The 2026 US Open odds are shifting, and Iga Swiatek is making a major move up the board.
Swiatek has surged into the No. 2 spot in the US Open betting market after beating Elena Rybakina in straight sets to win the National Bank Open in Montreal.
Meanwhile, Aryna Sabalenka remains the betting favorite as she looks to capture her third consecutive US Open crown, but Swiatek's Montreal triumph has moved her firmly into the position of Sabalenka's biggest challenger.
Although Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz have both withdrawn from the Cincinnati Open, they remain among the favorites for the men's title in Flushing Meadows.
Here are the latest US Open tennis odds, with New York's USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center set to host from Aug 23 to Sept. 13.
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2026 US Open men's singles odds
| Name |  Probabillity |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 49% |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 15% |
| Alexander Zverev | 13% |
| Novak Djokovic | 9% |
| Ben Shelton | 5% |
| Rafael Jodar | 4% |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 2% |
| Arthur Fils | 2% |
| Taylor Fritz | 2% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 2% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
US Open men's singles betting favorites and analysis
Despite withdrawing from the Cincinnati Open with a right knee ailment, World No. 1 Jannik Sinner remains the overwhelming favorite to win his second career U.S. Open title.
Sinner is 55-5 across the previous 52 weeks on the cement and has won his past three Masters 1000 hardcourt events, including both legs of the Sunshine Double (Indian Wells, Miami).
Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz remains the second favorite as he recovers from a wrist injury, followed by French Open champion Alexander Zverev and four-time U.S. Open champion Novak Djokovic.
2026 US Open women's singles odds
| Name | Probabillity |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 29% |
| Iga Swiatek | 15% |
| Elena Rybakina | 10% |
| Coco Gauff | 9% |
| Naomi Osaka | 9% |
| Mirra Andreeva | 8% |
| Jessica Pegula | 5% |
| Alex Eala | 4% |
| Marta Kostyuk | 3% |
| Iva Jovic | 3% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
US Open women's singles betting favorites and analysis
Iga Swiatek is making a major move at Kalshi after winning the National Bank Open, surging into the second spot on the US Open odds board.
The 2022 US Open champion defeated Elena Rybakina in straight sets in Montreal and enters the final weeks before the tournament as Aryna Sabalenka's biggest challenger.
Two-time defending champion Sabalenka remains the favorite at Kalshi. Like Sinner, she won both legs of the Sunshine Double and is 39-4 on hard courts over the last year.
Coco Gauff, Elena Rybakina, and Naomi Osaka round out the Top 5 at Kalshi.
Previous US Open singles champions
Here are the US Open singles champions for the last 10 years.
| Year | Men's Champion | Women's Champion |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Carlos Alcaraz | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2024 | Jannik Sinner | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2023 | Novak Djokovic | Coco Gauff |
| 2022 | Carlos Alcaraz | Iga Swiatek |
| 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | Emma Raducanu |
| 2020 | Dominic Thiem | Naomi Osaka |
| 2019 | Rafael Nadal | Bianca Andreescu |
| 2018 | Novak Djokovic | Naomi Osaka |
| 2017 | Rafael Nadal | Sloane Stephens |
| 2016 | Stan Wawrinka | Angelique Kerber |
US Open trends
- The last non-European player to win the Men’s Singles title was Juan Martin del Potro in 2009.
- Roger Federer is the only player to repeat as Men’s Singles champion since 2000, winning five consecutive titles (2004-08).
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US Open Tennis Odds FAQs
Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka are favored to win the 2026 US Open.
Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka won the 2025 US Open championships.
USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York will host from August 23 to September 13.
