champion
2025 Carlos Alcaraz Aryna Sabalenka
2024 Jannik Sinner Aryna Sabalenka
2023 Novak Djokovic Coco Gauff
2022 Carlos Alcaraz Iga Swiatek
2021 Daniil Medvedev Emma Raducanu
2020 Dominic Thiem Naomi Osaka
2019 Rafael Nadal Bianca Andreescu
2018 Novak Djokovic Naomi Osaka
2017 Rafael Nadal Sloane Stephens
2016 Stan Wawrinka Angelique Kerber

US Open trends

  • The last non-European player to win the Men’s Singles title was Juan Martín del Potro in 2009.
  • The last American to win the Men's Singles title was Andy Roddick in 2003.
  • Roger Federer is the only player to repeat as Men’s Singles champion since 2000, winning five consecutive titles (2004-08).
  • An American has won the Women's Singles title nine times since 2000, seven by the Williams sisters, and most recently Coco Gauff in 2023.
  • Seven Women's Singles winners since 2011 have been first-time Grand Slam champions.

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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